What does 2013 have to do with 2024?
Argentina have a good spine, particularly the base, but going forward the fact remains you are talking about the "clicking probability" of a retiring ADM and Messi on his last Copa.
It's been like that for ages, heavily dependent on those two jointly. Every time ADM pulled a hammie it was automatically game over (no click possible).
At some point the wealth of talent Argentina can draw upon will have to stand up and be counted, but we are yet to see that. Mind, we haven't seen Colombia handling a big occasion successfully so it is more likely Messi and ADM turn it on 10-15 minutes and that being enough.
That those are the only years Uruguay has beaten Argentina.
But anyways, as always, people are underrating Argentina and overrating this colombian side. Uruguay were much better than them, in fact they were far superior with 11 players and Betancur on the field.
I don't think the click is a probabilty. This team has proven they get better as the tournament goes on, and I'm sure they'll step on the accelerator for this game. This Argentina side plays way better as a team and the improvement in every line to the other Argentina teams in the past is remarkable, especially in defense and midfield. Argentina has elite players now in Romero, Licha Martinez, Alexis Mac Allister, Lautaro Martinez. And the other players such as De Paul, Alvarez, Paredes, Enzo, Emi Martinez are a great set of good players that can turn to be great at some games. You've got the incoming of Carboni, Garnacho, Almada and in the future Echeverri, Mastantuono, Parmo or Nico Paz.
This team also has intelligence and fighting spirit, if they have to cut the game they'll do it, and if they have to play they'll do it. They know how to handle games and don't think they'll get desperate if Colombia scores or anyhing like that.
Colombia has the pressure here, their country is expecting for them to win. This is the most important match in their history, even if they won CA in 2001. They will have to handle that. If Argentina scores first it will be really tough for them. I believe most of their players felt the pressure against uruguay like Muñoz or James (who had to be taken out because he was about to get a second yellow card) and others are overperforming and are probably tired aswell.
I'm happy that Colombia is the finalist, as I wanted them to win this if Argentina doesn't get it. It will be a good thing for South America's game (this and Venezuela's campaign so far).
Sadly you just shat your pants and didn't reach the final to see who gets more Copas
By the way, many people said Argentina had the easiest side (and it was scripted, rigged, ArgenFIFA etc) but the "poor" Canada team didn't loose against any of Peru, Chile, Venezuela and Uruguay. Yet Argentina beat them comfortably twice.