SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

I’d really like to know the age profile of the hospitalisations. Thinking back to previous waves the vast vast majority were elderly. And that’s a cohort which really is 100% vaccinated. Or very close to it anyway.

However we’ve always known vaccine efficacy is at its lowest in the elderly. That’s the case with every vaccine ever. So the combination of the least effective vaccine in the most likely to get very unwell was always going to end up with a lot of vaccinated people in hospitals.

Here at least:

Median age of cases: 29
Hospitalisation: 52 (i did read elsewhere that its 35 in one region)
ICU: 63
Death: 78

Median age of cases and hospitalisations is dropping rapidly, but the age of the serious cases is changing much more slowly.
 
You dont need too much data to know that vacinne doesnt mean you cant get infected. That much is too obvious.

And if vacinne aren't 100% effective, opening full freedom is not a good prospect.

At least maintain basic health protocols, instead of going no mask is allowed.
 
I’d really like to know the age profile of the hospitalisations. Thinking back to previous waves the vast vast majority were elderly. And that’s a cohort which really is 100% vaccinated. Or very close to it anyway.

However we’ve always known vaccine efficacy is at its lowest in the elderly. That’s the case with every vaccine ever. So the combination of the least effective vaccine in the most likely to get very unwell was always going to end up with a lot of vaccinated people in hospitals.
Yes, this is the most important thing. If that 60% is middle aged and older folks who haven't been vaccinated, it makes a huge amount of sense but if that's younger people getting hospitalised it's very worrying, regardless of the fact they haven't been vaccinated.
 
I’d really like to know the age profile of the hospitalisations. Thinking back to previous waves the vast vast majority were elderly. And that’s a cohort which really is 100% vaccinated. Or very close to it anyway.

However we’ve always known vaccine efficacy is at its lowest in the elderly. That’s the case with every vaccine ever. So the combination of the least effective vaccine in the most likely to get very unwell was always going to end up with a lot of vaccinated people in hospitals.
The overall hospitalisation data gets split as U50/50+ and lags behind some of the other data they collate.

This chart is Delta only and it only covers cases until 21st June. England opened the national booking system to the 50+ group in mid-March. Most Delta cases are May/June - the 60-65s were about 90% double vaxxed by then, and the over 70s were around 95%+.

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Some health authorities etc have given more recent data since then. Generally the hospitalisations are skewing younger than before, with (of course) a disproportionate number of unvaxxed over 40s. One stat I did read (not sure which report it came from) is that the average age of a covid death is now 70, down from 82 in the last wave - which bizarrely enough is good news. If you're vaccinated.
 
Nearly 100 deaths in today's figures but maybe due to a backlog in reporting as it's quite a jump.




Have we seen any estimates on what deaths could reach in 4/6 weeks? If we are at 100 already, it’s not inconceivable to think it could reach 1000 again for example? Or is the expectation that it will run out of places for transmission and die back way back down again?
 
I don't like this sentiment and worry it's a slippery slope. Even if you think anti vaxxers are stupid, I don't like the idea of the government coercing people into taking the vaccine.

You're right we have to stop the government for forcing us to stop deaths. Madness. First its vaccine then its the Gulag. Act now or live in servitude forever.
 
You're right we have to stop the government for forcing us to stop deaths. Madness. First its vaccine then its the Gulag. Act now or live in servitude forever.
Ultimately it's the unvaccinated people that are likely to suffer most? If they don't want to take a vaccine I think they should have every right to make that choice without it limiting their social freedom.
 
Ultimately it's the unvaccinated people that are likely to suffer most? If they don't want to take a vaccine I think they should have every right to make that choice without it limiting their social freedom.

Yes its their own body they should be allowed to infect others freely. I'd rather my grandad dies with Covid then let some government try to keep me safe from a worldwide pandemic that has killed millions and caused unspeakable hardships.
Sorry old people I choose freedom.
 
Ultimately it's the unvaccinated people that are likely to suffer most? If they don't want to take a vaccine I think they should have every right to make that choice without it limiting their social freedom.
No because those idiots transmit it to other people and with vaccines not being 100% effective we need absolutely everybody (unless medically incapable) to be vaccinated to stop it continuing to spread and mutate.
 
Ultimately it's the unvaccinated people that are likely to suffer most? If they don't want to take a vaccine I think they should have every right to make that choice without it limiting their social freedom.

That makes sense. Make the unvaccinated to sign a waiver on their healthcare rights, so they can't seek public funded medical help when they fell ill.
 
The overall hospitalisation data gets split as U50/50+ and lags behind some of the other data they collate.

