Brexited | the worst threads live the longest

Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


  • Total voters
    194
  • Poll closed .
Hopefully, free at last... !



So the truth will out Paul ...you left a sinking ship? No women and children first then? :nono:
Surely with your mentality so much higher than the rest of us 'dumbo's' you could have stayed and turned the tide..?

In the kingdom of the blind the one eyed man is king, eh?;)

In truth I would have left many years previously but couldn't due to work commitments but thankfully advances in technology let me escape.

Free at last:) The women and children escaped with me
 
In truth I would have left many years previously but couldn't due to work commitments but thankfully advances in technology let me escape

So you had seen the writing on the wall well before Brexit? That must be so satisfying.
That advance in new technology, it wouldn't be that it put you out of a job by any chance? :(

Free at last:) The women and children escaped with me

I take it you were the Head of the escape committee? Are you sure they all wanted to go, hope you didn't have the women and children digging the tunnel? ;)
 
So you had seen the writing on the wall well before Brexit? That must be so satisfying.
That advance in new technology, it wouldn't be that it put you out of a job by any chance? :(

I take it you were the Head of the escape committee? Are you sure they all wanted to go, hope you didn't have the women and children digging the tunnel? ;)

Yes, it was satisfying that because I did, I didn't lose a lot of money.
It didn't put me out of a job as I was the boss and I wasn't really going to sack myself but meant I could stay in constant contact wherever I was.
As my wife is french and the children dual nationals, not a lot of persuasion needed.
 
Apparently now it is the evil Merkel that's going to come to the rescue of the UK because Germany can't survive without the UK.

[Sorry Paul I missed this one, its been a hectic day!]

Anyway, Mrs Merkel will not rescue Britain, in fact she will drive a hard bargain, maybe up to £100B over 10 years (sounds about right!) that's what she will want in return for granting Britain everything it wants, it will be known hence forth as the GB Option or the UK Pact!

The rest of the EU may moan a bit, groan a bit, pretend to stand up to Merkel, but as they always do when she rattles the money box, they will all back down. As she will point out if they don't like it they can make up Britain's contribution themselves, but Germany's not!

Obviously what I've described may not be the outcome, (this is a conspiracy theory after all) but most likely the 'hard' Brexit is the only other choice, that's likely and lets be honest nobody really wants, but... but.. if the money cannot be settled, then that may be the outcome...scary eh?

As I've said previously the casualties in all this will be Theresa May and Claude Junker having to fall on their swords, Theresa because of the money agreement, (will be seen as a give away in Britain) and Claude because this could all have been avoided had he not felt so vitriolic against Cameron and given him some leeway on his requested concessions in the first place... actually the more I repeat this scenario, the more I think it might 'have legs'..?
 
Yes, it was satisfying that because I did, I didn't lose a lot of money.

Good for you, its always satisfying to be able to get the money out, before the collapse, seen it happen many times in my (former) career, he who hesitates is lost etc.!

As my wife is french and the children dual nationals, not a lot of persuasion needed.
Sounds like you've got it made Paul, all the best to you and yours.
You will be glad to see the back of us Brits no doubt, Mrs Merkel will take of you now!
 
EU citizen or British citizen? Why not both. I think the UK's a bit of a shit tip nowadays, but it's a decent passport to have.
 
Good for you, its always satisfying to be able to get the money out, before the collapse, seen it happen many times in my (former) career, he who hesitates is lost etc.!


Sounds like you've got it made Paul, all the best to you and yours.
You will be glad to see the back of us Brits no doubt, Mrs Merkel will take of you now!

I never hesitate.
I wish the Brits were a bit less isolationist, never felt I belonged.
I also hope the UK gets out of this well, believe or not, but something's gotta change.
 
He stopped posting because he was looking ridiculous and nothing he said has remotely come true, the result of the referendum wasn't a surprise to me, although initially straight after the referendum I thought, surely they can't be this stupid but indeed they were. The mentality of the average uninformed Brit was one of the reasons I left 10 years ago.

