SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

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Hopefully this will result in a more coherent, single-island approach. Allowing the below to continue is stupid.

 
It's relative. The streets are extremely quiet but you do notice the same few people walking up and down multiple times per day with the same shopping bag in their hand.

I went for a run the other day at my usual time and there were at least 10 times as many people out walking their dogs, and that's no exaggeration. They are literally only out walking their dog BECAUSE they've been told not to go out unless it's essential.

I wouldn't say it was doing any harm except there were so many of them it was actually impossible for everyone to stay 2 metres apart.

Which comes back to me thinking that a majority of the deaths this whole thing will cause either directly or indirectly, will have a factor of stupidity involved.
 
All of those. Long term people left without jobs or income who were already near the mark.

Short term, people struggling to get basic needs such as food. People not getting basic care and being forced to stay indoors or self isolate. People dying of other illnesses or conditions which could be due to a lack of care or lack of regular activity, or mental stress caused by any of the thousands of things a lockdown affects. Relationships put under strain, etc.

It really does add up very quickly, and this is a more extreme circumstance that we've seen before. If the government haven't considered it at all then it's very likely to overshadow the virus itself in the medium and long term.
It’s not talked about enough, but the US already had a serious ‘death by despair’ problem lingering before all of this.

It will only get worse.
 
All of those. Long term people left without jobs or income who were already near the mark.

Short term, people struggling to get basic needs such as food. People not getting basic care and being forced to stay indoors or self isolate. People dying of other illnesses or conditions which could be due to a lack of care or lack of regular activity, or mental stress caused by any of the thousands of things a lockdown affects. Relationships put under strain, etc.

It really does add up very quickly, and this is a more extreme circumstance that we've seen before. If the government haven't considered it at all then it's very likely to overshadow the virus itself in the medium and long term.
People seem to underestimate just how globalised the world is. Such an extreme economic collapse will literally affect every industry and sector. The struggle for resources will be immense and social unrest will rise to very dangerous levels.

The world leaders need to act as quick as possible and find the most suitable and balanced measures that can be taken everywhere. The current situation is just delaying the inevitable and causing even more long-term damage. Just the fact that there was no precautionary plan by the likes of the EU, NATO, WHO, WTO, UN etc is seriously worrying me. It tells me that the world is not prepared for any sort of global crisis of this stature.
 
Just caught the end of a segment on LBC that said the government hasn't done any modeling as to at what point the measures against coronavirus would cause a greater loss of life than coronavirus itself.

It said that modelling suggests the 2008 recession cost more days of life than coronavirus would have with no government counter measures whatsoever.

I'd like to see the statistics because intuitively to me it feels like if the measures are maintained for a few more weeks the economic effect on life will be worse than the virus would've been.
As far as I know these models usually ignore that there would be a recession anyway, if the virus ran through the world without strict measures taken against it. It's not like people would continue to work and shop as before while thousands of people are dying around them. You also can't just leave the suffering people alone and ignore them. They would overwhelm the hospitals in a completely uncontroled way. Worst case is that you let hundreds of thousands of people die and run into a massive recession anyway, that'll cost even more lifes on top of it.
 
Yep I've been saying this since the start (or at least saying it should be an important consideration) but it actually seems to make people quite angry.

You also have to account for the fact there are millions in this country already living in poverty and with high levels of stress on their mental and physical wellbeing...and a lot of those have now had their income taken away.

I think realistically you're only looking at about 2 weeks before it's a very big problem.

Aye, and posters on here and around Europe are desperate to demonize us in Sweden for not locking down yet, but every single day we are reminded at the 14:00 press conference by the health ministry (it’s not the government running the show here), that there are only two ways out of this and anything we do such as social distancing, working from home, sick leave extended with no doctors note etc etc etc has to be able to work for months. They cannot believe countries are “locking down” early because of the adverse effects and the end game. If you have a stable number of people going into ICU, what is locking down achieving? A vaccine won’t be here in 3 weeks.
But the situations in Italy and Spain have understandably made people shit the bed. And now you’ve got daft things going on in the UK that defy all logic, like police drones shaming people for being out for a hike in the Peak District with not another person in sight. How the feck does that help stopping Covid-19? Lots of people have lost sight of what is trying to be achieved here.
I predict anarchy in Southern Italy within the next month.
India is already a total cluster feck.
 
