SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

Yep, his swab test is positive for Covid19. I've been dealing with him since his admission (what he came in with was a bad hip). Which now explains my sore-throat and headache since Sunday (he went unwell Saturday).

I've been told I should keep working until I have a temp and/or a dry cough.
Surreal shit.

Sorry but that is a fecking joke. you should be tested immediately and isolated
 
There's quite a few articles about how South Korea has handled this. They give credit to mass testing early on, strict quarantine and tracking of infected people. Masks are not mentioned anywhere, because they've got nothing to do with the sucess.

The backbone of Korea’s success has been mass, indiscriminate testing, followed by rigorous contact tracing and the quarantine of anyone the carrier has come into contact with. As of March 19, the country has conducted more than 307,000 tests, the highest per capita in the world. The UK has conducted 64,600; The US even less that. “You have countries like the US right now, where there's a fairly strict criteria of who can be tested,” says Kee Park, a lecturer on global health at Harvard Medical School. “I know people personally who have symptoms that are highly suspicious, but they don't meet all the criteria and so they're not being tested.”

“[South Korea’s] extensive testing is a very valuable tool to both control the virus and understand and measure the effectiveness of the responses that are taking place,” says Michael Mina, assistant professor at the Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics at Harvard University. “It’s allowed individuals to take matters into their own hands and make social distancing decisions on their own, both to protect those around them and to protect themselves from those who are infected around them.”

To carry out testing at this scale requires extraordinary coordination. The Wall Street Journal reports that the country can test more than 20,000 people a day at 633 testing sites nationwide. A smartphone app provides GPS maps to track the infection’s spread. Medics pitch massive white tents on roadsides, where citizens receive free drive through testing, reducing the need to clean infected hazmat suits. Results are swift, too, coming by text within 24 hours.

The response has melded with Korean technological ingenuity, explains Park.“Koreans are super good at making things convenient for people – we don't have any patience,” he says. “South Korea is one of the most wired countries in the world, where everybody uses cell phones for just about everything, and [the government] was able to use our cell phones to not only track but send warnings, like ‘watch out, there's a Covid-19 patient in your vicinity.’”


https://www.wired.co.uk/article/south-korea-coronavirus

If you think about it, a non-airtight bit of breathable cloth is not going to stop particles as small as a virus. They're designed to stop surgeons dribbling onto patients!
The virus doesn't appear to be very well aerosolised (nuclei of <=5 μm), meaning it doesn't hang around in the air waiting to be inhaled.

C19 seems to mostly be transmitted through droplets (>5 μm ) which land on surfaces and are then introduced to the face via people's hands.

If I had to guess, I'd think that regular face masks are mostly useful when worn by already infected people to stop them from coughing droplets everywhere. But they're likely also helpful for medical professionals who have a lot of close contact with infected individuals, and might otherwise breathe in a stray droplet or two. In either case, a properly fitted breathable cloth should do the trick (N95 can stop 95% of particles >0.3μm).

Probably not of great use to the average Joe going about his day in the toilet paper aisle of the supermarket, though. Social distancing is going to be more effective in that circumstance.

(Obviously, the science isn't fully in yet, so take with a heap of salt).
 
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90% of people who tested positive in the US don't have symptoms according to the surgeon general. Considering that the US has done more testing than any other country (except possibly China) this is pretty good news. The same goes for Singapore, 9 our of 10 imported cases were asymptotic.

This is potentially massive. Any source for this mate?
 
The virus doesn't appear to be very well aerosolised (nuclei of <=5 μm). It's mostly transmitted through droplets (>5 μm ) which land on surfaces and are then introduced to the face via people's hands.

Droplets which are <5 micron mix very well with the air, even in quiescient conditions. This fact is exploited in techniques to measure air velocity in wind tunnels. If the air has any sort of motion, these droplets will follow the air motion well and could potentially stay within the air for some time before settling to the ground.

Larger droplets have a greater terminal velocity and therefore, in quiescient air, settle more quickly to the surfaces. However, larger droplets also distort in shape due to the oncoming flow, and this may lead to breakup (into smaller droplets), depending on how large the droplet becomes. Larger droplets can follow the air flow, but it becomes complicated and is non-trivial.
 
This is potentially massive. Any source for this mate?
The interview on Fox that Trump, Pence, the doctor (not Fauci but the lady) and Surgeon General gave.

It also explains why the US is having as many daily cases as Italy and Spain combined, but much fewer fatalities. Simply cause the US is doing now more tests than any other countries, so it is finding people with no (or very few) symptoms. Also, in Europe, Germany has by far the lowest fatality rate (from large countries) and they are doing more tests than other countries. So likely, it is a matter of many people who have it but don't know that they have it.
 
Tell that to the GOP.

You've got Trump wanting America up and running again by Easter and the Texas Lt. Gov. backing him up on it.

I know it on a personal level as both my sister in law and my niece has been tested positive. One is a RN and the other is a doctor and both have been dealing with the patients and they told me that they have no protective clothing. I now think my sister in law's husband has got it too and he has asthma and is a sick man. It is so sad and so pathetic. Now it is said that the US knew about this in January. The same day Korea knew and tested the first positive case the US tested and found positive their first case.
 
The interview on Fox that Trump, Pence, the doctor (not Fauci but the lady) and Surgeon General gave.

It also explains why the US is having as many daily cases as Italy and Spain combined, but much fewer fatalities. Simply cause the US is doing now more tests than any other countries, so it is finding people with no (or very few) symptoms. Also, in Europe, Germany has by far the lowest fatality rate (from large countries) and they are doing more tests than other countries. So likely, it is a matter of many people who have it but don't know that they have it.

It’s obviously even more dangerous in cases of people respecting others, but it is potentially massive.

