Brexited | the worst threads live the longest

Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


  • Total voters
    194
  • Poll closed .
I'm not disagreeing with that. I'm just saying that once that result was in then for the democratic purists any 2nd referendum should only have the methods of leaving on the paper.

It will have the methods of leaving. Do you want to leave with this deal which is what the government has negotiated or is this not what you voted for? This ensures the whole country has a say in it and it does not exclude the 16.1m who voted to remain.
 
About 37% of the voting population. Wheres Remain got 35%. Turnout was 72% Voting population was 46m. So 28% people or nearly 13m didn't vote.

Maybe, and I am thinking on the fly here, another referendum could be offered, now that the choices were more 'informed' and voting was to be made mandatory.

Maybe also not do it on a work day. It's kind of insane we don't have voting on a bank holiday or a weekend like some countries do. I remember the last Brexit vote, ended up having to queue for ages and ended up late for work. Also there was a lot of delays at Waterloo due to the severe rain which may have impacted some people's ability/eagerness to vote.
 
Stop repeating this, it's wrong. More people didn't vote than voted leave the first time around. 17.4m is about a quarter of the population, and by all polls has shrunk since.
The number of people who were eligible to vote in the referendum was around 46.5 million, so 17.4 million represents about 37% of the total electorate. That's rather more than typically vote for the party which gets to form the government (which probably is rarely more than 25% of the electorate). The turnout for the referendum was over 72%, so the number of people who voted to leave is greater than the number who could have voted but didn't (as indeed is the number who voted to remain).

Your statement is broadly true (it's nearer 27%) if you are including all the people who weren't entitled to vote in the numbers, but I'm not sure why such a figure would be relevant.
 
It will have the methods of leaving. Do you want to leave with this deal which is what the government has negotiated or is this not what you voted for? This ensures the whole country has a say in it and it does not exclude the 16.1m who voted to remain.
It is difficult that's for sure. How do you word it so as to be fair and not make people feel they are being fecked over.
 
Tories return the whip of a sex-texter, so he can vote for he vicar's daughter.
 
I'm not disagreeing with that. I'm just saying that once that result was in then for the democratic purists any 2nd referendum should only have the methods of leaving on the paper.

Not really - if it turns out that, contrary to the promises of leading Brexiteers, “leave” means continuing to follow EU laws (but without having a seat at the table when those laws are made), then some moderate Leavers may wish to have the Remain option.
 
Downing Street suggesting 165 votes for May would be a good result. Seems like classic expectations management to me, they must expect her to get more but would be quite hilarious if the ERG were on the receiving end of a decisive 52%-48% defeat...
 
Out of curiosity how would cafites vote if they were MPs?

Consider you have this WA in front of you and if it gets voted down, we could be getting no-deal Brexit, or a referendum (with unknown options), or a GE . Would you vote for it or against it?

EDIT: For the record, I would probably vote for it.
 
Not really - if it turns out that, contrary to the promises of leading Brexiteers, “leave” means continuing to follow EU laws (but without having a seat at the table when those laws are made), then some moderate Leavers may wish to have the Remain option.
So, as I have said, a referendum is way too blunt an instrument for something like this.
 
Out of curiosity how would cafites vote if they were MPs?

Consider you have this WA in front of you and if it gets voted down, we could be getting no-deal Brexit, or a referendum (with unknown options), or a GE . Would you vote for it or against it?

EDIT: For the record, I would probably vote for it.
I'd vote for May's Deal. 100%. It's not as good as being in the EU but I actually think it has some potential.
 
So, as I have said, a referendum is way too blunt an instrument for something like this.

I agree it’s ridiculous but, given the original sin of Cameron’s decision to hold the referendum, it’s difficult to dig ourselves out of this hole without going back to a referendum.
 
Out of curiosity how would cafites vote if they were MPs?

Consider you have this WA in front of you and if it gets voted down, we could be getting no-deal Brexit, or a referendum (with unknown options), or a GE . Would you vote for it or against it?

EDIT: For the record, I would probably vote for it.

Speaking as someone from N.Ireland, who supports the Union but wouldn't vote for the DUP if you paid me - I'd back it over the no deal scenario. It actually benefits us in a way.

Obviously remain is the best option of all but we won't get that.
 
Speaking as someone from N.Ireland, who supports the Union but wouldn't vote for the DUP if you paid me - I'd back it over the no deal scenario. It actually benefits us in a way.