You see this conspiracy theory that has "scared" the Brexiters that Germany was dictating to the Uk what was happening in their own country. Well done to the British politicians to persuade a large chunk of the British electorate into believing that all the problems the public were facing were nothing to do with the government but that evil EU and more so those Germans who run it.
Unfortunately to the surprise of the Leave campaign, they won, they don't know what to do next and faffing around for the last 15 months, hoping it'll all go away.
Unfortunately the clock is ticking and once again reality is kicking in.

Apparently now it is the evil Merkel that's going to come to the rescue of the UK because Germany can't survive without the UK.
More like reality is that Germany and France who are the big 2 are rather looking forward to the disappearance of the Uk from the scene. The other larger countries like Italy, Spain and Poland will see them have a bigger say as well.

We've had the Austrian scare, the Dutch scare, the Italian scare, the French scare and even the German scare where Brexiters were hoping that the far right would get into power, none of it happened - we've got Trump and we've got Brexit. In another 3 years and 4 months Trump could be gone , the music may stop and who's left standing on their own- could be the UK.

I sense a lot of bitterness - there's a lot of gloom predictions for the UK, but in reality it'll be largely fine with some largely smaller repercussions. There's too many in this thread who seem gleeful and hopeful that the UK suffers. There's also this tendency to dress up those that voted leave as a some dumb Brit that thought xyz stereotype, in your post its that they believed the evil EU was the root of their problems. But the reality is a lot of people are more logical than that (of course you do have the idiots - but they're not a majority).

The problems facing the EU are highlighted by the migrant crisis in Hungary - the EU court's trying to force Hungary to accept migrants against its will. It's that forceful loss of sovereignty that's the major issue here. The EU's great as a trading block and for closer research bodies, but it's ever-closer integration politically is a huge problem. There's just far too much diversity in the EU to try and make into a federalist body like the US. Here's my last post in this thread -

So you really don't know how a further integrated EU would work in such scenarios, other than countries like Hungary can accept a bit of money from the EU in return for their sovereignty or they can leave. It's not viable at all long-term. You make Hungary accept refugees against its will like the EU are currently trying to do, and it's a one way ticket to make their population want to leave.

A lot of people deride Brexiters as being 'little englanders' or 'immigrants haters' but they question they were asked will be one a lot of other countries will face too. Do you accept closer economic ties and benefits, some bodies and some defence benefits in return for an erosion of sovereignty? It's not an easy question at all and I wasn't surprised in the least that so many were willing to accept the economic fallout for the gain in sovereignty. Someone somewhere really needs to sit down and analyse where this is all going because these questions aren't unknown ones but the push seems to be to further integration despite the glaringly obvious problems it'll create.
 
[Sorry Paul I missed this one, its been a hectic day!]

Anyway, Mrs Merkel will not rescue Britain, in fact she will drive a hard bargain, maybe up to £100B over 10 years (sounds about right!) that's what she will want in return for granting Britain everything it wants, it will be known hence forth as the GB Option or the UK Pact!

The rest of the EU may moan a bit, groan a bit, pretend to stand up to Merkel, but as they always do when she rattles the money box, they will all back down. As she will point out if they don't like it they can make up Britain's contribution themselves, but Germany's not!

Obviously what I've described may not be the outcome, (this is a conspiracy theory after all) but most likely the 'hard' Brexit is the only other choice, that's likely and lets be honest nobody really wants, but... but.. if the money cannot be settled, then that may be the outcome...scary eh?

As I've said previously the casualties in all this will be Theresa May and Claude Junker having to fall on their swords, Theresa because of the money agreement, (will be seen as a give away in Britain) and Claude because this could all have been avoided had he not felt so vitriolic against Cameron and given him some leeway on his requested concessions in the first place... actually the more I repeat this scenario, the more I think it might 'have legs'..?

You don't half talk a lot of shite.
 
I sense a lot of bitterness - there's a lot of gloom predictions for the UK, but in reality it'll be largely fine with some largely smaller repercussions. There's too many in this thread who seem gleeful and hopeful that the UK suffers. There's also this tendency to dress up those that voted leave as a some dumb Brit that thought xyz stereotype, in your post its that they believed the evil EU was the root of their problems. But the reality is a lot of people are more logical than that (of course you do have the idiots - but they're not a majority).

