Interesting. So in effective Sage are modelling as if life will go exactly back to what it was say on January 6th 2020 when the concept of anyone wearing a mask out on street or public transport would've just stood out like when you saw tourists in London wearing them who'd come from asian countries.
While many will ditch masks it won't go straight back up to 100% not bothering with them so that needs to taken into the account for the more vulnerable to covid.
Where I think the government have gone wrong is scaling up way too quickly. For example with the football grounds thing. It was 10k for last two games of last season. What's wrong with them going 20k for first month of the season, then 30k in September and keep on scaling up and see what the data is with crowds, not just at the ground but getting to and from the venue. Just seems a huge gamble to suddenly decide on capacity crowds of 50-70k right from the start and then thousands of those then mix with everyone else on buses, trains and pubs for many hours on a Saturday and Sunday. I could understand that more if second doses was already 40m + but still a good month or so off that.
Personally I'd have keep the current status for another month and then probably from middle of August had two months of a bit more "normality" and then you make final decision on rest of the year going into the winter period.
