Reposting...
Now, I'm obviously not empirically endorsing this view based on a single video, it's sources, and the supporting links below
ALONE... I'm just positing an interesting and somewhat convincing argument, that if even
potentially true, surely changes the contextual hysteria around "overpopulation" a fair bit.. No?
A hysteria that underwrites the likes of Brexit, and similar global right wing movements, quite strongly.
https://overpopulationisamyth.com/
https://www.acsh.org/news/2019/02/26/overpopulation-myth-humanity-will-begin-shrinking-century-13839
https://www.nytimes.com/2013/09/14/opinion/overpopulation-is-not-the-problem.html
https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/magazine/the-overpopulation-myth
I'd opened up a tab on that very video you posted yesterday, just hadn't gotten a chance to watch it yet! Will do soon. On the subject of hysteria, Retro Report have done some great journalism on precisely that subject and one report focused on overpopulation too. I think it's worth a watch, it's retelling stuff we already know but frames it well:
So yes on a broad level, I wholeheartedly agree that hysteria around overpopulation is unlikely to be useful. Before watching the video, let me clarify my (unquestionably simplistic) view. I'm not saying we should embrace depopulation to prevent overpopulation, I'm saying I don't think we should avoid depopulation just because it creates significant economic problems. Let's see if we can find a way to tackle those economic problems, and assess the significance of the non-economic benefits.
What we know is that we currently don't have a framework for a functioning society that is mostly "old", despite the fact that this is very much a reality we will have to face. To try and deal with that problem while sticking rigidly within our current framework, we've had to go out and recruit more young folks to deal with the "burden" of old folks. As a result of that, we've damaged the social cohesion of the country, because a significant portion of the population are uncomfortable about the implications of significant levels of immigration. So far we've not been very good at repairing or preventing the damage done to the social cohesion, and we know it creates significant problems. Yet our only plan currently is to amp that up significantly, while the society continues to get older.
I just think we're far too wedded to our current idea of how a society should function, that we're unwilling to consider different economic, political and other models that might be better suited to dealing with this new reality. Perhaps there is a better model out there that wouldn't need continuous population growth to fuel its economic system, and deals with the problems of an ageing society. I'm not saying there's an obvious answer, but that we should at least be open to the idea that the way we organise ourselves right now actually is't optimal on any level, and might be particularly unsuited to the future we're rapidly moving towards.
Generally speaking the arguments on this subject are based on the assumption that what we need to do is find a way to deal with this new reality that allows us to continue doing what we're doing. If our folks keep having fewer babies then we need more of those babies from elsewhere. Letting our population decline, even briefly? Literal madness! That's just not a good starting point to deal with this tricky problem, IMO.
And if we did start to stretch the outer limits of our global resources, cutting ourselves off from the world and attempting to rely on our paltry bland natural produce is gonna put us at a serious disadvantage... There’s a reason all our popular national dishes are colonial imports!
It’s almost as if these Leavers don’t actually want the truth, or any facts at all, lest it ruin the comforting notion that they voted as they did for upstanding logical reasons... and not dangerously ignorant and emotional ones, that are gonna cause a shit load of trouble for everyone, for years to come.
But we can’t say shit like that. ‘Cos its mean, and elitist. So... erm... Well done! I suppose. You definitely didn’t get conned by the tabloids!!
Since I've been tarred with that brush for being one of those awful, awful people that argues against the demonisation of the other as a strategy to achieve your own political objectives, I'll take this one on.
We know you like hyperbole but let's introduce a bit of reality back into it. Maybe you do encounter a few loons that say you can't say bad things to people you disagree with. You can't even tell them the truth if that upsets them. The idea that the a majority of any group are saying that is ludicrous, though, and we both know that. Most people on that side of the argument are not saying "you must not say this" and instead simply saying "it doesn't work in your favour to say this, it's mostly self-serving, and as long as you're cool with that feel free, let's just not paint it as something else".
Yes let's introduce some uncomfortable facts to people on the other side of the argument, and if there's no logical, factual argument that refutes it, let's entertain the notion that the argument wasn't made on logic at all. It could be good to listen to people and find out what their views were based on if not that. If they're uninterested in addressing the logical flaws in their argument, then it makes total sense to be pissed off that they made a potentially life-changing decision based on things they either didn't understand, or refuse to justify. If that decision has negative outcomes, or if you predict it to have negative outcomes, feel free to tell them the harm that it causes other people and what that makes you think of them. Just don't expect them to appreciate that, in the same way you wouldn't appreciate it in reverse.
If you need to move beyond that position to calling them idiots, liars and racists, then it makes you a bit of dick. We're all entitled to be dicks whenever we choose, but don't hold it against other people when they uphold that social norm. People that make significant errors of judgment are not idiots, otherwise we're all idiots, and the term becomes meaningless. People that are uncomfortable with the impact of immigration are not racists, and refusing to challenge that assumption just because you're much more comfortable with multiculturalism is an act of ignorance. We're all ignorant of many things, but demonising the other for their ignorance as a result of your own ignorance is unlikely to be constructive.
It's possible to be against the demonisation of the other, and to challenge other people's views on significant issues. I'll do it right now.
Why won’t it be fixed? If we are dictating the rules of entry, then I don’t share that view.
Anyway, spent way too much time on this thread during the course of today, I’m off, so we’ll agree to disagree
We were dictating the rules of entry for non-EU citizens, and we didn't curb immigration in any way. Look at
the numbers man. We can say conclusively that being part of the EU wasn't the cause of the immigration issue you perceive, and leaving the EU to dictate the rules of entry will not solve that problem. The facts are clear-cut on that one.
Reasonable people can disagree on whether the amount of immigration we've had in recent years is a good thing or a bad thing, but you can't agree to disagree on the basic facts of the matter. Being in the EU was not the cause of those immigration levels, the primary driver was the Non-EU immigration levels, which we already have control of, and which has increased significantly as a result of Brexit.
Can you agree that leaving the EU isn't a solution to that problem, in light of those facts? Or can you see why it is difficult for people to understand your perspective if you're unable to agree on the same basic set of facts, which might lead them to alternative conclusions about your motivations?