The problems facing the EU are highlighted by the migrant crisis in Hungary - the EU court's trying to force Hungary to accept migrants against its will. It's that forceful loss of sovereignty that's the major issue here. The EU's great as a trading block and for closer research bodies, but it's ever-closer integration politically is a huge problem. There's just far too much diversity in the EU to try and make into a federalist body like the US. Here's my last post in this thread -

It's not bitterness, it's bewilderment. The forecasts are nothing to do with wanting the Uk to suffer, it's just the logical conclusion. People make statements, even obviously intelligent people on here but because they haven't checked their facts and make wild assumptions they make themselves look daft. Brainwashing appears to work.
As for a federalist state, take France where I live, they are as strongly patriotic as the UK and there's no way they would want to be part of a USE. France is in the EU fine but they are a sovereign state and the people realise this, why don't the Brits.
As for immigrants if countries sign up , they're not forced to, they abide by the rules. The UK opted out of taking the fleeing refugees but because they've been lied to the public think they are overrun with them.
 
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It is a strange dynamic because Europe values the UK far higher than the US do. Ultimately the US only care about themselves because they are big enough to only care about themselves, anyone deluded enough to think that they have a special bond with the US will ultimately look silly.


I agree, though is that because we are a major contributor to the EU budget, second only to Germany?

Militarily we are much closer to the Americans yet also the biggest single power in Europe (exc.Russia). That is probably another reason why we are valued.



Australia is even more in bed with the US than the UK is. At least we stayed out of Vietnam, and I don't recall a UK PM ever calling himself the US's deputy sheriff like John Howard did. Economically, unlike the UK, it has a huge amount of mineral resources ready to be dug up and shipped to China. And, most pertinently to all these debates about country A or country B standing alone, these countries have not developed their economies over the last 40 years around being part of the economic community and then single market. It is possible to extract ourselves and build a new model but, beyond Trump-style waffle, I have yet to hear any convincing argument why this huge and risky undertaking is worth the time, effort and sacrifices that will inevitably be required.


I agree politically the Aussies are closer to the US and sending warships through the Taiwan Straits a few years ago was unwise, it seriously annoyed the Chinese.

I agree about the mineral wealth too, although that mining focus weakened their economy in the global downturn.

Re building a new model, I would expect in these current negotiations with Trudeau for example that perhaps it is a sounding out process to see if this is feasible.

A lot of these people in the old colonies consider England the mother country, they even watch Coronation Street ( that shocked me) and most like our Monarchy.



That trade deficit will still exist in some way or other unless by some miracle the UK manufactoring sector can turn the clock back. In fact it will now probably widen as it becomes more difficult to export goods and services into the huge market on our doorstep. In any case, even if you reduce the leave/remain argument to a simple matter of the membership fee (and I find that too simplistic), potential savings will be whittled down by the increase in bureaucracy needed to set up and run the new system if we are not to have "lorries backed up at Dover". And, for me, the most over-looked point is the opportunity cost. The government should be focused on the big challenges of the present and near future - overhauling the education system, funding health care for an ageing population, how to deal with increased automation. Instead, the focus of the government and civil service will be dominated by how to reinvent this particular wheel.


At the moment we are paying for 2 political systems Westminster and Brussels MEPs , so some of that money would go to the new bureaucracies etc.

Govts are too close to corporations to care about really improving health, I know from fixing a lot of my own problems and helping others. Does not mean that it can't change?


No, but it needs Britain to contribute its spending towards NATO defence. If we don't meet our 2% commitment the financial burden falls on the Americans and with Trump in charge and his 'relaxed view' about Russia, he won't think twice about ditching the defence, of certain states in Europe. The Baltic states and other East European Countries are hoping like mad that Britain outside the EU, will still continue to contribute to the overall NATO budget at the same rate and won't do a new deal with the US which just affects the defence of Western Europe only.


