SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

Cant he furlough his staff?

Not a good place for him to be in, but good that you can help them out for the time being.
Furlough money hasnt came through yet.

He should have received 10k grant for each store if he pays rates though, unless that was just in northern ireland?
 
Is this not the guy that wss interviewing a scientist a few weeks ago and the scientist more or less called him a liar

Yes. He's an attention seeker who for the most part can and should be ignored.
 
Only have anecdotal information about West Africa, but my family & friends have said that in Ghana & Nigeria - people who flew into the international airports were being screened for high temperature/fever as early as February.

For Ghana specifically, the government placed international travellers into enforced quarantine for 14 days at various hotels, and tested them at some point in the last 2 weeks of March (my mum landed March 14 and didn't have to quarantine). If I remember correctly, as of end of March, there were about 150 cases, approx 2/3 of them were from those in the hotels, and the remaining third came from the general Ghanaian public.
The country then went in lockdown at the start of April, stopped all flights & closed the borders with about 200 reported cases - as of now there are about 900 cases that have been reported and so far about 10 deaths so they're definitely on the uphill part of their peak, but i'm hoping the death rate continues to remain low.

Whether those numbers are 100% accurate is a separate discussion, I don't think any country is reporting accurate numbers right now - but certainly the Ghanaian Government has been very proactive, and because of their early action while the numbers were low - they've certainly saved a lot of lives.
I have a theory on why I think the death rate is so low, but this isn't the thread for that and don't think it's appropriate right now anyway.


Honestly man, can you PM me it? I love hearing about and reading things like this. I'm being serious, I'd love to read your views on it.
 
Sad thing is if the UK government had shut down a week earlier for the same 5 week period, we'd have something like half the number of deaths and infections we do now. Maybe less


I am not so sure. I am surprised that no one seems to have made a link between the fact that mid February saw half term throughout England with the world and his wife going abroad either skiing or seeking the sun. I wonder how many came back infected without knowing it? Now had you have said we should have locked down at the beginning of Feb I would have agreed with your supposition. Just a thought on my part.
 
A lot of papers running with the story that UK schools will reopen in three weeks.
 
Cant he furlough his staff?

Not a good place for him to be in, but good that you can help them out for the time being.

He has but is still waiting for money to come in from the scheme and he felt he couldn’t leave his staff with nothing or he probably wouldn’t have staff to return to work when he does re-open, if he even can.

This is the grim reality of the economic side and should be read by everyone who thinks health and the economy are separate issues to be dealt with individually

It’s woken me up a bit to be honest. I’ve been working from home for about 6 weeks now with my girlfriend on maternity in our own bubble and it’s really hit home. I feel a bit helpless now as I can’t even go round to see him. My sister is a nurse so the stress and anxiety of that is compounding the issues. You’re right though, I’d previously paid little attention to the economy until it affected those close to me.
 
Is anyone else a little concerned by how things such as an NHS app is being developed tracking our movements to see our contacts , which although useful right now, could become permanent after?
We’re all very compliant & obedient which again is brilliant right now.

Just a bit uneasy about it all,
 
it's a nightmare.

I don't envy those who are tasked to make these decisions.

However since no one with serviceable grey matter believes we're in lockdown until we get a vaccine, we need to put on our grown up pants and make these big decisions.

How we're managing the period between lockdown and vaccine is an enormous decision and I'm afraid we can do relatively little to influence our decision makers. We just have to trust whatever they decide and be ready to punish them at the ballot box if they make a mistake.
How about you stop talking down to people about putting on their grown up pants?

you disagree with many here but try to treat people with respect. No-one has been through this before, many think they have an answer but no one knows for sure. everything is a gamble. So, let’s show some respect eh?
 
Article is fecking nuts, if even half of it's true Borris and his cabinet will have to walk.
Nah, this lot are untouchable and Boris has strengthened his popularity amongst the masses having bravely fought off the virus
 
The problem is when you actually sit down and think about things, and this is going to be negative ... but people are fecked as in seriously fecked.

everything is actually a lose lose situation. It's like a script from a saw movie.

Say we go for 'gradual lockdown release' if we loosen restrictions, no mass gatherings etc. yeah sure kids are back in school, some businesses open up again. But then what about all the businesses that require 'mass gatherings' to basically function .
The businesses that require huge numbers of staffing levels, what happens to these staff members when the furlough inevitably stops and if it doesn't, who is paying for it?

