Brexited | the worst threads live the longest

Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


  • Total voters
    194
  • Poll closed .
She's been wearing that blue zip-up coat for weeks, by the way, I've been monitoring the pics day by day. For a woman who's purportedly a fashionista, it's a strange thing to do.

I suspect she's a fashionista in the same way that a nursing home carer describes the only woman wearing a coat that hasn't been shat on by a cat, and who occasionally brushes her hair as 'quite the fashionista'.
 
No deal is probably the only outcome now. Maybe time for another round of Maybot failure and parliament failure.

The way that all of the parties are behaving in these indicative votes is an absolute joke. From Labour to Tories to the CUKs to the pointless dems to the faux-Europhile zealots in the SNP.

Someone should sort out a list of all the MPs who voted against May's deal and against no deal Brexit, and then went on to (twice!) vote against or abstain from customs union and/or common market and/or second referendum.
Who voted what is on here so feel free.
 
How does this relate to anything? Can you make a cohesive argument that stands to reason?

Was Europe fairer and more equal before the EU and freedom of movement? Are you living in a parallel universe to the rest of us?
If you don't get that people are torn from their families chasing the money because they have to, then you don't get it.

People have always worked abroad. My company is made up of 90% foreigners, most from outside the eu. So why is FOM for people any use as a freedom?
 
If you don't get that people are torn from their families chasing the money because they have to, then you don't get it.

People have always worked abroad. My company is made up of 90% foreigners, most from outside the eu. So why is FOM for people any use as a freedom?

Because without it many of those who get to live and work abroad tend to come from better off families, while the poorest kids don't get the same opportunities. And yes if you like you can quote some examples of how a poor kid went and worked somewhere outside the EU, but its a much higher barrier of entry and does restrict opportunity. Just like how poor kids occasionally still went to university in the past, but it was a lot fecking rarer than it was for rich kids.
 
Who voted what is on here so feel free.

Interesting reading. My MP, Derek Twigg (Lab, Halton) appears to be one of the few MPs that goes against the Labour grain on almost every vote recently but I'm not sure if that does or doesn't reflect the constituents. I don't know a great deal about the guy, just that he's been around for decades and he got a 72.9% share of the votes at the last GE. I'm sure my Corbyn supporting Mum goes on about him being a Blairite. I'm going to do some digging. I know that hes got a stranglehold on things locally in the areas that make up Halton so that he keeps his spot and has supporting voices in all the right places.
 
If you don't get that people are torn from their families chasing the money because they have to, then you don't get it.

People have always worked abroad. My company is made up of 90% foreigners, most from outside the eu. So why is FOM for people any use as a freedom?

You have literally no idea what you're talking about. I was born and raised in Greece, where my extended family lives, whereas I've been in the UK for 18 years now. But I'm sure I don't get the pains and benefits of making a life abroad and you're in a better position to tell me :rolleyes:

People are not "torn" form their families. They're not abducted. They chose to leave and it's a freedom they enjoy. It's not rocket science. People have always worked abroad but they have not always had the freedom to work abroad. If they did there wouldn't be boat loads of people drowning in the Med every year trying to illegally make their way to a new, better life.

If you can't understand and acknowledge the benefits of free movement you're too detached from reality to debate with really. Have a nice day.
 
Because without it many of those who get to live and work abroad tend to come from better off families, while the poorest kids don't get the same opportunities. And yes if you like you can quote some examples of how a poor kid went and worked somewhere outside the EU, but its a much higher barrier of entry and does restrict opportunity. Just like how poor kids occasionally still went to university in the past, but it was a lot fecking rarer than it was for rich kids.
Well yeah maybe, why be bog cleaner in your home country when you can clean bogs abroad?
 
You have literally no idea what you're talking about. I was born and raised in Greece, where my extended family lives, whereas I've been in the UK for 18 years now. But I'm sure I don't get the pains and benefits of making a life abroad and you're in a better position to tell me :rolleyes:

People are not "torn" form their families. They're not abducted. They chose to leave and it's a freedom they enjoy. It's not rocket science. People have always worked abroad but they have not always had the freedom to work abroad. If they did there wouldn't be boat loads of people drowning in the Med every year trying to illegally make their way to a new, better life.

