Siorac
Full Member
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- Sep 1, 2010
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- 23,967
The only thing missing from this now is the UK vetoing the UK's request for extension at the EU summit.
May's been 'advised' to meet the 1922 Committee tonight.
I live in Spain@Rooney in Paris what the feck? You march your way down to the Eiffel Tower and talk to the President of France right fecking now! Tell them that a brie company sent you, that should let you through the security guards who wear powdered wigs.
See earlier posts.. Tony Blair to become the poster boy for Remain in any forthcoming second (or is it third) Referendum on membership of EU, (formerly known as EEC, Common Market, etc.)
Give us what we want or we stay and you have to put up with farrage.But UK can unilaterally declare to remain until the 29th right ?
Give us what we want or we stay and you have to put up with farrage.
its a strong threat
something I heard on brexitcast last night... might come into play if true...
Apparently shortening a long extension is pretty easy... but lengthening a short extension is going to be legally very difficult:
So basically 12th or 24th April is a date the Eu have in mind for when the UK must take legal steps to prepare for EU elections if they are to have them
If we dont hold them then at the time we come to try to extend we will have no MEP's and apparently therefore undetr EU rules not be able to extend... basically 30th June would instantly become deal or no deal hard deadline
therefore possible they may either only allow an extension till april saying the deal must be approved by then or the only further extension would be a long one... that said apparently some countries not keen to have uk involved in elections and having a bunch of Ukippers having a say over Eu plans so they are minded to prefer no deal over long extension.
I suspect there is a realistic chance that Mays plan for a 30th june extension may be the 4th option of the EU after (in no specific order) long extension, even shorter extension or no deal.
The gist of it seems to be "Give me an extension so I can get this deal, which was already rejected twice, through parliament. We'll stick in some yet to be named changes in order for it to pass.". Or am I reading it wrongly?
Quite a lot of political hacks getting a little giddy on twitter about rumours of another May speach outside number 10 after she meets with opposition parties and the 1922 committee this evening. Seems like something's brewing.
Yes, it is appearing much more like this is the case, though I am uncertain how that will play out considering his reputation over Iraq. Is he the 'right' person for the job? Don't get me wrong the lads on the Leave camp are awful, but they can easily challenge his credentials and question his position.
What we need is someone in the current climate to step forward and campaign this. I think someone like David Lammy could (and should) well prove a prominent figure in this, but whether he will be afforded the air time or not remains to be seen. Everything I hear and see from him has been good thus far. I believe he speaks in a way in which most people can connect to and appreciate.
I think this either ends in No Deal or May gone and we revoke Article 50 and have another referendum.
Yep, petrified we'll stay now!If it's true that Macron doesn't want a pointless extension then surely that means there's a good chance that, inexplicably, she's going to get her deal through next week? Then the EU could agree to a short extension for the UK to sort things out.
Who is this plonker?
Silvio Dante from the Soprano's, who knew he was the man to sort this whole thing out?Who is this plonker?
Careful or you may sleep with the fishes. Capiche?
I get it.Silvio Dante from the Soprano's, who knew he was the man to sort this whole thing out?
If it's true that Macron doesn't want a pointless extension then surely that means there's a good chance that, inexplicably, she's going to get her deal through next week? Then the EU could agree to a short extension for the UK to sort things out.
You might be right, I just wonder if a lot of Labour MPs who have spoken about how disastrous no deal would be might be spooked to either voting for her deal or at least abstaining, it's not like Corbyn wants to remain or even have a second referendum so I can't see him actively whipping his MPs against the deal. You are right though that the numbers she needs to win over are massive and the ERG and DUP suddenly see no deal in sight.To accomplish that would indeed be a modern day miracle. With a hard core of Leaver ERG on one side and another core of rigid Remain stalwarts on the other, both voting against (albeit for different reasons) May would need a substantial number of Labour MPs to cross the floor of the house (£1.6B bribes not withstanding) and vote for a deal they don't believe in... just can't see it happening.
It has to be no 'deal' or no Brexit, as it was on day one (23rd June) of this whole debacle!
Food shortages?
May's options are pretty limited by my thinking.
I don't think she'd even have the votes for a GE or a referendum. Genuinely think if May tried a GE without any good cause, enough Tory MPs would rebel and wouldn't get the 2/3 majority required. Corbyn can look like the saviour in that scenario as well. Refuse a GE, until Brexit is dealt with and brand May an irresponsible lunatic.
If she tries to go no deal, Corbyn will call a confidence motion and the government will certainly collapse. New "temporary" government will be able to be voted in within 14 days per FTP act, can then deal with Brexit. Just needs a majority of MPs from any party.
The deal can't be voted before September in new parliament session, unless "substantial changes" which May can't get.
Can't be an extension without a referendum or similar as Macron will veto it.
So what does that leave?