Red Viking
Full Member
- Joined
- Aug 3, 2014
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- 562
And the award for the most unlikely scenario goes to..
Well to be fair he kinda spoiled my plans for the next weekend even though i´m not swedish but close enough!
And the award for the most unlikely scenario goes to..
Now that's somewhat surprising..
Good post.
The truth is that the average citizen of the British Isles has far more in common with an American or Australian than a Romanian or Lithuanian. European politicians can fill entire rooms with signed pieces of paper without altering that inconvenient reality.
Read the Lisbon treaty. It's much more. Consider the time and status of i.e. Eastern European countries when they decided to join and how long it has taken them to enter.I don't really buy this 'European identity' of liberalism and open borders etc. The EU is about economic pragmatism if you ask me, that is why countries join, it starts and ends there.
Comedy gold. Schulz is not Germany, and you seem to know next to nothing about him. Throughout his whole EU life which is very long, he has permanently held views and acted against "German" interests.Germany have a massive influence, Martin Schulz is now trying to persuade the 70k, probably with untold pain and suffering if they don't fall into line.
Ah, I see I misinterpreted your sentence above. Whether or not 'most' is accurate depends on the country, demographics and some other factors, I think.@Crossie
I know the EU is more than a free trade area, what I'm saying is that it's value to most people is an economic one not a broader ideological one.
Because moving the hq of an organisation of that size is not a quick processAnthony Browne: Brexit politicians are putting us on a fast track to financial jeopardy
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/oct/22/brexit-threat-to-british-banks
Why don't they wait with a decision until it becomes clearer what kind of access they'd get?
I don't think a major corporation can wait 2-3 years for a major negotiations that can turn out to be costly for them.Anthony Browne: Brexit politicians are putting us on a fast track to financial jeopardy
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/oct/22/brexit-threat-to-british-banks
Why don't they wait with a decision until it becomes clearer what kind of access they'd get?
I don't think a major corporation can wait 2-3 years for a major negotiations that can turn out to be costly for them.
That's what I'm trying to understand, how difficult it is, how much time it takes. Of course I do understand that banks (and other companies) don't wait until the last year of Brexit negotiations and are busy planning a move. But if I understand correctly, some firms start moving before article 50 is even triggered. I would have thought that they plan for different scenarios and decide a bit later in the process (in about 10-12 months or so) how to proceed.Because moving the hq of an organisation of that size is not a quick process
The Government's desire to take control of freedom of movement of people into the UK means it is highly likely Britain will lose access to the single market.
Membership of the single market - a key feature of being in the European Union - is crucial to banks due to what is called "passporting services".
This allows UK-based banks to sell financial services to all EU member states unimpeded. As a result many US investment banks base themselves in London as a global financial centre.
Losing "passporting" rights would therefore have potentially crippling implications for the UK's banking sector.
In theory you have a point but in reality the EU will sacrifice terms the UK would have liked in order to buy off some other EU faction. The whole idea that we get great deals because we negotiate jointly is suspect because we don't jointly want the same types of deal and we can't test the reality because we are not allowed to negotiate separately to find out.
When we leave the EU we will find out until then it is all speculation and no one really knows for sure if they are honest about it.
Anthony Browne: Brexit politicians are putting us on a fast track to financial jeopardy
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/oct/22/brexit-threat-to-british-banks
Why don't they wait with a decision until it becomes clearer what kind of access they'd get?
Scenario planning would have been done in depth as soon as a referendum was confirmedThat's what I'm trying to understand, how difficult it is, how much time it takes. Of course I do understand that banks (and other companies) don't wait until the last year of Brexit negotiations and are busy planning a move. But if I understand correctly, some firms start moving before article 50 is even triggered. I would have thought that they plan for different scenarios and decide a bit later in the process (in about 10-12 months or so) how to proceed.