If you can't understand and acknowledge the benefits of free movement you're too detached from reality to debate with really. Have a nice day.

Right ok, sorry that me drawing on real people that have actually said real things to me in real life has narked you.
 
Well yeah maybe, why be bog cleaner in your home country when you can clean bogs abroad?

If cleaning bogs abroad let's you earn money you can then use to improve your life and the lives of your kids and give them better opportunities than you had, then why exactly is that a bad thing?
 
Interesting reading. My MP, Derek Twigg (Lab, Halton) appears to be one of the few MPs that goes against the Labour grain on almost every vote recently but I'm not sure if that does or doesn't reflect the constituents. I don't know a great deal about the guy, just that he's been around for decades and he got a 72.9% share of the votes at the last GE. I'm sure my Corbyn supporting Mum goes on about him being a Blairite. I'm going to do some digging. I know that hes got a stranglehold on things locally in the areas that make up Halton so that he keeps his spot and has supporting voices in all the right places.
Our constituency has always been safe Labour but it has gone to another level under Twigg. From the six elections he has been in, he got a majority of over 50% in 3, with the smallest one being 37.5% back in 2010.

He posts on his website sometimes about Brexit. You can read the last couple of updates here and here (in the second one he mentions why he votes against another referendum).
 
You're right, people are wrongly looking at the 50% threshold as a meaningful landmark here, but I think it has the opposite meaning. Ekeing out a 51% vote in favour of any option wouldnt settle the matter. The indicative vote would only matter if there was a clear majority in favour. Its hard to say what the number would be, but if, say, 75% of MPs agreed with a given path, then that would show a clear cross party consensus around a single option. At that point it would be clear that it was the Government that was the odd one out. As it is, whether its 49% or 51%, it just boils down to the opposition parties + a handful of rebels opposing the party of Government. Which in truth we already knew. This whole thing has just been Parliament procrastinating.
There isn't going to be that sort of majority for any of the potential Brexits or remain options. However, the indicative votes do show possible paths for a compromise that might achieve a majority. I don't think it is helpful at all to dismiss all the indicative votes as pointless simply because there was no majority. I mean is a majority of 1 that much more indicative than a narrow defeat of 3?
 
You're right, people are wrongly looking at the 50% threshold as a meaningful landmark here, but I think it has the opposite meaning. Ekeing out a 51% vote in favour of any option wouldnt settle the matter. The indicative vote would only matter if there was a clear majority in favour. Its hard to say what the number would be, but if, say, 75% of MPs agreed with a given path, then that would show a clear cross party consensus around a single option. At that point it would be clear that it was the Government that was the odd one out. As it is, whether its 49% or 51%, it just boils down to the opposition parties + a handful of rebels opposing the party of Government. Which in truth we already knew. This whole thing has just been Parliament procrastinating.
Presumably you apply the same logic to the referendum result? We should have required 75% for Brexit to go ahead?
 
Only thing left to try would be to combine the customs union and confirmatory ref motions, then dare Lisa Nandy to vote against it and still say she's the only adult in the room.

I'd only do that as a 3rd option not a replacement. I'm not convinced Tories wouldn't abandon CU with that pegged, hopefully they're getting the numbers sorted today ahead of tomorrow.

Only the goverment can solve this mess in truth. They could change path to one of these options and that would be that. Unfortunately parliament can't say let's just go with the most favoured
 
I guess they take the May approach and hope that as the deadline gets nearer MPs panic and call a Peoples vote?

My MP is a Lab remainer and he abstained. Annoying.

For all the effort it takes, email your MP because you can guarantee the hard brexiteers do.
 
