Brexited | the worst threads live the longest

Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


  • Total voters
    194
  • Poll closed .
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-uk-leaves-the-eu-37586928

So the UK will argue for a transitional period - say up to five years - in order to negotiate a free trade agreement. During that period the UK would still trade and operate within the single market and accept EU rules.

Why would the UK do so? We thought that that the UK couldn't wait to spread their wings and get their sovereignty back from the evil EU. Also are they suggesting that the same group who refused preliminary talks will accept this?
We don't know what will happen yet. It's just guesswork up to now. I'm sure all the papers will make different guesses at various points over the next year or two.
 
It'll be fine in time. No need to panic.

Seriously why do you think that?

Every single group be it the EU, be it the markets, be it the US, be it traders, be it big business is rejecting the right wing extremism and comment of this govt?

Please explain how it is going to be fine because it clearly isn't?
 
It seems on this board at least the people most worried about Brexit are foreign, or Brits living abroad. This could mean the real Brits are all a bit on the thick side of course, but it is odd. Some of the foreign members are absolutely obsessed with the subject. Always an interesting read though.

About sums it up. The views of those who have first hand experience of UK immigration are pretty much ignored. Why bother letting fact blur rhetoric.
 
About sums it up. The views of those who have first hand experience of UK immigration are pretty much ignored. Why bother letting fact blur rhetoric.

Not entirely true. Businesses and those that benefit from immigration are shouting loudly and getting listened to.

My sector - universities - have direct lines to government departments.

Which really, if you think about it, just underscores the divides which have grown in the UK between communities and groups of people in the last 30 years.

In all likelihood Brexit means I will be out of a job in a few years. Yet that has to be balanced against the people in the UK who would have been out of a job in a few years if we had remained in the EU.

None of this is meant to pass judgment on what you said, by the way. It is more an explanation of why I will be fighting for a soft Brexit and as little change to immigration rules for EU citizens and high skilled migrants to the UK.
 
Not entirely true. Businesses and those that benefit from immigration are shouting loudly and getting listened to.

My sector - universities - have direct lines to government departments.

Which really, if you think about it, just underscores the divides which have grown in the UK between communities and groups of people in the last 30 years.

In all likelihood Brexit means I will be out of a job in a few years. Yet that has to be balanced against the people in the UK who would have been out of a job in a few years if we had remained in the EU.

None of this is meant to pass judgment on what you said, by the way. It is more an explanation of why I will be fighting for a soft Brexit and as little change to immigration rules for EU citizens and high skilled migrants to the UK.

UK people lived and studied in the EU countries before we became integrated into the EU, that won't stop. I think it will be a soft brexit, it's not in the UK's or the EU's interest to do it any other way.
Allowing uncontrolled immigration from the EU is the number one issue, rightly or wrongly.
 
UK people lived and studied in the EU countries before we became integrated into the EU, that won't stop. I think it will be a soft brexit, it's not in the UK's or the EU's interest to do it any other way.
Allowing uncontrolled immigration from the EU is the number one issue, rightly or wrongly.

I much doubt we'll see a soft Brexit
 
I much doubt we'll see a soft Brexit

I disagree, as much as the EU wants to discourage other countries leaving it's not in their best interest to start a trade war. The UK will have to pay some pice to get back control of it's borders and immigration, but it won't be extreme as we import far too much from the EU to make them cut off their nose to spite their face.
 
I disagree, as much as the EU wants to discourage other countries leaving it's not in their best interest to start a trade war. The UK will have to pay some pice to get back control of it's borders and immigration, but it won't be extreme as we import far too much from the EU to make them cut off their nose to spite their face.

The eu is not 1 country but is made of 27 countries all armed with a veto. A big chunk of it barely do any business with the uk and hold their freedom of movement very dearly. Why on earth would they vote against their interest?

Theres a reason why may is flirting with hard brexit and merkel is insisting on the no freedom of movement = no access to the single market ie they both have no choice. The eu is not the uk were scotland and north ireland have no real say in such affair. If a country is not happy by brexit it will use its veto and theres plenty of countries who are not happy losing their freedom of movement
 
Not entirely true. Businesses and those that benefit from immigration are shouting loudly and getting listened to.

