SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

Yeah, that’s an interesting one. A much steeper peak on the way up could mean a steep peak on the way down. The area under the curve (total infected) much bigger but duration could be shorter.

The big unknown (one of many!) is how this interacts with delta. In South Africa they were out the other end of their delta wave. Everyone is assuming this will immediately dominate delta but what happens if they co-exist over the next couple of months? Could we all end up getting a dose of delta and a dose of omicron? Or vice versa? What does that mean to the duration of the current surge?
Yeah I was just reading the latest Sage predictions - highly likely an Omnicron wave will peak above 2k admissions a day - and they mentioned one of the big unknowns is we may have a Delta wave and an Omnicron wave occurring within different cohorts simultaneously - hopefully not!
 
Yeah I was just reading the latest Sage predictions - highly likely an Omnicron wave will peak above 2k admissions a day - and they mentioned one of the big unknowns is we may have a Delta wave and an Omnicron wave occurring within different cohorts simultaneously - hopefully not!

It does mention in that leaked report on the BBC that the scale of the hospitalisations is completely unknown. SAGE have a tendency to go for the worst case scenario, and their models have been found to be some way out of late.
 
There's a lot of people having their cake and eating it here. Criticising the Government for having a party last year while the population were making their heroic sacrifices, while at the same time just last year saying they were having a getting together with friends and family anyway, the rules are nonsensical plus all the other excuses. It's almost like they're taking advantage of an excuse to have another party this year...

this should be extremely obvious, but the problem is that it's the govt setting the very rules that it's breaking.
 
It does mention in that leaked report on the BBC that the scale of the hospitalisations is completely unknown. SAGE have a tendency to go for the worst case scenario, and their models have been found to be some way out of late.
They’ll have numerous different models - it’s very difficult to predict this stuff at the moment as we have such little data on this variant. However, them saying “highly likely” means this isn’t the worst case scenario they’ve modelled.


“The BBC understands the estimates used by Sage are based on very early preliminary data and there is much uncertainty about the scale of any future Omicron wave and its impact on hospital admissions.

But the scientists say the peak of the wave is "highly likely to be higher" than 1,000 to 2,000 Omicron admissions per day without new rules to slow the spread of rising infections.”
 
Yeah I was just reading the latest Sage predictions - highly likely an Omnicron wave will peak above 2k admissions a day - and they mentioned one of the big unknowns is we may have a Delta wave and an Omnicron wave occurring within different cohorts simultaneously - hopefully not!

Yeah, there’s a definite possibility that omicron’s main advantage over delta is immune escape and delta will remain dominant in the unvaccinated. Delta mopping up the low hanging fruit while omicron rips through everyone else.
 
Covid is obviously spreading mainly in schools amongst kids, but then they give it to the school staff, their parents and then on it goes. Workplaces or cinemas are not the problem. Schools is the elephant in the room.
 
Boris announces England moves to the Plan B controls including:
  • Guidance to work from home will be reintroduced for those who can do so from Monday
  • From this Friday, mandatory masks will be extended to most public venues, including theatres and cinemas
  • From next week, the NHS Covid pass will be mandatory for entry into nightclubs and venues where larger crowds gather
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/59575030
 
It's amazing how this happens just as Christmas arrives when schools and a lot of workplaces will be off anyway. They'll say their measures were amazing and they worked :lol:
 
this should be extremely obvious, but the problem is that it's the govt setting the very rules that it's breaking.

Thanks for pointing out something extremely obvious. I might be a buffoon who needs to be talked to like a child, unable to process extremely obvious information, or I might've been making a different point to the one you read. Who knows. No need for intended meaning to get in the way of petty point scoring though, right?
 
Boris announces England moves to the Plan B controls including:
  • Guidance to work from home will be reintroduced for those who can do so from Monday
  • From this Friday, mandatory masks will be extended to most public venues, including theatres and cinemas
  • From next week, the NHS Covid pass will be mandatory for entry into nightclubs and venues where larger crowds gather
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/59575030
Same rules that are in Scotland and Wales where it’s doubling at the same rate. Not sure this will slow it that much.
 