If cleaning bogs abroad let's you earn money you can then use to improve your life and the lives of your kids and give them better opportunities than you had, then why exactly is that a bad thing?
Because you may not want to leave your homeland or family, is that so hard to understand? And if bog cleaners are in desperate shortage in a particular land, the hiring company will do all the paperwork for you so you can work legally. It's like some people have never worked with anyone outside of the EU.
 
Because you may not want to leave your homeland or family, is that so hard to understand? And if bog cleaners are in desperate shortage in a particular land, the hiring company will do all the paperwork for you so you can work legally. It's like some people have never worked with anyone outside of the EU.

I can envisage the adverts for bog cleaners post Brexit.
Guaranteed £30k wage but your family can't accompany you unless they can earn at least as much.
 
For all the effort it takes, email your MP because you can guarantee the hard brexiteers do.
I sent an email earlier this morning. My MP is a Tory that rejected all four options. Don't expect him to do anything, but figured it can't do no harm.
 
I suspect she's a fashionista in the same way that a nursing home carer describes the only woman wearing a coat that hasn't been shat on by a cat, and who occasionally brushes her hair as 'quite the fashionista'.
:lol: She has always been known for her (relatively) daring shoes, she favours leopard-skin prints and patent boots. I don't think the old Theresa would have worn a zip-up fleece coat over and over again.
 
Because you may not want to leave your homeland or family, is that so hard to understand?

Have I missed some story about people being forced to emigrate to work abroad? Last I checked it was a choice.

And if bog cleaners are in desperate shortage in a particular land, the hiring company will do all the paperwork for you so you can work legally. It's like some people have never worked with anyone outside of the EU.

You reckon youngsters in Grimsby or small mining towns in Yorkshire get a lot of people telling them about the great opportunities working outside the EU and facillitating their chances of doing it? It's bollocks. Back before the EU, the vast bulk of people working abroad were people from middle class or higher backgrounds who had the money to make that happen. Since the EU came along with freedom of movement there's been a ton of working class kids realizing living and working in other countries doesn't have to just be a fantasy. Personally I'm gutted that future generations of kids might never get that opportunity. But hey, the Tory MP's and their membership in the home counties probably won't struggle so I guess that's just fine.
 
:lol: She has always been known for her (relatively) daring shoes, she favours leopard-skin prints and patent boots. I don't think the old Theresa would have worn a zip-up fleece coat over and over again.

She'll probably be living in an old caravan down by the Humber and cashing in her pension for scratch cards if she keeps this up.

THERESA-MAY-DRUNK-WITH-BEER-FAG-AND-CHIPS.jpg
 
You're right, people are wrongly looking at the 50% threshold as a meaningful landmark here, but I think it has the opposite meaning. Ekeing out a 51% vote in favour of any option wouldnt settle the matter. The indicative vote would only matter if there was a clear majority in favour. Its hard to say what the number would be, but if, say, 75% of MPs agreed with a given path, then that would show a clear cross party consensus around a single option. At that point it would be clear that it was the Government that was the odd one out. As it is, whether its 49% or 51%, it just boils down to the opposition parties + a handful of rebels opposing the party of Government. Which in truth we already knew. This whole thing has just been Parliament procrastinating.

I mean you've literally just described how parliament works to pass all legislation.
 
Our constituency has always been safe Labour but it has gone to another level under Twigg. From the six elections he has been in, he got a majority of over 50% in 3, with the smallest one being 37.5% back in 2010.

He posts on his website sometimes about Brexit. You can read the last couple of updates here and here (in the second one he mentions why he votes against another referendum).

Didn't realise you were local to me! I checked out his Twitter and he seems to be engaged in matters I'd expect of a Labour MP but literally no mention of Brexit. I'll take a look at those updates on his website now.

Edit : I didn't check the results on how Halton voted but can see in the latest update he says it was Leave majority. What were the exact figures?
 
Didn't realise you were local to me! I checked out his Twitter and he seems to be engaged in matters I'd expect of a Labour MP but literally no mention of Brexit. I'll take a look at those updates on his website now.