Still a bit puzzling to me the hypertension one. Some governments, including the UK don't even list it as a risk factor as far as I can remember and other do. I am a bit suspicious that it's potentially blood pressure medication causing something here. Pure speculation though.


Look at the video from the asian-american doctor in the stickied info thread. It tells you how the virus kills and why hypertension matters.
 
Just caught the end of a segment on LBC that said the government hasn't done any modeling as to at what point the measures against coronavirus would cause a greater loss of life than coronavirus itself.

It said that modelling suggests the 2008 recession cost more days of life than coronavirus would have with no government counter measures whatsoever.

I'd like to see the statistics because intuitively to me it feels like if the measures are maintained for a few more weeks the economic effect on life will be worse than the virus would've been.

Lockdown will be extended up to and including first few weeks of May imo. Very wise considering the death toll numbers will be even more brutal in that period. After that it becomes much more difficult to implement due to weather, bank holidays and general boredom so think restrictions will be partly lifted by then unless the death toll remains very bad. Hopefull the curve will have flatterned and started to decline a little by that point.

Mind you you get plenty of people arguing on here and other forums it has to be a full lockdown for the rest of the year. Simply not feasible. Even the Deputy medical officer didn't really advise that in the press conference the other day when she put in the sixth month period.
 
As far as I know these models usually ignore that there would be a recession anyway, if the virus ran through the world without strict measures taken against it. It's not like people would continue to work and shop as before while thousands of people are dying around them. You also can't just leave the suffering people alone and ignore them. They would overwhelm the hospitals in a completely uncontroled way. Worst case is that you let hundreds of thousands of people die and run into a massive recession anyway, that'll cost even more lifes on top of it.
Exactly. Its not a direct comparison that can be made
 
Italy down again, at least in Lombardy. Also for the first time the number of current ICU patients is down. More people were released/died than were admitted.
 
Look at the video from the asian-american doctor in the stickied info thread. It tells you how the virus kills and why hypertension matters.

I've just watched the bit about the ACE receptor. The virus targets this receptor but I'm still not sure why high blood pressure matters...unless the receptor being more active simply means it can be targeted more easily? Not got a medical background so bit out of my depth!!
 
https://www.forbes.com/sites/alanoh...s-fight-ahead-of-tesla-alliance/#1b3ed79d4591

Medtronic Gives Away Ventilator Design Specs In Coronavirus Fight, Ahead Of Tesla Alliance


Excellent news.

Is the number of ventilators really a rate limiting step here? Surely a lack of staff qualified/trained to use them will be the big issue by the time we hit the peak? We have SHOs being given crash courses in how to be an ITU reg but if our current rate of HCW infection continues I wouldn’t be surprised if we end up with ventilators not being used because we’ve run out of people who know how to use them.
 
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I've just watched the bit about the ACE receptor. The virus targets this receptor but I'm still not sure why high blood pressure matters...unless the receptor being more active simply means it can be targeted more easily? Not got a medical background so bit out of my depth!!

The theory is that certain drugs cause more ACE receptors to be expressed inside our airways because they work by inhibiting the natural enzyme that binds to them (they’re called ACE inhibitors and are used to treat high blood pressure). Which gives more targets for the virus to bind to. Which causes a greater viral load and a worse outcome. It’s just a theory though. Not proven. There are also theories that these same drugs might actually improve outcomes.
 
Edit: the hospital housekeeper who goes into every breakroom etc. around my wife's ICU has tested positive.

I guess now it isn't an if, but a when :( I'm wrecked right now

This person might have infected the entire fecking unit
 
The theory is that certain drugs cause more ACE receptors to be expressed inside our airways because they work by inhibiting the natural enzyme that binds to them (they’re called ACE inhibitors and are used to treat high blood pressure). Which gives more targets for the virus to bind to. Which causes a greater viral load and a worse outcome. It’s just a theory though. Not proven. There are also theories that these same drugs might actually improve outcomes.

Thanks, that's interesting. Think I'm going to cut back on the lockdown evening beers to make sure it isn't increasing my blood pressure just to be on the safe side.
 
Wow 381 deaths in the UK today... =/ I mean, we all know this is coming but it still hits hard....
 
