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Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


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Barnier says UK and EU not close to reaching Brexit agreement
Michel Barnier, the EU’s chief Brexit negotiator, told the Belgian broadcaster RTBF this morning that the UK and the EU were not close to a deal. He said:

For now, we are still negotiating and I am not, as I am speaking to you this morning, able to tell you that we are close to reaching an agreement.
 
Thanks for posting that.

At 33:45 confirms the point I have been making all along and like the moron he is Farage falls into the trap and starts spouting on about non-EU citizens which gets a large round of applause.

Sad times for the UK.
Yeah annoyingly Farage is right that the reason for the drop in anti immigration feeling(And why it's drop down the list of importance for voters)is because people think Britain has kicked out all the foreigners.

I'm still of the mind that the UK government could put a border up in NL and it wouldn't effect party polling. People really don't care(Some actually take pride in knowing feck all about the process)
 
Yeah annoyingly Farage is right that the reason for the drop in anti immigration feeling(And why it's drop down the list of importance for voters)is because people think Britain has kicked out all the foreigners.

I'm still of the mind that the UK government could put a border up in NL and it wouldn't effect party polling. People really don't care(Some actually take pride in knowing feck all about the process)

Leaving the CU and SM without putting up a border in Ireland is impossible so either the Leave voters were ignorant of that fact or they don't care. Both are equally reprehensible.
 
The Spectator’s James Forsyth has written a very good blog with new information about what happened at cabinet. Do read the whole thing here, but here’s an excerpt.

Penny Mordaunt argued that Brexit was like a plane journey and that people wanted to hear from the pilot at the beginning and the end of the journey and they got worried if they heard from the pilot mid-flight to say that they weren’t going to land when they were expected to. To which, David Mundell— the Scottish secretary — shot back that the passengers would be equally alarmed if they heard that the pilot couldn’t land the plane. To which, Michael Gove — a famously nervous flier — remarked that he always found a gin and tonic helped if that happened. I suspect that all the cabinet might be in need of a drink before the week is out.

So the UK will become alcoholics to shut out the pain.
 
Leaving the CU and SM without putting up a border in Ireland is impossible so either the Leave voters were ignorant of that fact or they don't care. Both are equally reprehensible.
Who knows but considering how little NL border was given I image most didn't know and now they do they don't care.
 
Wouldn't that be weird if Brexit finally United Ireland? Not sure how that is ever going to fly with the Protestants in the north even if the Catholics on both sides of the border now want it. The stability that the Good Friday Agreement brought made a United Ireland far less of a priority for most who are for it in a general sense, as each side not killing each other was a very good start, but now?
Not as easy as just giving it back before brexit. First there would have to be public consultations and referendums, to convince the people on both sides of the border that if they want what is a romantic notion to become reality, they will have to pay for it economically. Bigly. A recent study by Trinity college shows that the cost required per year to take on the North would be 11bn. Ireland don’t have that and the UK won’t want to fund it without it being part of the UK.

That’s before we get into how to untangle the civil service, healthcare, policing etc.

There would need to be a huge handover period, an expensive one. Would every ROI resident want to pay an additional 10% or more tax per month to fund it? I doubt it

I actually think it would be like Brexit in that the people would vote for it and then afterwards the “oh shit what have we done?” realization would kick in
 
Not as easy as just giving it back before brexit. First there would have to be public consultations and referendums, to convince the people on both sides of the border that if they want what is a romantic notion to become reality, they will have to pay for it economically. Bigly. A recent study by Trinity college shows that the cost required per year to take on the North would be 11bn. Ireland don’t have that and the UK won’t want to fund it without it being part of the UK.

That’s before we get into how to untangle the civil service, healthcare, policing etc.

There would need to be a huge handover period, an expensive one. Would every ROI resident want to pay an additional 10% or more tax per month to fund it? I doubt it

I actually think it would be like Brexit in that the people would vote for it and then afterwards the “oh shit what have we done?” realization would kick in

It would be an absolute shit show. Though I guess it is possible.
 
Not as easy as just giving it back before brexit. First there would have to be public consultations and referendums, to convince the people on both sides of the border that if they want what is a romantic notion to become reality, they will have to pay for it economically. Bigly. A recent study by Trinity college shows that the cost required per year to take on the North would be 11bn. Ireland don’t have that and the UK won’t want to fund it without it being part of the UK.