Edit : I didn't check the results on how Halton voted but can see in the latest update he says it was Leave majority. What were the exact figures?
Remain: 27,678 (42.6%)
Leave: 37,327 (57.4%)

I was in St. Helens at the time but now back in Widnes (Halton). The voting was pretty firmly leave around most of the North West except for Liverpool, Manchester and a few other constituencies.
 
May be they just want a no-deal Brexit.
268 voted in the referendum motion
261 in the Norway motion
270 in the revoke motion
273 in the customs union motion

So there is over 40 conservative MPs not voting... Presumably a large part of that is the cabinet being told to abstain?

As brexiteers continually say it is a remain / soft brexit cabinet then the logic is perhaps if they were given a free vote there would be a majority... But whilst may still wants to try to push her deal through that simply won't be allowed
 
Our constituency has always been safe Labour but it has gone to another level under Twigg. From the six elections he has been in, he got a majority of over 50% in 3, with the smallest one being 37.5% back in 2010.

He posts on his website sometimes about Brexit. You can read the last couple of updates here and here (in the second one he mentions why he votes against another referendum).

'I believe a second referendum could be very divisive and to date I have not seen a significant shift of opinion in Halton against leaving the EU.'

I wonder where he is getting this from? When I've been to local CLP meetings/votes and Derek Twigg has been there, the average age has been well over 65 and it's very cliquey. The young people that do go are met with hostility/challenge and I've frankly been disgusted with it all. I'm therefore not surprised that Twigg's been asking his mates what they think about a second vote and they've not changed their minds.

Not saying I support a second vote either, just that for him to say he's not seen a significant shift is interesting as I've not been asked and I've got an idea who has been.
 
'I believe a second referendum could be very divisive and to date I have not seen a significant shift of opinion in Halton against leaving the EU.'

I wonder where he is getting this from? When I've been to local CLP meetings/votes and Derek Twigg has been there, the average age has been well over 65 and it's very cliquey. The young people that do go are met with hostility/challenge and I've frankly been disgusted with it all. I'm therefore not surprised that Twigg's been asking his mates what they think about a second vote and they've not changed their minds.

Not saying I support a second vote either, just that for him to say he's not seen a significant shift is interesting as I've not been asked and I've got an idea who has been.
Interesting. Guess he's going from the calls/emails he gets and they're probably mostly people wanting Brexit to happen.
 
Head of civil service warns ministers of dire impact of leaving EU without deal

Cabinet secretary Sir Mark Sedwill says no deal would make UK 'less safe', see food prices soar and trigger worst recession in a decade

Britain's most senior civil servant has privately warned cabinet ministers of the dire consequences of a no-deal Brexit.

Sir Mark Sedwill, the cabinet secretary, told ministers that leaving the EU without an agreement will result in food prices rising by ten per cent, the police being unable to protect people and the economy suffering the worst recession in a decade.

Direct rule would have to be restored in Northern Ireland for the first time since 2007 and the government would come under pressure to bail out companies that had gone bust, he warned.


In an explosive 14-page briefing sent to every cabinet minister and obtained by the Daily Mail, Sir Mark said leaving without an agreement would make Britain "less safe" and see pressure on law enforcement authorities "enormously increase".

The stark warning comes just ten days before Britain is due to leave the EU with no deal after Theresa May's exit plan was rejected three times and MPs voted down various alternatives. 4

Parliament is strongly opposed to a no-deal exit, meaning the government is likely to instead seek a further delay to Brexit. However, the EU has demanded a concrete plan from the UK for how the extension will be used before it agrees to a lengthy postponement.

On Monday, MPs rejected all four possible proposals for a way forward: two versions of a softer Brexit, a fresh referendum and revoking Article 50.

The cabinet will meet for four hours on Monday in a bid to thrash out a way forward, but ministers are deeply divided between those wanting Ms May to agree to a softer Brexit and those who want to leave without a deal.

Cabinet ministers had reportedly sought Sir Mark's advice on the risks of no deal in order to ensure they were meeting their duty to govern in the national interest.

