We don't know the exact number, but scientists have been trying to estimate the number of asymptomatic cases since the beginning, and almost all say it's less than 1/3 of patients (most of them are in the link I've posted above). [The media has been running the Oxford story as a feel good narrative, but they clearly state they just wanted to model what would happen if only 0.1% of infected people get very sick].
SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)
- Thread starter Don't Kill Bill
- Start date
100,000 - 200,000 deaths was Fauci's estimate earlier today, albeit while also saying such predictions can so easily be wrong.
A nursing home where a friend of my mam works in has possibly been infected after one of the carer's came in for OT after being off all week with the "flu", this carer hasn't been seen since the OT which was last weekend my mams friend is in isolation now, but her husband has cancer. If it's positive there will be a lot of deaths.
This seems a good, practical idea.
Meanwhile in Tampa...
https://www.rawstory.com/2020/03/fl...fter-pastor-promises-he-can-cure-coronavirus/
Apparently they think they have 13 machines they kills every virus. Last miracle device I saw bought off the Internet was Uncle Rico and his time machine.
Not just religious idiots either. Tampa riverwalk and Davis Island park were packed today.
https://www.rawstory.com/2020/03/fl...fter-pastor-promises-he-can-cure-coronavirus/
Apparently they think they have 13 machines they kills every virus. Last miracle device I saw bought off the Internet was Uncle Rico and his time machine.
Not just religious idiots either. Tampa riverwalk and Davis Island park were packed today.
What do you mean?
Con men like that Pastor should be arrested for preying on the desperate and the stupid at a time like this.
Are his statistics. Usually I found them a bit off so I don't think so neither in just 3-4 days. But for sure US, if they keep following their current policies, will surpase 1000 and even 2000 deaths per day eventually
Italy and Spain are almost there and they have 7-8 times less population than US
Agreed but distancing will vastly reduce aerosol mediated infections. Good hygiene will help to reduce contact infections.
It's incredible to be able to watch this unfold like this, however you want to look at it. It is the first time in history that the public have been able to see this kind of insight into the spread of a virus like this. Scary and fascinating in equal measures.
I wonder how much impact Spanish Flu would have had in 1918 if the world had the same kinds of communication technology we have today. Makes me wonder if this is worse or not given it seems to be the comparison being drawn all the time.
It’ll actually get worse over the next few weeks. We are still yet to completely lockdown in the U.S. Just take a look at when other countries locked down.
Not clear if the Spanish flu in 1918 was novel or not. There are some theories that H1N1 was with us before that (and could be a reason why it targeted less the old people).
Agree about your other point about the immunity in 2009. In fact, the flu shot is to protect against 3 different flu viruses (avian influenza viruses H1N1, H3N2, and human virus influenza type B). I don't know for sure, but I guess that 2009 version was just an ultra-contagious strain of H1N1, but the virus has been infecting us for at least a century, so we have good immunity against it be it cause of vaccines, or for having been infected in the past.
Why? We have been using a variant for a couple of weeks
I'm also really hoping that this virus rapidly evolves to be less harmful as often happens.
You are right. I am a bit obsessed with it since January, so much numbers and analisis
I don't think that any measure of control that most likely will stay is a good idea. And yes, I know we already have instruments of control, but I don't want even more
Once the F1 teams starting getting involved you just knew some solutions would quickly emerge -
Although they are very efficient sadly they cost 3.6 million quid each
At 1000 per day 3.6 billion a day, not bad!
So only available for A1 and F1 drivers?Although they are very efficient sadly they cost 3.6 million quid each
And shareholders in bog roll firms.
Although they are very efficient sadly they cost 3.6 million quid each
Definitely worth it though considering from the point you arrive in the hospital, to the point you have your clothes off, gown on, mask on and cannula in your arm, the nurse is zig zagging you down the corridor to keep the trolley tires warm as you join the rest of the grid in under 6.4 seconds.
Andrex-1
In addition, just realized that these people could also have seasonal allergies that leads to sneezing - I know my allergies have already started since last week.
Malaria gave me the worst fever headaches in my entire life so far, it's a shit diseases but like you said, very easily treatable.
X-axis: Number of infected per 100,000 inhabitants
Y-axis: Number of deaths per 100,000 inhabitants
Numbers above the flags tell how many days number of infected/deaths recently needed to double
Y-axis: Number of deaths per 100,000 inhabitants
Numbers above the flags tell how many days number of infected/deaths recently needed to double
True
Taiwan already uses it. People wonder how they managed to keep it under control despite being right next to China, this is how.
The authorities have been using anonymised data to track where people are gathering, but there are worries that it's not too hard to "unanonymise" it. This article's from 11 days ago.
https://www.infosecurity-magazine.com/news/coronavirus-triggers-location/
Interesting video how this New York doctor says most get covid19 through touching their face after touching surfaces or shaking hands and not airborne droplets, it's droplets that have landed or have been put on things like door handles.
I've been really careful from the start and wear gloves out to the shops, this reminds me to not touch my face, not worry about the amount of hands and coughs on the shopping trolley handle and I can also slide the gloves off when getting into the car and not cross contaminate the steering wheel, gear stick and handles, keys etc and leave food packages for days or clean them or open with scissors. Hand sanitize is like rocking horse shit.
Of course the NY doctor says standing close to someone for a sustained time you can get this.
I've been really careful from the start and wear gloves out to the shops, this reminds me to not touch my face, not worry about the amount of hands and coughs on the shopping trolley handle and I can also slide the gloves off when getting into the car and not cross contaminate the steering wheel, gear stick and handles, keys etc and leave food packages for days or clean them or open with scissors. Hand sanitize is like rocking horse shit.
Of course the NY doctor says standing close to someone for a sustained time you can get this.
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Was Boris on telly at all this weekend? I may have missed him when he was. Is he supposed to be giving briefings?
Another win for the American healthcare system...
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Interesting. Here's the article I read a few days ago, they use it to keep track of all arrivals and to enforce the mandatory quarantine. Seems like there's no anonymity at all!
https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-52017993
My best friends grandmother has been in the hospital for a few days now. She's 89 and has corona. In the service flats she lives in, +20 people were infected, 4 have already passed away. Crap. Doesn't look good.
And the rest. Italy's daily new case record is 6,500, Spain's is 8,500. The US is routinely adding 20,000 a day and they're only just getting going. They will be far worse.
The only way they're not is if they start fiddling the numbers somehow.
Well it all depends how well they protect their elderly, Italy especially and even Spain are some of the worst places for that due to the fact that people leave home on average aged 30 in Italy for example.
Keeping the elderly isolated is the biggest key here to keeping the death rate down.
Thanks for sharing the video. One of the most clear and knowledgeable piece of info posted in this thread.