There's a gigantic domino effect - less people spending money - less revenue- staff cuts. You're talking thousand upon thousands of working class people left jobless and unable to feed their families.

If you come out of lockdown and go for Belarus mode. People are gonna drop like flies. Nhs will be fecked.

Other option, completely restrict the elderly and those with health conditions from leaving their home.
You're basically imprisoning a large portion of the country.

Or option four, Pogues theory of the human race being wiped out.

Yeah we're fecked. But at least Liverpool probably won't win the league. And even if they do there'll be no fans there to see it.

Absolutely.

You think about Old Trafford. The burger bars and cafes are going their biggest source of income. People earning a bit of cash in the stadium working on the concourse or as stewards are losing income so are going to spend less in the rest of the economy and so on.

A lot people seem to be under the impression that you can put the economy on ice and then re-start it. You can't.
 
Is anyone else a little concerned by how things such as an NHS app is being developed tracking our movements to see our contacts , which although useful right now, could become permanent after?
We’re all very compliant & obedient which again is brilliant right now.

Just a bit uneasy about it all,
Couldn't you just delete the app ?
 
It's not immanent.

Everyone knows that UK is keeping the restrictions for the next three weeks and the lockdown currently enjoys a seismic level of public support so we are were we are.

However, we won't be here for ever. It's impossible to impose a lockdown on a people who don't want to be confined to their home. So it's imperative that the government formulate an exit plan the public can believe in and I'm not alone in thinking that. A certain Prof Ferguson agrees with me.

So again, lets get serious and discuss what post lockdown limbo we'll be cool with,

it’s not impossible, the Chinese did it. Why do British people assume that a hard lockdown isn’t on the cards IF absolutely necessary?
 
Is this not the guy that wss interviewing a scientist a few weeks ago and the scientist more or less called him a liar
Yes. He's an attention seeker who for the most part can and should be ignored.

Yes. He is a journalist we shouldn't particularly rate.

However given the criticism that has been levelled at the UK's media for failing to scrutinise their government's response, I think the fact that the details of the ST's and Guardian's very critical reports have be corroborated by Peston (a high profile journalist who has long been accused of being overly government-friendly) is itself noteworthy.
 
When you have the facilities for testing and contact tracing, ideally getting the infection levels as low as possible in the mean time to facilitate that.
So if you open childcare or schools for instance you know from testing what effect its having. Maybe you expect the infection rate is going to be pretty bad but for whatever reason its not and it lets you know you can widen the lifting of restrictions. Or you realise its far worse than you expected and you reinstate the lock before it gets out of control and you have nationwide lockdown again and find an alternative way to manage.
There'll probably be a bit of back and forth and experimenting for a while - but you'll have dozens of countries testing different strategies and i think we'll figure out a way to manage it before too long.
This seems the most sensible approach. But the UK need to flatten their curve first, which is seemingly at least 3 weeks more. Maybe if people would buy into it then it may happen sooner
 
How about you stop talking down to people about putting on their grown up pants?

you disagree with many here but try to treat people with respect. No-one has been through this before, many think they have an answer but no one knows for sure. everything is a gamble. So, let’s show some respect eh?

I was talking about 'We' As in society. Not anybody specific just to clarify.
 
The problem is when you actually sit down and think about things, and this is going to be negative ... but people are fecked as in seriously fecked.

everything is actually a lose lose situation. It's like a script from a saw movie.

Say we go for 'gradual lockdown release' if we loosen restrictions, no mass gatherings etc. yeah sure kids are back in school, some businesses open up again. But then what about all the businesses that require 'mass gatherings' to basically function .
The businesses that require huge numbers of staffing levels, what happens to these staff members when the furlough inevitably stops and if it doesn't, who is paying for it?

There's a gigantic domino effect - less people spending money - less revenue- staff cuts. You're talking thousand upon thousands of working class people left jobless and unable to feed their families.

If you come out of lockdown and go for Belarus mode. People are gonna drop like flies. Nhs will be fecked.

Other option, completely restrict the elderly and those with health conditions from leaving their home.
You're basically imprisoning a large portion of the country.

Or option four, Pogues theory of the human race being wiped out.

