Brexited | the worst threads live the longest

Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


  • Total voters
    194
  • Poll closed .
Surely most of the point of Brexit was because people wanted control over the borders though?
I doubt most people who voted for Brexit understood what it actually meant, especially when it came to the Irish border. I think that's more obvious than ever now. They were essentially promised an end to immigration and loads more money to go to the NHS, and neither of those are going to happen.

The border was barely ever even brought up during the referendum and most mainland UK people don't give a toss about NI anyway.
 
UK - We won't put up a hard border
EU - We won't put up a hard border
ROI - We won't put up a hard border

There is the basis for a legally binding codicil that references the spirit of the GFA and does not have to be part of the WA.

Worse case if the FTA isn't finished? The EU will have an open border with a third country and the UK will have an open border with the EU.

That should be enough to focus minds to get an FTA sorted out.

A FTA is irrelevant (see above)
 
So what if Mays deal eventually passes. And the future relationship is this 'comprehensive' FTA. Are you saying that even that cannot solve the border problem?

What will solve the problem is to have the same rules, same protocols within the same jurisdiction.
 
Brexit 'can enhance UK's lethality', says defence secretary

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/feb/11/brexit-uk-military-defence-gavin-williamson

He specifically mentions this in relation to the threat posed by Russia and China. Also that our military influence will increase.

So, a heartwarming story of Brexit followed by war with Russia and/or China.

On a serious note, it's stories like these that really get me worried as you know our Government is filled with idiots that actually believe this.
 
Brexit 'can enhance UK's lethality', says defence secretary

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/feb/11/brexit-uk-military-defence-gavin-williamson

He specifically mentions this in relation to the threat posed by Russia and China. Also that our military influence will increase.

So, a heartwarming story of Brexit followed by war with Russia and/or China.

On a serious note, it's stories like these that really get me worried as you know our Government is filled with idiots that actually believe this.

Williamson is a total weapon. He reminds me of a Coogan character. Sadly, with Grayling around, he’s not even the biggest fool in the Cabinet.
 
Yep. And they'll get their just desserts when the NHS is destroyed and their grandchildren won't give them the time of day.
I think they'll be long gone before facing the real consequences of their voting patterns and even if not there's also going to be someone else who looks different, sounds different or less well off for them to blame.

I not sure what to make of it, either I patronise older people and think well of course they feel this way because the world has rapidly change so much that unless you've grown up with this change, the effect must be like sticking your head in a microwave and turning the settings to 11. So of course a person with this experience is going to be terrified 99% of the time about imagery fears coming to get them. Or I take them at face value and think that the idea of leaving society in a better place for your kids/grandchildren(the most basic way to see if we are making progress)is something older people actively dislike and want to fight against.


For the most part I just blame Thatcher, she polluted the minds of millions.
 
Which is a CU. And a CU forbids unilateral deals with third countries. A50 isn't fit for purpose.

Art.50 has nothing to do with this and a CU doesn't forbid unilateral deals with third countries. Unilateral deals with third countries make open borders impossible.
 
UK - We won't put up a hard border
EU - We won't put up a hard border
ROI - We won't put up a hard border


There is the basis for a legally binding codicil that references the spirit of the GFA and does not have to be part of the WA.

Worse case if the FTA isn't finished? The EU will have an open border with a third country and the UK will have an open border with the EU.

That should be enough to focus minds to get an FTA sorted out.

What makes you think no one will put a border up, just because a lot of people have said they won't?
 
What makes you think no one will put a border up, just because a lot of people have said they won't?
I'm not saying that. I'm saying that if those three are declaring that to be the case then get them to sign a legally binding agreement to put it into law.
 
I'm not saying that. I'm saying that if those three are declaring that to be the case then get them to sign a legally binding agreement to put it into law.

But there is a lot of mixed messages coming from representatives of all three. The European Commission and the NI secretary of state has both said there would need to be border checks put in place in the event of a no deal Brexit.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-46961982

https://www.irishnews.com/news/brex...l-mean-wto-customs-checks-in-ireland-1488385/

It's ironic though that the very thing preventing a deal being agreed and preserving the GFA is the backstop which is needed to protect the GFA.

