Maticmaker
Full Member
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- Nov 8, 2018
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@Maticmaker
Do you not think that impacting trade with by far our closest neighbour and biggest trading partner (as well as a bloc that is likely to remain one of the 3 biggest markets in the world for the foreseeable future, regardless of what else happens) for the only theoretical potential upsides of trade deals with countries which are far away and more difficult ultimately to import and export from, seems like a decision which is taking a huge risk for an only very theoretical (and long long term) gain?
Especially as, with time going on, the EU is itself in negotiations with more and more trade blocs itself anyway (ie Mercosur)?
I did originally, but now I don't.
I was never a 'full blown' Brexiteer, my objections to the EU was the political side not the trade issues. The final straw (so to speak) was when we didn't become part of the euro-zone, hence if and when the EU did move closer to a federal situation as United States of Europe, we would have been forced to ditch the £ and accept the Euro, under pressure, which is never a good place to be when changing your currency, or alternatively take a back seat in division 2 of the EU.
We have always been, in political terms, an 'awkward squad' member of the EU, whether this 'un-ease' within the EU stemmed from our colonial past, or as it now seems to be presented as 'white privilege' I don't know, or whether maybe playing second fiddle to Germany after two wars in the last century was a factor, I honestly don't know. As Paul (the Wolf) points out the UK was grateful to join the EEC, but it was always a 'bad fit'. Contrary to what many people (in the Caf) think, we in the UK don't think everybody loves us, just the opposite, we know at least half the of the world (practically) hates us as 'the British', and when it comes to hating Englishness, then within the UK a lot of Irish, Scots and Welsh people don't like us either.
As I've mentioned previously we will not enjoy the same status with EU as when we were a member and for that reason I always did believe we either stayed, or left immediately without a deal, because in truth as we have been told endlessly by the EU they could not negotiate with us whilst we were still a member. Theresa May made a complete hash of it, because in reality she didn't want to leave, but felt she had to follow the 'will of the people'. Her famous (or should it be infamous) statement about "No deal being better than a bad deal" just made it worse,.
I was always sceptical that we would not suffer in trade terms initially on leaving the EU, but optimistic it would come right in the end. What has change my view is that in the post Covid world and the growing importance (realisation) of the impact of climate change (ref recent Met Office report) means there has to be a new norm, and the EU moves far too slowly in such situations, its not built for speed or transient movements, only for steady state operations, it will flounder. We will be lighter and more flexible and can respond better on our own to many issues that directly affect us. Preventing climate change is not an option now, surviving it is now what matters, and as an island we have different needs to a large land mass.
Hence in my opinion Brexit was not done for the right reasons, but it may well turn out to be for the best!
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