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Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


  • Total voters
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  • Poll closed .
I’ve been following politics closely for over 30 years and it’s funny how many of those people whose lives were shit before never gave a single feck about politics, thought it had no impact on their lives, but then suddenly decided in July 2016 that they were the experts and that leaving the EU would change everything for the better.

Of course the fact that leaving the EU is going to hand the Torres a blank cheque to feck the poor (which is why it’s predominantly hard right Tory cnuts who have fought so hard for it) is just by the by. Or maybe you think the likes of Jacob Rees-Mogg and John Redwood are deeply passionate about the troubles of sandwich factory workers in my home town?
Nah, I saw a well spoken woman on telly arguing that leaving the EU will turn us into a socialist paradise, that the EU are terrified of this and therefore will give us a great deal if only Jez can be the one negotiating. Made perfect sense.
 
Nah, I saw a well spoken woman on telly arguing that leaving the EU will turn us into a socialist paradise, that the EU are terrified of this and therefore will give us a great deal if only Jez can be the one negotiating. Made perfect sense.
It's as close to reality as befriending the likes of Jo Johnson, Anna Soubry, Vince Cable and Chris Leslie whilst pretending to be concerned about vulnerable people and cuts targeted at them after Brexit.

Bring back the glory days where the only risks to vulnerable people via cuts targeted at them were...

...the likes of Jo Johnson, Anna Soubry, Vince Cable and Chris Leslie.
 
Yeah, the time and place to talk about actual people's lives is definitely not whilst trying to get them to vote your way - whether it's a GE or a People's Vote. How stupid of me.

Let's pretend their lives are of little consequence and that ending Brexit is far more important. I seem to remember that tactic going down extremely well at the last referendum.
So when our troops were on the beaches at Dunkirk, poverty should have been the priority in Parliament? The fact that the Nazis could follow through and invade and probably wipe out half the poor would be secondary?

What we have here is a national crisis that will cause untold damage if it is not resolved. Nobody is saying that other issues are not important only that those issues will become more acute if this bloody issue isn't sorted.
 
So when our troops were on the beaches at Dunkirk, poverty should have been the priority in Parliament? The fact that the Nazis could follow through and invade and probably wipe out half the poor would be secondary?

What we have here is a national crisis that will cause untold damage if it is not resolved. Nobody is saying that other issues are not important only that those issues will become more acute if this bloody issue isn't sorted.
:lol:

Yeah, if there's one thing coverage of any PMQs and the replies to any social media post Corbyn has put out in the last 2 years (including him recently wishing Harry Leslie Smith well in his recovery in hospital) says it's that 'Nobody is saying that other issues are not important'

For all the stuff written about Leave being funded by Putin, I think people should look into whether People's Vote is being funded and run by people who want to leave the EU - you know, aside from befriending Tories who've spent years voting against the UK's membership of the EU. Look at the strategy:

1. Mass marches through London deserve to be heard and should certainly alter the course of British politics. Who is doing their PR for them, in any medium that'll have them? Tony Blair and Alistair Campbell. Genius!

2. Young people don't like Brexit and it's their future any Brexit is putting in jeopardy. Who else was doing their PR for them, until Facebook remembered how little his principles cost? Nick Clegg. What a shrewd move.

3. Brexit is going to make the average person poorer and will almost certainly lead to more cuts. Who shall we get to spread this message? Anti-austerity groups? People who work in food banks? No, get me some of the most vocal and consistent supporters of the last decade of austerity you can find and lets cheer them like it's fecking Live Aid all over again.
 
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May, however delude, is at least trying to get this thing sorted. Corbyn is nothing more than a cynical opportunist.
 
Yeah. As Prime Minister, I can't believe how little to do with the negotiations Corbyn is having.

As leader of the opposition, if he opposes May’s deal he should set out a credible alternative. I have yet to hear it, including in his response to May today.
 
He can't unless he has access to the EU commission to negotiate an alternative.

The EU 27 have not exactly been opaque throughout this process in setting out their key positions, i.e. the four freedoms are indivisible and non-membership cannot be as beneficial as continuing membership. Are you seriously suggesting Corbyn could get a materially better deal from the EU?
 
fecking Corbyn wanting to talk about people's actual lives, that were shit before Brexit came along and will be shit regardless of how Brexit plays out, as if they're actual human beings who are equal to the cnuts whose interest in politics began in June 2016 and will almost certainly end whenever this distraction goes away. Boo that man. Boo.

Just talk about Brexit and then we can all go back to those halcyon days of May 2016, when the only threat to vulnerable people were the same Tories now warmly welcomed at People's Vote events, 3 days after they vote to hide the Universal Credit rollout risk assessment.