This chart is Delta only and it only covers cases until 21st June. England opened the national booking system to the 50+ group in mid-March. Most Delta cases are May/June - the 60-65s were about 90% double vaxxed by then, and the over 70s were around 95%+.

E6vGUPQXoAAYcqc


Some health authorities etc have given more recent data since then. Generally the hospitalisations are skewing younger than before, with (of course) a disproportionate number of unvaxxed over 40s. One stat I did read (not sure which report it came from) is that the average age of a covid death is now 70, down from 82 in the last wave - which bizarrely enough is good news. If you're vaccinated.

Thanks. Anecdotal data only but I’m hearing from friends working in hospitals that vaccinated admissions tend to be much shorter than unvaccinated. So even though they’re ending up in hospital they’re still getting some protection.

I guess deaths will ultimately be the most useful way to compare outcomes.
 
I mentioned it in another thread but my workplace did remarkably well during the first two waves, we probably had 2-3 people off with covid. People even remarked that it can’t be that serious as no one at work has it :rolleyes: .

The last two weeks we have had about 20 off with covid, including two this week already.
 
Yes its their own body they should be allowed to infect others freely. I'd rather my grandad dies with Covid then let some government try to keep me safe from a worldwide pandemic that has killed millions and caused unspeakable hardships.
Sorry old people I choose freedom.
The indications are that the vaccines do not prevent transmission. Given around 90% of adults have had at least one dose and 66% have had both doses.

I'm not sure why there is a deviation from the non-double vaccinated requiring a negative test.
 
The indications are that the vaccines do not prevent transmission . Given around 90% of adults have had at least one dose and 66% have had both doses.

I'm not sure why there is a deviation from the non-double vaccinated requiring a negative test.
Wrong.

https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/article/yes-vaccines-block-most-transmission-of-covid-19

https://www.verywellhealth.com/cdc-study-covid-19-transmission-vaccines-5121080

https://medicalxpress.com/news/2021-05-evidence-covid-vaccines-transmission.html
 
I mentioned it in another thread but my workplace did remarkably well during the first two waves, we probably had 2-3 people off with covid. People even remarked that it can’t be that serious as no one at work has it :rolleyes: .

The last two weeks we have had about 20 off with covid, including two this week already.
Came into work today and my area is 1 of the lads daughters getting a positive test away from us all being off for a week and potentially getting tested
 
Isn't this all about reducing transmission rather than outright preventing it? Being double vaccinated will reduce the chances but it doesn't mean you can't be infected or pass on your infection to others.
 
Isn't this all about reducing transmission rather than outright preventing it? Being double vaccinated will reduce the chances but it doesn't mean you can't be infected or pass on your infection to others.
Do you have a point? A lot of flip flopping going on.
 
Do you have a point? A lot of flip flopping going on.
You said I'm wrong with articles that agree with my point. The vaccine's don't rule out transmission.

My original point is that I'm against the government making vaccines mandatory for certain societal freedoms, especially when the unvaccinated are a minority.
 
You said I'm wrong with articles that agree with my point. The vaccine's don't rule out transmission.

My original point is that I'm against the government making vaccines mandatory for certain societal freedoms, especially when the unvaccinated are a minority.

The last numbers I saw suggested we need to reach something like 95% vaccination population to reach herd immunity.

The more selfish assholes who refuse to get vaccinated because of nonsense they’ve read on Facebook or whatever else, the less chance we have of getting past this pandemic and the more chance we have of further and more aggressive variants/mutations like delta and worse.
 
Worth remembering there will be millions of people who choose not to be vaccinated for a myriad of perfectly reasonable reasons, I'm sure these crazy people who post bollocks on social media exist but they're surely in a vocal minority of all the millions who will opt not to have it with fairly limited influence. Not sure what we achieve by rabidly demonizing people who for their own reason choose not to have it. Whatever happened to 'my body, my choice' by the way? It's been really interesting seeing how easily people will push and fight to remove liberties of other people when they're in the majority and don't meet the criteria for such punishment, a bit frightening even. I have a newfound extra respect for all of those who have been vaccinated but are also against the push for a two tiered society. People who can remain fair and show restraint when they could take the easy route and think of themselves only are a rare breed.
 
You said I'm wrong with articles that agree with my point. The vaccine's don't rule out transmission.

My original point is that I'm against the government making vaccines mandatory for certain societal freedoms, especially when the unvaccinated are a minority.

Its amazing to see how fecking dumb people can be. Here in India I had friends begging for oxygen and hospital beds, mass graves and covid positive dead bodies floating in the river. Fit and healthy people in the prime of their lives dying from this shit and then they're people like you, scared of a fecking needle like a 12 year old child. Implying a fecking vaccine that might help in eradicating this crap from the face of the earth represents the tail end of an authoritarian regime. No logic behind it just dumbasses gathering online and validating each other on how you shouldn't get vaccinated and let people die because freedom. Unbelievable.
 
