SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

I still don't quite get the mortality in Spain and Italy in comparison to northern countries, is simply that virus there so much more widespread?

In addition to what others have said, the bulk of the early cases in the Nordic countries were young-ish people vacationing in the Alps, many of whom self-quarantined after returning to their countries. The virus didn't get a head start among the older population.
 

Fox was a shambles like always (except Tucker Carlson who reported the situation correctly since February). To be fair, there were other media (including the main mainstream ones) who minimized the situation until March. And of course, many officials in New York. The biggest culprit is of course Trump who until very recently has been minimizing it, even last week he said that 'for flu we don't shut down, why we are shutting down the country for this'.
 
Don't underestimate the issue with smoking, especially in northern Italy.
I worked in Turin for a short period of time and it was a massive difference compared to England.

You can't smoke and expect not to severely damage your lungs.

I keep telling my friends to stop smoking, to stop all the drugs they use and try to put themselves in the best possible shape for the little time we all have.
The amount of cases in Turkey has been growing extremely fast recently.. from 50 to more than 10k in just 2 weeks.
Tbh, I was just focused on EU countries. You do make a good point.
 
On Paddy's day Varadkar said we were expected to have 15,000 cases by the end of the month. This was a worst case scenario and designed to scare sense into people and it seems to have worked. We only have 2910 cases with 54 deaths.

We seem to have a good handle on things.
 
I still don't quite get the mortality in Spain and Italy in comparison to northern countries, is simply that virus there so much more widespread?
More spread, most likely.

Ignore the mortality rate for now, different countries do different numbers of tests. The UK has done around 130k tests so far (or at least it was that a couple of days ago), US does that many in a single day, Germany is doing around 500k or so in a week, Italy tests you now only if you are really sick. Very likely Italy and Spain have more infected people than the US, and very likely France has more infected people than Germany.
 
No, my original point was about strong punishment being used against those who don’t follow guidelines for the welfare of society. Cultural factors are only one part of it, and when paired with extremely lax enforcement of measures then it doesn’t become surprising to see who leads the way.

Nobody’s culture is better than another’s. You’ve gotten a bit carried away at the end there.
You literally stated the culture in Europe and the US is "ultimately...to hell with other people ...as long as I can have my beer" whilst pointing out how your society deals with this situation better.

Now, I agree with your general point and if I had my way I'd introduce a law where loose semantics in forum posts resulted in 5 years hard labour or forced sale of all property. I mean, you know what people (Europeans in particular) are like if you don't use the state to fecking brutalise them.
 
25 confirmed cases in a week which probably means close to 100 in reality. Half the town follows confinement and the other half just doesn't give a shit basically because they are ignorant but mostly because they live on a day to day basis, they need food for their families. The governement has no plans in place to help the people and these feckers even set up various bank accounts for donations from the people :wenger:
Goddam. The government asking for donations themselves. :eek:
 
Don't underestimate the issue with smoking, especially in northern Italy.
I worked in Turin for a short period of time and it was a massive difference compared to England.

You can't smoke and expect not to severely damage your lungs.


It's a massive problem there. I think smokers should have to pay a 'I'm fecking up my health and you will pay for it' tax.
 
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Do you have the link to the full paper?

Edit. Found it.

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.04.20031104v1.full.pdf
 
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You literally stated the culture in Europe and the US is "ultimately...to hell with other people ...as long as I can have my beer" whilst pointing out how your society deals with this situation better.

Now, I agree with your general point and if I had my way I'd introduce a law where loose semantics in forum posts resulted in 5 years hard labour or forced sale of all property. I mean, you know what people (Europeans in particular) are like if you don't use the state to fecking brutalise them.

5 years of hard labour? As long as I can have my beers, it should be okay.
 
The problem is there is a lack of trust in the system, which isn't particularly helped by Boris and different government advisors completely changing their mind from one day to the next. False and scaremongering information being constantly reported, and stories like the government literally turning down the chance to buy more ventilators.

I think nearly all people are happy to follow safety guidance and most have even accepted losing jobs, income, etc.

