Brexited | the worst threads live the longest

Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


  • Total voters
    194
  • Poll closed .
If you think continous uncertainty is good, then that's your burden
Isn’t a massive amount of uncertainty exactly what Brexit has created?

You knew exactly what you were getting with the EU.

The future of the UK post Brexit is the epitome of uncertainty.
 
Yes, I understand that's what Remainer's want, but splitting their forces/voting intentions as you seem to suggest they might, could end up with a second referendum being the final hurdle alright, but they might not get the question on the referendum which they want. Surely the Electoral Commission who rules on such matters will take into account the votes in the House and the numbers spread?

Splitting your forces is always a risky tactic!
Parliament is majority remain, the difficult part is the second option on the ballot as the tories will be split over the Mays deal/No deal and there's zero consensus for either from the other parties
 
Yeah, the EU has said they will extend A50 in the event of a general election or second referendum, which would be held 6-8 weeks after being voted for in parliament.

Thanks for clarifying

They would have to be very clear on the 5 questions/ choices on the ballot. Anything other than 2 x Brexit variants and 2 x remain options would be a disaster
 
Parliament is majority remain, the difficult part is the second option on the ballot as the tories will be split over the Mays deal/No deal

Then how are they going to make that tell without some of them 'crossing the floor'? They can't keep playing for a 0-0 draw, and then after extra time losing on penalties!

Think we've come full circle?

Even if a second referendum is held, there is no guarantee (primarily because of unpredictable events) that Remain would get the question it wants on the ballot and/or win with a large enough majority for any Government to risk going against the original result. Moreover the EU are unlikely to wait very long and may not get all 27 states to agree to an extension, certainly one that cannot guarantee a Remain outcome...I wouldn't if I were the EU.

Any lengthy delay would run up against the EU elections and Farage and his buddies are already practicing their war chants in anticipation, another dose of Nigel is not what the EU wants and neither Juncker nor Tusk wants to go down in EU history as the ones who let the UK get away on their watch!
 
Isn’t a massive amount of uncertainty exactly what Brexit has created?

You knew exactly what you were getting with the EU.

The future of the UK post Brexit is the epitome of uncertainty.

It's a matter of timeframes - short term uncertainty vs medium- long term uncertainty
 
Then how are they going to make that tell without some of them 'crossing the floor'? They can't keep playing for a 0-0 draw, and then after extra time losing on penalties!

Think we've come full circle?

Even if a second referendum is held, there is no guarantee (primarily because of unpredictable events) that Remain would get the question it wants on the ballot and/or win with a large enough majority for any Government to risk going against the original result. Moreover the EU are unlikely to wait very long and may not get all 27 states to agree to an extension, certainly one that cannot guarantee a Remain outcome...I wouldn't if I were the EU.

Any lengthy delay would run up against the EU elections and Farage and his buddies are already practicing their war chants in anticipation, another dose of Nigel is not what the EU wants and neither Juncker nor Tusk wants to go down in EU history as the ones who let the UK get away on their watch!
I guess we'll find out next week. May's deal should fail on Tuesday, Corbyn will then table the second referendum and it depends if there's enough (need about a dozen or so) tory rebels who vote for it. Then comes the showdown for the wording.
 
It's a matter of timeframes - short term uncertainty vs medium- long term uncertainty
Brexit is uncertainty across all the “terms” of the timeframe.

Really puzzling how you can be arguing against uncertainty and for Brexit at the same time.
 
I guess we'll find out next week. May's deal should fail on Tuesday, Corbyn will then table the second referendum and it depends if there's enough (need about a dozen or so) tory rebels who vote for it. Then comes the showdown for the wording.
Unlikley to pass I think... Don't think the numbers add up that said if it was a conservative back bench motion or a joint labour and conservative motion then you might get enough conservative MPs back it... Can't see more than a handful backing an official labour motion... And certainly not enough to offset the fact that the dup plus probably 15 to 25 labour MP's wouldn't back it either
 
Brexit is uncertainty across all the “terms” of the timeframe.

Really puzzling how you can be arguing against uncertainty and for Brexit at the same time.