I think if the US play hardball, we should remind them we are buying US military hardware yet if they don't appreciate that, mention we have heard from Turkey that Russia s-400 missiles look very useful and see if their attitude changes!


There are strange undercurrents about the military I hear we are continuing a strong bond with the French with building shared defences from alt news sources!!!!


The difference is what kind of stature and influence you want the UK to actually have. Neither Australia or NZ punch anywhere near the UK's weight either economically or on the world stage. Some of that comes from population size and location, but a lot of it comes from historical power and diplomatic influence. Obviously Britain could cut itself off from the EU (and the US if it chose) and still be a significant economy, but it would be a much less significant economy than it is currently, and the effect on our global influence would be greatly reduced. That's the big threat of Brexit, and its not just the 'still thinking we're a superpower' idea that a lot of people on the left think. That influence gives us a huge amount of power regarding trade and diplomatic dealings with other countries, and benefits British people greatly.


I agree about the UK on the world stage and the challenge it represents yet with growing Islamic terror do British people still want this global role? Has anyone asked them?

British people are largely close to Canada, Australia and NZ. The old English speaking colonies. I don't think most care about the rest, it is more the Westminster elite wanting to be seen as global players.






As De Gaulle aptly put it, "No nation has friends only interests". People need to remember that.

Good point to consider yet the fellow English speaking colonies (except the US) are like cousins with so many ex-pat Brits there.


Its not about being harsh its about preserving the integrity of the single market.


Let put the ball in the UK court. Imagine if there's hard brexit. One find day Scotland decides to leave the UK and join the EU. However, its planning to do it in a bold new way, were it basically cherry picks between the two deals. The idea behind is to sell EU products to UK market on a cheap (ie no tariffs etc) and viceversa. Any UK companies interested in exploiting this loophole must move their operations to Scotland and pay all their taxes there.


Now do you think that Westminster will accept that?

Do you think that any refusal can ever be interpreted as harsh or cruel?


We both know the answer to that.


The single market exist because everyone has the same level of playing field which include the 4 freedoms and the ECJ. It cant open its door wide to a third country who isnt governed by such rules/regulations else it risks to create a loophole were other third countries can dump its products and services on cheap through the UK. Such situation would create an environment were it wouldn't even be worth be an EU member and that will destroy the Union forever


What I believe will happen is that the UK will settle its bill in exchange for a transitional period. The EU will will balance the books and the UK will be given some breathing space to think and sign trade deals. Thanks to that the UK will also leave the EU in an amicable way. That means that it would be too weird to knock the door again if the voters/economy push the government into a rethink


Re Scotland they could get their exit bill yet would be given their sum of the debt like RBS, that would seriously hurt their economy.

Is the EU really a level playing field, I have heard we play by the rules and the others don't like protecting their utility companies from UK competition and Spain for example insisting that all business are at least 51% Spanish owned.


It is a strange dynamic because Europe values the UK far higher than the US do. Ultimately the US only care about themselves because they are big enough to only care about themselves, anyone deluded enough to think that they have a special bond with the US will ultimately look silly.


Remember JPR we nearly always back the US in the UN, we nearly always send troops to show support in their conflicts and we are buying their military hardware, if they play hardball we can entertain the prospect of speaking with Putin the representative of our fellow WWII ally, just like Turkey a fellow NATO member is doing.



No, but it needs Britain to contribute its spending towards NATO defence. If we don't meet our 2% commitment the financial burden falls on the Americans and with Trump in charge and his 'relaxed view' about Russia, he won't think twice about ditching the defence, of certain states in Europe. The Baltic states and other East European Countries are hoping like mad that Britain outside the EU, will still continue to contribute to the overall NATO budget at the same rate and won't do a new deal with the US which just affects the defence of Western Europe only.


Good point



every country would want to make a deal with the UK. Whether that deal will be beneficial to the UK is a completely difficult cup of tea. Most will try to capitalise on the UK's relatively small size, its inexperience in signing trade deals, its lack of trade deals already in place, its wobbly government and its desperation in signing trade deals. Its not hatred or lack of friendship but business.


