Brexited | the worst threads live the longest

Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


  • Total voters
    194
  • Poll closed .
How can it not be a hard border? Please explain.

If anyone knew the answer the whole thing would be a lot easier. Some other countries around the world have shipment hubs and customs pre-clearance so perhaps they will do that, with proof of clearance required to bring anything back to mainland UK. If they really are to avoid a hard border they have to figure something out.

I actually think there will be a border of some sort eventually, probably where Irish citizens can't be stopped. The EU and the UK as a whole are far more powerful in all this than Ireland/NI. If it's between breaking off a chunk of the UK or amending a 20 year old document i know which i'd bet on. People saying we cant amend the GFA. We're leaving the EU. This is nothing in comparison.
 
If she survives the Tories are a disgrace. I've never known a leader and her government treat parliament in such a fashion. It's been disgraceful.

Just call a fecking unity government and we can have an election after this is all done.
The Tories have been a disgrace for alot longer than May. Absolutely disgusting the mess they've got this country in to.

How anyone can vote for them is beyond me.
 
If anyone knew the answer the whole thing would be a lot easier. Some other countries around the world have shipment hubs and customs pre-clearance so perhaps they will do that, with proof of clearance required to bring anything back to mainland UK. If they really are to avoid a hard border they have to figure something out.

I actually think there will be a border of some sort eventually, probably where Irish citizens can't be stopped. The EU and the UK as a whole are far more powerful in all this than Ireland/NI. If it's between breaking off a chunk of the UK or amending a 20 year old document i know which i'd bet on. People saying we cant amend the GFA. We're leaving the EU. This is nothing in comparison.

Who are 'they'?

You are mis-understanding the situation. It is the EU + NI vs the UK. Ireland is part of the EU and is being backed to the hilt by the EU - NI voted to remain and are being dragged kicking and screaming into BREXIT. The EU is much more powerful than the UK and they are on the side of Ireland and NI.

I'm not even going to start to try and explain the challenges about policing the border here because your explanation shows a complete lack of understanding. You at least admit you do not know the answer.
 
Aparently Mogg is unlikely to be chosen because he lacks ministerial experience.
I think on all the head to head polling he wins if he gets to the last 2... But I think lack of cabinet experience plus prominence in the erg means he won't make the last 2
Probably can command around 40 to 50 no votes as a max... But in the 2nd or 3rd round switching his allegence and those votes to Boris or raab or Davies would probably make that person the clear brexiteer candidate... And no doubt a cushy cabinet position for mogg (chancellor or foreign office or trade?)

I suspect he will back Boris assuming he's bound to drop a bollock and mogg can then challenge with cabinet experience in a year or two
 
This worries me. What if we end up with a Brexiteer that pushes us into a no deal?

They don't need a Brexiteer to push them there when the MPs can reject the current deal and get there in 3 months time anyways. This is some misguided fantasy that someone can go to Brussels, tell the EU to kiss their ass and secure them a golden deal. Someone has to either be a madman or a sucker for humiliation to step into this void 3 months short of the deadline.
 
Reddit says that if she wins tonight then the DUP might support a Labour led VONC tomorrow. That would mean a GE if they lost that right?
 
I think on all the head to head polling he wins if he gets to the last 2... But I think lack of cabinet experience plus prominence in the erg means he won't make the last 2
Probably can command around 40 to 50 no votes as a max... But in the 2nd or 3rd round switching his allegence and those votes to Boris or raab or Davies would probably make that person the clear brexiteer candidate... And no doubt a cushy cabinet position for mogg (chancellor or foreign office or trade?)

I suspect he will back Boris assuming he's bound to drop a bollock and mogg can then challenge with cabinet experience in a year or two

Moog is a busted flush - he will rightly fade back into insignificance once this entire mess is over.
 
So glad the needs of the country are being put before party. Tories can feck right off.
 
They don't need a Brexiteer to push them there when the MPs can reject the current deal and get there in 3 months time anyways. This is some misguided fantasy that someone can go to Brussels, tell the EU to kiss their ass and secure them a golden deal. Someone has to either be a madman or a sucker for humiliation to step into this void 3 months short of the deadline.

Exactly - there is no new deal on offer, the best they can get is a slight change to some of the wording or an additional declaration with some clarifications - this is basically the deal and thats it.
 
Reddit says that if she wins tonight then the DUP might support a Labour led VONC tomorrow. That would mean a GE if they lost that right?
No... It would mean the conservatives have 21 days (I think... Might be 14?) To form a new government that commands majority... Basically force may to resign and get a hard brexit leader that the dup will back... Eg johnson
 
If anyone knew the answer the whole thing would be a lot easier. Some other countries around the world have shipment hubs and customs pre-clearance so perhaps they will do that, with proof of clearance required to bring anything back to mainland UK. If they really are to avoid a hard border they have to figure something out.

