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Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


  • Total voters
    194
  • Poll closed .
It's very simple, either the UK stays in the CU/SM and there's no hard border or if they don't there is a hard border, there is no other choice, it's WTO rules, why doesn't anyone in the UK blow this out of the water straight away instead of pussyfooting around. It's not even a debate or a negotiation. Moronic.

Yeah, it's all hand-wringing at the moment because the Tories know it's not feasible to implement a border while also knowing their base will slaughter them if they remain in the single market.
 
EU draft agreement said:
AFFIRMING that the Good Friday or Belfast Agreement of 10 April 1998 between the Government of the United Kingdom, the Government of Ireland and the other participants in the multi-party negotiations (the "1998 Agreement"), which is annexed to the British-Irish Agreement of the same date (the "British-Irish Agreement"), including its subsequent implementation agreements and arrangements, should be protected in all its parts; RECALLING the commitment of the United Kingdom to protect North-South cooperation and its guarantee of avoiding a hard border, including any physical infrastructure or related checks and controls, and bearing in mind that any future arrangements must be compatible with these overarching requirements;

Stage 1 Agreement said:
49. The United Kingdom remains committed to protecting North-South cooperation and to its guarantee of avoiding a hard border. Any future arrangements must be compatible with these overarching requirements. The United Kingdom's intention is to achieve these objectives through the overall EU-UK relationship. Should this not be possible, the United Kingdom will propose specific solutions to address the unique circumstances of the island of Ireland. In the absence of agreed solutions, the United Kingdom will maintain full alignment with those rules of the Internal Market and the Customs Union which, now or in the future, support North-South cooperation, the allisland economy and the protection of the 1998 Agreement.

The only way to close the border is if The UK leaves without an agreement.
 
Yeah, it's all hand-wringing at the moment because the Tories know it's not feasible to implement a border while also knowing their base will slaughter them if they remain in the single market.

The Tories have guaranteed avoiding a hard border and saying they're leaving the SM/CU - it is not possible to do both, how does the government get away with it. I know why they're saying it but I don't understand how they get away with it, no government would have got away with it previously.
 
It's very simple, either the UK stays in the CU/SM and there's no hard border or if they don't there is a hard border, there is no other choice, it's WTO rules, why doesn't anyone in the UK blow this out of the water straight away instead of pussyfooting around. It's not even a debate or a negotiation. Moronic.
To me its very simple, no-one wants a hard border so don't have one, *****.
 
The only way to close the border is if The UK leaves without an agreement.

At this point in time that's about 99% certain. Plus the UK have already said they're not accepting the fallback option. The magical David Davis border invention would also have to be installed at Dover/Calais, wave the asylum seekers through the tunnel and let DD's invention sort that out.
 
I think we are at the point in negotiations where we think if we say the words louder and slower the foreigners will understand what we want
 
This page is pretty representative, I feel.
 
And in the mean time whilst we wait for every other nation on earth to agree?
While I have nothing against countries abiding to eu membership rules, they must apply to everyone and be adhered to by all members, until then they can feck off and stop using beurocratic bullshit as a tool. Somebody that is not willing to bend is making this more difficult than it need be.
 
It's very simple, either the UK stays in the CU/SM and there's no hard border or if they don't there is a hard border, there is no other choice, it's WTO rules, why doesn't anyone in the UK blow this out of the water straight away instead of pussyfooting around. It's not even a debate or a negotiation. Moronic.
Or leave NI in the Customs Union whilst the rest of Britain leaves, which is what the EU wants.

And would be extremely beneficial to all involved.

I can definitely see how doing that would make a united Ireland more likely but probably less so than putting an armed border between the two countries
 
Not really. The racists can't stop anyone entering the country
Did you know that some countries have visa free status to Ireland but not the UK, and visa versa. So someone from Swaziland can travel visa free to Ireland then illegally travel to the UK just by walking across the Ireland- Northern Ireland border.

