Life after ETH — the next United manager

If we sack ten Hag who would you want as manager?

  • Massimiliano Allegri

    Votes: 24 1.7%
  • Rúben Amorim

    Votes: 289 21.0%
  • Michael Carrick

    Votes: 33 2.4%
  • Roberto de Zerbi

    Votes: 18 1.3%
  • Thomas Frank

    Votes: 70 5.1%
  • Sebastian Hoeneß

    Votes: 59 4.3%
  • Eddie Howe

    Votes: 6 0.4%
  • Simone Inzaghi

    Votes: 66 4.8%
  • Andoni Iraola

    Votes: 36 2.6%
  • Thiago Motta

    Votes: 8 0.6%
  • Julian Nagelsmann

    Votes: 256 18.6%
  • Graham Potter

    Votes: 26 1.9%
  • Ruud van Nistelrooy

    Votes: 30 2.2%
  • Marco Silva

    Votes: 8 0.6%
  • Xabi Alonso

    Votes: 217 15.8%
  • Xavi

    Votes: 58 4.2%
  • Kieran McKenna

    Votes: 81 5.9%
  • Unai Emery

    Votes: 90 6.5%
  • Fabian Hürzeler

    Votes: 1 0.1%

  • Total voters
    1,376
Id rather keep ETH than get Ole back. Get Xavi on if we are out of options. Don't repeat your fecking mistakes.
 
Id rather keep ETH than get Ole back. Get Xavi on if we are out of options. Don't repeat your fecking mistakes.
What's wrong with Ole as interim? Up until he signed Ronaldo he had us consistently finishing top4. If he can achieve that this season, than we would be in a much better position come summer.
 
yes, but

Thomas Tuchel lost 25.5% of his matches as Bayern Munich coach. The worst percentage at Bayern since the 1991/1992 season.​

I think that had alot to do with Leverkuson having such a big lead and Bayen putting all their eggs in the CL. So players down tooling in a lot the league games and Tuchel rotating for those games.
 
What's wrong with Ole as interim? Up until he signed Ronaldo he had us consistently finishing top4. If he can achieve that this season, than we would be in a much better position come summer.

His football was shit and we were underdog to every fecking team. I know you can't stand Ten Hag at the moment, but people forget very quick how shit we were under Ole. I do not want to waste the whole season on him. There are a very good coach in Xavi who is available and could possibly be a permanent manager. Do not waste 80% of the season on fecking vibes.
 
Recently, Carteret Analytics conducted an extensive review of potential managers to replace Erik ten Hag, who has been under increasing scrutiny at Manchester United. While we’ve explored various candidates for the Dutchman’s position on this platform, none have been analysed with the same level of detail as Carteret Analytics provides.

To begin their analysis, Carteret Analytics reviewed the achievements and progress of several notable managers over the past six years, including Ruben Amorim, Zinedine Zidane, Simone Inzaghi, Thomas Tuchel, Kieran McKenna, Ruud van Nistelrooy, Erik ten Hag, Gareth Southgate, Graham Potter, Michael Carrick, Roberto De Zerbi, and Thomas Frank.

From there, the team focused on determining each manager’s “Football Intelligence,” a metric measured through the combination of two key factors: Strategic Intelligence and Tactical Command. While these aspects of management might typically be seen as qualitative, Carteret Analytics provided specific parameters for both, offering insight into how they quantified this metric for each manager.
  1. Ruben Amorim is highlighted as the best candidate, with the highest Strategic Intelligence (88.24) and Tactical Command (6.5), as well as a top-tier Attacking Coefficient (25.71). His success with Sporting CP, using a well-structured 3–4–3 system, makes him an attractive option for Manchester United’s desire to return to an attacking brand of football.
  2. Zinedine Zidane ranks second, largely due to his proven track record at Real Madrid, where his high Attacking Coefficient (25.73) and ability to handle top-level players successfully contributed to multiple Champions League titles.
  3. Simone Inzaghi comes in third, praised for his high Strategic Intelligence Rating (82.46) and balance between offensive and defensive organisation. His ability to craft effective game plans, particularly in high-stakes matches, adds to his appeal.
  4. Thomas Tuchel, despite being ranked fourth, brings strong credentials. His flexibility in tactics and success at Chelsea, including a Champions League win, make him a viable candidate, especially since he is currently available for a potential managerial shift.
0*S6jik2gMKNWdy4CA


The Best Statistical Choice To Be The Next Manchester United Manager
 
How is objective achievement rating measured?