I think all the politicians involved have been saying there will be no border controls put in place because they don't want to be seen as the side that breaks the GFA. But i think privately they all know in a no deal scenario a border is inevitable because of WTO MFN.

https://www.theguardian.com/politic...f-irish-border-mandatory-under-no-deal-brexit
 
It's easier if you ignore the union part. An FTA is a trade agreement that lowers barrier to entry between two countries/territories, the custom administration is the administration that makes sure that goods coming from an external territory abide to the rules and collects the financial barriers to entry.
From there it should be intuitive to understand that a custom union is the addition of more than one custom territories in which different custom administrations will follow common protocols and make internal checks redundant.

The reason why you need both to virtually have no need for internal checks is that any FTA can change the rules by altering quotas and the type of goods that are accepted from the outside, that's one of the reason why the EUCU negotiates trade as a block. If countries start negotiating individual FTAs they make the point of a CU disappear, every custom administration will have to make sure that goods abide to their own FTA package.

Thank you for your patience and clear explanation.
My confusion was that I had read that if the UK entered into a trading arrangement with the EU which effectively mirrored the EUCU then that would solve the seemless border that currently exists in Ireland.
 
Why is everyone saying that a CU does forbid this then?

Who exactly said that? You could have individual trades but you couldn't have open borders which would negate one of the main points of a CU, you would also need to respect rules of origin for obvious reasons.
 
3500.jpg

Dear Jeremy,

Love Theresa.
 
Thank you for your clarification.
I note that my error was when I said that A CU gave the non EU countries access to the EU.

What I meant to say was that it gave these countries common tarrifs with the EU countries ( tariff free trading). In terms of the Irish boarder, this type of arrangement would overcome the contentious Backstop issue as I understand it.

Border FFS, it’s not an Irish person boarding a train!
 
I think they'll be long gone before facing the real consequences of their voting patterns and even if not there's also going to be someone else who looks different, sounds different or less well off for them to blame.

I not sure what to make of it, either I patronise older people and think well of course they feel this way because the world has rapidly change so much that unless you've grown up with this change, the effect must be like sticking your head in a microwave and turning the settings to 11. So of course a person with this experience is going to be terrified 99% of the time about imagery fears coming to get them. Or I take them at face value and think that the idea of leaving society in a better place for your kids/grandchildren(the most basic way to see if we are making progress)is something older people actively dislike and want to fight against.


For the most part I just blame Thatcher, she polluted the minds of millions.

I think age is an excuse. My in-laws are 80
and 70. They read up on it and voted remain as did a few of their friends.

I have elderly relatives who fell for the Union Jack posts on FB in particular telling them they’d face more foreign doctors, longer wait times, floods of Roma and Turks robbing, raping and pillaging in general, Muslim men pedo rings etc etc. all absolute BS

The remain side didn’t do enough to convince people otherwise or outline the benefits
 
I think age is an excuse. My in-laws are 80
and 70. They read up on it and voted remain as did a few of their friends.

I have elderly relatives who fell for the Union Jack posts on FB in particular telling them they’d face more foreign doctors, longer wait times, floods of Roma and Turks robbing, raping and pillaging in general, Muslim men pedo rings etc etc. all absolute BS

The remain side didn’t do enough to convince people otherwise or outline the benefits

Issue was we'd had successive governments who spent years blaming the EU for a lot of their own failings, and accepting the "immigration isn't good" narrative which drove up Euroscepticism. When it came to a referendum, it was always going to be a hard sell on their part. And much as a lot of the People's Vote rhetoric is beyond cringe inducing, they at least seem to be, like, enthusiastic and stuff about the EU. Which is more than a lot of Remainers ever managed.
 
Are there any good public Brexit parties planned for March 29th?

Is it going to be designated as a National Holiday (Independence Day), like the 4th of July in the US?
 