Its only going to get worse!
While the CTA has, for most of its history, involved an open or relatively open border, since the Second World War this has not meant that someone who legally entered one part of the CTA was automatically entitled to enter another part. Unlike the Schengen Agreement, the CTA currently provides no mechanism for the mutual recognition of leave to enter and remain, and the UK and Ireland operate separate visa systems with distinct entry requirements. In general, a UK visa will not allow entry to Ireland nor vice versa.

The Channel Islands and the Isle of Man allow entry to holders of UK visas (with some exceptions). Bailiwick of Guernsey and Jersey immigration authorities routinely check non-EEA nationals seeking to enter the UK to ensure they have valid UK permissions.

In July 2011 Ireland introduced a limited pilot visa waiver programme under which the normal requirement for certain nationalities to hold an Irish visa is waived for visitors to the UK who hold valid UK visas.

Nationalities that are visa-free in the UK but not in Ireland
  • 23px-Flag_of_East_Timor.svg.png
    Timor-Leste
  • 23px-Flag_of_the_Marshall_Islands.svg.png
    Marshall Islands
  • 23px-Flag_of_Mauritius.svg.png
    Mauritius
  • 23px-Flag_of_the_Federated_States_of_Micronesia.svg.png
    F.S. Micronesia
  • 23px-Flag_of_Namibia.svg.png
    Namibia
  • 23px-Flag_of_Palau.svg.png
    Palau
  • 20px-Flag_of_Papua_New_Guinea.svg.png
    Papua New Guinea
Nationalities that are visa-free in Ireland but not in the UK
Irish visa-waiver nationalities
 
While I have nothing against countries abiding to eu membership rules, they must apply to everyone and be adhered to by all members, until then they can feck off and stop using beurocratic bullshit as a tool. Somebody that is not willing to bend is making this more difficult than it need be.

It's not the EU rules, it's the WTO rules. If the UK want to leave the EU, then they go but they're not going to get special treatment from anyone. I think all this was classed as scaremongering but it's all coming home to roost - what the Uk government want to do is impossible so they should stop wasting time posturing and deal with reality.
 
Or leave NI in the Customs Union whilst the rest of Britain leaves, which is what the EU wants.

And would be extremely beneficial to all involved.

I can definitely see how doing that would make a united Ireland more likely but probably less so than putting an armed border between the two countries

If May says she doesn't want CU/SM and passporting, Ireland might not be the biggest problem.
Imagine if someone had tried to do so much harm to the country in the past, they'd be in the Tower by now or worse.
 
While I have nothing against countries abiding to eu membership rules, they must apply to everyone and be adhered to by all members, until then they can feck off and stop using beurocratic bullshit as a tool. Somebody that is not willing to bend is making this more difficult than it need be.

That's makes absolutely no sense
 
It's not the EU rules, it's the WTO rules. If the UK want to leave the EU, then they go but they're not going to get special treatment from anyone. I think all this was classed as scaremongering but it's all coming home to roost - what the Uk government want to do is impossible so they should stop wasting time posturing and deal with reality.

No one wants a hard border, not difficult to understand.
 
UK and irish seem happy with no hard border

No one wants a hard border, not difficult to understand.

No-one wants a hard border except the people who voted for Brexit because that is precisely what they voted for.
They voted to leave the EU, if they want to leave the EU but not have a border they have to stay in the CU/SM, very very simple.
 
No-one wants a hard border except the people who voted for Brexit because that is precisely what they voted for.
They voted to leave the EU, if they want to leave the EU but not have a border they have to stay in the CU/SM, very very simple.

One can't expect them to understand that though, they have proven themselves incapable of it, hence they'll always point fingers elsewhere. And because there was a moment in 2016 where they outnumberd those that do understand they will eternally be right. They can do as they wish (not that they have wishes, they didn't think it through that far) and it shall always be someone else's fault should anything displease them as a consequence.
 
I see that we are still stuck in the hard/soft border fallacy.

No one want or asked for a hard border, what is required by WTO and common sense is a regulated border between two different economic areas with two different jurisdictions; regulated borders are soft borders. The entire problem here is that one part is asking for an open border while demanding for two totally independent jurisdictions. In theory the solution is simple, if you want an open border offer a custom union model that suits you and the EU.