I actually think there will be a border of some sort eventually, probably where Irish citizens can't be stopped. The EU and the UK as a whole are far more powerful in all this than Ireland/NI. If it's between breaking off a chunk of the UK or amending a 20 year old document i know which i'd bet on. People saying we cant amend the GFA. We're leaving the EU. This is nothing in comparison.

What??
 
No... It would mean the conservatives have 21 days (I think... Might be 14?) To form a new government that commands majority... Basically force may to resign and get a hard brexit leader that the dup will back... Eg johnson
Fair enough.
 
No... It would mean the conservatives have 21 days (I think... Might be 14?) To form a new government that commands majority... Basically force may to resign and get a hard brexit leader that the dup will back... Eg johnson

The state of this world with Trump and Johnson at the forefront is terrifying. Comrade Vlad will be laughing his ass off.
 
Who are 'they'?

You are mis-understanding the situation. It is the EU + NI vs the UK. Ireland is part of the EU and is being backed to the hilt by the EU - NI voted to remain and are being dragged kicking and screaming into BREXIT. The EU is much more powerful than the UK and they are on the side of Ireland and NI.

I'm not even going to start to try and explain the challenges about policing the border here because your explanation shows a complete lack of understanding. You at least admit you do not know the answer.

They = the politicians who have to figure this out.

The EU's primary aim is to avoid an open back door into the UK. I think we'll see in time how much they care about the rest of it.
 
I think on all the head to head polling he wins if he gets to the last 2... But I think lack of cabinet experience plus prominence in the erg means he won't make the last 2
Probably can command around 40 to 50 no votes as a max... But in the 2nd or 3rd round switching his allegence and those votes to Boris or raab or Davies would probably make that person the clear brexiteer candidate... And no doubt a cushy cabinet position for mogg (chancellor or foreign office or trade?)

I suspect he will back Boris assuming he's bound to drop a bollock and mogg can then challenge with cabinet experience in a year or two
Yeah good post, Mogg could probably get one of the top jobs by supporting Boris or Gove.
 
I’m currently teetering on hoping she wins just because if the likes of BJ gets in then it’s full steam ahead regardless of cost to the country
 
Just chatting about the Tory shitshow in the office and conversation turned to the referendum. Receptionist piped up 'what do we even get from the EU for our money?' I started reeling off free movement, reciprocal healthcare, billions in trade, workers rights, statutory sick pay... She actually ran away when I asked her if she had received her annual tax statement as I just got mine and my EU contribution was less than £50 :lol:
 
Everyone likes a good conspiracy theory, so how do you feel about the idea that Theresa May, who was a 'remainer', has simply set out to sabotage Brexit? Consider the following;

- she had a workable majority, which would most likely have been enough to secure some sort of Brexit, so she decided to call an election.

- the election was an open goal, so she ran the worst campaign I can ever remember, and succeeded in screwing it up - no more majority.

- she appointed someone with all the charisma of a wet weekend as her Brexit secretary.

- whatever she may have said publicly, she nevertheless made it appear that the UK desperately wanted to do a deal, thereby completely undermining our negotiating position with the EU.

- she went behind the back of her new Brexit secretary, who actually seemed to have some notion of what the job entailed, to agree a position with the EU that she knew she couldn't sell at home.

Incidentally, her predecessor, also very much a 'remainer', is also guilty in part for the current mess: the Bill that paved the way for the referendum should have included a mandate for action based on the outcome, but it didn't. I actually think this was down more to incompetence than to any hidden agenda to avoid Brexit by any means possible.

I voted for Brexit (no, I'm not a racist and neither was I daft enough to believe the lies told on both sides of the referendum argument), and I would vote for it again. I was overjoyed when the result came through, but have always thought that the outcome would somehow be sabotaged. At no point have I ever thought the chances of Brexit happening were better than even, and right now I have zero confidence in it happening.

The European Court ruling that the UK could unilaterally withdraw Article 50 is hugely significant, and probably a pointer to how this will play out.
:lol::wenger::lol::rolleyes:
Edit: Btw, I'm with @Blatzo on this one...
 
I’m currently teetering on hoping she wins just because if the likes of BJ gets in then it’s full steam ahead regardless of cost to the country

Thankfully we're not a dictatorship. They won't be allowed to wreck the country.

It might get too close for comfort but i don't for a second believe under that under the threat of no deal that we wouldn't see alternative motions passed or even just an extension.
 
Everyone likes a good conspiracy theory, so how do you feel about the idea that Theresa May, who was a 'remainer', has simply set out to sabotage Brexit? Consider the following;

- she had a workable majority, which would most likely have been enough to secure some sort of Brexit, so she decided to call an election.