Yeah we're fecked. But at least Liverpool probably won't win the league. And even if they do there'll be no fans there to see it.
Love this post, I got to the second to last paragraph completely depressed then that last paragraph brought me right back. :drool:
 
My brother-in-law owns a couple of barber shops and lockdown has crippled him. He is paying 6 staff out of his own pocket currently and his landlord is being a nightmare. Lease is due to soon with a fairly big payment due on renewal and when he asked for some co-operation the landlord said that tenants that are difficult during this period won’t get their leases renewed. My sister found various websites on how to commit suicide including videos on his laptop after he was acting funny. I can imagine this is far from an isolated case as it stands and it’s put huge strain on the family. I’m probably going to need to give them a big chunk of my house deposit just to get through this period as I’m quite fortunate with my position/employer at the minute and not at risk. Hope this virus fecks off soon.

Similar situation with my brother, he's an optician who closed his practices down a week before lockdown. They have got over 20 people on payroll so stuck everyone on furlough but he's still paying rent on four properties with hardly any money coming into the business now. Spoke to him a few days ago after the extension was put into place and he reckons they will be okay until June, at that point he will have put his own money into the business and I think that's when it's going to go wrong for so many self employed people out there.
 
Similar situation with my brother, he's an optician who closed his practices down a week before lockdown. They have got over 20 people on payroll so stuck everyone on furlough but he's still paying rent on four properties with hardly any money coming into the business now. Spoke to him a few days ago after the extension was put into place and he reckons they will be okay until June, at that point he will have put his own money into the business and I think that's when it's going to go wrong for so many self employed people out there.
Hate to say it, but 4 sites aren’t gonna survive. He’d be better consolidating 1 or 2
 
Good to see the papers starting to turn, they need to continue with the pressure though for weeks if not months.

They're literally only turning because of social media and public opinion, they just go with whatever stories are going to be a hit with the public, been like that for years. Aslong as someone is to blame the public lap it up.
 
I heard it is getting pretty bad now there.

Myanmar has like about 107 as of right now. About 50-60 of them were from a super spreader who came back from Singapore then he went into some religion event and spread it pretty badly. The country had about 23 before that and it was a week ago.
This is happening too often. It’s about time religious leaders took responsibility and closed down.
 
Is anyone else a little concerned by how things such as an NHS app is being developed tracking our movements to see our contacts , which although useful right now, could become permanent after?
We’re all very compliant & obedient which again is brilliant right now.

Just a bit uneasy about it all,

Privacy concerns are legitimate.

However given we are in the midst of a pandemic of this magnitude, the issue it is seeking to address seems a far more pressing concern.

As we have already seen, there will be negative consequences to pretty much every measure put in place, as well as a trade off between rights around freedom/privacy and the right to be protected as much as is possible from grave public health threats. These apps will just be an extension of that reality.
 
it’s not impossible, the Chinese did it. Why do British people assume that a hard lockdown isn’t on the cards IF absolutely necessary?

Comparing China to the UK is a nonsense sorry,

China is an Authoritarian state. The UK isn't.

China is a one party state, doesn't have a free press and controls the internet. It imprisons dissenters and locks up thousands of Muslims in 're-education camps'. On the other hand the UK has a free press, a functioning political system and a civic society.

So comparing how China and the UK implement a lockdown, is akin to comparing apples to a combine harvester.
 
The UK is doing OK I think, Like I said above we aren't behaving in some insane relaxed way...we're in lockdown and people are picking fault with whether it should have been a week or two earlier. Some countries aren't even in lockdown!
People may not be able to work, but the "exercise" bit of the UK's restrictions is pathetic. People can be out and about all day for no reason if they feel like it. It's hardly being enforced and there are no penalties except being told to go home by a police officer.

Most people in the UK won't get asked about their movements at all, from start to finish of this pandemic.
 
Privacy concerns are legitimate.

However given we are in the midst of a pandemic of this magnitude, the issue it is seeking to address seems a far more pressing concern.

As we have already seen, there will be negative consequences to pretty much every measure put in place, as well as a trade off between rights around freedom/privacy and the right to be protected as much as is possible from grave public health threats. These apps will just be an extension of that reality.
Yep. Also I’m a great believe in if you have done nothing wrong why would you worry about it?
 
Comparing China to the UK is a nonsense sorry,

China is an Authoritarian state. The UK isn't.

