Paul the Wolf
Former Score Predictions Comp Organiser (now out)
Fess up, you just love us.
Very true, I even married one
Fess up, you just love us.
Hopefully, free at last... !
So the truth will out Paul ...you left a sinking ship? No women and children first then?
Surely with your mentality so much higher than the rest of us 'dumbo's' you could have stayed and turned the tide..?
In the kingdom of the blind the one eyed man is king, eh?
In truth I would have left many years previously but couldn't due to work commitments but thankfully advances in technology let me escape
Free at last The women and children escaped with me
So you had seen the writing on the wall well before Brexit? That must be so satisfying.
That advance in new technology, it wouldn't be that it put you out of a job by any chance?
I take it you were the Head of the escape committee? Are you sure they all wanted to go, hope you didn't have the women and children digging the tunnel?
Apparently now it is the evil Merkel that's going to come to the rescue of the UK because Germany can't survive without the UK.
Yes, it was satisfying that because I did, I didn't lose a lot of money.
Sounds like you've got it made Paul, all the best to you and yours.As my wife is french and the children dual nationals, not a lot of persuasion needed.
Good for you, its always satisfying to be able to get the money out, before the collapse, seen it happen many times in my (former) career, he who hesitates is lost etc.!
Sounds like you've got it made Paul, all the best to you and yours.
You will be glad to see the back of us Brits no doubt, Mrs Merkel will take of you now!
but something's gotta change.
It will Brexit will see to that!
He stopped posting because he was looking ridiculous and nothing he said has remotely come true, the result of the referendum wasn't a surprise to me, although initially straight after the referendum I thought, surely they can't be this stupid but indeed they were. The mentality of the average uninformed Brit was one of the reasons I left 10 years ago.
You see this conspiracy theory that has "scared" the Brexiters that Germany was dictating to the Uk what was happening in their own country. Well done to the British politicians to persuade a large chunk of the British electorate into believing that all the problems the public were facing were nothing to do with the government but that evil EU and more so those Germans who run it.
Unfortunately to the surprise of the Leave campaign, they won, they don't know what to do next and faffing around for the last 15 months, hoping it'll all go away.
Unfortunately the clock is ticking and once again reality is kicking in.
Apparently now it is the evil Merkel that's going to come to the rescue of the UK because Germany can't survive without the UK.
More like reality is that Germany and France who are the big 2 are rather looking forward to the disappearance of the Uk from the scene. The other larger countries like Italy, Spain and Poland will see them have a bigger say as well.
We've had the Austrian scare, the Dutch scare, the Italian scare, the French scare and even the German scare where Brexiters were hoping that the far right would get into power, none of it happened - we've got Trump and we've got Brexit. In another 3 years and 4 months Trump could be gone , the music may stop and who's left standing on their own- could be the UK.
So you really don't know how a further integrated EU would work in such scenarios, other than countries like Hungary can accept a bit of money from the EU in return for their sovereignty or they can leave. It's not viable at all long-term. You make Hungary accept refugees against its will like the EU are currently trying to do, and it's a one way ticket to make their population want to leave.
A lot of people deride Brexiters as being 'little englanders' or 'immigrants haters' but they question they were asked will be one a lot of other countries will face too. Do you accept closer economic ties and benefits, some bodies and some defence benefits in return for an erosion of sovereignty? It's not an easy question at all and I wasn't surprised in the least that so many were willing to accept the economic fallout for the gain in sovereignty. Someone somewhere really needs to sit down and analyse where this is all going because these questions aren't unknown ones but the push seems to be to further integration despite the glaringly obvious problems it'll create.
[Sorry Paul I missed this one, its been a hectic day!]
Anyway, Mrs Merkel will not rescue Britain, in fact she will drive a hard bargain, maybe up to £100B over 10 years (sounds about right!) that's what she will want in return for granting Britain everything it wants, it will be known hence forth as the GB Option or the UK Pact!
The rest of the EU may moan a bit, groan a bit, pretend to stand up to Merkel, but as they always do when she rattles the money box, they will all back down. As she will point out if they don't like it they can make up Britain's contribution themselves, but Germany's not!
Obviously what I've described may not be the outcome, (this is a conspiracy theory after all) but most likely the 'hard' Brexit is the only other choice, that's likely and lets be honest nobody really wants, but... but.. if the money cannot be settled, then that may be the outcome...scary eh?
