Businesses spent as much as £7.7bn less on new factories and equipment in the year after the EU referendum because of Brexit uncertainty, according to analysis by the Bank of England.
The survey of 1,200 companies, published with the Bank’s quarterly inflation report last week, suggests corporate investment was about 3%-4% lower in the 12 months to June 2017 than it would have been — a loss of between £5.7bn and £7.7bn.
While the Bank’s figures do not suggest a severe hit to gross domestic product, lack of investment has often been identified as central to the UK’s low productivity growth.
“Firms seem to be taking the exporting windfall and banking it as profits rather than investing it,” said Peter Dixon, UK economist at Commerzbank.
The Bank of England said: “The prospect of the UK leaving the EU appears to have been a key influence on companies’ investment decisions. As a result, growth in business investment is likely to have been weaker than it would otherwise have been, given strong global demand and supportive financial conditions.”