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Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


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After reading a couple of articles it just sounds like a timing issue bundled into this whole thing. Can't imagine and hope MPs wouldn't vote against Brexit now.

They know full well there will be riots, so they wont vote against it.
 
like the woman banging on about sacking judges (presumably because they arrived a a decision she does not like)... and this is a woman standing for leadership of a major UK political party :wenger:

Straight out of the Donald Trump book of reactions to losing.

They know full well there will be riots, so they wont vote against it.

Think they will be more bothered about losing their jobs TBH.
 
Farage is concerned about a 'half-Brexit'... but wouldn't this be fair enough given only half the electorate voted for Brexit?
 
These tweets are crazy, I don't know a single democracy that doesn't require the vote of the parliament when it comes to international treaties and most of the time the qualified majority is used.

The UK's ratification of TTIP, for example, would not have required a Commons vote of approval. Or such is my understanding. The authority to do so rests with the Government.
 
The UK's ratification of TTIP, for example, would not have required a Commons vote of approval. Or such is my understanding. The authority to do so rests with the Government.

I find that crazy, international treaties affects several generations, it's hard to make them disappear because they affect to many aspects of people's and companies' lives. To me the vote of the parliament and a qualified majority are mandatory before their ratifications.
 
The country's negotiating position can be harmed well enough, simply through delays and by diluting our opening proposal. They could also withhold their support, unless there is a commitment to remain in the single market at all costs (or similarly maintain the ECJ's primacy).
 
Funny, watching brexiters lose their shit.
Far from loosing my shit.

As others have pointed out, MP's aren't going to vote against the will of the people, they'd be concerned about their jobs first and foremost. All the calls for a General Election would benefit the Conservatives too. I really couldn't see Labour having much of an impact and if people who voted leave feel their vote is threatened, they'd likely just move to UKIP giving them a huge boost.

At the end of the day, Article 50 will still be activated, and most likely within the time line stated, but there will be a lot more discussion and headaches to deal with.
 
The title made me think we were getting a Fallout spin-off based here after brexit. Pretty disappointed.

A "half Brexit" seems about right, 52% is only about half of the voters wanting it anyway. Maybe just kick the top 52% of the country out?
 
It was always a non-binding referendum, this was known at the time, so anyone losing their shit over the fact that parliament has to vote is a bit daft really, they absolutely should be voting.
 
The title made me think we were getting a Fallout spin-off based here after brexit. Pretty disappointed.

A "half Brexit" seems about right, 52% is only about half of the voters wanting it anyway. Maybe just kick the top 52% of the country out?
We should just half-leave, half-stay

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It would be a pretty major border if the Leavy-bit leaves the customs union, but I can live with that.
 
I find that crazy, international treaties affects several generations, it's hard to make them disappear because they affect to many aspects of people's and companies' lives. To me the vote of the parliament and a qualified majority are mandatory before their ratifications.

In other european countries, both CETA and TTIP need to go through parliament. I don't know how this is handled in Britain, but it certainly has nothing to do with the EU.
 
It was always a non-binding referendum, this was known at the time, so anyone losing their shit over the fact that parliament has to vote is a bit daft really, they absolutely should be voting.
Yeah I really dont understand.

I voted remain. But I understand that the majority of the country who voted, voted leave. So really, we have to leave. But it was a non binding referendum, so parliament needs to have a vote on it. But the MPs will vote to leave because thats what the people did. So it's fine.

What the government doesn't want to do is tell parliament their plan. Because they dont have a plan.
 
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What leavers are saying is that, parliament should not be allowed to vote on the biggest treaty change in half a century.
In which universe does that make sense?
The count case was only going to have one outcome.
 
I find that crazy, international treaties affects several generations, it's hard to make them disappear because they affect to many aspects of people's and companies' lives. To me the vote of the parliament and a qualified majority are mandatory before their ratifications.

Although it was not a legal requirement by the uk government I do think its lkely they would have sought parliamentary approval... constitutionally it is required in most countries (well all except us and malta)

I do wonder if the government will try and challenge the courts ruling - I suspect not as it will just take too long - probably a snap vote in the next couple of days instead?

Ref TTIP
2. Ratification process of the parliaments: single or multi-chamber systems

• In all Member States except for Malta and the UK a parliamentary approval process is necessary – the country’s constitutions define the approval procedure’s conditions and determine which chambers of parliament are involved in the decision-making.

• The following states are unicameral: Bulgaria, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Greece, Croatia, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Portugal, Sweden, Slovakia, Hungary, Cyprus.

• CETA and TTIP have to be passed through two parliamentary chambers in: Belgium, Germany, France, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Austria, Poland, Romania, Slovenia, Spain, Czech Republic.

3. Where are Referenda for Ratification possible?

• In half of all Member States referenda on the approval of international treaties are possible: Bulgaria, Denmark, France, Greece, Ireland, Croatia, Lithuania, the Netherlands, Austria, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, Hungary, Great Britain. Certain requirements have to be complied with in each country.