China is a one party state, doesn't have a free press and controls the internet. It imprisons dissenters and locks up thousands of Muslims in 're-education camps'. On the other hand the UK has a free press, a functioning political system and a civic society.

So comparing how China and the UK implement a lockdown, is akin to comparing apples to a combine harvester.

ALL governments have it in their locker IF it’s necessary. You said it’s impossible to lock down
if the people don’t want to be. I’m saying it’s NOT impossible even if you choose to believe it would never happen in the UK.

the UK have done far worse in their history so don’t discount it
 
Only have anecdotal information about West Africa, but my family & friends have said that in Ghana & Nigeria - people who flew into the international airports were being screened for high temperature/fever as early as February
Was screened when I went to Nigeria at the end of January.
Nigeria has been carrying out contact tracing from the very first index case. Don't know how accurate the numbers are but it has been able to limit the spread to 540 with a population of over 200 million.
I was scratching my head when I heard officials in the US and UK say they didn't have the capacity to contact trace in the beginning.
 
Sorry, are you suggesting WHO have it wrong and you know better?

Almost every country has been working on the understanding that the virus confers some degree of immunity. The countries actually treating patients and seeing how the virus progresses. Are they wrong? If so, where are the confirmed reinfections? How are patients clearing the virus on their own? Why are numerous countries working on serological tests?

Or is it the WHO, the organisation that has been stumbling through this and making mistakes at every turn? They're just protecting themselves at this point because they know when this is all over a lot of difficult questions will be asked of them.


It's raging in Singapore. I really don't see how the weather affects it

Mostly in the foreign worker dormitories with their cramped conditions. As with anything to do with Singapore, take their information with a pinch of salt. It's only a free and open country as long as their image remains good.

There is very little evidence of how seasons affect it because we haven't hit summer yet in most of the hard hit countries, but there is a small bit of evidence appearing in Spain that it might slow it down.
 
People may not be able to work, but the "exercise" bit of the UK's restrictions is pathetic. People can be out and about all day for no reason if they feel like it. It's hardly being enforced and there are no penalties except being told to go home by a police officer.

Most people in the UK won't get asked about their movements at all, from start to finish of this pandemic.

yeh, well I certainly have been out and about most days with the lovely weather. I’ve been walking and biking isolated areas. The risk of that to me and others is close to zero.
 
My brother-in-law owns a couple of barber shops and lockdown has crippled him. He is paying 6 staff out of his own pocket currently and his landlord is being a nightmare. Lease is due to soon with a fairly big payment due on renewal and when he asked for some co-operation the landlord said that tenants that are difficult during this period won’t get their leases renewed. My sister found various websites on how to commit suicide including videos on his laptop after he was acting funny. I can imagine this is far from an isolated case as it stands and it’s put huge strain on the family. I’m probably going to need to give them a big chunk of my house deposit just to get through this period as I’m quite fortunate with my position/employer at the minute and not at risk. Hope this virus fecks off soon.
The bad news is a lot of people are learning to cut their own hair or their partner's learning. Younger people will go back when the barbers re-open but the number of over 40s will drop quite a bit.
Good on you for being willing to help out though.
 
ALL governments have it in their locker IF it’s necessary. You said it’s impossible to lock down
if the people don’t want to be. I’m saying it’s NOT impossible even if you choose to believe it would never happen in the UK.

the UK have done far worse in their history so don’t discount it

Well nothing is impossible. It's not impossible that we'll all be confined to our homes for 18 months and the army will deliver rations to our front door. Can't see it happening though.

I think it's impossible for the UK to impose a strict lockdown on a population who don't support one, but as the population currently overwhelming support the lockdown the government don't have to worry about it.

However it is impossible for a UK politician to appear on the media without being pressed about an exit strategy. So in my view, the UK lockdown is much more likely to relaxed than tightened in three weeks time.
 
Was screened when I went to Nigeria at the end of January.
Nigeria has been carrying out contact tracing from the very first index case. Don't know how accurate the numbers are but it has been able to limit the spread to 540 with a population of over 200 million.
I was scratching my head when I heard officials in the US and UK say they didn't have the capacity to contact trace in the beginning.

Yep, it was incredibly apparent early on that the Government weren't doing all that it could do to minimise the spread of this early on - whether to try and keep the nation calm, or whether because Boris truly is as much of a buffoon as I think he is, it doesn't really matter at this point.
It's unforgivable.