I hope so but I see the same issues broadly as with ETH - it's easier to identify our setup now, three at the back is distinctive but the play through the middle is the same and we have the same issues in front of goal. ETH's main gripe = the squad was not fit enough, Amorim's seems to be the same. This is on the fitness teams, sports science guys and medical department and is hard to address mid season. It's early days but look at the below performances, ignoring the results, we're worse offensively and a little better defensively (although the xGA is skewed by the Spurs game + red card).
ETH | Fulham (H) | Brighton (A) | Pool (A) | Soton (A) | Palace (A) | Spurs (H) | Villa (A) | Brentford (H) | WHUM (A) | AVERAGE |
xG | 2.04 | 1.29 | 1.5 | 3.03 | 2.35 | 0.6 | 0.45 | 1.77 | 2.63 | 1.74 |
xGA | 0.42 | 2.14 | 2.1 | 1.36 | 1.67 | 5.41 | 0.53 | 0.89 | 2.99 | 1.94 |
Amorim | Ipswich (A) | Everton (H) | Ars (A) | Forest (H) | AVERAGE |
xG | 1.27 | 1.76 | 0.26 | 1.47 | 1.19 |
xGA | 1.99 | 0.77 | 2.97 | 0.65 | 1.59 |
The hope is Amorim can build towards something better, but warning signs are there for me regarding our ability to finish chances. This season we have not won a single game against the xG prediction, the only time looking at understat we have even got a point when we were the 'worse' team was getting a draw versus Ipswich in Amorim's first game. That is woeful. For context, Newcastle who are 1 place above us and having a similarly poor season have +12 points from where they 'should' be just going off xG. Results are obviously more complex, but it shows how bad we are in front of goal.