Issue was we'd had successive governments who spent years blaming the EU for a lot of their own failings, and accepting the "immigration isn't good" narrative which drove up Euroscepticism. When it came to a referendum, it was always going to be a hard sell on their part. And much as a lot of the People's Vote rhetoric is beyond cringe inducing, they at least seem to be, like, enthusiastic and stuff about the EU. Which is more than a lot of Remainers ever managed.
For me, what Brexiteers did very well was convince people that their current dissatisfaction with their lot was due to the EU. They neatly papered over the fact that the country has been subjected to Austerity for years and convinced people that post Brexit Britain would be one of milk and honey and that their lives would be so much better.
 
For me, what Brexiteers did very well was convince people that their current dissatisfaction with their lot was due to the EU. They neatly papered over the fact that the country has been subjected to Austerity for years and convinced people that post Brexit Britain would be one of milk and honey and that their lives would be so much better.

That's the same that happened with the raise of independentism in Catalonia. The blame game, catalan politicians they blamed spain for the crisis and many people bought it. Though is not that there are so many other reasons but that is another story

fecking politicians blaming others on their incompetence
 
For me, what Brexiteers did very well was convince people that their current dissatisfaction with their lot was due to the EU. They neatly papered over the fact that the country has been subjected to Austerity for years and convinced people that post Brexit Britain would be one of milk and honey and that their lives would be so much better.

And millions of people fell for it.
When I spoke to friends and relatives who voted to leave, the words 'taking back control of our country' resonated with them.
That as well as a degree of protest vote.

When I speak to those same people now, most want a 'people's vote' but don't really understand why, while a few are happy to leave without a deal on the basis that whatever happens in the short term, it will be worth the pain for the long-term gain.
These are all Conservative voters incidentally.

The latter are all actually quite intelligent individuals who assure me that it will all work out well and see the emerging risks as project fear!!!!.

I suspect that this is pretty much typical?
 
When I speak to those same people now, most want a 'people's vote' but don't really understand why, while a few are happy to leave without a deal on the basis that whatever happens in the short term, it will be worth the pain for the long-term gain.

Did they give you a clue as to what they thought the long term gain would be?
 
I think age is an excuse. My in-laws are 80
and 70. They read up on it and voted remain as did a few of their friends.

I have elderly relatives who fell for the Union Jack posts on FB in particular telling them they’d face more foreign doctors, longer wait times, floods of Roma and Turks robbing, raping and pillaging in general, Muslim men pedo rings etc etc. all absolute BS

The remain side didn’t do enough to convince people otherwise or outline the benefits
As you say, folk were influenced by the most ridiculous things on social media. I was talking to a (young) woman before the vote, she was quite honestly daft as a brush but she'd read something about Turkey on FB and that was that, she was voting leave because she was suddenly scared of Turkey possibly becoming part of the EU. Another one in the same conversation was voting leave because she thought there were too many people from Pakistan and India in the UK.

You couldn't make it up, but sadly, someone did and plenty of others believed it.
 
Did they give you a clue as to what they thought the long term gain would be?

Yes. It was a combination of a stronger economy (!) due to being able to expand trade and far fewer immigrants which they saw as putting far too much pressure on limited services.

I guess that if you put on some very rose tinted glasses and totally believe what Brexiteers have sold to them then this may be quite typical.

To be honest I have tried to reason but I am called a Remoaner.
 
Yes. It was a combination of a stronger economy (!) due to being able to expand trade and far fewer immigrants which they saw as putting far too much pressure on limited services.

I guess that if you put on some very rose tinted glasses and totally believe what Brexiteers have sold to them then this may be quite typical.

To be honest I have tried to reason but I am called a Remoaner.

They delusional

Immigration had been proven to be positive for every economy. They use more services but they generate way more taxes to compensate as they are sane and in a good age to not get sick, also they came here to make money, not to be on welfare (there is that odd exception like in anything else, like locals too)

And they will never have a better deal with 27 of their neighbours (the most important economies because of their proximity) like the one they have now.

That are FACTS

The only thing will be to strike new trade deals with other economies. That no-one can know, depends on if in UK you have mastermind trade dealers, and seeing their proficiency on brexit I doubt it. Also is less probable to have worse deals being a tiny economy of 60 millions than inside the EU. But as I said, no one knows.

But the first 2 facts? are indisputable
 
Who gives a shit about the country anyway? A party needs to be kept together.