Brexited | the worst threads live the longest

Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


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I don't know why you say 'rightly so'....

As I posted on Wednesday in the other thread....


I don't vote, of course, but if I was, I'd break the habit of a lifetime and vote Tory.

Everything you say is absolutely why I've always been left-of-centre. But to me the BIGGEST problem for the UK over the next few years is the eventual state of the UK after the UK leaves the EU.

Get BREXIT wrong, and all the problems you're describing will be even more so and even worse....Even more devisive....

Much as I dislike May and many members of her cabinet, it seems to me that they are preferable to a coalition of Labour/LibDen/SNP, all of whom don't want the UK out of the EU, and so don't have the determination or the enthusiasm to make sure the UK doesn't get absolutely, totally screwed by the EU.

Labour or LibDem next time, perhaps, has to be the sensible way forward for the UK - but not this time....

It's because many of us recognise our negotiating position is not very strong (500m v 60m) and trust Labour/Lib Dems/more moderate wing of Conservatives to take a pragmatic approach to negotiations as, for them, it's ultimately a rational commercial decision. The worry with May's "Brexiteers" (Davies and Fox etc) is that they are ideological zeolots who would genuinely walk away with no deal.
 
I've just been listening to Tusk on World Service and he was remarkably restrained. I'd have been tempted to put the boot in 'Look, it's a year since you said you were leaving and you still don't seem ready to negotiate, how long are we supposed to give you before we consider you as a failed state and impose our own terms?'.


You mean like Greece ?


Greece seeks debt relief as it edges closer to default

The Greek government has rejected a compromise proposal by the International Monetary Fund to resolve the impasse over the country’s debts, raising the possibility of a sovereign default within weeks. Alexis Tsipras, the prime minister, and his ruling Syriza party said that the proposal offered Greece a “less than an honourable solution”.

The IMF believes that Greece needs debt relief, which Germany has strongly resisted before it holds national elections later in the year. With German voters increasingly apprehensive about signing more credit cheques for Greece, any talk of debt forgiveness has been billed a vote-loser for Angela Merkel. As a concession Christine Lagarde, the IMF’s managing director, told the German newspaper Handelsblatt that the fund could bow to the wishes of Mrs Merkel’s government and stay on board in the Greek bailout. She said that the fund would resist providing any further financial aid to Greece until debt relief measures had been clarified, potentially long after the German election.

Greece, however, does not want to wait. It is seeking greater clarity now on debt relief measures that could be carried out after its bailout ends in 2018 to convince wary investors that its debt, now at 197 per cent of gross domestic product, will be sustainable. This would allow Europe’s weakest economy to return to bond markets as early as the end of the year. “The IMF cannot just continue deferring decisions,” Panagiotis Rigas, a leading Syriza member, said. “It cannot insist that Greece take painful measures and when it does, turn around and say, ‘Not to worry. We’ll deal with your debt at a later time in the distant future. We have met our obligations to creditors. It is also their time to deliver.”

The remarks indicate growing frustration among leading members of the ruling party in Athens as it faces falling popularity ratings while the protracted talks continue to keep Greece’s economy in crisis. Like other government officials, Mr Rigas said he was hopeful that Greece and its creditors, with both sides scrambling to find a compromise solution, would do so ahead of a meeting of eurozone finance ministers on June 15. Greece wants eurozone lenders to disburse €7 billion at that meeting. Failure to secure the aid funds could push Greece into default by July, when it has to meet more than €7 billion in bond repayments.

In an attempt to encourage its skittish lenders, Athens legislated €4.9 billion in fresh austerity measures last month. Eurozone finance ministers, however, failed to agree with the IMF last month on debt relief terms for Greece. This week José Manuel Barroso, the former president of the European Commission, warned that Greece was still at risk of being pushed out of the single european currency. “But whether Grexit happens or not,” he told an Athens conference, “now rests on the moves of the Greek government.”
 
I've just been listening to Tusk on World Service and he was remarkably restrained. I'd have been tempted to put the boot in 'Look, it's a year since you said you were leaving and you still don't seem ready to negotiate, how long are we supposed to give you before we consider you as a failed state and impose our own terms?'.

Think the attitude now after listening to a few people is that the Uk will leave in March 2019, if you want something come and talk to us, time is running out, first things will be EU citizens rights and if the Uk are going to pay the bill but chances are there will be no deal as May will not be able to have a mandate to agree to anything and the EU just want the whole process over with as soon as possible and get on with other things.
 