My sector - universities - have direct lines to government departments.

Which really, if you think about it, just underscores the divides which have grown in the UK between communities and groups of people in the last 30 years.

In all likelihood Brexit means I will be out of a job in a few years. Yet that has to be balanced against the people in the UK who would have been out of a job in a few years if we had remained in the EU.

None of this is meant to pass judgment on what you said, by the way. It is more an explanation of why I will be fighting for a soft Brexit and as little change to immigration rules for EU citizens and high skilled migrants to the UK.

I feel the same way. After the last two years, I would have been very happy settling in England and settling into a career in the university sector. In about a 6 month period, the chances of that happening have dropped to more or less zero and this whole foreigner job registration thing has dropped right in the middle of me being processed for new jobs. Not interested now.
 
I disagree, as much as the EU wants to discourage other countries leaving it's not in their best interest to start a trade war. The UK will have to pay some pice to get back control of it's borders and immigration, but it won't be extreme as we import far too much from the EU to make them cut off their nose to spite their face.

It totally depends on what the UK wants, if they want to be members of the single market, they will have to pay and accept its rules but if they dont want to be members of the single market we will find tariffs acceptable for both parts maybe 12%-15%.
 
The eu is not 1 country but is made of 27 countries all armed with a veto. A big chunk of it barely do any business with the uk and hold their freedom of movement very dearly. Why on earth would they vote against their interest?

Theres a reason why may is flirting with hard brexit and merkel is insisting on the no freedom of movement = no access to the single market ie they both have bo choice

you really think that the EU will stop trading with the UK?
 
It totally depends on what the UK wants, if they want to be members of the single market, they will have to pay and accept its rules but if they dont want to be members of the single market we will find tariffs acceptable for both parts maybe 12%-15%.

12-15% :lol: That's BMW and AUdi fecked
 
It totally depends on what the UK wants, if they want to be members of the single market, they will have to pay and accept its rules but if they dont want to be members of the single market we will find tariffs acceptable for both parts maybe 12%-15%.
I don't think the UK want to be a member of the single market at all, just have the same access to the single market in the way other countries around the world have access.

Not allowing them access in the same way as others would be a form of discrimination would it not.
 
you really think that the EU will stop trading with the UK?

I think the uk will lose free unrestricted access to the single market and tarriffs on both sides will come to play. We are heading towards a nasty divorce
 
I don't think the UK want to be a member of the single market at all, just have the same access to the single market in the way other countries around the world have access.

Not allowing them access in the same way as others would be a form of discrimination would it not.

That means losing financial passporting and probably the automobile sector
 
12-15% :lol: That's BMW and AUdi fecked

Well, you don't really intend to produce the same quality of cars anytime soon, so Audi and BMW are fine.

I don't think the UK want to be a member of the single market at all, just have the same access to the single market in the way other countries around the world have access.

Not allowing them access in the same way as others would be a form of discrimination would it not.

20% VAT it is then.
 
I think the uk will lose free unrestricted access to the single market and tarriffs on both sides will come to play. We are heading towards a nasty divorce

There will be a relatively small tariff, it's not in either party's interest to do anything else. Please tell me different?
 
There will be a relatively small tariff, it's not in either party's interest to do anything else. Please tell me different?

I'll tell you there won't be, the EU want to cast the UK adrift and believe it or not we aren't a power house, in fact we are nothing.

Take your nationalistic head off and look at the real world.
 
Only it's not 12-15% and with the feckin basket case pound that number is falling rapidly. We have literally no cards to play, if you think we do just name them?

Yep so the UK wants it's own path, and it's now fecked? Jog on. The UK is a massive net importer, not sure what part of that is so difficult to understand.
 
Meanwhile in Ireland....

Fears mount in Ireland over post-Brexit ‘hard border’

Sharp divisions emerge among political leaders after legal challenge to EU exit gets under way

Sharp divisions have emerged among Northern Ireland’s political leaders, and between Belfast and Dublin, as the threat of a “hard” border on the island of Ireland emerges after the UK’s vote to leave the EU.