That's why the UK needs to prepare itself well. A long transitional period will give it the necessary time it needs to sign trade deals and, if things go wrong, plan for a plan B. The EFTA deal isn't that horrible


True though the cost of any transitional deal will need careful scrutiny and negotiation.


As De Gaulle aptly put it, "No nation has friends only interests". People need to remember that.


Like the quote though many countries consider us as family, when the British and Irish Lions go to NZ they get a massive financial windfall. Most love the Royals too.
 
I agree, though is that because we are a major contributor to the EU budget, second only to Germany?

Militarily we are much closer to the Americans yet also the biggest single power in Europe (exc.Russia). That is probably another reason why we are valued.

That's interesting, where do you take that information from? The UK have less personnel, less tanks, less aircrafts and as many submarines as France.
 
@The Outsider - I think you overestimate the "Anglosphere" as an economic replacement for the EU as opposed to a cultural and (under US leadership) military bloc. I have no doubt those countries wish us well but distant, sparsely populated Australia is not exactly a replacement for Germany.
 
Today will be interesting, im not sure they could have handled things much worse up until this point. How the Tories still have even limited popularity in the polls is astounding.
 
I ain't your son you condescending piece of shit. And if I was I would be embarrassed to admit it. :)

eacbdf28cf1fd99c201116d5ca94c42c.jpeg


We've got the DNA results here. The DNA results have an accuracy rate of 99.6%. I Believe, you, are the father of C3Pique.

*audience gasps*
 
Like the quote though many countries consider us as family, when the British and Irish Lions go to NZ they get a massive financial windfall. Most love the Royals too.

Aus/NZ are slightly different because so many of them are British immigrants including huge numbers of 1st and 2nd generation immigrants. Even then though, those bonds of 'family' will usually only stretch as far as its within the interests of their new country to do so. They certainly won't do anything that has a negative affect on their own economies or lives just in order to help us.
 
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As for a federalist state, take France where I live, they are as strongly patriotic as the UK and there's no way they would want to be part of a USE. France is in the EU fine but they are a sovereign state and the people realise this, why don't the Brits..

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/French_European_Constitution_referendum,_2005

55% of the French people voted against the ratification of the EU constitution.

They were ignored.

That's the definition of losing your sovereignty and your democracy. Rightly or wrongly, the next French government ratified the EU constitution anyway.

I believe that if you held a "Frexit" you would have a similar vote.

Perhaps that's because the people don't understand the consequences fully. The EU becoming more federalised COULD be a power of good, but it's hard to ignore the erosion of choice - especially with forced migration quotas being placed on Hungary, Poland etc.
 
How the Tories still have even limited popularity in the polls is astounding.

Not really when you consider the alternatives;
Labour will try to win the next election by borrowing to such an extent our Great, Great, Great, Grandchildren will still be paying off the 'interest only' on the debt in 2080!
The Liberals want yet another Referendum on Brexit (some people never learn do they?) and are led by a man older than me (and that's saying something!).
The Greens want to fill the British islands with windmills on every conceivable hill top and turn off all electricity after 8.00pm each evening, to save energy and they want to save the planet for our 'up to their necks in debt' descendants.
SNP still want Scotland to float off over the north sea and join up with EU so they can enjoy an even greater subsidy to support their main export industry which is exporting Scotsmen/women (world -wide coverage, you can find Scots(persons) anywhere)
Then there is UKIP, that wants...? :lol:
 
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/French_European_Constitution_referendum,_2005

55% of the French people voted against the ratification of the EU constitution.

They were ignored.

That's the definition of losing your sovereignty and your democracy. Rightly or wrongly, the next French government ratified the EU constitution anyway.

I believe that if you held a "Frexit" you would have a similar vote.

Perhaps that's because the people don't understand the consequences fully. The EU becoming more federalised COULD be a power of good, but it's hard to ignore the erosion of choice - especially with forced migration quotas being placed on Hungary, Poland etc.

People voted against the government and it wasn't even hidden. Most people didn't care about the EU constitution and they still don't.
 
People voted against the government and it wasn't even hidden. Most people didn't care about the EU constitution and they still don't.

