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Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


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Just got this in my in-box (something about the date tells me I shouldn't get too excited):

==================

Dear SW,

Parliament is going to debate the petition you signed – “Revoke Article 50 and remain in the EU.”.

https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/241584

The debate is scheduled for 1 April 2019.

Once the debate has happened, we’ll email you a video and transcript.

Thanks,
The Petitions team
UK Government and Parliament

====================

I've got one too.
 
They'll be debating this petition the same day.

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It doesn’t come as much surprise to see this petition was written by somebody with all the grammatical skills of a young child.
 
Donald Tusk:

'And here, let me make one personal remark to the Members of this Parliament. Before the European Council, I said that we should be open to a long extension if the UK wishes to rethink its Brexit strategy, which would of course mean the UK's participation in the European Parliament elections. And then there were voices saying that this would be harmful or inconvenient to some of you. Let me be clear: such thinking is unacceptable. You cannot betray the six million people who signed the petition to revoke Article 50, the one million people who marched for a People's Vote, or the increasing majority of people who want to remain in the European Union. They may feel that they are not sufficiently represented by the UK Parliament, but they must feel that they are represented by you in this chamber. Because they are Europeans.'
 
Is the indicative voting going to happen today then? When exactly, my British friends?
 
Jacob Rees-Mogg says he will back Theresa May's deal despite being vocal critic


Jacob Rees-Mogg has sensationally changed his mind on Theresa May’s Brexit deal saying he will now back the withdrawal agreement despite being one of its most vocal critics.

Mr Rees-Mogg, the chair of the 80-strong European Research Group of Tory MPs, said he was ready to back the deal as long as it wins the support of the DUP.

Writing in the Daily Mail, he said he apologised "for changing my mind” before admitting “by doing so I will be accused of infirmity of purpose by some and treachery by others”.

But he added: "I have come to this view because the numbers in Parliament make it clear that all the other potential outcomes are worse and an awkward reality needs to be faced."

While the passionate Brexiteer conceded the Prime Minister's deal was “a bad one” and he would rather leave under no-deal, he said this was now unlikely.

He also backed Mrs May by warning against a change of leadership amid speculation over her future.

“A number of Tory MPs think a new leader could swiftly renegotiate but that is almost certainly not true now that Parliament has taken control of the House of Commons timetable,” he wrote.

“It would be even harder for a Eurosceptic to manage the current Commons than it is for Mrs May.”

It came as Brexit figurehead Boris Johnson hinted he might be ready to swing behind the PM's deal, telling an audience of Daily Telegraph readers: "If we vote it down again, for the third time, there is now, I think, an appreciable risk that we will not leave at all."

However DUP Brexit spokesman Sammy Wilson said the party would hold firm on its stance on the withdrawal agreement.

He told the Telegraph that some former opponents of the deal "now take the view that the withdrawal agreement, even though it is a rotten deal, is better than losing Brexit".

"To them I say that, if the deal goes through, we have lost our right to leave the EU," he said.

Mr Wilson suggested that a long extension to Article 50, keeping the UK in the EU, was a better option even if it meant leaving without a deal at the end.

It comes with MPs set to vote on a series of indicative votes on alternatives to Mrs May's plan, including a call for a public vote on any deal and a demand for Parliament to choose between no-deal and no Brexit if the UK gets within two days of crashing out.

So much for this chancer.

 
It's all well and good JRM and a few of the other ERG changing their minds but they still don't have the numbers. The DUP will not back it and neither will the majority of the rest of the house.

I will be shocked if it passes.
 
What's the deal with nearly every random person questioned about Brexit on the street being a leaver? And most likely the real stereotypical "dem foreigners" types....

BBC, CNN, etc... Don't remainers give good hot takes?
 
Why has everyone stopped mentioning Bercow's statement on not allowing another vote on the rejected WA proposal (unless it's substantially altered) - or have I missed something?
 
Meanwhile, looks like they've already started to solve the problem of what to do, post-BREXIT, with all that spare cash they'll save once wasteful MEPs are not frittering our money away in Brussels:

The $16m New York penthouse fit for a UK civil servant
Exclusive:
Luxury apartment next to UN headquarters to be used by senior diplomat charged with seeking post-Brexit trade deals

"The government has bought a $15.9m (£12m) seven bedroom luxury New York apartment for a senior British civil servant charged with signing fresh trade deals in a post-Brexit world, the Guardian can reveal. …"

Full story: https://www.theguardian.com/politic...new-york-penthouse-fit-for-a-uk-civil-servant

Tbh sounds like a good investment. Not like prime real estate in NY is going to lose value any time soon.
 