• Parliaments, Presidents and/or governments can initiate a referendum in the following countries: Bulgaria, Denmark, France, Greece, Austria, Poland, Romania, United Kingdom.

• Citizens themselves can initiate a referendum in the following countries:

➢ Croatia: 10 percent of the eligible voters can request a referendum from parliament.
➢ Lithuania: 300,000 citizens can call on their parliament for a referendum;
➢ Slovakia: A question e.g. through a citizens petition can be defined to be of “public interest.” The country’s Constitutional Court then examines if a referendum will be consistent with the constitution.
➢ Hungary: 200,000 eligible voters or 100,000 eligible voters and the President can propose a referendum;
➢ The Netherlands: since July 2015 300,000 citizens can request a non-binding referendum from their Parliament.
 
"Parliament should be sovereign, not Brussels!"
"Okay let's vote on article 50"
"This is treason."
 
All this is their fault. They won the vote without even formulating any practical plan as to how Brexit would actually look or the process taking us through it. Absolute mugs.
The government's language suggests, they know it's a farce. "we will make the best of it, we don't want a running commentary".
The whole thing is a waste of time.
 
Yeah I really dont understand.

I voted remain. But I understand that the majority of the country who voted, voted leave. So really, we have to leave. But it was an on binding referendum, so parliament needs to have a vote on it. But the MPs will vote to leave because thats what the people did. So it's fine.

What the government doesn't want to do is tell parliament their plan. Because they dont have a plan.
You're making the mistake of thinking that being in a democracy means we matter in any way.
 
I find that crazy, international treaties affects several generations, it's hard to make them disappear because they affect to many aspects of people's and companies' lives. To me the vote of the parliament and a qualified majority are mandatory before their ratifications.
According to this (no idea how reliable), the parliament of every European member state except the UK and Malta has to ratify the agreement. No idea why that would be different for us?
 
Far from loosing my shit.

As others have pointed out, MP's aren't going to vote against the will of the people, they'd be concerned about their jobs first and foremost. All the calls for a General Election would benefit the Conservatives too. I really couldn't see Labour having much of an impact and if people who voted leave feel their vote is threatened, they'd likely just move to UKIP giving them a huge boost.

At the end of the day, Article 50 will still be activated, and most likely within the time line stated, but there will be a lot more discussion and headaches to deal with.
Nobody believes A50 won't be triggered. But parliament will have a say and that's what matters.
 
This is really embarrassing, you have to laugh.

Well done 52%, good job.
 
The way Leaver's talk, one would think 90% of the country voted for it.
 
What was the result of the referendum of the number of constituencies that voted to leave v the number that voted to stay. does anyone know?

I guess thats what this will come down to now as the MPs will have to vote in line with their constituents.
 
I find that crazy, international treaties affects several generations, it's hard to make them disappear because they affect to many aspects of people's and companies' lives. To me the vote of the parliament and a qualified majority are mandatory before their ratifications.
It might be because we don't have a standing constitution. Just statutes and there being no precedent.
 
@sun_tzu Thanks for your post.:)

In other european countries, both CETA and TTIP need to go through parliament. I don't know how this is handled in Britain, but it certainly has nothing to do with the EU.

Some people will still blame the EU and want their sovereignty back.
 
I bet importers are stocking up right now on euros/stock as the pound/euro is the best its been in weeks!
£ is bound to crash again if, May calls a snap vote and the parliament agree to trigger it.
IMO, that's May's only option.
 
Surgeon sticks her own knife in.
Nicola Sturgeon has said the Scottish government will “actively consider” whether it will formally join in the next legal battle over the right of MPs to vote on Article 50 after today’s high court defeat for the UK government./QUOTE]
 
Another option May has is, calling a snap GE.
In that case, she risks opening the door again to UKIP.
 
£ is bound to crash again if, May calls a snap vote and the parliament agree to trigger it.
IMO, that's May's only option.
I think thats what she will do - but I actually think her best option (not the one I want her to take) would be to call an election - to say she is going to the people for a mandate to trigger article 50 and she would expect any mp elected on that mandate to back it in a vote - given the state of labour she would probably walk the election with a very workable majority and then have 5 full years to take us out of europe and not have to face a vote too soon afterwards (should the negotiations go as badly as I suspect they will) - not sure the has the metaphorical balls to do it though.
 
So lets say parliament votes 52 v 48% to go ahead with brexit hard style

Will the remain camp be happy with a game of paper scissors rock to try and overturn it? Or draw lots, or anything that will get the result I want
 
:wenger:
Iain Duncan Smith, the Conservative former work and pensions secretary and prominent leave campaigner, tells Sky News that he thinks most MPs would vote to invoke article 50. But he says that he does not think the courts have the right to tell the government what to do