Brexited | the worst threads live the longest

Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


  • Total voters
    194
  • Poll closed .
Didn't the majority of Scots vote to stay in the EU though? Remaining would make Scottish independence less likely, I'd have thought.

England running roughshod over them has surely put it back on the table. "Better Together" morphing into "JUSSBLOODYGERONWIVIT" to get out of the EU no matter the cost has reignited the debate.
 
I don't think you can screw up a process this badly if you were doing it intentionally.
I hope the EU tell her to feck off.
 
What a shit show.

With every bloody move, proving why those who voted remain did so. Tories are fecking useless.
 
If she's pulled the vote it surely has to be proposing a GE/referendum. Anything else will see her gone, she has no credibility to renegotiate.
 
If she's pulled the vote it surely has to be proposing a GE/referendum. Anything else will see her gone, she has no credibility to renegotiate.

As I say I think a trip tp the EU... where they say no negotiation
And then back she comes with "My deal is the best deal on offer"... the people said they want to leave... now the people can choose leave with no deal or leave with My deal (I think she will even loose that before she resigns)
 
The European commission has said that it will not renegotiate the withdrawal agreement. At a press briefing the commission’s spokeswoman Mina Andreeva said:

We take note of the court of justice judgment today on the irrevocability of article 50.

We have an agreement on the table which was endorsed by the European council in its article 50 format on the 25th November.

As President Juncker said, this deal is the best and only deal possible. We will not renegotiate - our position has therefore not changed and as far as we are concerned the United Kingdom is leaving the European Union on the 29th March 2019.
 
As I say I think a trip tp the EU... where they say no negotiation
And then back she comes with "My deal is the best deal on offer"... the people said they want to leave... now the people can choose leave with no deal or leave with My deal (I think she will even loose that before she resigns)

I wouldn't be suprised if that's what their strategy is, the issue being that it doesn't change anything. They'll still be those who think someone else can negotiate a better deal and the same amount who oppose.

She might secure a rewording once again to try and trick some.
 
minimal I think - perhaps a stand alone statement saying they dont want to use it and they wouldnt let it continue in perpetuity - but I dont think they change the text of the withdrawal agreement
She spoke with Varadkar last night. He seem's to be the guy who wants the copper-bottom on this and the rest of the EU are backing him. If nobody wants to use it then take it out.

Just agree to have crisis talks to find a holding position IF and WHEN a trade deal doesn't look as if it will be done in the requisite time.

In the meantime get the Techies on it big time. There will need to be a border solution after a FTA is agreed in any case - and that can't be the same as this backstop so it has to be tech.
 
I guess I can hope for Remain to become more likely by the end of the month when the invoice will go through... and the same to happen at the end of January

Unfortunately I don't think any of the Tory or Labour politicians have got the guts to give Remain a chance, and the EU are not going to renegotiate.
 
She spoke with Varadkar last night. He seem's to be the guy who wants the copper-bottom on this and the rest of the EU are backing him. If nobody wants to use it then take it out.

Just agree to have crisis talks to find a holding position IF and WHEN a trade deal doesn't look as if it will be done in the requisite time.

In the meantime get the Techies on it big time. There will need to be a border solution after a FTA is agreed in any case - and that can't be the same as this backstop so it has to be tech.

Why would Ireland ever agree to the UK leaving them in a position where they'd have to rely on the UK to act in good faith later? Considering what a total arse the UK has made of everything so far.
 
She spoke with Varadkar last night. He seem's to be the guy who wants the copper-bottom on this and the rest of the EU are backing him. If nobody wants to use it then take it out.

Just agree to have crisis talks to find a holding position IF and WHEN a trade deal doesn't look as if it will be done in the requisite time.

In the meantime get the Techies on it big time. There will need to be a border solution after a FTA is agreed in any case - and that can't be the same as this backstop so it has to be tech.

The trade agreement discussions don't start until after the UK have left, it won't be finalised for years from now.
 
Any chance they've extended the transition to try and make the backstop less likely?

Not sure even that would pass parlaiment though.
 
Any chance they've extended the transition to try and make the backstop less likely?