Jacob-Rees Mogg has written an article in the Daily Mail, confirming that he intends to back May’s deal.

He writes:

I apologise for changing my mind. Theresa May’s deal is a bad one, it does not deliver on the promises made in the Tory Party manifesto and its negotiation was a failure of statesmanship.

A £39 billion bill for nothing, a minimum of 21 months of vassalage, the continued involvement of the European Court and, worst of all, a backstop with no end date.

Yet, I am now willing to support it if the Democratic Unionist Party does, and by doing so will be accused of infirmity of purpose by some and treachery by others.

Or being a complete charlatan and liar.

Jacob you wont be accused of being Liar. You have straight up admitted to be a liar.
 
So... Are we still teetering on the brink or is there some progress?
 
What's the deal with nearly every random person questioned about Brexit on the street being a leaver? And most likely the real stereotypical "dem foreigners" types....

BBC, CNN, etc... Don't remainers give good hot takes?

More entertaining and you might get some xenophobic shit out of it. Pretty boring if you ask a remainer why they voted and they don’t have a good reason. “Erm not sure really” isn’t very interesting or funny. Just sad

Nobody sensible ever gets interviewed outside football grounds either
 
Why has everyone stopped mentioning Bercow's statement on not allowing another vote on the rejected WA proposal (unless it's substantially altered) - or have I missed something?

Corbyn's bringing back his unicorn motion today for the 3rd time even though it's also been rejected twice. Don't think parliament will deliver anything sensible.
 
More entertaining and you might get some xenophobic shit out of it. Pretty boring if you ask a remainer why they voted and they don’t have a good reason. “Erm not sure really” isn’t very interesting or funny. Just sad

Nobody sensible ever gets interviewed outside football grounds either
I think there are many remainers who were just as uninformed but just happened to choose the less catastrophic option. Really there should have never been a referendum in the first place.
 
Anyone signing that petition is a idiot. The petition doesn't even call for a second refendum but to just stop Brexit.

Also lets not reward people for signing online petition.
 
Sadly its not really mate, it's more a matter of reality.[/QUOTE]

Your reality I take it ?

"Truth, what is that?" (Pontus Pilot)

Nevertheless have a good day and sit back and watch the antics in the House of Fun (sorry House of Parliament).
 
Donald Tusk:

'And here, let me make one personal remark to the Members of this Parliament. Before the European Council, I said that we should be open to a long extension if the UK wishes to rethink its Brexit strategy, which would of course mean the UK's participation in the European Parliament elections. And then there were voices saying that this would be harmful or inconvenient to some of you. Let me be clear: such thinking is unacceptable. You cannot betray the six million people who signed the petition to revoke Article 50, the one million people who marched for a People's Vote, or the increasing majority of people who want to remain in the European Union. They may feel that they are not sufficiently represented by the UK Parliament, but they must feel that they are represented by you in this chamber. Because they are Europeans.'
At least 1 politician is listening to the other side.
 
Corbyn's bringing back his unicorn motion today for the 3rd time even though it's also been rejected twice. Don't think parliament will deliver anything sensible.

I know, and I agree, but everyone (in media and on here) is expecting MV3 on May's proposal as if Bercow has not stated that he will not allow it unless the proposal is substantially different from the previous, rejected version - and we've heard from the EU that they will not accept further discussion on this version of the WA (of course I'm aware that what's once said does not matter much in politics). So is it at all possible/probable that the speaker could dismiss MV3 once the same proposal is tabled (as he said he would)? And if so, why is no one taking that into account, or at least mentioning it any more?
 
I know, and I agree, but everyone (in media and on here) is expecting MV3 on May's proposal as if Bercow has not stated that he will not allow it unless the proposal is substantially different from the previous, rejected version - and we've heard from the EU that they will not accept further discussion on this version of the WA (of course I'm aware that what's once said does not matter much in politics). So is it at all possible/probable that the speaker could dismiss MV3 once the same proposal is tabled (as he said he would)? And if so, why is no one taking that into account, or at least mentioning it any more?

There are ways round it I think.
 
Guide to the 16 alternative Brexit plans on today's order paper
There are 16 Brexit plans on the order paper for today’s debate. The Speaker, John Bercow, will announce which ones will be put to a vote, probably when the debate proper starts at about 3pm.