You said I'm wrong with articles that agree with my point. The vaccine's don't rule out transmission.

My original point is that I'm against the government making vaccines mandatory for certain societal freedoms, especially when the unvaccinated are a minority.

It seems to me that you changed your point between your first post and your reply.

Nobody ever said they ruled out anything. You said they don't affect transmission, which is wrong, as they reduce transmission as expected.

Generally I'm against governments imposing things on the populous. In this case, people need to do the right thing by society as a whole and get vaccinated to bring down transmission to others. It's not like people getting Covid will only affect themselves, it affects everyone they come into contact with. It's incredibly selfish to choose not to be vaccinated if you are able to be.
 
The last numbers I saw suggested we need to reach something like 95% vaccination population to reach herd immunity.

The more selfish assholes who refuse to get vaccinated because of nonsense they’ve read on Facebook or whatever else, the less chance we have of getting past this pandemic and the more chance we have of further and more aggressive variants/mutations like delta and worse.
95% including kids?
 
It seems to me that you changed your point between your first post and your reply.

Nobody ever said they ruled out anything. You said they don't affect transmission, which is wrong, as they reduce transmission as expected.
I said it doesn't prevent transmission, I never said it doesn't impact it.
Its amazing to see how fecking dumb people can be. Here in India I had friends begging for oxygen and hospital beds, mass graves and covid positive dead bodies floating in the river. Fit and healthy people in the prime of their lives dying from this shit and then they're people like you, scared of a fecking needle like a 12 year old child. Implying a fecking vaccine that might help in eradicating this crap from the face of the earth represents the tail end of an authoritarian regime. No logic behind it just dumbasses gathering online and validating each other on how you shouldn't get vaccinated and let people die because freedom. Unbelievable.
I'm scared of taking a needle? Where have I said I won't or haven't taken the vaccine?
 
Worth remembering there will be millions of people who choose not to be vaccinated for a myriad of perfectly reasonable reasons, I'm sure these crazy people who post bollocks on social media exist but they're surely in a vocal minority of all the millions who will opt not to have it with fairly limited influence. Not sure what we achieve by rabidly demonizing people who for their own reason choose not to have it. Whatever happened to 'my body, my choice' by the way? It's been really interesting seeing how easily people will push and fight to remove liberties of other people when they're in the majority and don't meet the criteria for such punishment, a bit frightening even. I have a newfound extra respect for all of those who have been vaccinated but are also against the push for a two tiered society. People who can remain fair and show restraint when they could take the easy route and think of themselves only are a rare breed.
Agree with this. Plenty of crazy folk on talking nonsense on Facebook and the likes but you can't throw them all in the same bracket.
 
Worth remembering there will be millions of people who choose not to be vaccinated for a myriad of perfectly reasonable reasons, I'm sure these crazy people who post bollocks on social media exist but they're surely in a vocal minority of all the millions who will opt not to have it with fairly limited influence. Not sure what we achieve by rabidly demonizing people who for their own reason choose not to have it. Whatever happened to 'my body, my choice' by the way? It's been really interesting seeing how easily people will push and fight to remove liberties of other people when they're in the majority and don't meet the criteria for such punishment, a bit frightening even. I have a newfound extra respect for all of those who have been vaccinated but are also against the push for a two tiered society. People who can remain fair and show restraint when they could take the easy route and think of themselves only are a rare breed.

Where is the facepalm smiley when you need it?
 
I said it doesn't prevent transmission, I never said it doesn't impact it.

I'm scared of taking a needle? Where have I said I won't or haven't taken the vaccine?
Of course it prevents transmission. No one is claiming it's 100% efficient at it. Maybe the word you're looking for is closer to eradication or elimination. Because prevention isn't the same as that.
 
Worth remembering there will be millions of people who choose not to be vaccinated for a myriad of perfectly reasonable reasons, I'm sure these crazy people who post bollocks on social media exist but they're surely in a vocal minority of all the millions who will opt not to have it with fairly limited influence. Not sure what we achieve by rabidly demonizing people who for their own reason choose not to have it. Whatever happened to 'my body, my choice' by the way? It's been really interesting seeing how easily people will push and fight to remove liberties of other people when they're in the majority and don't meet the criteria for such punishment, a bit frightening even. I have a newfound extra respect for all of those who have been vaccinated but are also against the push for a two tiered society. People who can remain fair and show restraint when they could take the easy route and think of themselves only are a rare breed.
Because 'my body, my choice' applies to things like tattoos or plastic surgery, that has no effect on the wider community. Choosing not to get a vaccination potentially takes away other people's freedoms. Like when we all inevitably have to go into another lockdown.
 
