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Rasmus Hojlund Denmark flag

2024-25 Performances


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5.4 Season Average Rating
Appearances
19
Goals
7
Assists
1
Yellow cards
1
What about if we compare someone who takes 100 shots to score 50 goals with someone who takes 15 shots to score 10 goals.

One has 0.5 goal per shot, while the other one has 0.66 goal per shot. So is this really most important metric to say that the quality of striker with 15 shots to score 10 goals is better than 100 shots to score 50 goals?

The answer is no. There are lot of factors why players takes less shots. One is due to lack of services. So what’s the reasons of lack services? This can be various factors such as strikers have poor movement and position hence the ball rarely being available for the striker or strikers have poor general hold up play hence it’s difficult to get the ball in dangerous position if strikers always ruin the pattern of play. Movement, positioning, and hold up play also part of important play to judge striker.

In addition, a striker with 15 shots to score 10 goals (0.66 goals per shot) doesn’t mean the same striker will be able to do 75 shots to score 50 goals (0.66 goals per shot) or something similar to 0.66 conversion rate. Because the more chances you’re given, the higher the pressure for a striker to convert the chances into goals. This also depends on the striker’s mentality whether the striker can handle the pressure on his shoulder being the main guy.

Therefore, conversion rate is not one of the most important metric to measure the quality of strikers. There are lot of factors need to be taken into consideration to judge the conversion rate stats.

If you take Nunez and Rasmus and they both get 10 chances in a match, who is most likely to score?
 
It's all about service. Both of our wingback should be creating chances for him. Both of our 10s should. None of them are doing so consistently.

Dalot is providing no attacking threat. Neither really is Rashford or Malacia when he plays.

Replacing these with players capable of attacking team play would be a massive level up. There is little point in talking about a Rasmus upgrade until that is done.

A prime Cole or McClair would starve on the slim pickings they would get in this team.
First player I thought of was a prime Antonio Valencia.
 
What about if we compare someone who takes 100 shots to score 50 goals with someone who takes 15 shots to score 10 goals.

One has 0.5 goal per shot, while the other one has 0.66 goal per shot. So is this really most important metric to say that the quality of striker with 15 shots to score 10 goals is better than 100 shots to score 50 goals?

The answer is no. There are lot of factors why players takes less shots. One is due to lack of services. So what’s the reasons of lack services? This can be various factors such as strikers have poor movement and position hence the ball rarely being available for the striker or strikers have poor general hold up play hence it’s difficult to get the ball in dangerous position if strikers always ruin the pattern of play. Movement, positioning, and hold up play also part of important play to judge striker.

In addition, a striker with 15 shots to score 10 goals (0.66 goals per shot) doesn’t mean the same striker will be able to do 75 shots to score 50 goals (0.66 goals per shot) or something similar to 0.66 conversion rate. Because the more chances you’re given, the higher the pressure for a striker to convert the chances into goals. This also depends on the striker’s mentality whether the striker can handle the pressure on his shoulder being the main guy.

Therefore, conversion rate is not one of the most important metric to measure the quality of strikers. There are lot of factors need to be taken into consideration to judge the conversion rate stats.
When I say it's one of the most important metric, I don't mean it's the ONLY metric used.

But it is one of the most important metric to measure finishing ability, along with other stats like xG/shot, xG/goals, SOT%, G-xG, etc and if you want to further dissect you can go into average shot distance, shooting heatmaps, etc. There is no one statistic that tells the full story. But conversion rate is very likely one of the metric use in any multivariate analysis of a striker's quality, regardless of what type of model you want to use. In fact, I'd go as far to say, if you create an analytical model to measure the performance of a striker that does not take into account of their conversion rate (or any of its derivatives), your model should not be taken seriously.
 
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When I say it's one of the most important metric, I don't mean it's the ONLY metric used.

But it is one of the most important metric to measure finishing ability, along with other stats like xG/shot, xG/goals, SOT%, G-xG, etc and if you want to further dissect you can go into average shot distance, shooting heatmaps, etc. There is no one statistic that tells the full story. But conversion rate is very likely one of the metric use in any multivariate analysis of a striker's quality, regardless of what type of model you want to use. In fact, I'd go as far to say, if you create an analytical model to measure the performance of a striker that does not take into account of their conversion rate (or any of its derivatives), your model should not be taken seriously.

A striker with 15 shots to score 10 goals (0.66 conversion rate) is not a better finishing ability than a striker with 100 shots to score 50 goals (0.5 conversion rate). Higher conversion rate doesn’t make the striker a better finisher. There are still other factors to be considered.
 
So after scoring against Bodo Glimpt and Victoria Plzen, basically 2 Championship level teams he's now tearing up the Europa league and is on fire.

All 5 of Haaland's goals in the CL this season were against 3 clubs Slovan Bratislava(1), Sparta Prague (2) and Feyenoord (2)

6 of Lewandowski's 7 goals in the CL have come against Young Boys (2), Red Star(2), Stade Brestois (2)

True sign of a good goal scoring striker is bagging braces against Championship level sides in Europe
 
All 5 of Haaland's goals in the CL this season were against 3 clubs Slovan Bratislava(1), Sparta Prague (2) and Feyenoord (2)

6 of Lewandowski's 7 goals in the CL have come against Young Boys (2), Red Star(2), Stade Brestois (2)

True sign of a good goal scoring striker is bagging braces against Championship level sides in Europe
Don't bother, Hojlund could bag 30 a season for us until he leaves and people will still hate him and moan about it, they can never get over that we signed him instead of Harry Kane
 
A striker with 15 shots to score 10 goals (0.66 conversion rate) is not a better finishing ability than a striker with 100 shots to score 50 goals (0.5 conversion rate). Higher conversion rate doesn’t make the striker a better finisher. There are still other factors to be considered.
You ought to read the posts properly before answering.
 