You can read them all on the order paper here (pdf).

And here is a Press Association guide to what they all are.

Labour plan

Labour has tabled a motion proposing its plan for a close economic relationship with the EU. The plan includes a comprehensive customs union with a UK say on future trade deals; close alignment with the single market; matching new EU rights and protections; participation in EU agencies and funding programmes; and agreement on future security arrangements, including access to the European arrest warrant.

Common market 2.0

Tabled by Conservatives Nick Boles, Robert Halfon and Andrew Percy and Labour’s Stephen Kinnock, Lucy Powell and Diana Johnson. The motion proposes UK membership of the European free trade association and European Economic Area. It allows continued participation in the single market and a “comprehensive customs arrangement” with the EU after Brexit, which would remain in place until the agreement of a wider trade deal which guarantees frictionless movement of goods and an open border in Ireland.

Confirmatory public vote

Drawn up by Labour MPs Peter Kyle and Phil Wilson and tabled by former foreign secretary Dame Margaret Beckett with the backing of scores of MPs across the House, this motion would require a public vote to confirm any Brexit deal passed by parliament before its ratification.

Customs union

Requires a commitment to negotiate a “permanent and comprehensive UK-wide customs union with the EU” in any Brexit deal. Tabled by veteran Conservative Europhile Ken Clarke, backed by Labour’s Yvette Cooper, Helen Goodman and chair of the Commons Brexit committee Hilary Benn and Tory former ministers Sir Oliver Letwin and Sarah Newton.

Malthouse compromise Plan A

A cross-party proposal calls for Theresa May’s withdrawal agreement to be implemented with the controversial “backstop” for the Irish border replaced by alternative arrangements. Backed by Conservatives from both the leave and remain wings of the party, including Nicky Morgan, Jacob Rees-Mogg, Damian Green, Steve Baker and Sir Graham Brady, as well as the DUP’s Nigel Dodds and Labour Brexiteer Kate Hoey.

Revoke article 50

Under this plan, if the government has not passed its withdrawal agreement, it would have to stage a vote on a no-deal Brexit two sitting days before the scheduled date of departure. If MPs refuse to authorise no-deal, the prime minister would be required to halt Brexit by revoking article 50. The motion, tabled by the SNP’s Joanna Cherry, has been signed by 33 MPs including Conservative former attorney general Dominic Grieve, Liberal Democrat leader Sir Vince Cable, Labour’s Ben Bradshaw and all 11 members of The Independent Group.

Revocation instead of no deal

Under this plan, the government is called on to “urgently” bring forward any legislation needed to revoke article 50 “in the event that the house fails to approve any withdrawal agreement four days before the end of the article 50 period”. It has been signed by 28 MPs, including the SNP’s Angus Brendan MacNeil and Tory MP Ken Clarke.

New customs union

Tabled by Labour’s MP for Stoke-on-Trent Central Gareth Snell, this motion simply states that it should be the government’s objective to implement a trade agreement including a customs union with the EU. It mirrors an amendment to the trade bill secured by Labour peers in the House of Lords.

EEA/EFTA without customs union

A motion tabled by Conservative MP George Eustice - who quit as agriculture minister this month to fight for Brexit - proposes remaining within the EEA and rejoining EFTA, but remaining outside a customs union with the EU. The motion was also signed by Conservative MPs including former minister Nicky Morgan and head of the Brexit Delivery Group Simon Hart.

No deal

Backed by Conservative MPs John Baron, David Amess, Martin Vickers and Stephen Metcalfe, the motion proposes leaving the European Union without a deal on April 12.

Unilateral right of exit from backstop

The same four Tory MPs, as well as Andrew Percy and Neil Parish, have also backed a motion to leave the EU on May 22 with Mrs May’s withdrawal agreement amended to allow the UK to unilaterally exit the Northern Ireland backstop.

Consent of devolved institutions

Backed by SNP MPs including Ian Blackford, Kirsty Blackman and Stephen Gethins, this motion requires an agreement that the UK will not leave without a deal, and that no action for leaving the EU will be taken without a consent motion passed in both the Scottish parliament and the Welsh assembly.

Contingent preferential arrangements

A group of Conservative MPs, including Marcus Fysh, Steve Baker and Priti Patel, have signed a motion that calls for the government to seek to agree preferential trade arrangements with the EU, in case the UK is unable to implement a withdrawal agreement with the bloc.