That’s before we get into how to untangle the civil service, healthcare, policing etc.

There would need to be a huge handover period, an expensive one. Would every ROI resident want to pay an additional 10% or more tax per month to fund it? I doubt it

I actually think it would be like Brexit in that the people would vote for it and then afterwards the “oh shit what have we done?” realization would kick in

Aye. It's very easy to imagine people voting for a UI only to then ask what exactly a UI means. It's also easy to imagine the UI we end up with looking very different to the vague, romantic ideal people might have in mind as they cast their votes.
 
Not as easy as just giving it back before brexit. First there would have to be public consultations and referendums, to convince the people on both sides of the border that if they want what is a romantic notion to become reality, they will have to pay for it economically. Bigly. A recent study by Trinity college shows that the cost required per year to take on the North would be 11bn. Ireland don’t have that and the UK won’t want to fund it without it being part of the UK.

That’s before we get into how to untangle the civil service, healthcare, policing etc.

There would need to be a huge handover period, an expensive one. Would every ROI resident want to pay an additional 10% or more tax per month to fund it? I doubt it

I actually think it would be like Brexit in that the people would vote for it and then afterwards the “oh shit what have we done?” realization would kick in

I was thinking more about if Brexit caused the breakdown of the GFA, a hard border and a return to sectarian violence and then eventually a united Ireland rather than a pre-Brexit thing.

And if events ever pushed things in this direction there are huge political, social and economic hurdles to clear. Possibly insurmountable ones.
 
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A fool would state otherwise.

However you have completely misunderstood the reason for my interjection. I called this following statement to be patently false:

"British people don't want foreigners in the UK"

It is provably false and has been upthread.

It would be true to state that "some British people don't want some foreigners in the UK" This we know and it is absurd to argue otherwise.

Your definition of xenophobia does not equate to the accepted which would encompass a broad spectrum of accepted linguistic definitions to include irrational fear or hatred, dislike and/ore prejudice against foreigners.

"Most people want EU migration to be managed" does not meet this definition. What this tells us is that most people want EU migration to be managed. Their reasons for doing so are explored in the research and will no doubt include, but not be wholly concerned with, xenophobic attitudes

"In contrast 53% of Leave voters believed that the UK should not offer a preferential immigration deal to the EU, even if business would lose out, compared with 16% of Remain voters"

As above. A percentage of that 53% will no doubt be voting due to their xenophobia, as meets accepted definition, but all that we are sure of is that 53% are saying that the UK should not offer a preferential deal to the EU.

This is not semantics - this is simple and fundamental interpretation of really basic data.

Added to this we have the linked substantial research into why people voted a certain way with the summary findings seemingly at odds with your own and with Paul's. That's your prerogative but personally I'll take that summary at face value rather than stick my fingers in my ears, claim people are lying, and produce a poll of two members of my family as some sort of counter argument

You are 100% wrong. Once you treat (or want to treat) someone differently because is from somewhere else, you are xenophobic. That 53% is not neutral to EU, they want to treat them differently because they don't like them or they fear that they will do something to them while others that they are from the same area, they don't mention them and they might do the same (basically competing with them for jobs)

And yeah, basically and fundamental interpretation of really basic data says that 53% are xenophobic against EU immigrants, that is absolute majority, there is no other interpretation. Thanks for agreeing with me

Is your own link mate, is you that you put your fingers in your ears
 
May as well just stay in the EU, best for everyone. :)

Well, I live in Canada so...But yeah, I guess it would be better for everyone, but deep inside I like chaos to be unfold for the fun, but the same happened with Trump, and I don't like it:(
 
You are 100% wrong. Once you treat (or want to treat) someone differently because is from somewhere else, you are xenophobic. That 53% is not neutral to EU, they want to treat them differently because they don't like them or they fear that they will do something to them while others that they are from the same area, they don't mention them and they might do the same (basically competing with them for jobs)

And yeah, basically and fundamental interpretation of really basic data says that 53% are xenophobic against EU immigrants, that is absolute majority, there is no other interpretation. Thanks for agreeing with me

Is your own link mate, is you that you put your fingers in your ears

How did you get into Canada? Was it xenophobic of them to impose rules and stipulations for you to enter and live in the country. And is it xenophobic for them to impose one set of rules for you, and another for people who were born in Canada?
 
