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Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


  • Total voters
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  • Poll closed .
Agreed, it is a particular problem with the left though. Just look at when people were praising Anna Soubry and retweeting the video where she laid into her colleagues on Brexit. People like Owen Jones, and others, were incandescent practically. Arguing that because she had supported Tory cuts and past Tory policy (which shouldn't really be unexpected for an actual Tory) people were wrong to point out that they agreed with her on Brexit. The mentality on the left really seems to be 'either we agree on everything or you're the enemy and we can't agree on anything.'

If a passing Tory MP is going to push you out of the way of an ongoing bus with '£350m a week to NHS' written on the side, the smart thing to do is to allow them to help, not insist on getting hit by the bus because you'll somehow feel besmirched because: 'he voted for benefit cuts'. Seeing everybody as the enemy is a massive problem some on the left really has to overcome. What's needed is cross-party/ideology unification against Brexit, not trying to find examples of where we've disagreed on other unrelated matters to excuse why we can't even recognise when we agree on this.

Soubry's talking out against her party has been fairly insubstantial and hasn't done much to deter the Tory party from their current path, and she's still voted on the government with plenty of key matters. Likewise the conditions that led to the anger which led to Brexit have been created by plenty of policies she supported and continues to support. Not ridiculous to point that out.
 
I think it's similar to how under Miliband the party never defended its record in government and allowed the 'Labour broke the economy' narrative to take hold. Eventually it became 'fact'. A proposition unopposed will do that. By the time Labour got around to recognising the need to actually fight back against that narrative/lie it was too late, there was no reversing it. With Brexit nobody really opposed the Farage/nutjob narrative that Brexit was an "overwhelming" vote for a hard Brexit where we'd leave the CM/CU and feck ourselves, generally, up the arse. So that's what Brexit means now, even those who didn't vote for that kind of Brexit now think they did as they've been told for 2 years they did and very few people have challenged that narrative.

If the day of the referendum there were calls for a national debate on the future relationship things might be different but nobody who mattered (or who wouldn't be dismissed) made that point. It was utter capitulation to the hard right, UKIP wet dream which cannot realistically be reversed. Suggest that people didn't vote to shoot themselves in the face they'll scream back that they absolutely did.
 
Soubry's talking out against her party has been fairly insubstantial and hasn't done much to deter the Tory party from their current path, and she's still voted on the government with plenty of key matters. Likewise the conditions that led to the anger which led to Brexit have been created by plenty of policies she supported and continues to support. Not ridiculous to point that out.

It was ridiculous. If you attack someone attacking something you oppose you undermine them and you undermine the argument they're making and you weaken their attack on the thing you oppose. Otherwise how would consensus across the parties ever be achieve. You and I both want A but we have a different view on B, so when you're making a positive argument for A it makes absolutely no sense for me to attack you on our disagreement on B. We can do that later if we want.

If you can't agree with someone on an issue unless you disagree on nothing else then that's pretty childish.

Cross party committees would never exist. The cross party committee on youth crime would just be people sat arms folded looking the other way and sulking because even though they might agree on a policy to tackle youth crime they disagree on environmental policy so decide they can't do anything but attack each other on the issue they have differences over.

It would be absurd. Families, circles of friends and work places aren't like that, there people agree to disagree, find areas of common interest and get along. Wanting politics and political debate to be so binary is something I'm not a fan of.
 
Worse than that the government can't agree between themselves what Brexit should mean.

The government think that Brexit means leaving but keeping the bits they like and they all like different bits and that includes JRM.
The last two years have been a total waste of time for the UK as unless the UK miraculously decides to stay it's clearly going to be no deal.
They weren't ready for No Deal 2 years ago and they are no closer to being ready for No Deal in March.
All this wasted time for the UK has done is enabling the EU to start getting ready for No Deal and businesses to prepare to relocate.

One would expect common sense to have prevailed in the end, but there is no common sense in this government.
 
It was ridiculous. If you attack someone attacking something you oppose you undermine them and you undermine the argument they're making and you weaken their attack on the thing you oppose. Otherwise how would consensus across the parties ever be achieve. You and I both want A but we have a different view on B, so when you're making a positive argument for A it makes absolutely no sense for me to attack you on our disagreement on B. We can do that later if we want.

If you can't agree with someone on an issue unless you disagree on nothing else then that's pretty childish.

Cross party committees would never exist. The cross party committee on youth crime would just be people sat arms folded looking the other way and sulking because even though they might agree on a policy to tackle youth crime they disagree on environmental policy so decide they can't do anything but attack each other on the issue they have differences over.