Yeah they do but when they are protesting against an eu trade deal that might make them worse off, they should be listened to. After all this is kind of an eu related thread.All I am saying is that people protest all the time mate. Thank god we're not the sort to protest for everything. The Italians are much worse on that
Well I pay a lot of interest to European politics, more so than uk politics. There are despicable characters in each and every country in the eu, do you think the uk has a monopoly on them?Its got a strong influence but it doesn't call the shots for everybody.The Bundestag is not Westminster
Xenophobia, cluelessness on how the EU work, people voting for Nigel Farage.....it boils to one thing........ignorance. I find that the many Brits aren't very knowledgeable in politics. How can you explain that people like Davis and Boris are given so much power instead of being taken to a square to simply be laughed at? I mean the majority of people think that Davis is an expert about the EU. Do they really hear what he says?
Well I pay a lot of interest to European politics, more so than uk politics. There are despicable characters in each and every country in the eu, do you think the uk has a monopoly on them?
I don't know anything how you joined the EEC. If it was for me and considering your historical 'contribution' and 'interests' regarding Europe's stability I would rather have a country like Turkey than the UK within the EU (and no I don't want Turkey in the EU). However considering how small the UK is, ignoring two countries like Scotland and Ireland is plain wrong. In EU terms it would be like completely ignoring half Europe. Rather then a union the UK reminds me more of an empire.
Yeah they do but when they are protesting against an eu trade deal that might make them worse off, they should be listened to. After all this is kind of an eu related thread.
Rajoy will veto everything the uk wants from the eu until he gets it, that's how he isAnd what about Gibraltar ?
Don't let that stop you having an opinion though.
Scotland is 10% of the UK by population. The UK is around 10% of the EU, so you are wrong on that as well. If you count their votes as equal to your own then it is a stupid claim to say they are or were ignored. They were out voted on a national referendum for a nation they voted to stay in.
How many other regions in the EU get to vote on independence?
Which do you think he'll want more -co-sovereignty, concessions from the EU or a cake and eat it deal ?Rajoy will veto everything the uk wants from the eu until he gets it, that's how he is
Which do you think he'll want more -co-sovereignty, concessions from the EU or a cake and eat it deal ?
See discussion above and post #7847.Decent article from the BBA chief. He obviously has self-interest, but these really are anti-trade talks about putting barriers up rather than bringing them down.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/oct/22/brexit-threat-to-british-banks
Ah yeah. Seriously though, why would the banks wait and risk getting caught short? Understandable they are planning for the worst. Way to feck up a flagship money-spinning industry.See discussion above and post #7847.
UK wont get any access, Rajoy will see to that.The UK are going to be very lucky to negotiate anything approaching free trade without free movement of labor which points to a very hard Brexit deal being the one that eventuates. Plus if the above article is right, and of course it might not be, then any outcome that results in an exit could be very harmful to the Union. Feck me the Tories made an arse of this one.
Negotiations going well with Scotland, Wales and NI I see.
https://www.theguardian.com/politic...l-crisis-brexit-deal-institute-for-government
Frankly, I don't understand that some journos and politicians appear to be surprised about the EU's stance to stick with the principle of free movement. It is entirely up to the UK what model they want to follow: EEC, Switzerland, CETA/TTIP-like trade deal, WTO. But to expect that the EU cater the UK with EU à la carte and allow cherry-picking is/was a bit naive.The UK are going to be very lucky to negotiate anything approaching free trade without free movement of labor which points to a very hard Brexit deal being the one that eventuates. Plus if the above article is right, and of course it might not be, then any outcome that results in an exit could be very harmful to the Union. Feck me the Tories made an arse of this one.
Frankly, I don't understand that some journos and politicians appear to be surprised about the EU's stance to stick with the principle of free movement. It is entirely up to the UK what model they want to follow: EEC, Switzerland, CETA/TTIP-like trade deal, WTO. But to expect that the EU cater the UK with EU à la carte and allow cherry-picking is/was a bit naive.
Fair point. I admit I overestimated that finally, a fair amount of sense for the real world would kick in.They've been expecting the same ridiculous thing for over 30 years, why would they suddenly change now?
They probably want a free trade deal with the UK which allows for free movement and also keep any money from the Barnet formula.So what does Scotland want in regards to immigration? Do they want to have greater mobility and access to jobs in Europe? Otherwise a Scottish independence followed by Brexit would make it harder for them to work in England right?