Obviously remain is the best option of all but we won't get that.
I can see how it would too. Benefits of the EU without having to pay for it - because future relationship could take years. NI could become the Hong Kong of Europe ;)
 
The 2016 referendum just asked if the UK should stay in or leave the EU but it didn't say whether there was any type of deal. Many people had many different opinions of what leaving the EU meant. Even now, two and a half years later, you can see that people still think it means many different things.
But no matter what any of us think there is a large enough proportion of Brexit voters who want no deal because they've been told that leaving with just WTO is nothing to be frightened of. Don't see how a government / parliament can deny that to the voters.

I see that line being used by some remainers since 2016 arguing hey it never said what type of deal and suggesting a Norway deal for example or soft brexit. I doubt it.

Brexit is about leaving or remaining. People voting leave would expect to end FoM, stop being a net contributor to the EU whether it's £200-240m a month or £350m, an ability to do trade deals and not be under EU laws and jurisdiction and get back UK fishing waters.

I don't believe people voting leave were thinking of a Norway deal or some other soft brexit deal where we stay in this sacrifice that. Norway have FoM and pay 95% of the fee to the EU for example.
 
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Out of curiosity how would cafites vote if they were MPs?

Consider you have this WA in front of you and if it gets voted down, we could be getting no-deal Brexit, or a referendum (with unknown options), or a GE . Would you vote for it or against it?

EDIT: For the record, I would probably vote for it.

I’d vote against it in the hope that, if we are still on the cliff edge in late March, there would be enough responsible MPs to avert disaster by voting to postpone Art 50. You can’t in good conscience reverse 45 years of integration, with the resulting enormous disruption, and make the UK poorer and less influential on the basis of a wafer thin referendum result influenced by outright lies and foreign powers.
 
He doesn't need to hear it. His mind is made up.
Like it was made up before the referendum you mean, when he wrote two articles, one for and one against, until he decided which way to jump at the very last minute. He is supposed to be a prospective leader and should be trying to influence opinion, but whenever anything happens he becomes paralysed with indecision and disappears for days on end.
 
Like it was made up before the referendum you mean, when he wrote two articles, one for and one against, until he decided which way to jump at the very last minute. He is supposed to be a prospective leader and should be trying to influence opinion, but whenever anything happens he becomes paralysed with indecision and disappears for days on end.
Looking at the beeb feed I think he's there with his brother now.
 
He doesn't need to hear it. His mind is made up.
I would say he has probably drafted two responses and both are polar opposites. He will release whichever will lead to his chances of furthering his quest for power.
 
I see that line being used by some remainers since 2016 arguing hey it never said what type of deal and suggesting a Norway deal for example or soft brexit. I doubt it.

Brexit is about leaving or remaining. People voting leave would expect to end FoM, stop being a net contributor to the EU whether it's £200-240m a month or £350m, an ability to do trade deals and not be under EU laws and jurisdiction and get back UK fishing waters.

I don't believe people voting leave were thinking of a Norway deal of some other soft brexit deal where we stay in this sacrifice that. Norway have FoM and pay 95% of the fee to the EU for example.

Agreed.

Whatever deal May could have brought back I don't see parliament agreeing to it. Labour will vote down any deal just trying to force a GE. And part of the Tories will never agree either. Never mind the DUp or SNP and the rest. Don't see how she gets the numbers to get any deal through. Btw imo Norway will be disastrous for the UK short of no deal.
 
Like it was made up before the referendum you mean, when he wrote two articles, one for and one against, until he decided which way to jump at the very last minute. He is supposed to be a prospective leader and should be trying to influence opinion, but whenever anything happens he becomes paralysed with indecision and disappears for days on end.
You said it much more eloquently than I did!
 
I would say he has probably drafted two responses and both are polar opposites. He will release whichever will lead to his chances of furthering his quest for power.
If May wins and does so comfortably then her chances of getting her deal through increase. Boris will then need to swing in behind her if he wants to capitalise on the fact that she is probably be giving undertakings, right now, that she won't contest the next election as leader.

The party that backed May in this VoNC may not back Boris as leader if it becomes known he voted to oust her.

I don't think that Boris has declared his writing a letter. It is conceivable the he will actually vote for May tonight.
 
I see that line being used by some remainers since 2016 arguing hey it never said what type of deal and suggesting a Norway deal for example or soft brexit. I doubt it.