The fact that things were shit for a lot of people doesn't mean they won't get a lot, lot worse if Brexit isn't sorted out properly. A lot of the criticism re this issue concerning Corbyn as often been over the top and exaggerated (as coverage of him often is) but it's undeniable he's not really presented any workable strategy thus far to something that's by far the biggest issue facing the country. And the response that he isn't in government doesn't work either - the whole point of opposition is to highlight the flaws of the government and present actual, workable solution to the things the government are doing wrong.
 
The EU 27 have not exactly been opaque throughout this process in setting out their key positions, i.e. the four freedoms are indivisible and non-membership cannot be as beneficial as continuing membership. Are you seriously suggesting Corbyn could get a materially better deal from the EU?

Yep he's going to get exactly the same benefits as the Single Market and Customs Union without actually being in them. Sounds very possible if you're an idiot.
 
He can't unless he has access to the EU commission to negotiate an alternative.
Out of date I'm afraid. He might have been a better negotiator than May, or he might not, but in any event negotiations are over. He has a choice of backing the deal or no deal, unless he u-turns completely and proposes we ask the EU if we can remain, which he won't. The EU say they will negotiate no further, and I believe them.
Especially when he's so irrelevant to the whole thing.
Corbyn is relevant because he's leader of the Labour party, and given the party splits then how his members vote will determine whether we leave with the deal or without a deal. I'd say that's relevant.
 
https://www.theguardian.com/politic...taking-part-in-brexit-tv-debate-jeremy-corbyn

I'm so sick of this stupid cnut. Yeah Jeremy, lets have a televised debate about Brexit, not talk about one of the main options 70+% of your own party want, and talk about lots of non-Brexit related issues instead. You fecking moron.

There's absolutely nothing new here, Labour will not allow itself to be painted as the blockers of Brexit.

After the commons vote perhaps because then it's not on them which is why they've refused to take it off the table.

Exactly what do you think adding it to a televised debate adds? This isn't to influence a public vote and May will just slap the suggestion down and use it as a weapon.

Are people unaware of the idea so that it needs Corbyn to advertise it? Do you think May will suddenly change her mind? Enlighten me
 
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Out of date I'm afraid. He might have been a better negotiator than May, or he might not, but in any event negotiations are over. He has a choice of backing the deal or no deal, unless he u-turns completely and proposes we ask the EU if we can remain, which he won't. The EU say they will negotiate no further, and I believe them.
Corbyn is relevant because he's leader of the Labour party, and given the party splits then how his members vote will determine whether we leave with the deal or without a deal. I'd say that's relevant.

He may be leader of the Labour Party , not convinced he's leader of the opposition. If it goes to a free vote or Labour MPs rebel against him he won't be.
 
And how rarely his most ardent supporters actually defend his position on Brexit without strawmanning.
Er....there's nothing to defend sadly, I like anyone else think Labour Brexit is rubbish but I would the criticism of Labour far more seriously if it didn't come from people who have in the past couple of years got everything wrong politically. Just because Corbyn isn't playing the magical 4d chess some have in their heads doesn't mean what he or labour are doing is wrong.
 
Has it actually been released as to what this agreed deal entails?

Like a bullet-pointed, by the numbers list of everything involved with the deal?

If so could someone post a link to it?
 
The EU 27 have not exactly been opaque throughout this process in setting out their key positions, i.e. the four freedoms are indivisible and non-membership cannot be as beneficial as continuing membership. Are you seriously suggesting Corbyn could get a materially better deal from the EU?
He could get a different deal. The Tories had their priorities on what they wanted to give the EU the deal it wanted. Labour would have different priorities. The EU has conceded on some of the Tory priorities to get the deal they wanted while none of the Labour priorities have been even aired let alone agreed to. If May needed Labour to get this deal through parliament then she should have invited them to the negotiating table so they could get some of the things they wanted in the agreement.

If the Tories negotiate an agreement solely on their priorities and with only their input then it is up to them to get it through parliament.
 
Er....there's nothing to defend sadly, I like anyone else think Labour Brexit is rubbish but I would the criticism of Labour far more seriously if it didn't come from people who have in the past couple of years got everything wrong politically. Just because Corbyn isn't playing the magical 4d chess some have in their heads doesn't mean what he or labour are doing is wrong.

The fact that other parties have been shit politically isn't - again - an excuse for Corbyn to be so himself on the issue. He's perfectly capable of putting forward a solid argument about why leaving the single market and customs union is a bad idea politically, in the same way he's often passionately argued for other issues that are key to the future of the country. And the arguments about it not being popular to do so again fall flat when Corbyn's entire mantra has been to advocate for his own left-wing principles in spite of the fact they had him polling poorly until just before last year's election. And again, I know the EU isn't particularly left-wing, but continuing cooperation with it is pretty much the only viable option unless you're advocating a hard border with Northern Ireland and the chaos that a hard Brexit brings. Something which Corbyn's earlier commitment to leaving the single market was basically arguing in favour of, even if the party as a whole were remarkably unclear on that publicly.
 