Not sure even that would pass parlaiment though.
has to be agreed by all the eu countries to extend so no way this has been agreed without multiple leaks (plus no doubt we have to continue to pay and be a "rule taker not a rule maker" in that period - so wouldnt help her with the parliamentary vote)

we could now of course unilaterally stop A50 - but again I think if that was a realistic option it would have been heavily leaked in order to assess the public reaction
 
Why would Ireland ever agree to the UK leaving them in a position where they'd have to rely on the UK to act in good faith later? Considering what a total arse the UK has made of everything so far.
That is what the EU are asking the UK to do. I'm saying that if nobody wants to use it, then lose it. Amend the agreement to say that if it is looking like an FTA isn't going to be agreed by the end of 2020 then crisis talks will be held to find a temporary position at that point. By such time there could be some tech solution available.

If Ireland want May's vote to succeed then they will need to look at something like that. Or they risk a no-deal crash out which would be far worse for Ireland - and the border.
 
Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn, who was hoping to use a defeat for Mrs May on Tuesday to force a general election, said: "The government has decided Theresa May's Brexit deal is so disastrous that it has taken the desperate step of delaying its own vote at the eleventh hour.

"We have known for at least two weeks that Theresa May's worst-of-all-worlds deal was going to be rejected by Parliament because it is damaging for Britain.

"Instead, she ploughed ahead when she should have gone back to Brussels to renegotiate or called an election so the public could elect a new government that could do so.

"We don't have a functioning government. While Theresa May continues to botch Brexit, our public services are at breaking point and our communities suffer from dire under-investment."

will they launch a no confidence motion?

I'm not sure it will work but I think they will try
 
The trade agreement discussions don't start until after the UK have left, it won't be finalised for years from now.
There may not be a long term agreement for years, but won't there be discussion as to what happens at the end of the transition period? Which could result in an agreement, a temporary agreement, or no agreement at all of course.
 
The trade agreement discussions don't start until after the UK have left, it won't be finalised for years from now.
They are meant to be finalised for the end of 2020. The backstop is border insurance if they have not been finalised. But the backstop kills the deal.
 
They are meant to be finalised for the end of 2020. The backstop is border insurance if they have not been finalised. But the backstop kills the deal.

That's our problem not theirs. No-deal would be bad for the Ireland and the rest of the EU, but it would be cataclysmic for the UK. So why do we imagine the EU should be the ones to have to sort out our shit for us yet again? We wanted to leave, we don't like the backstop, all this stuff is us not them.
 
This situation just seems to get messier every day. The Tories don't have a clue and Labour don't have a clue either.

If Labour's position doesn't change and there is another GE, I'll either go with Greens or Lib Dem.

I can't give Labour much heat for where we are now, but they've shown nothing to suggest they'd resolve the situation.
 
Just noticed on the A50 ruling - the UK can only unilaterally withdraw - subject to a vote in parliament
Basically you would have to get 50%+ of MPs to vote to remain in the EU under the current terms
I'm not sure there is a majority for anything in parliament - including that
So I'm not sure its changed anything - no deal and leaving on 29th March still seems most likley
 
There may not be a long term agreement for years, but won't there be discussion as to what happens at the end of the transition period? Which could result in an agreement, a temporary agreement, or no agreement at all of course.


They are meant to be finalised for the end of 2020. The backstop is border insurance if they have not been finalised. But the backstop kills the deal.

Would think the transition period will be extended. There's no way a trade deal would be finalised by the end of 2020. But the backstop is not going to be removed or be allowed to be retracted unilaterally.

Don't know what the answer is because I don't think there is an answer and there will always be different factions who will be unhappy with any agreement.
 
The EU don't have any reason to think May can get any deal through parliament, why should they waste their time renegotiating?
May has to resign. Her position is untenable.
 
Just put it to another referendum: May's Deal vs Remain. It's pretty fecking simple.
 
Whatever is about to happen you can guarantee it's aimed at securing Tory power and trying to damage Labour.

Wouldn't suprise me if she proposed a referendum on her deal or no deal brexit.