I can access the app fine, but it just gets to the page where it tells me how to get my domestic covid pass with text about the ways to get it, but nothing that you can use the app for which is the whole point of it. The whole system is typically bullshit cheap nonsense, how can we have these new restrictions if those of us who are vaccinated can't even get cleared now?

Typically shambolic.
 
I can access the app fine, but it just gets to the page where it tells me how to get my domestic covid pass with text about the ways to get it, but nothing that you can use the app for which is the whole point of it. The whole system is typically bullshit cheap nonsense, how can we have these new restrictions if those of us who are vaccinated can't even get cleared now?

Typically shambolic.
I got mine from the website rather than the app

https://covid-status.service.nhsx.nhs.uk/
 
I got mine from the website rather than the app

https://covid-status.service.nhsx.nhs.uk/

Nope, just takes me to the "how to get your covid pass" page. I've not fully logged in with all my details though, but you aren't supposed to have to for the covid pass for domestic events (which I've done in the past) so it can't be that. Unless they've fecked with it and not told us of course.
 
I can access the app fine, but it just gets to the page where it tells me how to get my domestic covid pass with text about the ways to get it, but nothing that you can use the app for which is the whole point of it. The whole system is typically bullshit cheap nonsense, how can we have these new restrictions if those of us who are vaccinated can't even get cleared now?

Typically shambolic.
It sounds like you're either not logged in or you've not done the identity validation thing - you need photo ID etc for that.
 
No, I am logged in. I won't take that personally btw :lol:

I haven't don't the identity part, but you don't have to do that do get a domestic pass.
There was an update a couple of days ago, I don't know if access to the domestic pass changed as part of that. I wanted access to both passes so I did the ID thing right from the start, so I wouldn't have noticed.

There are changes/updates underway though to the front end and the database so it could be temporary. Bits of it have just had the spinning loading thing and nothing happening at various times. It did flash up an updated terms and conditions thing the other day as well but I admit I didn't bother reading it :smirk:
 
So new rules for indoor venues of 500 capacity and outdoor of 4,000.

Surely that’s all venues covered? What’s this ‘also for any venue with more than 10,000’?

Which venues are neither indoors nor outside?
 
There was an update a couple of days ago, I don't know if access to the domestic pass changed as part of that. I wanted access to both passes so I did the ID thing right from the start, so I wouldn't have noticed.

There are changes/updates underway though to the front end and the database so it could be temporary. Bits of it have just had the spinning loading thing and nothing happening at various times. It did flash up an updated terms and conditions thing the other day as well but I admit I didn't bother reading it :smirk:
Forget that - apparently a lot of people are getting the spinning/loading thing followed by that message. It's a loading/updating database issue.
 
So new rules for indoor venues of 500 capacity and outdoor of 4,000.

Surely that’s all venues covered? What’s this ‘also for any venue with more than 10,000’?

Which venues are neither indoors nor outside?
It relates to seating arrangements I think.
 
Same rules that are in Scotland and Wales where it’s doubling at the same rate. Not sure this will slow it that much.
My favourite bit was that having advised people to work from home if possible, he then suggested that work parties can go ahead as planned.
 
Yeah. Kind of same old same old that the bloody thing doesn't work and wasn't ready for these restrictions.

Not really a shock with government websites/apps.

To be fair half the population probably did what you did and booted it up at the same time after the announcement just to see if it would work.
 
To be fair half the population probably did what you did and booted it up at the same time after the announcement just to see if it would work.

Probably. Though my missus did it because she's out tomorrow and wanted to make sure, that's why I tested it. Otherwise I wouldn't give a feck as I've never been asked to show it, even at football or gigs.

Still, wouldn't put it past them to slyly change it.
 
Yeah. Kind of same old same old that the bloody thing doesn't work and wasn't ready for these restrictions.

Not really a shock with government websites/apps.
They haven't fix the app yet - they have fixed the error message. It now reads:
Please try again later
There are currently issues with accessing the Covid Pass on the NHS App and website. We are investigating the issue and will update as soon as we can.