But when it looks like the people in charge are just making it up as they go along there is always going to be a backlash towards any enforcement.

It is a new virus and unprecedented situation but at the same time we do know some things about it. We know how it spreads, we know it's symptoms, it's mortality rate (with reasonable accuracy), who is more at risk, how long it lasts, how long it survives on various surfaces etc. We don't know enough to stop it or if that's even possible, but there's is definitely enough there for a bunch of smart people to come up with a consistent and effective strategy to fight it.

Instead we have the government changing it's mind and saying completely different things every day. "Advisors" who can't even agree with each other. Numbers and figures being batted around by people working with the government which in more thwn one case have literally been plucked out of thin air and evidence proves are just plain wrong.

Its actuqlly really frustrating to be part of as it doesn't give me any confidence we are actually doing the right thing. It's like we are trying to dress accordingly based on a weather forecast that someone just half made up.

The stuff coming out in the media, a lot of it from the government, is barely anymore fact or science based than some of the scaremongering rumours on Facebook.

Just give people demonstrable facts or evidence to go with the advice and I doubt there would be half the hassle. Instead Of "oh 250000 people will die because we worked out how many people die of respiratory problems each year and just presumed they'd all get corona virus"

Can't say I agree with this. With regards to a lockdown it's evident around the world that people need to adhere to it. I'm not sure how much more obvious that needs to be?
 
You literally stated the culture in Europe and the US is "ultimately...to hell with other people ...as long as I can have my beer" whilst pointing out how your society deals with this situation better.

Now, I agree with your general point and if I had my way I'd introduce a law where loose semantics in forum posts resulted in 5 years hard labour or forced sale of all property. I mean, you know what people (Europeans in particular) are like if you don't use the state to fecking brutalise them.

Your irrelevant nonsense about “gays and pre-marital sex” exposed your own agenda and stereotyped view of my position on this so there’s no point continuing to debate with you. Don’t waste your time.
 
Thank God, it's all over. I was worried for a while there...



I always wonder when i see these American pastors, do they really believe what they say or do they know its all an act?


Also, what's Private Joker doing there?
 
Your irrelevant nonsense about “gays and pre-marital sex” exposed your own agenda and stereotyped view of my position on this so there’s no point continuing to debate with you. Don’t waste your time.
It's not irrelevant. In a lax, selfish drinking culture like most of Europe and the US (which is clearly a homogenous culture) there's a whole range of social traits we don't mercilessly crush. Which is precisely why your nuanced and stereotyped free position is, as I said previously, perceptive.

Given this post, I'm surprised that you struggle with irony.
 
Your irrelevant nonsense about “gays and pre-marital sex” exposed your own agenda and stereotyped view of my position on this so there’s no point continuing to debate with you. Don’t waste your time.

Your position was also predicated on a stereotype.
 
I still don't quite get the mortality in Spain and Italy in comparison to northern countries, is simply that virus there so much more widespread?
This article mentions the older average age in Italy, the density of the population in the north, the culture of standing close to people and kissing them, and the fact that northern Italy is an international business hub with lots of connections to China. However, I think this is the most pertinent reason (my highlighting) :
With far fewer people, Italy’s infection rate is much higher than China’s. No other country has a truly comparable set of circumstances.

A key factor in emergency management is learning lessons from others in similar circumstances – but there is no one for Italy to learn from at this stage of the crisis. Chinese experts have traveled to Italy to help – but many of the lessons they are bringing only became clear after Italy’s outbreak began, so the Italians are behind where other countries, with more recent outbreaks, may be.

The Italian government has progressively worked to contain the disease, including declaring a total national lockdown on March 10. More than two weeks later, the country may finally be seeing a decline in the number of new cases.
https://www.thelocal.it/20200330/five-reasons-the-coronavirus-hit-italy-so-hard
 
Do you think people in the UK are doing a good enough job staying at home and not mixing with others?

I'd guess most are but plenty are not. This does not equate to European culture being "ultimately feck other people." That characterisation is both patently false and needlessly antagonistic.
 