That's conjecture. "Most people didn't care". Voter turnout was 69%. More people cared than didn't.
 
I have heard we play by the rules and the others don't

My experience of working for the EU is admittedly dated, but back in the late 90's and early 00's the only two countries who were playing by the rules were Britain and Germany and when it felt like it France as well, but only when they were asked nicely!
 
That's conjecture. "Most people didn't care". Voter turnout was 69%. More people cared than didn't.

And the conjuncture is that the government was despised, you noticed that we voted for pro EU presidents since then and in polls the majority is pro EU too. It's always important to know the context.
 
True though the cost of any transitional deal will need careful scrutiny and negotiation.
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In a simplier world, the UK would honor its dues that it agreed with (2020) and remain in the EU up till that time. Unfortunately Brexiteers wil not accept that . The EU cannot directly link paying ones dues to a transitional period either else a country like Hungary who barely pays anything into the EU pot will expect a 2-3 year transitional deal for free. What I think will happen is that the UK pays a lump sum in exchange for a transitional deal with no ties attached at the end of it. If anyone wants to leave + it wants a transitional deal to soften the blow then it will have to pay up just like the UK did.
 
I ain't your son you condescending piece of shit. And if I was I would be embarrassed to admit it. :)

That's good, I would hate to think a son of mine used such language in a public place, go wash your mouth out sonny!;)

PS Kentonia and horsechoker seem to think different, they have proof... oh the shame of it!:eek:
 
Yes, it is irritating when the piper calls the tune...isn't it! It could only be viewed as such in the EU!:lol:

Its ridiculous irrespective on whom the piper is. The oldest and one of the richest continents in the world should not rely on a third country army to defend itself.

Its also ridiculous how Europe seem to be in some sort of permanent cold war with its powerful neighbour. Mexico doesn't like the US but there are no missles pointing against one another.

Sure Russia (under the Georgian dictator who treated Russians like filth too) did horrible things after WW2. However its been a historical ally to Europe for many many years prior to that. Russia shielded the Roman empire from nomad tribes that would have destroyed it in an instant for centuries. Its wars with the Ottoman empire kept such powerful and often aggressive empire from spreading further in Europe's territory. The Russians were also the main responsible in getting rid of Napoleon and Hitler. FFS Communism (a European concept) was able to conquer (and cripple) Russia because of a world war that Europe had started. Not to forget that they rarely start wars on our doorstep either.

Europe should rebuild a decent relationship with its powerful neighbour. If the US want to play soldiers with Russia then they should do it on their own soil with their own men.
 
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Unfortunately Brexiteers wil not accept that .

Who says they won't? Boris heh heh heh!

For many Brexit voters getting out of the EU is the main thing, so a temporary solution is we take back control of our borders and start to make trade deals elsewhere, now and we then remain in the EU until 2020, paying only what we owe/promised until the end of the current budget and then have a 'leaving do' at the end of 2020... simples!
 
Who says they won't? Boris heh heh heh!

For many Brexit voters people getting out of the EU is the main thing, so a temporary solution is we take back control of our borders and start to make trade deals elsewhere, now and we then remain in the EU until 2020, paying only what we owe/promised until the end of the current budget and then have a 'leaving do' at the end of 2020... simples!

Staying in the EU till 2020 will mean abiding to FOM rules and an inability to sign trade deals. You can't be in and out at the same time.
 
You can't be in and out at the same time.

Want to bet? There is no other way around it except everyone falling off the end of the proverbial cliff... lets be honest nobody really wants that, so both will have to blink at the same time, us on payments, the EU on movement of peoples and trade deals.. like I said simples!
 
Its not the piper, who is the issue, its who pays him! Don't think you really understood that one?;)

The US has its own interest to safeguard and Europe has theirs. Its warmongering in Africa and the ME might make sense for them but it had burdened Europe with millions of immigrants. Not to forget that under the current situation its almost impossible to find an amicable solution with Russia whom, prior the cold war, had mostly been a great ally to Europe. No wonder why Turkey is slowly but surely turning its allegiance elsewhere.