Think the attitude now after listening to a few people is that the Uk will leave in March 2019, if you want something come and talk to us, time is running out, first things will be EU citizens rights and if the Uk are going to pay the bill but chances are there will be no deal as May will not be able to have a mandate to agree to anything and the EU just want the whole process over with as soon as possible and get on with other things.


SO why do the EU insist that talks about 'Exiting' have to finish before talks about 'Trading' can even start ?

Can't multitask ?
 
SO why do the EU insist that talks about 'Exiting' have to finish before talks about 'Trading' can even start ?

Can't mutitask ?

The Exit has to be dealt with first to ensure the rights of citizens are intact and that the Uk give a commitment to pay the bill (not necessarily straight away) whatever that ends up as . There are plenty of other points to talk about as well and the trading talks could take years but will not start until the EU know what the UK intend to do. So far nobody knows and that includes the UK government and the British people.

May couldn't have made more of a pig's ear of this if she tried.
 
The Exit has to be dealt with first to ensure the rights of citizens are intact and that the Uk give a commitment to pay the bill (not necessarily straight away) whatever that ends up as . There are plenty of other points to talk about as well and the trading talks could take years but will not start until the EU know what the UK intend to do. So far nobody knows and that includes the UK government and the British people.

May couldn't have made more of a pig's ear of this if she tried.

Citizens Rights ? Thought that could be 'sorted' this evening IF the EU would drop its position that even when the UK is out of the EU, EU citizens in the UK must still be subject to jurisdiction of the ECJ - which even I think is just plain stupid.

Pig's Ear ? Couldn't agree more....
 
Citizens Rights ? Thought that could be 'sorted' this evening IF the EU would drop its position that even when the UK is out of the EU, EU citizens in the UK must still be subject to jurisdiction of the ECJ - which even I think is just plain stupid.

Pig's Ear ? Couldn't agree more....

Anything agreed with the EU will no doubt have to be covered by the ECJ.
 
Citizens Rights ? Thought that could be 'sorted' this evening IF the EU would drop its position that even when the UK is out of the EU, EU citizens in the UK must still be subject to jurisdiction of the ECJ - which even I think is just plain stupid.

Pig's Ear ? Couldn't agree more....
I don't see the EU giving up the jurisdiction of the ECJ easily.
 
Anything agreed with the EU will no doubt have to be covered by the ECJ.


I don't see the EU giving up the jurisdiction of the ECJ easily.


I thought that the EU were insisting that EU citizens inside / resident in the UK must still be covered/protected by the ECJ even after the UK has left the EU.

Or am I wrong ?

Because if that's the case, that's just plain crazy - Americans living in France can't claim that the US DoJ and courts have superiority to the French courts ?
 
I thought that the EU were insisting that EU citizens inside / resident in the UK must still be covered/protected by the ECJ even after the UK has left the EU.

Or am I wrong ?

Because if that's the case, that's just plain crazy - Americans living in France can't claim that the US DoJ and courts have superiority to the French courts ?

But do British citizens living abroad have access to the protection of the British embassy or consulate?
 
Not quite the same....

EU citizens in the UK would / will always have access to Consular assistance of the country of which they are citizens while in the UK...

Whether they would ever pitch up for assistance at the EU Embassy in London rather than their own Enbassy in London, I'm not sure, but to be honest, I don't think it has ever, ever entered my head to go to an EU Embassy rather than a UK Embassy when I've been in the USA or Russia.

But I don't know anywhere in the world ( outside the EU, of course ) which allows another country's legal system to have precedence over its own, which, as I understand it, is the sticking point between what May wants for UK citizens inside the EU and what the EU wants for its citizens resident in the UK post-BREXT.

In other words, it would be impractical to have 60 million British citizens in the UK for whom the UK Supreme Court or The House of Lords is the ultimate Legal Jurisdiction, and then have another four or five million non-British citizens in the UK for whom the ECJ is the ultimate Legal Jurisdiction.

Maybe I'm wrong, but as I understand it, that's the sticking point between the UK and the EU over the treatment of each others' citizens post-BREXIT - not Heathcare, Rights to Remain, etc....
 
I bet the tory party would anything to avoid hard borders with the republic of ireland now. I wonder if the eu would go for an all or nothing now. Surely its unfair for the irish enjoy benefits that other Europeans cant enjoy

Why do you think the Tories will be more desperate to avoid hard borders now as opposed to before?

As for the Irish enjoying benefits that other countries don't, it's probably inevitable unless you want to undermine the principles of the GFA. So many people living in NI also have the benefit of being able to claim Irish (ie. EU) citizenship while those in mainland UK don't.