The disagreements came into the open this week after the Irish government announced it would establish an “all-island civic dialogue” to meet in Dublin next month to enable “the widest possible conversation on the implications of the referendum result for Ireland north and south and for north/south relations”.

They were also evident in the polarised political backing for a legal challenge to Brexit that got under way in a Belfast court on Tuesday. The challenge is based on the view that Northern Ireland has a veto over any change to its constitutional position following devolution and the 1998 Good Friday Agreement.

If and when the UK leaves the EU, the Irish border will become its only land frontier with the bloc. It was one of the most heavily fortified frontiers in Europe during the Troubles, but has in effect disappeared for all practical purposes during the past two decades. But with conflicting signals from London — and with the EU likely to have a big say in the matter — the Irish government is increasingly frustrated at the prospect of a new border undermining the political progress in Northern Ireland of the past few years.

Some 56 per cent of voters in Northern Ireland backed the Remain camp in the June referendum, with 44 per cent voting to leave. The Democratic Unionist party, the province’s largest political faction, backed the Leave campaign. All the other parties advocated Remain, and are now agitating against a “hard Brexit”, the course increasingly being adopted by Theresa May, the UK prime minister.

“The message we sent to Theresa May and her band of Brexiters [in the referendum] is that we do not consent and we will not consent to being taken out of Europe against the will of our people,” says Colum Eastwood, leader of Northern Ireland’s centrist Social Democratic and Labour party, which backs the legal challenge. The case was continuing in the High Court in Belfast on Wednesday.

The SDLP and Sinn Féin, the main Irish nationalist party in the north, say they will attend the civic dialogue on November 2. The event is expected to include business and trade union representatives, cross-border bodies and non-governmental organisations. The DUP and the rival Ulster Unionist party have rejected the initiative, illustrating the difficult task that the Irish government faces in securing any all-island approach to Brexit.

The British and Irish governments say they want to protect existing arrangements between north and south, which includes full freedom of movement and about €3bn of trade across the border each year.

James Brokenshire, the UK’s Northern Ireland secretary, said at the Conservative party conference in Birmingham this week that the UK government “will work to ensure that Northern Ireland’s unique interests are protected and advanced”.

Irish officials, however, say they have diminishing faith in such reassurances until the nature of the UK’s departure from the EU becomes clear. In the meantime, Enda Kenny, the Irish prime minister, is battling to convince a sceptical public that the government can address the threats of Brexit. These include not just the border question but disruption to trade between Ireland and Britain, which amounts to more than €1bn a week, and the possible ending of the common travel area.

“There’s a lot more work going on here than you realise,” he told the Irish parliament this week.

https://www.ft.com/content/56f62810-8afd-11e6-8cb7-e7ada1d123b1

That soft border was in place for good reason and, given Ireland is an EU member, a hard brexit carries threat for the EU beyond the obvious financial implications.
 
Really? You need a closer look.
Rest assured that will not happen if Merkel and the EU start playing silly sods with the UK. If you think otherwise you don't know your country very well.


Former military adversaries Britain and Germany are weighing up a serious defense alliance which would see UK helicopters stationed on German naval ships.
The plans, announced by UK Defence Secretary Michael Fallon, will see the two countries increase joint training exercises with Britain stationing a new Wildcat helicopter aboard a German warship during a Mediterranean Sea training mission in 2017.

Britain stands together with Germany to face the same challenges, including the threat from Daesh [Islamic State], and shares the same values of liberty, tolerance and justice,” Fallon said at a meeting with his counterpart Ursula von der Leyen at the German Embassy Friday.

https://www.rt.com/uk/361948-german-helicopter-military-alliance/
 
There will be a relatively small tariff, it's not in either party's interest to do anything else. Please tell me different?

The biggest issue will be financial passporting, which the UK will lose once outside the single market. Such disadvantage will remain even after the UK has managed to make a deal with WTO (which is far from straightforward, to start negotiation process the UK must be out of the EU and the process can last years. There's also plenty of countries in the WTO who doesn't like you very much too).
 
I'll tell you there won't be, the EU want to cast the UK adrift and believe it or not we aren't a power house, in fact we are nothing.

Take your nationalistic head off and look at the real world.


Get your toys out of the pram you big baby. We are nothing? WTF planet are you on?