How did you get into Canada? Was it xenophobic of them to impose rules and stipulations for you to enter and live in the country. And is it xenophobic for them to impose one set of rules for you, and another for people who were born in Canada?

Because the EU citizens have to abide by the conditions of FoM otherwise the UK can remove them. The same as citizens from outside the EU, they have to comply by the rules. Now because the rules may be different is not the fault of the EU, they are imposed by the UK.
Typical example of utter ignorance was the woman in that C4 programme called ******* who said that the minimum wage for EU citizens is lower than that of non-EU citizens - well hello, that is because the UK set a higher wage requirement.

The criteria for EU citizens is that they are able to support themselves and are not a burden on the state which should also be the case for non-EU citizens, you can't really do a lot about UK citizens who are burden on the state.
Another clue, the only country in the EU that has "concerns" about FoM is the UK.
 
How did you get into Canada? Was it xenophobic of them to impose rules and stipulations for you to enter and live in the country. And is it xenophobic for them to impose one set of rules for you, and another for people who were born in Canada?

At the core it is as in an ideal world shouldn't be borders. But I am not naive

Also, you are wrong in the last part. Now as a resident I have exactly the same rules as a canadian born except voting and in 1 year and half I will be able even to do that

But in essence, is not comparable in the sense that if we consider all Europeans with the same rights, you shouldn't ask for different rules. That is why asking control from other countries of the EU, when had been established that shouldn't be like that, is xenophobic.

As I have been saying, there are several levels of xenophobia. You can even have them with your neighbouring town. I am xenophobic to a certain degree, I am tribal like many other people. The problem is when xenophobia reach high levels of intolerance, and Brexit is in my opinion a result of this
 
At the core it is as in an ideal world shouldn't be borders. But I am not naive

Also, you are wrong in the last part. Now as a resident I have exactly the same rules as a canadian born except voting and in 1 year and half I will be able even to do that

But in essence, is not comparable in the sense that if we consider all Europeans with the same rights, you shouldn't ask for different rules. That is why asking control from other countries of the EU, when had been established that shouldn't be like that, is xenophobic.

As I have been saying, there are several levels of xenophobia. You can even have them with your neighbouring town. I am xenophobic to a certain degree, I am tribal like many other people. The problem is when xenophobia reach high levels of intolerance, and Brexit is in my opinion a result of this

Unless you never agreed with the new rules introduced without your consent and when given a democratic vote you decline to extend those rights as per the question about your instructions which your politicians asked you for, to steer their actions.

Its not that hard to understand it is just most people in this thread want the opposite and they thrash about trying to justify why their view is more important and wiser, better and more modern. The people who disagree about the priorities are racist xenophobic or stupid.

Here you are a guy living in Canada from Spain thinking your view about a country you will never live in, on a continent you decided to leave, owes you something?

It doesn't and your opinion about ideals without borders are not just naïve but dangerous and ill thought out. There will always be borders of authority. those who think that is backward do so because they have never seen how badly run non democratic countries are. That's why we have so many people trying desperately to get in to democratic countries in the first place.

Its not that I agree with Brexit voters about voting leave because I didn't. It's that I agreed to vote and a I feel bound by that vote even though it went against me. Isn't that democracy? Or are we only allowing certain outcomes because our superiors and there is no end to those in this thread who feel they are just that, want every one else they feel are inferior to vote the way they think benefits them.

They might be right but god does the hypocrisy stick in my craw, half of them voted for Cameron but now they want to run away from the consequences.

We should have a peoples vote on the final outcome...

But hang on it took 40 odd years to get a vote on the current state of the EU which does not resemble the EEC we voted to join.

We didn't know what we were voting on...

If we vote to stay in the EU we don't know what that is going to turn out to be either. It not like voting leave is the first thing we ever did without certainty of outcome because we do that every election if we are honest.
 
Unless you never agreed with the new rules introduced without your consent and when given a democratic vote you decline to extend those rights as per the question about your instructions which your politicians asked you for, to steer their actions.

