SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

Be interesting to see the crowds at the Strade Bianche this Saturday... It's south of Florence so not really a red area unless I'm mistaken, but still - I doubt many people would want to take risks at this point.
 
True, and it seems like some of the spread started in Italy as well. People coming back from vacations/trips to Italy bringing it back with them.

Isn't it still just in the north of the country though?
The only region that hasn't got any cases at all is Basilicata, right down at the bottom of the country.
 
The only region that hasn't got any cases at all is Basilicata, right down at the bottom of the country.
That explains why no one wants to go on their Italian holidays.
 
We are led by a fecking idiot



He really is an absolute moron. He's trying to give it the Princess Diana "I'm not afraid to make contact with HIV victims" show of solidarity with a virus that is actually spread through human contact.

I wish he'd show solidarity with HS2 planners and make contact with a high speed train.
 
Amateur hour here in Norway...

An eye doctor came back from a vacation in Italy(with a stopover in the north) and demanded that they test him for the corona virus. For some reason the dude in charge just said "nah, you're good. You don't need to get tested". Fast forward one week: 280 doctors/nurses/surgeons are now quarantined :wenger:
 
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Amateur hour here in Norway...

An eye doctor came back from a vacation in the north of Italy and demanded that they test him for the corona virus. For some reason the dude in charge just said "nah, you're good. You don't need to get tested". Fast forward one week: 280 doctors/nurses and surgeons are now quarantined :wenger:

feckin hell. :lol:
 
My girlfriend works for a small travel company that specializes in European holidays. Italy just so happens to be their main destination that they sell and this is causing all sorts of panic about their business. They've had loads of cancellation requests for Italy and there were some talk that if it gets worse then everyone at the company (including my girlfriend) would have to go on unemployment for a while. People don't even want to interact with Italians at the moment.

Yeah it's a bit silly considering that most of Italy isn't actually affected, Italy's huge and the epicentre of the outbreak is in Lombardy but when you consider that the south has barely been affected it's still safe to go there. Unfortunately, any businesses that operating on thin margins could very well go out of business. It's actually becoming more difficult to see how there won't be a recession at this point.
 
That would still affect the staffing of hospitals and the rest I mentioned, and more. You could ask those that have alternative arrangements to keep their children off I suppose, those with grandparents or non-working friends who might step in. You could try asking all those with non-essential work to stay off, and keep their children off too, but I suspect the list of people that consider their jobs essential is actually quite large. And then a lot of people couldn't or wouldn't do without wages for very long, so that would have to be considered too. It might not be the sort of thing that's usually said, but I think we have to trust the government, advisers and civil service on this, it's just too complicated for individuals to come up with solutions off the top of their heads. Especially me.

Honestly, grandparents are the ones we should be most worried about. If anything we should be isolating the elderly and those at high risk rather than exposing them to little critters.
 
I've been wondering about that for weeks, apparently the chinese are recalling all notes and burning them.

Thank feck for Apple Pay and the likes. The touchpad on bank terminals is pretty grim when you think about it.
 
https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/det...the-media-briefing-on-covid-19---3-march-2020

"To summarize, COVID-19 spreads less efficiently than flu, transmission does not appear to be driven by people who are not sick, it causes more severe illness than flu, there are not yet any vaccines or therapeutics, and it can be contained – which is why we must do everything we can to contain it. That’s why WHO recommends a comprehensive approach.

These differences mean we can’t treat COVID-19 exactly the same way we treat flu."

Panic over.
 
It spreads a lot less than I thought at least. Only people with symptoms can spread it. Which makes containment a lot easier.

That can't be right? We've heard its asymptomatic for weeks now.

If so, that's really good news.
 
Another 27 dead in Italy today, all over 70 and already ill according to reports. This virus looks to be incredibly efficient at finishing off the elderly and infirm.


That can't be right? We've heard its asymptomatic for weeks now.

If so, that's really good news.

It can be transmitted by people without symptoms but it's a lot harder.
 
That can't be right? We've heard its asymptomatic for weeks now.

If so, that's really good news.

Would explain why the huge outbreaks are really tight knit community’s the church in South Korea, small northern towns and densely populated city of 11 million m
 
Another 27 dead in Italy today, all over 70 and already ill according to reports. This virus looks to be incredibly efficient at finishing off the elderly and infirm.




It can be transmitted by people without symptoms but it's a lot harder.