Bias is trumping comprehension with you again it seems

I'm dine with you for today
 
Unlikley to pass I think... Don't think the numbers add up that said if it was a conservative back bench motion or a joint labour and conservative motion then you might get enough conservative MPs back it... Can't see more than a handful backing an official labour motion... And certainly not enough to offset the fact that the dup plus probably 15 to 25 labour MP's wouldn't back it either
It's not 15-25 labour who would oppose it, it'll be single digits
 
It's not 15-25 labour who would oppose it, it'll be single digits
There was 7 who voted for Mays deal... I think at least double that who might not back Mays deal but don't necessarily want to vote for a 2nd referendum... And lets be honest as Corbyn voted against the labour whip over 300 times I think most feel at liberty to vote or abstain as they feel because meh hypocrisy

Flint claiming 60 to 70 labour MPs against referendum...
https://news.sky.com/story/amp/up-t...xit-referendum-caroline-flint-claims-11654131
Don't think it will be that high but I think single figures is also way out

None of these are likley to fall in line
https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/seven-labour-mps-backed-brexit-bill/amp/
And looks very likley more would abstain or vote against a 2nf ref... Policy or not (also even if labour did whip votes will it be 1 line or 3 line... I suspect it would be the minimal effort as they run the risk of fracturing as much as the conservatives over brexit)
 
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Bias is trumping comprehension with you again it seems

I'm dine with you for today
Maybe tomorrow you’ll have an answer for what Brexit will actually do then. Since there obviously aren’t any short, medium, or long term uncertainties, and it is obviously just my bias that is clouding judgment.
 
it is obviously just my bias that is clouding judgment.

I'm glad you start to think critically instead of primarily acting out of bias.

There may be hope for you yet, but best I leave you to your contemplation. Great work today, the first step is the biggest step
 
I'm glad you start to think critically instead of primarily acting out of bias.

There may be hope for you yet, but best I leave you to your contemplation. Great work today, the first step is the biggest step
I look forward to your explanation tomorrow.
 
Thanks for the response.

Yeah, I can’t see the UK being willing to let them still use the £ if they choose to leave and remain with the EU.

There’s another huge issue with UK military bases in Scotland as well.
Not to mention the thorny issue of countries like Spain not wanting to allow breakaway nations being allowed into the EU (given the situation in Catalonia).
 
At least you're getting a free dinner out of it.
This is true. Should I get excited, or will it be something inherently boring and British? (No offense to the Brits, but you do make fun of your own cuisine for a reason)

Probably a pie or something.
Not to mention the thorny issue of countries like Spain not wanting to allow breakaway nations being allowed into the EU (given the situation in Catalonia).
True. Such an awful mess.
 
Did it say "2 part vote" on the 1975 referendum ballot paper?
It did not, it said this:

image_update_c99b3444e163ba3d_1358945451_9j-4aaqsk.jpeg
 
This is true. Should I get excited, or will it be something inherently boring and British? (No offense to the Brits, but you do make fun of your own cuisine for a reason)

Probably a pie or something.

Why do you think I have a french wife and live in France.
You could take the opportunity for him to explain the benefits of Brexit because surely someone, somewhere must know what they are.
 
Imagine that... Voting on the basis of a negotiated deal rather than a vague idea

I actually had no idea that was the case with the first referendum. It makes this referendum even more ridiculous (if possible)
 
Don't know, it was 40 odd years ago and before my time
Ok so i will tell you, it didnt. By your own logic we therefore shouldnt have had the 2016 vote because that was a 'neverendum' (your words) following he vote in 75.
 
Ok so i will tell you, it didnt. By your own logic we therefore shouldnt have had the 2016 vote because that was a 'neverendum' (your words) following he vote in 75.

That's not my logic

A 40+ year gap is not a neverendum. Multiple generations have passed, before another referendum was taken.

Furthermore, in this specific case, it wasn't a vote to leave the EC (which no longer exists), but to leave the EU. A very different entity

If you can't see the difference and significance of that timeframe, then best to stay away from 'logic' or be less biased in your viewpoints
 
That's not my logic

A 40+ year gap is not a neverendum. Multiple generations have passed, before another referendum was taken.

Furthermore, in this specific case, it wasn't a vote to leave the EC (which no longer exists), but to leave the EU. A very different entity

If you can't see the difference and significance of that timeframe, then best to stay away from 'logic' or be less biased in your viewpoints

That part is not exactly true. The UK joined the three pillars which included the European community. The EU is the three pillars under a single legal act, it's not a very different entity, it's a very similar entity.
 
That's not my logic

A 40+ year gap is not a neverendum. Multiple generations have passed, before another referendum was taken
.