Don't bother, Hojlund could bag 30 a season for us until he leaves and people will still hate him and moan about it, they can never get over that we signed him instead of Harry Kane
I’m not sure where the complaint is. The guy is clearly very talented. I thought the goal against Pilzen where he turned and shot with his left was quality. He’s only 21 too! He’s certainly a much better goal-scorer than Zirkzee and he’s a much more natural finisher than Rashford. I’m not saying more competition at the forward position shouldn’t be brought in but i personally think the chances are good he becomes a very good player for us in the coming years.
 
A striker with 15 shots to score 10 goals (0.66 conversion rate) is not a better finishing ability than a striker with 100 shots to score 50 goals (0.5 conversion rate). Higher conversion rate doesn’t make the striker a better finisher. There are still other factors to be considered.

Yes. Like I said, it's a multivariate analysis, I did not say it's the only metric used. I don't think I could have made it any clearer.

But any analytical model that attempts to measure finishing quality of a player simply cannot ignore conversion rate as one of it's metric, it is the one metric that is consistent used, thus being the most important one because of how widespread it is.

Again, before you reply thinking I meant to say we should ONLY be looking at conversion rate, I want to reiterate I am NOT saying that. We clear?
 
Yes. Like I said, it's a multivariate analysis, I did not say it's the only metric used. I don't think I could have made it any clearer.

But any analytical model that attempts to measure finishing quality of a player simply cannot ignore conversion rate as one of it's metric, it is the one metric that is consistent used, thus being the most important one because of how widespread it is.

Again, before you reply thinking I meant to say we should ONLY be looking at conversion rate, I want to reiterate I am NOT saying that. We clear?

You ought to read the posts properly before answering.

You guys need to go back to the original poster who posted only metric without looking at the bigger picture and other factors. What I’m trying to tell you is that the original poster posted only metric used without taking into other factors. Those metric from the original poster cannot be used to measure the quality of a striker without taking into other factors.
 
You guys need to go back to the original poster who posted only metric without looking at the bigger picture and other factors. What I’m trying to tell you is that the original poster posted only metric used without taking into other factors. Those metric from the original poster cannot be used to measure the quality of a striker without taking into other factors.
I am not disagreeing with you that other factors are required to holistically measure a striker's quality

I am disagreeing with you when you said conversion rate is not one of the important metric

Conversion rate is one of the most basal statistics that is used to form more advanced derivatives statistics.
It's literally just "How many goals you score? How many shots you took?" From there, do a bit of simple math and you'll get the conversion rate.
 
I am not disagreeing with you that other factors are required to holistically measure a striker's quality

I am disagreeing with you when you said conversion rate is not one of the important metric

Conversion rate is one of the most basal statistics that is used to form more advanced derivatives statistics.
It's literally just "How many goals you score? How many shots you took?" From there, do a bit of simple math and you'll get the conversion rate.

Anything can become important if they can be used. It’s not about the metric, it’s about how you use the metric.

Without considering other factors, it became meaningless, because you don’t use the metric properly. It lacks of context and bigger sample to compare. How can it be important if the metric become meaningless?

And the guy you originally replied actually said the right thing ‘’If only goals counted more if you take less shots to score them’’. Because the metric that was posted lacks of context and not considering other factors that can be involved.
 
Not too sure about that.

Rashford, by virtue of playing on the wings have more ground to cover. Pretty sure Rashford outrun him every game.
if he did (which I doubt) it would be straight into defenders like a headless chicken
 
Man City 1:2 Man Utd New
Loved how he got in the face of Walker. About time we show some teeth in these matches
 
Rasmas should have been awarded a penalty. IMO he was unlucky that we only started trying the ball over the top after he went off.
 
That was a sublime pass he played for Bruno, which should have been an assist. Also should have gotten a penalty. Happy with his contributions today.
 
Should have been given that penalty. Shocking decision not to award it. Should have got an assist, too. Thought he played well enough in his position from a goal-scoring sense, but we didn't really get into amazing shooting positions with him today.
 
Battled hard, didn't get many chances in front of goal.
 
Should have got a penalty, should have had an assist. Battled hard. Was better at losing his marker today, but supply up front is woeful.

We will get better as time goes and he'll have more scoring chances once we get a more reliable attacking system going, so I'm not worried.
 
We really need someone in midfield that can and will pass the ball. There were countless times he had pulled off the defenders looking for a ball inbehind and we just kept recycling it. Outside of that felt like he played quite well. Should have been awarded a penalty and Bruno had to finish that chance he created.
 
Some good runs, some good hold up play, almost assist. SHould stay on his feet more and he wins penalty or scores a goal. But he's done well today to secure his palce as a first striker.
 
Did everything right to get a penalty. Had a good assist to Bruno.

He shouldn't defend corners. Again too casual in our penalty box just as he was against Arsenal. He didn't even jump on Gvardiol. Which is strange when you see how aggressive he is in opposite penalty box.
 
Finally somebody who showed some hostility torwards City players during the match. Keano approves.
 
His hold up play as improved massively. Could of had an assist if Bruno finished
 
Did everything right to get a penalty. Had a good assist to Bruno.

He shouldn't defend corners. Again too casual in our penalty box just as he was against Arsenal. He didn't even jump on Gvardiol. Which is strange when you see how aggressive he is in opposite penalty box.
To be fair on the corner Dalot had the position and if Rasmus jumps he risks a collision. Of course he should have known Dalot would miss the ball anyway because Dalot…

He isn’t the best defending set pieces though so in general yes he needs to work on that part of his game.