Not quite sure anymore: transmission does not appear to be driven by people who are not sick.
 
Would explain why the huge outbreaks are really tight knit community’s the church in South Korea, small northern towns and densely populated city of 11 million m

I mean its not unlikely that someone ill turned up at one of those places.
 
That can't be right? We've heard its asymptomatic for weeks now.

If so, that's really good news.
"COVID-19 does not transmit as efficiently as influenza, from the data we have so far.

With influenza, people who are infected but not yet sick are major drivers of transmission, which does not appear to be the case for COVID-19.

Evidence from China is that only 1% of reported cases do not have symptoms, and most of those cases develop symptoms within 2 days.

Some countries are looking for cases of COVID-19 using surveillance systems for influenza and other respiratory diseases.

Countries such as China, Ghana, Singapore and elsewhere have found very few cases of COVID-19 among such samples – or no cases at all."

From that WHO speech
 
There are cases everywhere now but the vast majority are centred on 3 regions in the North, around Milan, Bologna and Venice.
Still haven’t cancelled my flights to Bologna next Friday as yet. Haven’t heard anything from the airlines either. @Dumbstar Yeah my girlfriend was tested for it in Sweden after travelling there from Bologna last week and falling ill on Monday. They kept her overnight and apparently they swab deep up your nose and in your throat. Thankfully it’s come back negative. They still don’t know what’s wrong with her mind. She’s due to be released tonight and is just grateful she hasn’t spread it to half of Sweden.
 
"COVID-19 does not transmit as efficiently as influenza, from the data we have so far.

With influenza, people who are infected but not yet sick are major drivers of transmission, which does not appear to be the case for COVID-19.

Evidence from China is that only 1% of reported cases do not have symptoms, and most of those cases develop symptoms within 2 days.

Some countries are looking for cases of COVID-19 using surveillance systems for influenza and other respiratory diseases.

Countries such as China, Ghana, Singapore and elsewhere have found very few cases of COVID-19 among such samples – or no cases at all."

From that WHO speech

The benefit of it not spreading asymptomatic is only realised if people with symptoms self isolate. Given symptoms here are for most a mild cold then does it really matter either way? People won't isolate with a cold
 
I'd take these WHO reports with a grain of salt until it's backed by more sources. It conflicts in parts with other reliable info.

They are a very important organization and do a noteworthy job on the ground, and also on stuff like long-term health plans for the developing world, but it's essentially an organization run by politicians. I've seen that Director say some dubious things before, and he's a career politician. Which is not to imply they have ulterior goals, just that may be a bit behind the pace of information.

In case of conflicting reports I'll much quicker trust organizations like the CDC and it's equivalents in Asia, which are organizations more immediately driven by raw data and science than politics.
 
Well ive been feeling a little feverish today (came back from Italy on the 16th) so gave 111 a call and they basically said not to worry about it. Wouldve thought they would be happy to adopt a "better safe than sorry" sort of approach, but they seem very relaxed about the whole thing.
 
I'd take these WHO reports with a grain of salt until it's backed by more sources. It conflicts in parts with other reliable info.

They are a very important organization and do a noteworthy job on the ground, and also on stuff like long-term health plans for the developing world, but it's essentially an organization run by politicians. I've seen that Director say some dubious things before, and he's a career politician. Which is not to imply they have ulterior goals, just that may be a bit behind the pace of information.

In case of conflicting reports I'll much quicker trust organizations like the CDC and it's equivalents in Asia, which are organizations more immediately driven by raw data and science than politics.
Sure. But how do you explain it isn't all over Shanghai and Beijing for example. China hasn't used the same measures there as in Hubei. It isn't the only speech I am basing my assumptions. I think most of the data is starting to support the view that it doesn't spread as easily as thought.
 
Well ive been feeling a little feverish today (came back from Italy on the 16th) so gave 111 a call and they basically said not to worry about it. Wouldve thought they would be happy to adopt a "better safe than sorry" sort of approach, but they seem very relaxed about the whole thing.

I think they might be avoiding testing due to limited resources. If you had said "I'm very feverish, I've got a bad cough and my body aches" they probably would've had you tested.
 
I think they might be avoiding testing due to limited resources. If you had said "I'm very feverish, I've got a bad cough and my body aches" they probably would've had you tested.

I didnt want to be tested, I wanted two weeks off work!