Furthermore, in this specific case, it wasn't a vote to leave the EC (which no longer exists), but to leave the EU. A very different entity

If you can't see the difference and significance of that timeframe, then best to stay away from 'logic' or be less biased in your viewpoints
You know what the word never means, right?
 
That part is not exactly true. The UK joined the three pillars which included the European community. The EU is the three pillars under a single legal act, it's not a very different entity, it's a very similar entity.

Cause Freedom of Movement, a single currency and political institutions that mirror a state (e.g. a foreign ministry) are just little changes.

FFS
 
Cause Freedom of Movement, a single currency and political institutions that mirror a state (e.g. a foreign ministry) are just little changes.

FFS

None of these have been created by the EU(post maastricht). The UK don't have the single currency, the foreign policy comes from the EPC created in 1970, freedom of movement is also a plan from the late 60s early 70s and the ECSC is/was a political treaty which is stipulated in its preamble.
 
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Cause Freedom of Movement, a single currency and political institutions that mirror a state (e.g. a foreign ministry) are just little changes.

FFS

You really have no idea what you are talking about.

I voted for Freedom of Movement in 1975. The Uk aren't in the single currency and never would have been.
 
You really have no idea what you are talking about.

I voted for Freedom of Movement in 1975. The Uk aren't in the single currency and never would have been.

We didn't have freedom of movement of unskilled workers from the former eastern block in 1975, a point of contention for a large part of the population. And a change

Yes, I know we are not in the currency. My point was that the EU has changed significantly from the EC in the 40 plus years. It's moved from economic to political. It didn't have a single currency, as large a population or political institutes - it now has. Around the corner is a potential EU military,
- it's becoming a super state.

Some people might like that, some won't. But the fact is that it's a massive change over 40+ years, which has evolved with each Treaty
 
We didn't have freedom of movement of unskilled workers from the former eastern block in 1975, a point of contention for a large part of the population. And a change

Yes, I know we are not in the currency. My point was that the EU has changed significantly from the EC in the 40 plus years. It's moved from economic to political. It didn't have a single currency, as large a population or political institutes - it now has. Around the corner is a potential EU military,
- it's becoming a super state.

Some people might like that, some won't. But the fact is that it's a massive change over 40+ years, which has evolved with each Treaty

The single currency had been an objective of the EC since well before the UK joined. The goals of the EC , now the EU,have not changed very much and when the referendum was held in 1975 all these points were discussed then . It has developed and more countries have joined with the ultimate goal that the whole of Europe would be part of it.

The Uk have control over people, just that they didn't exercise that control, if an immigrant is a burden on the country, they can be sent home.
You may have noticed that there has been a vast reduction of immigrants from the Eu since the referendum but immigration has not fallen because they have been replaced by immigrants from outside the EU.

Strangely back before the UK were in the EC, people moaned about immigrants taking skilled jobs like doctors and that there was a brain drain from the UK. How times have changed. Wonder who's going to do the unskilled jobs, especially when the UK are bragging how low the unemployment is.
 
We didn't have freedom of movement of unskilled workers from the former eastern block in 1975, a point of contention for a large part of the population. And a change

Yes, I know we are not in the currency. My point was that the EU has changed significantly from the EC in the 40 plus years. It's moved from economic to political. It didn't have a single currency, as large a population or political institutes - it now has. Around the corner is a potential EU military,
- it's becoming a super state.

Some people might like that, some won't. But the fact is that it's a massive change over 40+ years, which has evolved with each Treaty

All the countries have agreed to those changes, including Britain.
 
Why do people bother arguing with @Bola

Does anyone actually think there is any sort of point to it? Might as well try to convince a brick not to sink in water...
 
3 pages on referendums and neverendums with @Bola , why the fuss? If he is so strict with the terms and rules and so, the referendum was consultative, not binding, so UK shouldnt be bind to leave the EU based on the vote of the people.
 
I doubt that question would be approved by the electoral commission unless structured in 2 parts

I.e. leave or remain as part one

And if leave wins a secondary option of
Leave with the transition deal on offer
Leave without the transition deal

I don't agree at all that this should be the format. Some people that would like to leave under May's deal, would rather prefer remain than leave without a deal and would be too late to go back for them

The format should be

Remain vs May's Deal
Remain vs No deal
May's Deal vs No deal

Or put in order your preference from 1 to 3

Remain
May's deal
No deal

And make a calculation of the results according to preferences