@Fortitude he actually in the Parker fight showed quite good moment at getting in and out the way of shots, Parker at times charged at him and AJ just kept moving out the way of the shots. He was getting in putting in shots then stepping back out making Parker’s shots fall short. His jab looked quite good and was a weapon in this fight doing enough to keep Parker at bay or at least make him 2nd guess his approach.
Raul mentioned we need to throw out what we know because Wilder is unconventional.
Personally, for me he isn’t unconventional he’s just not a very good boxer. However on the odd occasion I’ve been sparring, people who don’t really know what the hell they are doing are the ones that catch you with stupid shots. Often they aren’t good punches, powerful or even clean hits and watching Wilder that’s what he reminds me of. Like a guy in a Worldstar video.
There is obviously the chance that if AJ isn’t switched on to these leap in looping attacks he could take a shot but I think personally that is also Wilders biggest weakness, because if he does that
and AJ sees it which shouldn’t be too hard technique will trump it.
An unconventional boxer for me is Connor, switching stances changing angles picking different types of shots because he is so well balanced which is the big difference. Wilder over reaches, puts himself off balance which puts him in so much danger I’m surprised he’s made it this far with that record.
Edit: thinking about the fight again, Parker did a great job of not giving AJ a target to unleash the right. In a way his tactic is why it kept getting tangled up and broken as he kept his shoulder high then ducked away to the right giving AJ no target. However AJ did notice this, stopped looking for the right and then instead started throwing a left dig like shot akin to looking for a liver but instead he was catching Parker on the bonce as he was coming in. To me that’s good boxing IQ. I think both showed some intelligent boxing and both sort of cancelled out each other making it a bit boring, but that’s what happens when you have to skilled boxers.
I got back and finally sat down to watch the fight for myself.
First thing I'll say is that Joshua needs to keep himself around that weight and not go back up to what he was - he looked much more able to carry himself, and even though he still slowed quite a bit - which is where the middle rounds went - he didn't reduce to practically zero output. He's still clearly susceptible to any good fighter who can push the pace for a concerted period of time and make him work more than he want to, though, which, before we consider other things, Fury would [have] had him doing.
He took the centre of the ring and worked concertedly behind the jab, which was nice to see, but his work is so... stiff.. this is something that always will leave openings for those good or bold enough to exploit.
I don't think the fight was boring, and I should know better than to go by second-hand reports, as you're then trusting the judgement of someone else to assess nuance (especially), it was a considered and strategical fight and better to see than a slugfest with ill-considered bombs being thrown all night.
The head movement wasn't good, but Joshua use of the gloves and parrying was better - at least if he can't move his head, keeping his hands up and adopting glove absorption is better than nothing at all, problem is, using the gloves in that way is literally custom-made for looped, circular shots, and with the torque and end-point of Wilder's punchers being huge and further around than a proper puncher's, that same hold the hands up and parry is ripe for Wilder to land hits behind the unsighted eye/glove and to the back side of the head.
This was my point about the jab being essential to stop Wilder from loading up, as I don't think once he does, Joshua has the defense to stop the shots from landing and ringing his ear/head - he can't move out the way, so he'll be trying to parry, which is a risky business with someone whose punches are much faster at end point than at the start - very easy to misjudge the swing and get clobbered, either by his own parried hand into his ear/head, or, as stated completely behind the unsighted eye and to the back of the head where the glove is not.
I still see nothing that suggests he can keep firing that jab for an extended period of time. If Wilder can make AJ work by simply stepping in and out (big ask for Wilder I know), thus forcing him to keep using the jab as a defensive tool, AJ will, 100% stop doing it everytime via tiredness in the middle rounds, imo. This is the best his tank can get to, unless he goes even lighter, and I don't think that's good for the frame he has.
For the bolded: I think there's two different types of conventional; the fighter who throws with consideration from awkward, but considered angles with a strategy and a game plan, ala Hamed or Eubank Sr., and then the other type who is wild, ill-considered and doing everything on so much instinct even they don't know what they'll do next. Wilder fights like a child, but at the same time, it's a child with hammers in both hands... all those swings then become dangerous, even if they are funny looking and completely unorthodox. What this also means for AJ is he can not get a single fighter in to recreate that style and prep for it - all he can do is watch videos and have a list of do's and do not's to try and negate the befuddling nonsense he may face. For someone as stiff, rigid and conventional in style as AJ is, this is a huge problem, imo as orthodox fighting against set styles is much better for his camp and the way he fights - AJ is not going to freestyle or come up with counter measures on the hop, imo - I actually think the first signs of his gameplan not working will see him open up and go straight to war, as that's his failsafe. I don't fancy him in a melee fight against a harder, more unpredictable puncher, personally.
Bolded the last part because I wanted to point, as I have done, that with the parry style, AJ won't see some of the shots and angulation coming, and those shots are the ones that often but fighters to sleep.
I don't have Wilder as overwhelming favourite despite the above, but I do think this is a contest that easily goes either way as I still see nothing that prevents Wilder getting in for the entirety of the fight (specfically related to Joshua invariably tiring in the middle rounds - he will) and that's where this becomes a 50-50, not the one-sided fight some swear it will be.
He’s not unconventional in the way that Fury is, which makes him hard to hit and gives him the ability to strike from unfamiliar angles. When you say Wilder is ‘unconventional’ you mean he doesn’t have any real boxing ability. He swings for the fences on the premise that he’ll land sooner or later, that’s it. His only weapons are his reach and his knockout power, both of which Joshua has in ample supply. In every other aspect Joshua is superior, and that isn’t because Joshua is some elite level boxer, it’s because Wilder is pretty poor.
No one is saying it’s a non contest, just that it’s highly likely Joshua wins. We’re giving Wilder a punchers chance because of his knockout power.
Above posts relates to this too. You've pretty much contradicted yourself in the last paragraph, no? A puncher's chance is practically saying it's a non-contest. I just can't buy into that.
Wilder's unconventional, lets face it pathetic skill set can make him a danger with one shot at any time because even he doesn't know when and how he's going to throw and from what angle. I liken him to Ricardo Mayorga. Awful technique but he threw a few top class boxers off with it like Vernon Forrest and Shane Mosley but for example Cory Spinks just played into his own strengths and outpointed him and Trinidad and De La Hoya weren't phased by him and obviously so technically superior they just took his advantage away and pummeled him.
Wilder has some of the worst footwork I've EVER seen on a world champion, an incredibly low Boxing IQ in addition to a laughably bad technique but in the Heavyweight division in this day and age one shot is all it takes. I'll add this though he does possess good speed and I think he can actually jab to a decent level but if he tries to use those parts of his game against anyone in the top 5 he'll fall far behind and probably lose. His only hope is to go for broke either from the start or once the opponent is going in for the skill on him.
And this is where his tools come to the fore and make him a serious threat, for all his numerous flaws and failings as a boxer. He mightn't be a brightspark, but even he knows how to make opponents work and he knows they fear his power, which makes them throw just to ward him off. There's definitely an inlet there in just making Joshua [over]work and then opening up the fight. I think even Wilder is capable of executing that gameplan... unless the pressure and atmosphere in front of 80,000 plus gets to him, in which case all the talk will be redundant.