Contingent reciprocal arrangements

A similar group of Tory MPs have backed a proposal calling for the government to “at least reciprocate the arrangements put in place by the EU and or its member states to manage the period following the UK’s departure from the EU”, in case the UK is unable to implement a withdrawal agreement.

Respect the referendum results

A cross-party proposal, signed by 94 MPs including the Conservatives’ Will Quince, Labour’s Frank Field and the DUP’s Nigel Dodds, urges the house to “reaffirm its commitment to honour the result of the referendum that the UK should leave the European Union”.

Constitutional and accountable government

Tabled by Sir Bill Cash and other Tory Brexiters, this backs leaving the EU, rejects the government’s withdrawal agreement and proposes changing Commons standing orders so that a two-thirds majority would be needed to allow any fresh attempt to allow indicative votes debates to take precedence over government business on any given day.
 
The petition doesn't even call for a second refendum but to just stop Brexit.

Yes I agree, why don't they start an individual petition for all the indicative votes proposed in Parliament, then the world and his wife can vote along with the MP's, after all isn't one of the early definitions of democracy thought to be derived from " Mob rule"?
 
So there are supposedly 17 different motions to be considered by the Speaker and whittled down and that doesn't include the actual Withdrawal Agreement.

Thus 18 different forms of Brexit or non-Brexit and Leavers supposedly knew what they voted for. And all this two days before the Uk are supposed to leave. The world is looking on.

Well the world can look on all it likes.
The inescapable fact is that leaving the EU in an orderly manner is extremely complicated. We are the first country to do this and in my opinion it will take as long as it takes to get to an acceptable solution; whatever that is.

Let's remember that A50 was never intended to actually be used and therefore the timescales were arbitrarily set.
We can keep beating ourselves up but, testiment to the referendum result, this has been and will continue to be incredibly divisive.
There is no right answer save for making the best of a particularly bad and self inflicted decision.
 
Anyone signing that petition is a idiot. The petition doesn't even call for a second refendum but to just stop Brexit.

Also lets not reward people for signing online petition.

Well, if it achieved nothing else, it elicited a helpful response from Donald Tusk today.
 
Well the world can look on all it likes.
The inescapable fact is that leaving the EU in an orderly manner is extremely complicated. We are the first country to do this and in my opinion it will take as long as it takes to get to an acceptable solution; whatever that is.

Let's remember that A50 was never intended to actually be used and therefore the timescales were arbitrarily set.
We can keep beating ourselves up but, testiment to the referendum result, this has been and will continue to be incredibly divisive.
There is no right answer save for making the best of a particularly bad and self inflicted decision.

But that is the problem, there is no answer because they won't come to a decision. But not coming to a decision also has consequences so if they don't the UK will partake in the EU elections very shortly. The uncertainty is no good for anyone.
 
Revoke artical 50
Revocation instead of no deal
Confirmatory public vote

The rest are unworkable unless there's a long extension. Labour's are only workable of there's a Labour government and the EU are willing to negotiate.
 
There are ways round it I think.

None of them looked really convincing to me last week (apart from the possibility of preventing speaker's decision by the change of standing orders, which would require voting, so unpredictable at least). But obviously, I am wrong (or just naive). Anyway, thanks for the reply.
 
Revoke artical 50
Revocation instead of no deal
Confirmatory public vote

The rest are unworkable unless there's a long extension. Labour's are only workable of there's a Labour government and the EU are willing to negotiate.

Labour and Malthouse are the two worst ones. Absolutely impossible nonsense.
 
There are ways round it I think.

Isn't one of those being to lock Bercow in a cupboard somewhere deep and dark in the Palace of Westminster? Or maybe send him to the Tower!

Will Shakespeare would have made great with what is now unfolding in our Parliament.
 
Saw Barry Gardiner trending and knew it would be bad.
In fairness he's not said anything we didn't already know, the leadership of the party support Brexit, but every time he's on (which seems to be an awful lot) I just despair because he's so shit.
 
So much for this chancer.

I wonder following the weekend meeting with Theresa May, if this is JRM's bid for the Tory Party Leadership post Brexit/May? If so he has stolen a march on Boris and Gove.

These high Tory's have a real nose for political survival do they not? JRM castigates the PM's deal but then says (in so many words) for the sake of the Country (means party) I will hold my nose and vote for it, if others ( call to rally the troops) will do likewise.