Its not that hard to understand it is just most people in this thread want the opposite and they thrash about trying to justify why their view is more important and wiser, better and more modern. The people who disagree about the priorities are racist xenophobic or stupid.

You agreed because you agreed on some people that you vote that appoint people that make the rules, that is indirect representation, and you agreed in the referendum when you entered in the EU.

Then, what you say in the first paragraph is absolutely compatible with what I have been saying. You decline to extend those rights for xenophobic reasons. Before when you entered de the EU, you were less, now you are more, that is why you are out. For whatever reasons, maybe the EU citizens gave you good reasons maybe not, now you are more xenophobic, because you fear that they will steal your jobs, cripple your housing, NHS and benefit systems, but you are.
Here you are a guy living in Canada from Spain thinking your view about a country you will never live in, on a continent you decided to leave, owes you something?

It doesn't and your opinion about ideals without borders are not just naïve but dangerous and ill thought out. There will always be borders of authority. those who think that is backward do so because they have never seen how badly run non democratic countries are. That's why we have so many people trying desperately to get in to democratic countries in the first place.

No, here we have a guy that has no fecking clue about my life, because I traveled 60 countries, lived in 8 countries in several continents and guess what, 2 years in UK, so you better assume better mate.

Even so doesn't make me much more or less qualified, because you can learn a lot from other sources.

And the idea of being without borders I discarded myself early on, don't try to bring that up as something I think is possible and put it as my argument to then attack it. This is a straight tactic from Goebbels called Strawman

Though all indicate, that despite more and more countries are being created, more conglomerates too and easier is to travel and work elsewhere, and that is the trend nowadays.

Its not that I agree with Brexit voters about voting leave because I didn't. It's that I agreed to vote and a I feel bound by that vote even though it went against me. Isn't that democracy? Or are we only allowing certain outcomes because our superiors and there is no end to those in this thread who feel they are just that, want every one else they feel are inferior to vote the way they think benefits them.

No questions on that. I fully agree, I believe in direct voting, so referendums. And I believe that all results have to be respected even if you screw up.

Saying that, not everything is black or white:

- Referendum it was not binding
- I believe after 2 years with more information, having discovered lies (both sides), people is more informed.
- In which conditions you want to leave (or not) should be voted to

Therefore, I believe (absolutely my opinion, not that SHOULD BE because I worth it) a second referendum, with different questions, not only binary, of the final decision. When you vote a government, if you don't agree, you can change your mind if they don't do it as expected, or they lied to you then you vote again.

But again is my opinion. Mainly I support that the results of the first referendum should be respected. A second referendum I think should be considered, but I would understand if not.

But that would not stop giving my opinion of how wrong it is

They might be right but god does the hypocrisy stick in my craw, half of them voted for Cameron but now they want to run away from the consequences.

We should have a peoples vote on the final outcome...

But hang on it took 40 odd years to get a vote on the current state of the EU which does not resemble the EEC we voted to join.

We didn't know what we were voting on...

If we vote to stay in the EU we don't know what that is going to turn out to be either. It not like voting leave is the first thing we ever did without certainty of outcome because we do that every election if we are honest.

You are right, and now I see in the last paragraph that we say more or less the same. We don't know if the decision is right or not till you get out (that frankly I really want it to happen), but certainly we all know way more now than 2 years ago, actually everybody learnt a lot thanks to brexit. Without it, probably we would never would know.

To finish, I am a catalan independentist and I see many similarities as well that many difference in Brexit, and I learnt several things and confirmed others. Separation might be good for many reasons, but economically, separating yourself from an economic block, will be always a disaster. If you are willing to pay the price to get other things, so be it
 
Unless you never agreed with the new rules introduced without your consent and when given a democratic vote you decline to extend those rights as per the question about your instructions which your politicians asked you for, to steer their actions.

Its not that hard to understand it is just most people in this thread want the opposite and they thrash about trying to justify why their view is more important and wiser, better and more modern. The people who disagree about the priorities are racist xenophobic or stupid.

We didn't know what we were voting on...

If we vote to stay in the EU we don't know what that is going to turn out to be either. It not like voting leave is the first thing we ever did without certainty of outcome because we do that every election if we are honest.