- the election was an open goal, so she ran the worst campaign I can ever remember, and succeeded in screwing it up - no more majority.

- she appointed someone with all the charisma of a wet weekend as her Brexit secretary.

- whatever she may have said publicly, she nevertheless made it appear that the UK desperately wanted to do a deal, thereby completely undermining our negotiating position with the EU.

- she went behind the back of her new Brexit secretary, who actually seemed to have some notion of what the job entailed, to agree a position with the EU that she knew she couldn't sell at home.

Incidentally, her predecessor, also very much a 'remainer', is also guilty in part for the current mess: the Bill that paved the way for the referendum should have included a mandate for action based on the outcome, but it didn't. I actually think this was down more to incompetence than to any hidden agenda to avoid Brexit by any means possible.

I voted for Brexit (no, I'm not a racist and neither was I daft enough to believe the lies told on both sides of the referendum argument), and I would vote for it again. I was overjoyed when the result came through, but have always thought that the outcome would somehow be sabotaged. At no point have I ever thought the chances of Brexit happening were better than even, and right now I have zero confidence in it happening.

The European Court ruling that the UK could unilaterally withdraw Article 50 is hugely significant, and probably a pointer to how this will play out.

Was her being fecking useless at her job before the Brexit debacle kicked off also part of the play?

If so, when does the actor become consumed by the part they are playing?
 
Everyone likes a good conspiracy theory, so how do you feel about the idea that Theresa May, who was a 'remainer', has simply set out to sabotage Brexit? Consider the following;

- she had a workable majority, which would most likely have been enough to secure some sort of Brexit, so she decided to call an election.

- the election was an open goal, so she ran the worst campaign I can ever remember, and succeeded in screwing it up - no more majority.

- she appointed someone with all the charisma of a wet weekend as her Brexit secretary.

- whatever she may have said publicly, she nevertheless made it appear that the UK desperately wanted to do a deal, thereby completely undermining our negotiating position with the EU.

- she went behind the back of her new Brexit secretary, who actually seemed to have some notion of what the job entailed, to agree a position with the EU that she knew she couldn't sell at home.

Incidentally, her predecessor, also very much a 'remainer', is also guilty in part for the current mess: the Bill that paved the way for the referendum should have included a mandate for action based on the outcome, but it didn't. I actually think this was down more to incompetence than to any hidden agenda to avoid Brexit by any means possible.

I voted for Brexit (no, I'm not a racist and neither was I daft enough to believe the lies told on both sides of the referendum argument), and I would vote for it again. I was overjoyed when the result came through, but have always thought that the outcome would somehow be sabotaged. At no point have I ever thought the chances of Brexit happening were better than even, and right now I have zero confidence in it happening.

The European Court ruling that the UK could unilaterally withdraw Article 50 is hugely significant, and probably a pointer to how this will play out.
I think you're right and also, the earth is flat, the Illuminati are real, and vaccinations are fake news.
 
No... It would mean the conservatives have 21 days (I think... Might be 14?) To form a new government that commands majority... Basically force may to resign and get a hard brexit leader that the dup will back... Eg johnson

Yeah, but the 'commands a majority' bit is going to be a significant problem.
 
I’m currently teetering on hoping she wins just because if the likes of BJ gets in then it’s full steam ahead regardless of cost to the country

BJ or anybody else would be unable to get a no-deal through the Commons anyway so I wouldn't worry.
 
It might be unpopular to mention this in this thread but feck it I would really like to discuss in reasonable fashion a couple of points/ questions.

So it doesn't say in the Good Friday agreement that the UK and Ireland have to remain in the EU, Single market or the Customs Union.

Article 50 was written after the Good Friday agreement.

If as many here say the UK isn't allowed to introduce a border in Ireland because of the GF agreement and the EU won't allow an open border then article 50 is a nonsense isn't it? If the UK isn't allowed then what is the point of having a procedure to leave which the UK could trigger let alone a referendum to decide whether to leave?

Paul TW think of the reasonable fashion part like a hard border with you on the other side.

The spirit of the GFA is that Ireland, as a whole, and separately, is entitled to self-determination. A large number of the population hold Irish/EU passports, and see themselves as Irish. Many unionists in the north want no hard border either, see the statements of the business community etc...

Seems like some Brexit people are only noticing now (that it has become a stone in their shoe) the Irish Peace Process and the various agreements brokered over the past half century. Peter Brooke: Britain has no "selfish strategic or economic interest" in Northern Ireland. Downing Street Declaration in 1993: "The British Government agree that it is for the people of the island of Ireland alone, by agreement between the two parts respectively, to exercise their right of self-determination on the basis of consent, freely and concurrently given, North and South, to bring about a united Ireland, if that is their wish".