It would be absurd. Families, circles of friends and work places aren't like that, there people agree to disagree, find areas of common interest and get along. Wanting politics and political debate to be so binary is something I'm not a fan of.

Soubry is still willingly a member of the party who are currently implementing Brexit, a party who are currently in a minority government and can't afford to lose many more MP's. She could leave if she wanted to, and join Labour or the Lib Dems, or stand as an independent. If a few more with similar opinions followed, the government would potentially collapse.

Soubry was a prominent Cabinet minister in a government who regularly scapegoated the EU for all of our woes, and the government who offered this referendum to placate hard-right Tories/Kippers. If she'd been so serious about her continuing EU membership, she could've opposed this referendum, spoke out against Cameron's scapegoating of the EU, or ensured the terms of the referendum were more specific in what leaving would entail and thus beneficial to the Remain campaign. She didn't.

Her action against Brexit thus far has been about the equivalent to McCain's actions against Trump; occasionally she's been a thorn in the government's side but for the most part she's continually placated them, and hasn't kicked up that much of a fuss or achieved anything substantive. Indeed, if anything she's been a beneficial voice for May to have; someone to assure more liberal Tories that the party hasn't went off the deep end, and that they still have respectable voices to be listened to.

Yes, there needs to be room for cooperation. Yes, as much as I don't like Soubry or agree with most of what she says, I do agree she's better to be dealing with than JRM or Boris or Gove. Yes, everything would fall apart if parties didn't work together on occasion. But at the same time we shouldn't be foaming at the mouth every time a Tory gives some mild criticism of Brexit without ever actually doing anything about it. Especially when that very same Tory helped create the conditions and social atmosphere which lead to it in the first place.

And additionally, much as I do partially agree with the idea that we need compromise and cooperation in government, it should also be noted at the same time that for a lot of left-wingers, these are essentially useless sentiments which are a disguised way of saying a bunch of centrists who occasionally disagree on some small issues should all be jovial with each other, safe in the knowledge they won't have to face any anger from the public for their political choices, and that they'll occasionally exchange power with each other. If you're on the left (the actual left) you'll view the Tory policies of the past half-decade as ones that have wrecked misery and suffering upon the most vulnerable in society. Why shouldn't you get angry against the people who implemented those policies, if that's the case? And what's cooperation and compromise achieved for the likes of Miliband in recent years, who was seen as not representing anything and who was swiftly defeated? A lot of the successful politicians in recent decades (including the likes of Thatcher) got where they did not through careful compromise but through conviction and force of will. Thatcher didn't shift the economic paradigm to the right (a paradigm we're now still in) by being nice and cosy to those who disagreed with her.
 
If we both agree the council shouldn't allow planning permission of a new strip club next to a primary school and we find ourselves in front of the planning committee and when you start making the argument I turn around and attack you because we have a difference of opinion on something else what am I achieving other than seeking to undermine you and essentially undermine the cause I support in that instance?

If I agree with someone on Brext, or on ANY issue, I'm not going to refuse to acknowledge we agree unless there is no other issue on which we disagree.

If anyone says anything on Brexit I agree with I don't care. A moderate (for a ) Tory MP attacking Brexit has potential to cut through. Attacking them when they do so because I disagree with them on something else, categorically makes absolutely no sense.

Pro-Brexiteers are divided because they disagree on Brexit, but they're aided as the anti-Brexit group are divided because some are concerned that others are imperfect allies. It's nuts.
 
The government think that Brexit means leaving but keeping the bits they like and they all like different bits and that includes JRM.
The last two years have been a total waste of time for the UK as unless the UK miraculously decides to stay it's clearly going to be no deal.
They weren't ready for No Deal 2 years ago and they are no closer to being ready for No Deal in March.
All this wasted time for the UK has done is enabling the EU to start getting ready for No Deal and businesses to prepare to relocate.

One would expect common sense to have prevailed in the end, but there is no common sense in this government.
Sadly yes. I also think that the deal that the EU have made with Japan will go a long way towards mitigating the losses they will suffer under a no deal.
 
Soubry is still willingly a member of the party who are currently implementing Brexit, a party who are currently in a minority government and can't afford to lose many more MP's. She could leave if she wanted to, and join Labour or the Lib Dems, or stand as an independent. If a few more with similar opinions followed, the government would potentially collapse.