Really Brexit is quite at odds with the direction the NI peace process was heading in. Few in the UK seemed to notice that beforehand though given it was barely a feature of the referendum campaign. *shrugs*
 
Why do you think the Tories will be more desperate to avoid hard borders now as opposed to before?

As for the Irish enjoying benefits that other countries don't, it's probably inevitable unless you want to undermine the principles of the GFA. So many people living in NI also have the benefit of being able to claim Irish (ie. EU) citizenship while those in mainland UK don't.

DUP will probably not support a government who is willing to return to hard borders. That can be used by Brussels to EU favour. We all know that the Tories only care about staying into power for as many years as possible
 
Not quite the same....

EU citizens in the UK would / will always have access to Consular assistance of the country of which they are citizens while in the UK...

Whether they would ever pitch up for assistance at the EU Embassy in London rather than their own Enbassy in London, I'm not sure, but to be honest, I don't think it has ever, ever entered my head to go to an EU Embassy rather than a UK Embassy when I've been in the USA or Russia.

But I don't know anywhere in the world ( outside the EU, of course ) which allows another country's legal system to have precedence over its own, which, as I understand it, is the sticking point between what May wants for UK citizens inside the EU and what the EU wants for its citizens resident in the UK post-BREXT.

In other words, it would be impractical to have 60 million British citizens in the UK for whom the UK Supreme Court or The House of Lords is the ultimate Legal Jurisdiction, and then have another four or five million non-British citizens in the UK for whom the ECJ is the ultimate Legal Jurisdiction.

Maybe I'm wrong, but as I understand it, that's the sticking point between the UK and the EU over the treatment of each others' citizens post-BREXIT - not Heathcare, Rights to Remain, etc....

I really don't understand how this would work and what part of the citizens' rights would be covered by the ECJ, the parties need to get together and discuss this asap.
 
DUP will probably not support a government who is willing to return to hard borders. That can be used by Brussels to EU favour. We all know that the Tories only care about staying into power for as many years as possible

Are you suggesting that some governments do not prioritise staying in power?
 
Are you suggesting that some governments do not prioritise staying in power?

Yes. In my country the labour government kept losing election after election because he remained anti EU. People didn't vote for the party but respected it for it. The current government called for an early election 1 year early because allegations were made against it and it was hurting the economy. It had a solid majority that May would probably sell Boris to slavery for and yet it did the right thing.

When a party did cling to power (ex Gonzi administration) it got massacred in the following elections.
 
Yes. In my country the labour government kept losing election after election because he remained anti EU. People didn't vote for the party but respected it for it. The current government called for an early election 1 year early because allegations were made against it and it was hurting the economy. It had a solid majority that May would probably sell Boris to slavery for and yet it did the right thing.

Cameron resigned after Brexit, though. He accepted the will of the British people.
 
Cameron resigned after Brexit, though. He accepted the will of the British people.

He created this whole mess to destroy UKIP and he resigned rather then sort the mess that he created. That's different. In 1982 the labour party changed the entire voting political system in Malta which it inherited from the Brits and which constantly made it win elections with the majority of seats despite not having the majority of votes. That condemned the party to 10 years of opposition. I can't see the Tory Party doing that sort of sacrifices for the good of the country.
 
I am a Brexiteer, but now I have to say I am less confident about Brexit. Yesterdays election result was terrible for Brexit negotiations. It's weakened the government's bargaining position considerably.
 
I am a Brexiteer, but now I have to say I am less confident about Brexit. Yesterdays election result was terrible for Brexit negotiations. It's weakened the government's bargaining position considerably.

The bargaining position would be the same IF the political class in the UK put national interest ahead of their own
 
He created this whole mess to destroy UKIP and he resigned rather then sort the mess that he created. That's different. In 1982 the labour party changed the entire voting political system in Malta which it inherited from the Brits and which constantly made it win elections with the majority of seats despite not having the majority of votes. That condemned the party to 10 years of opposition. I can't see the Tory Party doing that sort of sacrifices for the good of the country.

The Tory party are trying to deliver what the majority of the British people voted for. Are you suggesting that they should now hand over power to labour, for them to negotiate Brexit?
You are not making sense.
 
The bargaining position would be the same IF the political class in the UK put national interest ahead of their own

Obviously the Tory brexit position relied heavily on support from the business sector, and so raising corporation tax would have been an insane move on their part. However, the social care tax policy by the Tories was a huge blunder in this campaign. It's probably that, along with Labour's policies on NHS and the waving of tuition fees that have won voters.
 