19 year old with no underlining health problem dies in the U.K.
12 year old with no underlining health problem dies in Belgium.
I’m starting to think this depends on how bad you get it and it can kill anyone
And this from California, translated from La Repubblica:
The 17-year-old boy who died in California a few days ago from coronavirus had been rejected by the hospital because he had no health insurance. This was reported by R. Rex Parris, the mayor of Lancaster, the town in California where the teenager died, using the case to invite everyone to stay home. "He was healthy on Friday before he died, he died on Wednesday," Parris said: "He didn't have health insurance and they didn't cure him."
 
The theory is that certain drugs cause more ACE receptors to be expressed inside our airways because they work by inhibiting the natural enzyme that binds to them (they’re called ACE inhibitors and are used to treat high blood pressure). Which gives more targets for the virus to bind to. Which causes a greater viral load and a worse outcome. It’s just a theory though. Not proven. There are also theories that these same drugs might actually improve outcomes.


It's crazy how everyone is guessing at the moment. It really is like a disaster movie with the harried scientists.
 
I went for a run the other day at my usual time and there were at least 10 times as many people out walking their dogs, and that's no exaggeration. They are literally only out walking their dog BECAUSE they've been told not to go out unless it's essential.

I wouldn't say it was doing any harm except there were so many of them it was actually impossible for everyone to stay 2 metres apart.

Which comes back to me thinking that a majority of the deaths this whole thing will cause either directly or indirectly, will have a factor of stupidity involved.
I noticed a lot more dog walkers too last week, but today there seemed to be fewer, some must have remembered they don't particularly enjoy it. Same on a really sunny day, I see lots of dog people out who you just never see the rest of the time. Shame for the dogs really.

As for the park in general, the police are very visible and seem to have done a good job moving on the groups of lads that were meeting up there and swaggering about the paths leaving no room to pass them easily, but they're ignoring people sitting or standing around on their mobile phones. Exercise seems a very flexible concept.
 
What do you do with a ventilator when it stops being a ventilator?

There will be a world wide glut of the things when this is all over, maybe Dyson are designing one that converts into a carpet cleaner when its ventilating days are done?
 
It's crazy how everyone is guessing at the moment. It really is like a disaster movie with the harried scientists.
It all feels like a movie to be fair. I still keep thinking it's really just a bad dream and we are going to wake up from it soon.
 
Just caught the end of a segment on LBC that said the government hasn't done any modeling as to at what point the measures against coronavirus would cause a greater loss of life than coronavirus itself.

It said that modelling suggests the 2008 recession cost more days of life than coronavirus would have with no government counter measures whatsoever.

I'd like to see the statistics because intuitively to me it feels like if the measures are maintained for a few more weeks the economic effect on life will be worse than the virus would've been.

This recession will be far worse than 2008 if we are in lockdown for 12-18 months (until vaccine). Much worse. Hell, even 6 months of lockdown, which is IMO the absolute minimum, will hit economy much, much harder.
 
What do you do with a ventilator when it stops being a ventilator?

There will be a world wide glut of the things when this is all over, maybe Dyson are designing one that converts into a carpet cleaner when its ventilating days are done?
Probably keep it until this happens again...
 
Am I the only one who has no problem with the police going overboard with enforcing the lockdown?

The media are now going after the police, saying it's heavy handed to clamp down on people driving to remote locations for exercise. It has even lead to the government to tell the police not to be so heavy handed.

As far as I'm concerned, the cops can't be heavy handed enough. People have behaved like idiots. Telling the police to back down and let people carry on being idiots sends the wrong message.
 
Am I the only one who has no problem with the police going overboard with enforcing the lockdown?

The media are now going after the police, saying it's heavy handed to clamp down on people driving to remote locations for exercise. It has even lead to the government to tell the police not to be so heavy handed.

As far as I'm concerned, the cops can't be heavy handed enough. People have behaved like idiots. Telling the police to back down and let people carry on being idiots sends the wrong message.

Agree. People think they can still do what they want it's a joke.
 
4053 new cases in Italy
837 deaths

About the same as yesterday but significantly less than a week ago.
 
What do you do with a ventilator when it stops being a ventilator?

There will be a world wide glut of the things when this is all over, maybe Dyson are designing one that converts into a carpet cleaner when its ventilating days are done?
Better to have them and not need them than to need them and not have them.