As I've said previously the casualties in all this will be Theresa May and Claude Junker having to fall on their swords, Theresa because of the money agreement, (will be seen as a give away in Britain) and Claude because this could all have been avoided had he not felt so vitriolic against Cameron and given him some leeway on his requested concessions in the first place... actually the more I repeat this scenario, the more I think it might 'have legs'..?
I sense a lot of bitterness - there's a lot of gloom predictions for the UK, but in reality it'll be largely fine with some largely smaller repercussions. There's too many in this thread who seem gleeful and hopeful that the UK suffers. There's also this tendency to dress up those that voted leave as a some dumb Brit that thought xyz stereotype, in your post its that they believed the evil EU was the root of their problems. But the reality is a lot of people are more logical than that (of course you do have the idiots - but they're not a majority).
The problems facing the EU are highlighted by the migrant crisis in Hungary - the EU court's trying to force Hungary to accept migrants against its will. It's that forceful loss of sovereignty that's the major issue here. The EU's great as a trading block and for closer research bodies, but it's ever-closer integration politically is a huge problem. There's just far too much diversity in the EU to try and make into a federalist body like the US. Here's my last post in this thread -
You don't half talk a lot of shite.
That's what you should be worried about
It is a strange dynamic because Europe values the UK far higher than the US do. Ultimately the US only care about themselves because they are big enough to only care about themselves, anyone deluded enough to think that they have a special bond with the US will ultimately look silly.
Australia is even more in bed with the US than the UK is. At least we stayed out of Vietnam, and I don't recall a UK PM ever calling himself the US's deputy sheriff like John Howard did. Economically, unlike the UK, it has a huge amount of mineral resources ready to be dug up and shipped to China. And, most pertinently to all these debates about country A or country B standing alone, these countries have not developed their economies over the last 40 years around being part of the economic community and then single market. It is possible to extract ourselves and build a new model but, beyond Trump-style waffle, I have yet to hear any convincing argument why this huge and risky undertaking is worth the time, effort and sacrifices that will inevitably be required.
That trade deficit will still exist in some way or other unless by some miracle the UK manufactoring sector can turn the clock back. In fact it will now probably widen as it becomes more difficult to export goods and services into the huge market on our doorstep. In any case, even if you reduce the leave/remain argument to a simple matter of the membership fee (and I find that too simplistic), potential savings will be whittled down by the increase in bureaucracy needed to set up and run the new system if we are not to have "lorries backed up at Dover". And, for me, the most over-looked point is the opportunity cost. The government should be focused on the big challenges of the present and near future - overhauling the education system, funding health care for an ageing population, how to deal with increased automation. Instead, the focus of the government and civil service will be dominated by how to reinvent this particular wheel.
No, but it needs Britain to contribute its spending towards NATO defence. If we don't meet our 2% commitment the financial burden falls on the Americans and with Trump in charge and his 'relaxed view' about Russia, he won't think twice about ditching the defence, of certain states in Europe. The Baltic states and other East European Countries are hoping like mad that Britain outside the EU, will still continue to contribute to the overall NATO budget at the same rate and won't do a new deal with the US which just affects the defence of Western Europe only.
The difference is what kind of stature and influence you want the UK to actually have. Neither Australia or NZ punch anywhere near the UK's weight either economically or on the world stage. Some of that comes from population size and location, but a lot of it comes from historical power and diplomatic influence. Obviously Britain could cut itself off from the EU (and the US if it chose) and still be a significant economy, but it would be a much less significant economy than it is currently, and the effect on our global influence would be greatly reduced. That's the big threat of Brexit, and its not just the 'still thinking we're a superpower' idea that a lot of people on the left think. That influence gives us a huge amount of power regarding trade and diplomatic dealings with other countries, and benefits British people greatly.
As De Gaulle aptly put it, "No nation has friends only interests". People need to remember that.
Its not about being harsh its about preserving the integrity of the single market.
Let put the ball in the UK court. Imagine if there's hard brexit. One find day Scotland decides to leave the UK and join the EU. However, its planning to do it in a bold new way, were it basically cherry picks between the two deals. The idea behind is to sell EU products to UK market on a cheap (ie no tariffs etc) and viceversa. Any UK companies interested in exploiting this loophole must move their operations to Scotland and pay all their taxes there.
Now do you think that Westminster will accept that?
Do you think that any refusal can ever be interpreted as harsh or cruel?