Soubry was a prominent Cabinet minister in a government who regularly scapegoated the EU for all of our woes, and the government who offered this referendum to placate hard-right Tories/Kippers. If she'd been so serious about her continuing EU membership, she could've opposed this referendum, spoke out against Cameron's scapegoating of the EU, or ensured the terms of the referendum were more specific in what leaving would entail and thus beneficial to the Remain campaign. She didn't.

Her action against Brexit thus far has been about the equivalent to McCain's actions against Trump; occasionally she's been a thorn in the government's side but for the most part she's continually placated them, and hasn't kicked up that much of a fuss or achieved anything substantive. Indeed, if anything she's been a beneficial voice for May to have; someone to assure more liberal Tories that the party hasn't went off the deep end, and that they still have respectable voices to be listened to.

Yes, there needs to be room for cooperation. Yes, as much as I don't like Soubry or agree with most of what she says, I do agree she's better to be dealing with than JRM or Boris or Gove. Yes, everything would fall apart if parties didn't work together on occasion. But at the same time we shouldn't be foaming at the mouth every time a Tory gives some mild criticism of Brexit without ever actually doing anything about it. Especially when that very same Tory helped create the conditions and social atmosphere which lead to it in the first place.

And additionally, much as I do partially agree with the idea that we need compromise and cooperation in government, it should also be noted at the same time that for a lot of left-wingers, these are essentially useless sentiments which are a disguised way of saying a bunch of centrists who occasionally disagree on some small issues should all be jovial with each other, safe in the knowledge they won't have to face any anger from the public for their political choices, and that they'll occasionally exchange power with each other. If you're on the left (the actual left) you'll view the Tory policies of the past half-decade as ones that have wrecked misery and suffering upon the most vulnerable in society. Why shouldn't you get angry against the people who implemented those policies, if that's the case? And what's cooperation and compromise achieved for the likes of Miliband in recent years, who was seen as not representing anything and who was swiftly defeated? A lot of the successful politicians in recent decades (including the likes of Thatcher) got where they did not through careful compromise but through conviction and force of will. Thatcher didn't shift the economic paradigm to the right (a paradigm we're now still in) by being nice and cosy to those who disagreed with her.

I think most people would agree that there are two opposing parties under the name "conservative".
 
Unbelievable. This thread really cracks me up :lol:

But that's what the government is doing, they want to leave but for everything to remain roughly the same , except paying for it and accepting foreigners.
Why didn't they just leave, what are they waiting for, what do they want, why are they so upset the EU are not playing ball.
A no deal means nothing will ever be the same for the UK, just as long as you're aware that the things you took for granted may no longer be available.
 
The government think that Brexit means leaving but keeping the bits they like and they all like different bits and that includes JRM.
JRM is torn between a complete break with the EU, and loyalty to PMTM.
The last two years have been a total waste of time for the UK as unless the UK miraculously decides to stay it's clearly going to be no deal.
Let's see.
They weren't ready for No Deal 2 years ago and they are no closer to being ready for No Deal in March.
Same goes for the EU.
All this wasted time for the UK has done is enabling the EU to start getting ready for No Deal and businesses to prepare to relocate.
If this is the case, good riddance to the EU and those relocating.
One would expect common sense to have prevailed in the end, but there is no common sense in this government.
Very easy to judge without understanding the complexity of the situation.
 
That's what a soft Brexit is, i.e. the version of Brexit that doesn't violate the Good Friday Agreement. What's your alternative?

You're not thinking this through.

You're implying that the EU was expecting to kneecap the UK for leaving. How do you feel about an organisation that is basically trying to say that there is no way for the UK to leave the EU?
 
The UK should tell Ireland, what is YOUR plan for a no deal brexit for the UK?
You wanna get tough with the EU?
You want to sell beef to us etc?
 
The UK should tell Ireland, what is YOUR plan for a no deal brexit for the UK?
You wanna get tough with the EU?
You want to sell beef to us etc?
Why the feck should Ireland get involved? We didn't vote to leave. Our stance is to stay in the EU and let the UK sort out their mess while we figure out how to deal with the repercussions on us.
 
Same goes for the EU.
Well it requires much less time for individual nations within the EU to prepare for no deal scenario given their trade/service relationship with the UK makes up for 0-10% of their total trade coverage, while UK around 80% (of their total trade coverage) dependant on goods/services going in and out of the EU.

Not sure why you acting so smug by making such a stupid point. But that’s par for the course for leavers I guess.
 
I think we need to remember that even Cameron understood that Britain could only prosper in a reformed EU, and that is what he campaigned for, remaining in a reformed EU.