McKenna's taken a team from League 1 to PL. But has a far worse achievement rating than Ten Hag who's spent 600m and lowered our position in the table.
How is any of it measured? Most of Amorim's nice green boxes come from the underappreciated facet of tactical genius called 'managing in the Portuguese league'.

It's clearly a silly exercise, but if you give exact numbers and call things "objective" and "success adjusted" people will buy it, apparently. :lol:
 
I would've taken Zidane years ago but he's said he'll never coach in England as he never bothered to learn English and is likely still waiting to take over Deschamps when he's done at the helm of Les Bleus.

Inzaghi would've been my top pick if we were huring after or before the season but he won't ditch Inter midseason.

Tuchel and Nagelsmann have been my top picks but I could get behind Amorim if we felt bold and risk taking suddenly.

He has a similar profile to ETH bit he's been doing it at a club with much less structural advantages as Ajax had in the Eredivisie under him. He led Sporting to their first title in a generation, 20 years, and has turned them into the best side in Portugal during his tenure.

Ugarte also looked like a world beater under him.
 
How is objective achievement rating measured?

McKenna's taken a team from League 1 to PL. But has a far worse achievement rating than Ten Hag who's spent 600m and lowered our position in the table.
Glossary

Objective Achievement Rating

This is a unique quantitative measure of overall ability. It is based on the premise that the primary objective of a manager/head coach is to win football matches, and the Objective Achievement Rating (OAR) is an assessment of his success in this regard over the last six seasons. Whilst we can determine a manager’s OAR over a longer period (if necessary), we have calculated that the most accurate and predictive indicator of success for a manager is based on his prior six seasons, with an incremental weighting towards the most recent seasons.The OAR is also weighted for the level of the league in which the manager has operated at any point in time during the last six seasons. We apply a significance metric based on the level of data population for the last six seasons (the lower the figure the better), and which could be impacted, for example, by periods of inactivity within that period. Finally, as a means of comparison, we have also worked on a club specific premise that the club would want their next manager to guide the club to a particular position in the league and other relevant competitions (e.g. Champions League) at the conclusion of Season 2024/25.
 
Can ruud really do any worse as interim for rest of season or until January, he at least has a better managerial pedigree than what ole had when he first took charge, ruud also understands the standards at this club unlike ten hag.
 
It's a bit pointless having the 3 managers we absolutely aren't getting in the list when they're getting the majority of the votes.
 
How is any of it measured? Most of Amorim's nice green boxes come from the underappreciated facet of tactical genius called 'managing in the Portuguese league'.

It's clearly a silly exercise, but if you give exact numbers and call things "objective" and "success adjusted" people will buy it, apparently. :lol:

It appears that, similar to ETH, he is gaining popularity among the Caf as he fulfils certain criteria (young, up and coming, broke the Porto/Benfica duopoly) on which United fans seem to place a significant emphasis.

I still remember a piece of advice from my late father: "Whenever you feel like patting yourself on the back for a good deal, ask yourself why's it no one else hasn't picked up on it already. It will save you a lot of trouble and money". Is it "a good bargain is a pick-purse", how the English say it?

The guy could manage in the PL and do great. But the pertinent question should be why is he still at SCP, going into his 5th full season there, despite all the hype around his name.
 
Can ruud really do any worse as interim for rest of season or until January, he at least has a better managerial pedigree than what ole had when he first took charge, ruud also understands the standards at this club unlike ten hag.
That's very debatable.

Ruud was a manager for one season (and didn't even want to take it then as he didn't think he was ready). Finished second and won a cup, but it appears the fans weren't happy with the performances and he resigned before the last game of the season.