I'd guess most are but plenty are not. This does not equate to European culture being "ultimately feck other people." That characterisation is both patently false and needlessly antagonistic.

My point is that in the Western cultures people tend to value individual liberties more than the collective welfare of society compared to other cultures. This isn’t always a bad thing, you could say it’s a factor that leads to more developed democratic governance structures in the West. However, it doesn’t help when there’s a global pandemic that requires people to sacrifice individual liberties for the greater good. If you don’t believe that point to be true then we’ll have to agree to disagree.
 
My point is that in the Western cultures people tend to value individual liberties more than the collective welfare of society compared to other cultures. This isn’t always a bad thing, you could say it’s a factor that leads to more developed democratic governance structures in the West. However, it doesn’t help when there’s a global pandemic that requires people to sacrifice individual liberties for the greater good. If you don’t believe that point to be true then we’ll have to agree to disagree.

From my time in the Gulf, I wouldn't say that the latter is something that really holds true for the Gulf countries. Maybe if you compare the West with China or South Korea/Singapore it would make more sense. I can imagine the Gulf states are prioritising almost all of their efforts at protecting their own citizens first and foremost, not the immigrants who make up the majority of the society that exists there.
 
From my time in the Gulf, I wouldn't say that the latter is something that really holds true for the Gulf countries. Maybe if you compare the West with China or South Korea/Singapore it would make more sense. I can imagine the Gulf states are prioritising almost all of their efforts at protecting their own citizens first and foremost, not the immigrants who make up the majority of the society that exists there.

I know there were concerns about this before the crisis started but from what I’ve seen the immigrants have been treated well during this. We have set up Western Union branches on food trucks that go around to their homes so they can remit money to their families back home from their accommodation, instead of having to leave and crowd the money exchanges and risking transmission. We have also set up charities for donations to immigrants who have been stranded. There are other examples but those are some of the main ones that have come to mind.
 
My point is that in the Western cultures people tend to value individual liberties more than the collective welfare of society compared to other cultures. This isn’t always a bad thing, you could say it’s a factor that leads to more developed democratic governance structures in the West. However, it doesn’t help when there’s a global pandemic that requires people to sacrifice individual liberties for the greater good. If you don’t believe that point to be true then we’ll have to agree to disagree.
To be clear, you're suggesting that "non Western Cultures" inherently value the collective good over individualism? That the reason countries have authoritarian rulers or not is an inherent product of a people's culture? Is this genetic do you think?
 
Do any of the third world countries have any realistic chance of controlling this thing? I know some of them have taken measures but, if you're someone who's struggling daily to put a meal on the table for yourself (let alone your dependants) are you really going to give a shit about distancing?

You'll probably take your chances with the virus than starving to death.

We've (Trinidad and Tobago) done decent enough so far, though as far as third world countries go I wouldn't say we're quite as destitute as some other places may be.

We had our first cast just about two weeks ago. As it is right now, we're up to 84 cases (40 odd of came from a cruise ship, where all the people were isolated immediately from the boat and the positive cases were moved to one of the containment hospitals), we've had three deaths so far, all three of them fairly old people with co morbidities, only one person that actually needed ICU intervention, who was extubated this week if I remember correctly and seems to be making a decent enough recovery from the position he started in.

We have two hospitals set up solely for containment of Covid patients, and dedicated Covid teams where the doctors are only seeing those patients (Haven't been pulled in to one of these yet, thankfully). Thus far we have adequate amounts of PPE to use in the hospitals. Schools/Universities have been closed for a couple weeks now.

Our borders are closed completely, both to nationals and non nationals, which has resulted in some people being stuck in other countries, but I agree with the government's decision on this as we have to think about the greater good of the country. As of midnight last night, all non essential businesses have officially been closed, only essential personnel allowed to be out and about, the police and army been deployed to enforce this. There's a fine of $50,000 TTD (Roughly in the ballpark of 5000 GBP) for being out during this time.

All in all, I think we've done decent enough with our limited resources thus far. I've been quite impressed with the way the government has handled the situation.