Imagine being that much further along the curve than we think we are, perhaps with more and more symptomless people developing immunity.

It would mean that death and serious illness percentages are well below where they actually are registering and could mean that many more people already have antibodies in their system.

It could be early days in Germany and the USA, but the fact that Singapore and South Korea have similar data is extremely encouraging.

It’s possibly the best news in many days.
 
Because they realised the herd immunity nonsense was going to destroy them and their party.

If there was no backlash from experts/criticism, they would've happily continued with their plan.

And kill a large proportion of Tory voters. Boris never does anything that doesn't benefit him.
 
Interesting that people are saying there's gatherings everywhere still as I went to shop for self isolated family then went for my daily walk and the closest I saw to a mass gathering was four people in a skatepark.

Just looking at the news tonight and all major cities and town high streets are ghost towns bar London (and even that is more public transport).

Of course it's not just town high streets but out of town retail parks and then housing estates which will more difficult to control over next three weeks.

The actual figure the government are looking at btw for succesful use of this method is 75% obeying so you factor in the 1/5 who simply won't want to do it which will be the groups of 2 or more.
 
We won’t be leaving the house before society has a degree of herd immunity regardless. It’s part of the solution whatever path we take.

Greater immunity yes. But herd immunity will required 70-90% of us getting infected, it in the absence of a vaccine. I think the only real plan is to lock down to the point where ICU's aren't overwhelmed and only relax things if we start to get spare capacity. Otherwise the fatality rate will spike due to a lack of medical care. A treatment and/or vaccine are desperately needed. Fingers crossed the researchers can break records getting this to fruition but unless something is already in human trials even a year is unlikely - sadly.
 
I asked him again yesterday actually and apparently he hasn't been able to get hold of his GP who is supposed to organise the blood test, and even if/when he does get it apparently the results will take up to 8 weeks to come back! Shambles.
Damn that's awful. Understandable in these times but how we allow the country to come to a standstill for things like this is shocking. We never had a proper plan in place even though in 2016 we determined the NHS was not capable of dealing with an incident such as the one we are in four years later. Nothing was done about it.
 
Damn that's awful. Understandable in these times but how we allow the country to come to a standstill for things like this is shocking. We never had a proper plan in place even though in 2016 we determined the NHS was not capable of dealing with an incident such as the one we are in four years later. Nothing was done about it.

Last year, at our local GP, the facilities to book face to face appointments online were removed. The only option remaining online was to book "phone appointments". If you rang or visited reception, you could still only book phone appointments. Later in the year, they removed all facilities to book phone appointments online. In essence, you couldn't do anything online anymore. Therefore the only way to book any appointment was to call the reception (good luck, queues were long) or visit the surgery. There were times last year the phone lines were down.

They changed a perfectly good working system (had a 2-3 week wait for non essential appointments) to a hectic, cumbersome appointments system that was not fit for purpose. I dread to imagine what the service is like right now.
 
We never had a proper plan in place even though in 2016 we determined the NHS was not capable of dealing with an incident such as the one we are in four years later. Nothing was done about it.

I think this is true for almost every country in the western world. Hospital beds and equipment are expensive items, and future pandemics have been treated as a spooky campfire story, discussed as a real thing, but in financial terms ultimately given the same creedence as an asteroid collision.

By the way, a question for the medically trained here: If a Covid-19 patient in a high risk group was put on oxygen at the first sign of respiratory problems, would they significantly increase their chances of making it through, or does the virus work its thing regardless?
 
Do you reckon their ability to trace was the biggest factor in containing the outbreak?

South Korea seemed to get on top of things thanks to their phenomenal contact tracing. Proper sci fi shit. Data mining from CCTV networks, tracking credit card transactions, bollocks to GDPR. They just got it done.

From what I’ve read about China, their brilliance was in rapid diagnosis (fever clinics with a “while u wait” rapid PCR test and CT scan) as well as having the infrastructure to isolate people away from family units in mass quarantine centres. That and a general public spiritedness. People wanted to do the right thing. They felt a shared responsibility to do everything they needed to do to stop the virus spreading. Couldn’t be more different to all the examples of UK and American people behaving like selfish arsehole. IMO it’s unfair the way they’re being stereotyped as being bullied into submission. Sounds much more like the sort of civic responsibility we badly need to emulate to get through this.
 
Anyone aware of my rights regarding the whole 2m rule whilst in work. I work in the distribution centre for a major food chain, most days I can be surrounded by people whilst picking into cages and so far no protective measures are in place. Anyone got any advice on the steps I should take, worries because I have 2 kids at home, my youngest is under 1 and has had continuous chest issues which have required multiple courses of antibiotics which haven't as yet solved her issue. Thanks in advance.

Anyone?
 
It is going from bad to worse in the US. New York has been badly hit today. Now the papers are saying that the US had a team in China monitoring the Covid but Trump cut its funding. CDC had a team in China for tracking new threats like the Covid but Trump cuts the funding for it. The US also rejected the WHO standard for testing kits and tried to manufacture their own which was found to be faulty and had to re do the whole thing again. It is one huge clusterfeck created by a clusterfeck himself,
 
Italy's total of infections could be as many as 640,000 according to Health chief Angelo Borrelli . Which would suggest that the actual fatality rate is close to 1%.
 
It is going from bad to worse in the US. New York has been badly hit today. Now the papers are saying that the US had a team in China monitoring the Covid but Trump cut its funding. CDC had a team in China for tracking new threats like the Covid but Trump cuts the funding for it. The US also rejected the WHO standard for testing kits and tried to manufacture their own which was found to be faulty and had to re do the whole thing again. It is one huge clusterfeck created by a clusterfeck himself,
Is it possible for trump to face impeachment again?