We both know the answer to that.
The single market exist because everyone has the same level of playing field which include the 4 freedoms and the ECJ. It cant open its door wide to a third country who isnt governed by such rules/regulations else it risks to create a loophole were other third countries can dump its products and services on cheap through the UK. Such situation would create an environment were it wouldn't even be worth be an EU member and that will destroy the Union forever
What I believe will happen is that the UK will settle its bill in exchange for a transitional period. The EU will will balance the books and the UK will be given some breathing space to think and sign trade deals. Thanks to that the UK will also leave the EU in an amicable way. That means that it would be too weird to knock the door again if the voters/economy push the government into a rethink
It is a strange dynamic because Europe values the UK far higher than the US do. Ultimately the US only care about themselves because they are big enough to only care about themselves, anyone deluded enough to think that they have a special bond with the US will ultimately look silly.
No, but it needs Britain to contribute its spending towards NATO defence. If we don't meet our 2% commitment the financial burden falls on the Americans and with Trump in charge and his 'relaxed view' about Russia, he won't think twice about ditching the defence, of certain states in Europe. The Baltic states and other East European Countries are hoping like mad that Britain outside the EU, will still continue to contribute to the overall NATO budget at the same rate and won't do a new deal with the US which just affects the defence of Western Europe only.
every country would want to make a deal with the UK. Whether that deal will be beneficial to the UK is a completely difficult cup of tea. Most will try to capitalise on the UK's relatively small size, its inexperience in signing trade deals, its lack of trade deals already in place, its wobbly government and its desperation in signing trade deals. Its not hatred or lack of friendship but business.
That's why the UK needs to prepare itself well. A long transitional period will give it the necessary time it needs to sign trade deals and, if things go wrong, plan for a plan B. The EFTA deal isn't that horrible
As De Gaulle aptly put it, "No nation has friends only interests". People need to remember that.
I agree, though is that because we are a major contributor to the EU budget, second only to Germany?
Militarily we are much closer to the Americans yet also the biggest single power in Europe (exc.Russia). That is probably another reason why we are valued.
Yes but yours only have a reverse gearThat's interesting, where do you take that information from? The UK have less personnel, less tanks, less aircrafts and as many submarines as France.
Touché.Yes but yours only have a reverse gear
I ain't your son you condescending piece of shit. And if I was I would be embarrassed to admit it.
Like the quote though many countries consider us as family, when the British and Irish Lions go to NZ they get a massive financial windfall. Most love the Royals too.
We've got the DNA results here. The DNA results have an accuracy rate of 99.6%. I Believe, you, are the father of C3Pique.
*audience gasps*
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As for a federalist state, take France where I live, they are as strongly patriotic as the UK and there's no way they would want to be part of a USE. France is in the EU fine but they are a sovereign state and the people realise this, why don't the Brits..
How the Tories still have even limited popularity in the polls is astounding.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/French_European_Constitution_referendum,_2005
55% of the French people voted against the ratification of the EU constitution.
They were ignored.
That's the definition of losing your sovereignty and your democracy. Rightly or wrongly, the next French government ratified the EU constitution anyway.
I believe that if you held a "Frexit" you would have a similar vote.
Perhaps that's because the people don't understand the consequences fully. The EU becoming more federalised COULD be a power of good, but it's hard to ignore the erosion of choice - especially with forced migration quotas being placed on Hungary, Poland etc.
People voted against the government and it wasn't even hidden. Most people didn't care about the EU constitution and they still don't.
I have heard we play by the rules and the others don't
That's conjecture. "Most people didn't care". Voter turnout was 69%. More people cared than didn't.
True though the cost of any transitional deal will need careful scrutiny and negotiation.
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I ain't your son you condescending piece of shit. And if I was I would be embarrassed to admit it.
Yes, it is irritating when the piper calls the tune...isn't it! It could only be viewed as such in the EU!
Unfortunately Brexiteers wil not accept that .
Who says they won't? Boris heh heh heh!
For many Brexit voters people getting out of the EU is the main thing, so a temporary solution is we take back control of our borders and start to make trade deals elsewhere, now and we then remain in the EU until 2020, paying only what we owe/promised until the end of the current budget and then have a 'leaving do' at the end of 2020... simples!
Its ridiculous irrespective on whom the piper is.
You can't be in and out at the same time.
Its not the piper, who is the issue, its who pays him! Don't think you really understood that one?