The Tory party are trying to deliver what the majority of the British people voted for. Are you suggesting that they should now hand over power to labour, for them to negotiate Brexit?
You are not making sense.

Who mentioned labour? This whole Brexit mess is a Tory thing. They fed this anti EU sentiment by blaming their mismanagement to the EU. They are the ones who offered an irresponsible Brexit referendum which simplified a very complex issue into a simple yes or no and they are the ones who lied to their teeth (both sides of the campaign) turning a solid debate about this country's future into a farce. These people only care about power and have absolutely no idea how to manage the country. A year after Brexit its clear that they have no vision, no plans and certainly lack the expertise to deliver a decent Brexit deal as the country is embracing itself for a possible if not imminent backstabbing of May in favour of Boris. Its ridiculous considering that Brexit is a little more than 1 year away.

This country deserve to know the frigging truth especially about issues like Brexit which is the biggest event the UK has encountered since declaring war to Germany in WW2. Politicians need to take their job seriously and a national coalition should be set up so that there's a united front to come out with the best possible way to move forward. Instead the UK politics is reduced to a GOT scenario where the PM does anything to hold to his power and everyone backstabs one another to take the king's place.
 
Who mentioned labour? This whole Brexit mess is a Tory thing. They fed this anti EU sentiment by blaming their mismanagement to the EU. They are the ones who offered an irresponsible Brexit referendum which simplified a very complex issue into a simple yes or no and they are the ones who lied to their teeth (both sides of the campaign) turning a solid debate about this country's future into a farce. These people only care about power and have absolutely no idea how to manage the country. A year after Brexit its clear that they have no vision, no plans and certainly lack the expertise to deliver a decent Brexit deal as the country is embracing itself for a possible if not imminent backstabbing of May in favour of Boris. Its ridiculous considering that Brexit is a little more than 1 year away.

No that's nonsense. You have to take into consideration the growing support for UKIP and the rise of euro scepticism. UKIP won the euro elections (the first time for a hundred years that a party other than Conservative or Labour won it), and in the general election won more votes than the Lib Dems, the SNP, and plaid Cymru combined. Also a huge proportion of Brits believed there should be more control of immigration. A referendum was absolutely inevitable at some point. Cameron promised a referendum as part of his 2015 manifesto, and yet he still won the election with a clear majority.

This country deserve to know the frigging truth especially about issues like Brexit which is the biggest event the UK has encountered since declaring war to Germany in WW2.

The truth is that the EU is not a democratic union, and the majority of British people don't want to be governed by useless unelected officials. The referendum vote by the British people was the right decision.

Politicians need to take their job seriously and a national coalition should be set up so that there's a united front to come out with the best possible way to move forward. Instead the UK politics is reduced to a GOT scenario where the PM does anything to hold to his power and everyone backstabs one another to take the king's place.

Fascism you mean?
 
No that's nonsense. You have to take into consideration the growing support for UKIP and the rise of euro scepticism. UKIP won the euro elections (the first time for a hundred years that a party other than Conservative or Labour won it), and in the general election won more votes than the Lib Dems, the SNP, and plaid Cymru combined. Also a huge proportion of Brits believed there should be more control of immigration. A referendum was absolutely inevitable at some point. Cameron promised a referendum as part of his 2015 manifesto, and yet he still won the election with a clear majority.



The truth is that the EU is not a democratic union, and the majority of British people don't want to be governed by useless unelected officials. The referendum vote by the British people was the right decision.



Fascism you mean?

a- Ah UKIP, people who grew rich from working within the EU despite barely ever turned up to work (ie UKIP had the laziest MEPs in all Europe). Their leader resigned soon after Brexit and then was spotted in the German embassy with rumours of him applying for something (ie EU passport) that he worked so hard to strip ordinary British people from. Its such a shame that such actions aren't considered as treason

b- The EU is a union of sovereign nations something even the Tory party had agree upon. Is it perfect? No. However if you want to find faults about democracy then you should start closer to home. For example why Scotland need permission from Westminster to call for a referendum on independence? Why a party can garner 12.6% of votes and yet end up with just 1 seat in parliament and why voting occur on Thursday ie a working day instead of weekends (which would give more time to those who actually bother working to vote)

c- No, it means party working together to come out with the best solution. Brexit is the single biggest issue the UK has to face following their declaration of war against Nazi Germany. Its an issue which is simply too big for one party to handle especially if that party has a parrot as leader and an idiot as foreign minister
 
The truth is that the EU is not a democratic union, and the majority of British people don't want to be governed by useless unelected officials. The referendum vote by the British people was the right decision.
How so?