Brexit is about leaving or remaining. People voting leave would expect to end FoM, stop being a net contributor to the EU whether it's £200-240m a month or £350m, an ability to do trade deals and not be under EU laws and jurisdiction and get back UK fishing waters.

I don't believe people voting leave were thinking of a Norway deal or some other soft brexit deal where we stay in this sacrifice that. Norway have FoM and pay 95% of the fee to the EU for example.

I agree no one voted for Norway (and why would you - it would be ridiculous for a country as big as the UK to be in that rule taker situation), but Leavers were constantly told that we could leave in the way you describe while having similar access to European markets as we enjoy today. No doubt a sizeable percentage of voters - some hardcore, ideological Brexiteers, as well as others who are unable to grasp, or too old, too alienated and/or too xenophobic to care, what a hard Brexit really entails - would still vote Leave if there was a second referendum tomorrow. But it’s disingenuous to assume that there is still 51.9% so exercised by sovereignty or fishing (0.2% of GDP!) that they are willing to plunge the country into chaos.
 
I see that line being used by some remainers since 2016 arguing hey it never said what type of deal and suggesting a Norway deal for example or soft brexit. I doubt it.

Brexit is about leaving or remaining. People voting leave would expect to end FoM, stop being a net contributor to the EU whether it's £200-240m a month or £350m, an ability to do trade deals and not be under EU laws and jurisdiction and get back UK fishing waters.

I don't believe people voting leave were thinking of a Norway deal or some other soft brexit deal where we stay in this sacrifice that. Norway have FoM and pay 95% of the fee to the EU for example.

Yeah I call bollocks to that.

 
Tory Brexiteers have launched a pamphlet setting out proposals for an alternative EU Withdrawal Agreement.

The paper, entitled A Better Deal, retains many elements of Mrs May's package but removes what they referred to as "poison pills" which prevented her securing cross-party support.

Backers of the new approach - including former Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab - said that the British Parliament had effectively rejected the PM's deal by making it impossible for her to get it through the Commons.

The document, drawn up by a former adviser to Liam Fox, Shanker Singham, customs expert Hans Maessen and lawyer Robert MacLean, proposed:

- No single customs territory between the UK and the EU, allowing Britain to regain control over tariffs and regulations and negotiate trade agreements with other countries;

- A 10-year, extendable backstop featuring advanced customs facilitation measures to keep the Irish border open, a zero-tariff free trade agreement in goods and a commitment by all parties not to place infrastructure on the border;

- Mutual recognition of regulations, with measures to ensure that the animal health and disease control zone on the island of Ireland can be maintained;

- Level playing field provisions on labour, the environment, competition and state aid;.

- The removal of geographic indications provisions from the Withdrawal Agreement, to be considered as part of a later free trade deal;

- The removal of language on World Trade Organisation collaboration, ensuring that the UK can operate independently in the WTO.

Launching the paper, former Brexit secretary Dominic Raab said: "There are modest and reasonable changes that could help salvage the proposed deal with the EU.

"The UK needs a unilateral exit mechanism from the backstop, but we can give the Irish Government assurances that we would put in place specific measures to guarantee no return to a hard border."

"This proposal can help deliver this and allay fears that the UK would be stuck indefinitely in an undemocratic regime of laws we have no control over and can't exit."

Also backing the paper was Mr Raab's predecessor as Brexit secretary David Davis.

Labour MP David Lammy, a supporter of the Best for Britain campaign for a second referendum, said: "The alternative plan of two failed Brexit secretaries is not a solution but a recipe for disaster.


"Not only would it create a hard border in Ireland, it would cut the UK off from our closest partners and make the whole country poorer, disproportionately hurting the worst off.

"As we stand, there is no clear majority in this House for any specific Brexit plan. The way to unblock our politics and get a mandate for a tangible plan to move forward is through a people's vote, which gives the option to remain in the EU."

https://www.breakingnews.ie/world/b...N7_-aD_M78DyeBNNkxvj0KeaA9UykhFPj_gJhV9ktyYg4
 
The problem with that is that the morons like Farage and the others didn't realise that staying in the single market meant keeping the 4 freedoms including freedom of movement and if they didn't do you think the electorate did?

I honestly don't think the electorate knew what they were voting for. So to say they did is a bit foolhardy.
 
We got any bets on the number of Tory votes against May? I will go for a relatively sedate 78.
 
Christ, she can't even tell the truth about standing down before the next election.