In his response, the cabinet secretary, who also acts as Ms May's national security adviser, said: "We believe there would be significant disruption in the short term. Food prices would increase by up to 10 per cent, with steeper rises in fresh product prices."

He said the consequences of no deal would be "more severe" in Northern Ireland than elsewhere, adding: "The current powers granted to the Northern Irish secretary would not be adequate for the pace, breadth or controversy of the decisions needed to be taken through a no-deal exit. Therefore we would have to introduce direct rule."

And raising the prospect of law and order breaking down, Sir Mark said none of government's "mitigation measures would give the UK the same security capabilities as our current ones...the UK would be less safe as a result."

He continued: "Our national security would be disrupted....The stability of the union would be dislocated."

The cabinet secretary said the economy would suffer the worst recession since 2008, with the subsequent fall in the value of the pound likely to be "more harmful" than in 2008 because it would affect only the UK and not other countries.
 
I wouldn’t be opposed to a General Strike right about now to attempt to force the government to withdraw A50.
 
No deal is probably the only outcome now.

If one wants to honour the vote then yes, it's kind of always been the case unless the EU want to undermine themselves for one country so to speak.

EU have put up a very strong position and have left options of calling the whole thing off, the option of a soft brexit which is actually is worse than staying a full member and utterly pointless or agreeing to a WA and getting hammered in the trade negotiations and becoming trapped in limbo.

The only way is to leave on a no deal and hope we can recover and ride the hit and there's pressure from other EU countries to make a trade deal.

EU don't want any kind of favourable deal as it could lead to more leaving. They were never going to help us leaving.

While I'm in favour of remaining a full member, we've been a stick in the mud for a while. EU are always calling for deeper integration of the policies. Is there a chance in 5-10 years UK might have to leave anyway? UK has always favoured the EU just being an economic trade area. Is the UK best off starting now rather than leaving in 10 years?
 
I have been attacking Tories just as much. Corbyn's (impossible) deal is not on the table. Labour unfortunately are led by an idiot.

As I have mentioned before he is simply a puppet who can bend and sway to the tune he is given.

The power base, if you can call it that rests with the leaders of Momentum. They have Jeremy in a vice like grip and as soon as they have done with him he will be kicked into touch.

Nevertheless, the Conservatives are significantly worse in that since they were able to dispense with the Liberals they have progressively show their true nasty divisions and self interest.

The traditional two party system is badly broken as is politics in general.
What we desperately need is either the emergence of a plausible alternative or better still a real strong leader who is able to pull either party together and give the country back it's sense of purpose.
Neither seem likely but we cannot give up hope.
 
While I'm in favour of remaining a full member, we've been a stick in the mud for a while. EU are always calling for deeper integration of the policies. Is there a chance in 5-10 years UK might have to leave anyway? UK has always favoured the EU just being an economic trade area. Is the UK best off starting now rather than leaving in 10 years?

On the first bolded statement, that only applies to EU members. Switzerland and Norway don't have to accept deeper integration. UK got an exception to that as well.

On the second bolded, what we're seeing now is a rejection of staying in the trade area that the UK allegedly always wanted to be in. Because, if you hear the ERG talk, there's more opportunities for the UK outside of it and it can strike better deals for itself without the weight of the EU28 behind it. The treaty of Rome in 1957 that started was about creating a common market and customs union. Yet now the UK wants to leave even that.

If the UK wants to be in the Customs Union alone, or the Single Market fully, it can choose to do that without a deeper integration. But being in any kind of union means that you're not in full control of your trade policy. It's a group decision. And after years of filling the ears of voters with hate and suspicion of the EU as well as inflating our own self-importance, we're reaping what we sowed. Which is that people want out as point of moral principle that is not underpinned by any logic.
 
I am now at the stage ten days then hard brexit, if the leavers are right and everything will be hunky dory then they can say told you so and if it all goes tits up then they can reap what they sowed.

On another note but related to Brexit the local office for foreigners sent me paperwork regarding getting an Aufenthaltstitel so that I can live and work in Germany.