Also May promised to bring immigration down, but completely failed.
Cameron tried to get a reform deal from the EU but failed, and yet he still campaigned for britain to remain in a reformed EU.
 
The UK should tell Ireland, what is YOUR plan for a no deal brexit for the UK?
You wanna get tough with the EU?
You want to sell beef to us etc?

We should re-do the partition of Ulster to make Northern Ireland much smaller and at least 90% Unionist. Any Unionists left on the 'wrong side' should move over, likewise any Nationalists. If they're not willing they should be forced, a little ethnic cleansing did wonders for Greek-Turkish relations after all. The new border should be as straight as those lines you see on the maps of the Sahara, and can be as hard as London wants. Problem solved.
 
JRM is torn between a complete break with the EU, and loyalty to PMTM.

Afraid not, he just doesn't want the job yet, he knows it's all turning to disaster and he doesn't want to be the one in charge when it does, he's only in it for the money and here's his lack of knowledge and still wanting to keep the benefits of the EU: "If you are in a negotiation for a free trade agreement, you can maintain your existing standards for ten years under WTO rules. So we have ten years from the point at which we leave the European Union to negotiate a free trade agreement with the EU which would mean we can carry on with our zero tariffs."

Let's see.

What the wasted 2 years or the No deal - No deal is at about 99.9% at this moment

Same goes for the EU.

But EU countries are getting ready for no deal - NL customs offices, Calais port buying land for lorry parks and customs buildings, Ireland planning to recruit customs personnel and so on. The Uk have done nothing.
If this is the case, good riddance to the EU and those relocating.

But if those relocating their factories, for example, move to within the EU, they not only produce for the domestic and EU market, they also produce for sales worldwide so if all the car manufacturers decided to move their plants to the EU all the trade deals with the USA, China , Australia would not only not happen, but the existing sales would also disappear. Cars are the UK's biggest manufacturing export worldwide.

Very easy to judge without understanding the complexity of the situation.

But we do understand the complexity of the situation which is why a real Brexit cannot happen without catastrophic results.
 
Why the feck should Ireland get involved?

Duh, because a hard brexit massively affects them and their economy.

We didn't vote to leave. Our stance is to stay in the EU and let the UK sort out their mess while we figure out how to deal with the repercussions on us.

We don't see it as our mess. It's a joint mess with the EU because of all the problems the membership to the EU has caused us.
 
The UK should tell Ireland, what is YOUR plan for a no deal brexit for the UK?
You wanna get tough with the EU?
You want to sell beef to us etc?

The Uk wants to leave, Ireland didn't ask the UK to leave.

If you think the EU are getting tough with the UK, that means you want something, you're expecting something, but you voted to leave , surely you don't want anything from the EU.
 
The UK should tell Ireland, what is YOUR plan for a no deal brexit for the UK?
You wanna get tough with the EU?
You want to sell beef to us etc?

Ireland doesn't have a solution for combining no deal Brexit and the GFA agreement because they thought it was a patently stupid idea that couldn't be done. This is one of the reasons the Irish government advised so heavily and repeatedly against Brexit.

Having unilaterally decided to push for that bad idea, the UK can't then turn to Ireland and expect them to come up with a solution. Ireland's solution was for the UK to either stay in the EU or stay so close to it as to make no difference.

Imagine you're on a lifeboat. You say "I think drilling a big hole in the bottom of the boat will help us move better" Your fellow passenger says "That's a terrible idea, there's no real benefit and we'll almost certainly drown, please don't do it". You say, "Don't worry, no matter what we definitely won't drown." Despite their protests, you drill the hole. You then immediately turn to them and say "well, what's your plan to save us from drowning then?"
 
Duh, because a hard brexit massively affects them and their economy.



We don't see it as our mess. It's a joint mess with the EU because of all the problems the membership to the EU has caused us.
Yeah but our stance is that we would prefer to stick with the EU where we have prospered and do much more trade with than the UK who will likely enter a massive recession if they go hard. The UK is the one who decided to make this choice, not us, not the EU. It's a no brainer. There's no point in us trying to play both sides, we are with the EU and thus will do what's in the best interest of us as an EU member.

And it is 100% your mess. Blaming the EU for your own mistakes is why you're in it.
 
As a side note, China opened its market to French beef this year, I'm sure that Ireland can do the same if it's not already the case.
 
Afraid not, he just doesn't want the job yet, he knows it's all turning to disaster and he doesn't want to be the one in charge when it does, he's only in it for the money and here's his lack of knowledge and still wanting to keep the benefits of the EU: "If you are in a negotiation for a free trade agreement, you can maintain your existing standards for ten years under WTO rules. So we have ten years from the point at which we leave the European Union to negotiate a free trade agreement with the EU which would mean we can carry on with our zero tariffs."