The argument was about voters not wanting "legal" immigrants. By that study Leave voters preferred economic hardship to having immigrants who were legally in the country and not causing economic problems. So the ecomomic bullshit argument goes straight out of the window. What was the other reason?

I moved to France and initially before having french citizenship, I didn't just expect to live here, go on the dole and let the french state look after me, if I did this you could understand objections . But paying my way and not causing a problem to anyone, what objection would the french have - guess what - they don't!

Legal immigrants, people who satisfy the requirements, not only EU citizens but non-EU citizens. These voters who didn't agree with the rules, what was the reason they wouldn't agree with the rules?

So the leavers who knew what they were voting for:
Breaking the Good Friday Agreement
Stopping free movement of goods
Stopping free movement of people including British people.
Stopping co-operation on thousands of projects with EU countries, research, policing and the list is endless
And an endless list of other benefits.

If you vote for remain, surprise, who knows what the future is but it wasn't that.

There are scum like that Robinson character.
There are despicable politicians like Farage, Le Pen, Wilders, Trump, Salvini etc who preach hatred and division.
These people would have no success and be irrelevant if they didn't have an audience.

Then we have apologists and deniers and if we all stick our head in the sand it will all go away.
 


You're not really that surprised though, are you?

Did he mention that only a small number of UK transporters will get licences?

Furthermore, which doesn't seem to have been mentioned much, only about 1 in 8 trucks which do the carrying are British. Now if my trucks are going to get stuck in endless queues going to and from the UK - I think I may drop that business and concentrate on the other 27.
 
After listening to Raab and Davis, the only conclusion is that someone is intentionally trying to crash this country.
 
The Russians
And the UK has enough simpletons to go with it

I'm not comfortable with that, when I look at a party like FN in France, they are the ones who reached to the russians and tried to seduce them in exchange of money, russian leaders are obviously perfectly happy with it but it's too easy to solely blame russia when we kind of know that in reality it's our own politicians and entrepreneurs who are trying to further their personal financial ambitions.
 
I'm not comfortable with that, when I look at a party like FN in France, they are the ones who reached to the russians and tried to seduce them in exchange of money, russian leaders are obviously perfectly happy with it but it's too easy to solely blame russia when we kind of know that in reality it's our own politicians and entrepreneurs who are trying to further their personal financial ambitions.
Yes off course greed comes into it, always will. But look who had been funding brexit. Who has been communicating with the Russians? The Russians have form. Don’t know what their long term plan is but destabilizing Europe and the US is obviously a big part off it.
 
After listening to Raab and Davis, the only conclusion is that someone is intentionally trying to crash this country.

The Russians
And the UK has enough simpletons to go with it

Reminds me of this comment sadly:
I can only say: sorry, folks, but it doesn’t work to declare the government a kind of foreign power, whose rise can’t really be explained. We Germans have tried to pull this nifty trick a few times ourselves. Unfortunately, in a democracy any government that has come into office not through a coup but through free elections is regarded as an expression of the will of the people. That is why we are talking about representative democracy.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/nov/06/britain-foolishdecline-boris-johnson
We only have ourselves to blame
 
Yes off course greed comes into it, always will. But look who had been funding brexit. Who has been communicating with the Russians? The Russians have form. Don’t know what their long term plan is but destabilizing Europe and the US is obviously a big part off it.

They do but americans also have their fingerprints on it(Cambridge Analytica for example) and I wouldn't be surprised if chinese are operating quietly too. The way I see it, it's an empire battle and the other sides have decided that divide to conquer was the best way to handle Europe and the EU in particular. My understanding is that fringe political movements and greedy individuals are our weaker links because they seemingly have the habits to not only respond positively to foreign countries solicitations but they also initiate them which made Russia's work fairly easy.
 
Yep. The UK voted Tory, Tory, Brexit, Tory in succession. You can't do that and then blame other people when things go to shit.
It would be more accurate, and in some cases more honest, to say the UK voted Tory, Tory, Brexit, Tory and Labour in succession, as at the last general election both Tory and Labour promised Brexit in their manifestos. I get Labour can say they wanted a different sort of Brexit, but they campaigned on Brexit nonetheless.