He could get a different deal. The Tories had their priorities on what they wanted to give the EU the deal it wanted. Labour would have different priorities. The EU has conceded on some of the Tory priorities to get the deal they wanted while none of the Labour priorities have been even aired let alone agreed to. If May needed Labour to get this deal through parliament then she should have invited them to the negotiating table so they could get some of the things they wanted in the agreement.

If the Tories negotiate an agreement solely on their priorities and with only their input then it is up to them to get it through parliament.
Corbyn's never detailed what they are though. All we've had from him is his same benefits, but out of SM/CU fantasy or fluff like 'a Brexit that works for everyone'.
 
The fact that other parties have been shit politically isn't - again - an excuse for Corbyn to be so himself on the issue. He's perfectly capable of putting forward a solid argument about why leaving the single market and customs union is a bad idea politically, in the same way he's often passionately argued for other issues that are key to the future of the country. And the arguments about it not being popular to do so again fall flat when Corbyn's entire mantra has been to advocate for his own left-wing principles in spite of the fact they had him polling poorly until just before last year's election.

Corbyn was(And still is)unpopular but the platform he ran on wasn't at all, most of his left wing principles are very popular. There's isn't to my mind some ethical duty Corbyn has to do because in 2015 he talked about - kinder, honest politics(Or whatever the slogan was). I hate to break it to people but this politics , if you want to change his or the party mind then you'll have to 1)Hurt them in polling 2)Join the Labour Party and change it from the inside.
 
He could get a different deal. The Tories had their priorities on what they wanted to give the EU the deal it wanted. Labour would have different priorities. The EU has conceded on some of the Tory priorities to get the deal they wanted while none of the Labour priorities have been even aired let alone agreed to. If May needed Labour to get this deal through parliament then she should have invited them to the negotiating table so they could get some of the things they wanted in the agreement.

If the Tories negotiate an agreement solely on their priorities and with only their input then it is up to them to get it through parliament.
Fair judgement in one sense, but if it doesn't get through parliament then a no deal hard brexit it will be. I get you think he could renegotiate, but first he would have to win a vote of no confidence, then win a general election, then even harder persuade the EU to completely change their mind and negotiate again, all this while leaving the EU in March is already written into both EU and UK law. Times have moved on, Barnier's tick tock hasn't gone away, renegotiation isn't going to happen.
 
Corbyn's never detailed what they are though. All we've had from him is his same benefits, but out of SM/CU fantasy or fluff like 'a Brexit that works for everyone'.
If he had been invited to the table he would have had to negotiate those priorities or declined to participate which he couldn't have done.
 
If he had been invited to the table he would have had to negotiate those priorities or declined to participate which he couldn't have done.
It's all what ifs though. No way Labour would've invited the Tories along if the boot was on the other foot.

This was certainly something that in theory would've been best negotiated by a cross-party body, but even then, look at the divides in Lab and Con. Whole thing was impossible.
 
Fair judgement in one sense, but if it doesn't get through parliament then a no deal hard brexit it will be. I get you think he could renegotiate, but first he would have to win a vote of no confidence, then win a general election, then even harder persuade the EU to completely change their mind and negotiate again, all this while leaving the EU in March is already written into both EU and UK law. Times have moved on, Barnier's tick tock hasn't gone away, renegotiation isn't going to happen.
The EU doesn't want a hard Brexit anymore than we do. If this is voted down, which I think it will be then they will wait and see what the options are. Any deal is going to be 90% what this deal is. Labour may get to add somethings they want to get it through parliament though.
 
It's interesting that she thinks the public deserve to hear what she has to say but don't deserve a vote afterwards
 
It's all what ifs though. No way Labour would've invited the Tories along if the boot was on the other foot.

This was certainly something that in theory would've been best negotiated by a cross-party body, but even then, look at the divides in Lab and Con. Whole thing was impossible.
If they didn't have the votes then they would have to if they wanted to get it through parliament.

The thing about a cross party comity is that if it fails all parties fail. There would be no political gain in seeing it fail.
 
Corbyn was(And still is)unpopular but the platform he ran on wasn't at all, most of his left wing principles are very popular. There's isn't to my mind some ethical duty Corbyn has to do because in 2015 he talked about - kinder, honest politics(Or whatever the slogan was). I hate to break it to people but this politics , if you want to change his or the party mind then you'll have to 1)Hurt them in polling 2)Join the Labour Party and change it from the inside.

70%+ of his party are already in favour of another vote and he’s just ignoring their wishes.
 
So, I see Brexit playing out like this;

1) Commons vote on May's plan
2) Is rejected
3) Amendments added to the text from every corner, remain, leave, lib dem, labour, SNP, hard, soft, boiled
4) Most of those are rejected. Except a hard amendment which allows the transition and backstop to remain except a hard brexit following that (Chequers is dead).

And that's it. Brexit passes with the promise of a hard brexit in 2+ years time