Flying high
Full Member
- Joined
- Jul 19, 2015
- Messages
- 1,989
Wiped out of existence completely (in all vectors including animals), pretty much zero chance. It'd be possible in a sci-fi novel where you had nanobots released to find every organism with covid19 in it and tag them and then drones go out and kill and incinerate every marked creature.
Wiped out as a 'recurring' threat to humans, possible in 12-18 months. We just got all of Ebola in humans (FOR NOW), for example. This is also why it's important to find the animal host, which you may have heard. AKA if we can't get a vaccine, then all it takes is one mofo to eat/screw/rub lips over contaminated ______ again and it starts all over.
Unknown.
(On a related note, we have theories as to why we catch more colds/flu upper respiratory infections during the cold months.)
Mutation itself is happening all the time. Yes, largely random. No predictability of the type you're probably getting at (Gadzooks, Johnson! look where it's headed! another few mutations and it will be able to move through fiber optic cable!)
Viruses, like any organism, have energy expenditures and the resultant restrictions. AKA there might have already been individual units capable of airborne transmission/survive for weeks in air, but that particular mutation also meant they had to give up a protein that helped them survive above a certain temperature. Like Wile-E-Coyote getting a huge sledgehammer to klobber the roadrunner but that hammer gets stuck on a passing white blood cell. Or like a limited amount of total attribute points to spend setting up your character stats in a computer game.
Unknown. Technically yes it does depend on mutations but everything does.
Thanks.
Looks like my normal method of ignoring a problem in the hope it goes away, might not work this time.