Agree with this. Plenty of crazy folk on talking nonsense on Facebook and the likes but you can't throw them all in the same bracket.

Agreed
Y'all are worse they have been brainwashed to think the vaccines will somehow harm them their hesitancy is dumb but understandable while the "freedom group" are against it because mah freedom mah rights let people die, let variants proliferate dont tell me want to do! Bunch of attention seeking crybabies.
 
Agreed
Y'all are worse they have been brainwashed to think the vaccines will somehow harm them their hesitancy is dumb but understandable while the "freedom group" are against it because mah freedom mah rights let people die, let variants proliferate dont tell me want to do! Bunch of attention seeking crybabies.
Again, just because someone is not in favour of mandating vaccines does not mean you think vaccines are there to harm people. I've had my first dose of the Pfizer vaccine for what it's worth and will have my second in a few weeks.
 
Because 'my body, my choice' applies to things like tattoos or plastic surgery, that has no effect on the wider community. Choosing not to get a vaccination potentially takes away other people's freedoms. Like when we all inevitably have to go into another lockdown.

Most commonly and aptly it’s used in debates surrounding abortion, without getting into it, a discussion just as nuanced as a covid vaccine discussion in the context of mandatory rollout or a punishing two tier society relative to tattoos and plastic surgery I would argue.

‘Potentially taking freedoms’ isn’t ‘taking freedoms’ is it? There is a big difference, besides ultimately it will be a government that would ‘take your freedom’ in a lockdown, not unvaccinated people which is one: indiscriminate and two: you can bet it will have to be with the will of the people because after so many lockdowns the majority could easily decide enough is enough in that respect and nobody will lose any freedom.
 
Most commonly and aptly it’s used in debates surrounding abortion, without getting into it, a discussion just as nuanced as a covid vaccine discussion in the context of mandatory rollout or a punishing two tier society relative to tattoos and plastic surgery I would argue.

‘Potentially taking freedoms’ isn’t ‘taking freedoms’ is it? There is a big difference, besides ultimately it will be a government that would ‘take your freedom’ in a lockdown, not unvaccinated people which is one: indiscriminate and two: you can bet it will have to be with the will of the people because after so many lockdowns the majority could easily decide enough is enough in that respect and nobody will lose any freedom.
I originally put abortion in there, but realised that it'd be incorrect to state that abortion only affects the person getting the abortion. It can be a decision made jointly by a couple, for example.

Potentially taking freedoms is probably best put as probably taking freedoms. I have friends whose situation is they have a family where the kids split time between their parents homes, with their parents and step parents. One of those step parents is a covid denying anti-vaxer. Their decision to be the only adult in the family to not be vaccinated has a direct impact on the other half of the family, who now risk catching covid via their kid's interaction with the anti-vaxer. It means grandparents not being able to spend the time with their grandkids that they want to. It's incredibly selfish.
 
I originally put abortion in there, but realised that it'd be incorrect to state that abortion only affects the person getting the abortion. It can be a decision made jointly by a couple, for example.

Potentially taking freedoms is probably best put as probably taking freedoms. I have friends whose situation is they have a family where the kids split time between their parents homes, with their parents and step parents. One of those step parents is a covid denying anti-vaxer. Their decision to be the only adult in the family to not be vaccinated has a direct impact on the other half of the family, who now risk catching covid via their kid's interaction with the anti-vaxer. It means grandparents not being able to spend the time with their grandkids that they want to. It's incredibly selfish.

I have complete sympathy with your friend and the similar situations no doubt millions of others are finding themselves in but I have to think that even if we had a scenario where vaccination was mandatory, there would still absolutely be significant pockets of people who don't have it living among us (and all around the world moreso), part of being vaccinated surely means that you're afforded a certain elevation in comfort levels being around un-vaccinated people or else what kind of vaccine is it? Is it still sustainable and reasonable to live in fear and yearn for a bubble like way of life indefinitely? There's also a lot of passion derived from the caricature of someone who chooses not to be vaccinated which I understand but it's so far from the mark. For a fact most people who choose not to take it are just ordinary people quietly going about their lives, with their own deeply personal and unique reasons which they're entitled to. Let's not lose sight of that because of some outspoken twats on Facebook/Twitter or in our own families!
 
You said I'm wrong with articles that agree with my point. The vaccine's don't rule out transmission.

My original point is that I'm against the government making vaccines mandatory for certain societal freedoms, especially when the unvaccinated are a minority.
It’s the minority’s choice