He has never said that he wanted the PM job while he is a backbencher. I think a backbencher has only gone straight into number 10 once. I could be wrong. Too say that JRMs motives are purely selfish regarding brexit, is ridiculous. He's a principled Catholic, and has come under fire for his religious views. He's also back May and her government.


What the wasted 2 years or the No deal - No deal is at about 99.9% at this moment

Let's remember that "no deal" hurts both parties. The EU gets no money, and the trade arrangement will hurt them as much or more than us. We can trade with the EU under WTO rules, but both sides won't want this. The EU's biggest advantage is that Westminster is mostly for remain, and that's where the EU is wanting brexit to defeated. They want parliament to undermine brexit, and do their work for them.

But EU countries are getting ready for no deal - NL customs offices, Calais port buying land for lorry parks and customs buildings, Ireland planning to recruit customs personnel and so on. The Uk have done nothing.
David Davies briefed government about a no deal brexit just before he resigned. There are pans in place on our side.

But if those relocating their factories, for example, move to within the EU, they not only produce for the domestic and EU market, they also produce for sales worldwide so if all the car manufacturers decided to move their plants to the EU all the trade deals with the USA, China , Australia would not only not happen, but the existing sales would also disappear. Cars are the UK's biggest manufacturing export worldwide.

Do you think they'll really move?
Do you underestimate the size of the british economy?

But we do understand the complexity of the situation which is why a real Brexit cannot happen without catastrophic results.

No, that's just your own fears telling you this, because you live abroad. The opportunities are exciting.
 
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You're not thinking this through.

You're implying that the EU was expecting to kneecap the UK for leaving. How do you feel about an organisation that is basically trying to say that there is no way for the UK to leave the EU?

You're not thinking this through. The UK had a choice to remain or leave , by leaving they are breaking the GFA. How are the EU kneecapping the UK. If the UK leaves the EU then by WTO rules the UK has to put up a hard border and its border is the Northern Irish border. That's what has to happen not what the EU says.
 
You're not thinking this through. The UK had a choice to remain or leave , by leaving they are breaking the GFA. How are the EU kneecapping the UK. If the UK leaves the EU then by WTO rules the UK has to put up a hard border and its border is the Northern Irish border. That's what has to happen not what the EU says.

No. The EU has a choice to put up a hard border.
 
Let's remember that "no deal" hurts both parties. The EU gets no money, and the trade arrangement will hurt them as much or more than us. .
Could you explain how a trade agreement would hurt the EU more? I'm just puzzled because I fail to see how it could hurt a bloc of 440m people with a GDP of 13bn more than it could hurt a country with 65m people and a GDP of 2bn. Can you explain?
 
He has never said that he wanted the PM job while he is a backbencher. I think a backbencher has only gone straight into number 10 once. I could be wrong. Too say that JRMs motives are purely selfish regarding brexit, is ridiculous. He's a principled Catholic, and has come under fire for his religious views. He's also back May and her government.

Principled enough to vote against abortion and gay marriage but not quite enough to promote removing all foreign aid. Nice. He's also a hedge fund manager who stands to profit from the collapse of the pound he is trying to engineer.


Let's remember that "no deal" hurts both parties. The EU gets no money, and the trade arrangement will hurt them as much or more than us. We can trade with the EU under WTO rules, but both sides won't want this. The EU's biggest advantage is that Westminster is mostly for remain, and that's where the EU is wanting brexit to defeated. They want parliament to undermine brexit, and do their work for them.

Have you even seen WTO tariffs?

David Davies briefed government about a no deal brexit just before he resigned. There are pans in place on our side.

The only pan David Davis has in place is a bed pan. He doesn't have a clue about how the EU works.

Do you think they'll really move?
Do you underestimate the size of the british economy?

It's a bit smaller than the EU economy I've heard.

No, that's just your own fears telling you this, because you live abroad. The opportunities are exciting.

I hear the Americans are rubbing their hands in glee at the opportunities.
 
Could you explain how a trade agreement would hurt the EU more? I'm just puzzled because I fail to see how it could hurt a bloc of 440m people with a GDP of 13bn more than it could hurt a country with 65m people and a GDP of 2bn. Can you explain?

We import about £100 Billion more in goods than we sell to the EU. Therefore when we leave the EU, we become a bigger customer of the EU than America.