Ole had managed for about 7 seasons, which included winning Molde their first ever league title (and then won it again the following season). He didn't do well at Cardiff but they were a poor team that was almost certainly getting relegated no matter who the manager was.

Ruud was in charge of a larger club, but overall I'd say Ole had the better managerial pedigree.
 
Can ruud really do any worse as interim for rest of season or until January, he at least has a better managerial pedigree than what ole had when he first took charge, ruud also understands the standards at this club unlike ten hag.

Ruud could a be a good option as an interim but I suspect INEOS want to go that route, they will most likely go for a permanent option.
 
It appears that, similar to ETH, he is gaining popularity among the Caf as he fulfils certain criteria (young, up and coming, broke the Porto/Benfica duopoly) on which United fans seem to place a significant emphasis.

I still remember a piece of advice from my late father: "Whenever you feel like patting yourself on the back for a good deal, ask yourself why's it no one else hasn't picked up on it already. It will save you a lot of trouble and money". Is it "a good bargain is a pick-purse", how the English say it?

The guy could manage in the PL and do great. But the pertinent question should be why is he still at SCP, going into his 5th full season there, despite all the hype around his name.
The main difference between him and EtH is that unlike EtH, he is actually a young manager. While Amorim is around Nagelsmann and McKenna age, EtH is older than Pep.

Otherwise, I agree with you. He is an up and coming manager, and should be considered by the big clubs. Like all unproven managers, could go good, could go bad. For what is worth, I thought that is hiring EtH was the correct decision back then (was my second choice behind Conte), but it didn’t work. I think even more important than hiring the right manager, is sacking fast the wrong managers. Going over 3 managers within 2 seasons until we find the right one, is still far better than burning 2-3 seasons persisting with the wrong manager. There is a good chance that the next manager will again be unsuccessful, so as long as we are proactive at having choices at any stage of the season, decouple the manager from the squad building, and be fast at sacking when things aren’t going well, we will be ok. Similar to other big clubs who work within this principle.

So I think we should consider Amorim, but there should also be some expectation that he, like any other manager, has a high likelihood of failing.
 
The main difference between him and EtH is that unlike EtH, he is actually a young manager. While Amorim is around Nagelsmann and McKenna age, EtH is older than Pep.

Otherwise, I agree with you. He is an up and coming manager, and should be considered by the big clubs. Like all unproven managers, could go good, could go bad. For what is worth, I thought that is hiring EtH was the correct decision back then (was my second choice behind Conte), but it didn’t work. I think even more important than hiring the right manager, is sacking fast the wrong managers. Going over 3 managers within 2 seasons until we find the right one, is still far better than burning 2-3 seasons persisting with the wrong manager. There is a good chance that the next manager will again be unsuccessful, so as long as we are proactive at having choices at any stage of the season, decouple the manager from the squad building, and be fast at sacking when things aren’t going well, we will be ok. Similar to other big clubs who work within this principle.

So I think we should consider Amorim, but there should also be some expectation that he, like any other manager, has a high likelihood of failing.

We should also be prepared, even if things go reasonably well at the start, for the eventuality of appointing a replacement two or three years down the line. Managerial appointments, even the more successful ones, tend to have short life spans. In some ways, it's the belief in our uniqueness as a club that's hurting us. The belief that we can "make" a long-term manager. Offering Moyes a six-year contract, signing LvG with Giggs waiting to take up the mantle, offering Mourinho a new deal even if we knew his history, insisting with both Solskjaer and ETH... who does that? This is the big hope with the INEOS management, that they, as outsiders, would help the club snap out of it.

I posted my previous comment with a particular incident in mind. Like you, i was very positive about ETH's appointment when it happened. Did well within the Ajax system (not the most competitive league, but Ajax has standards and their fans were happy with him) and several aspects of his playing style were closer to the modern game than we had ever been under Mourinho or Solskjaer. A friend of mine (someone whose opinions on the game i appreciate) didn't share my enthusiasm. When i asked why, he said: "I don't follow the Eredivisie, so i can't be 100% certain. Having said that, if you are a great manager, that second half against Spurs in the CL semi-final simply doesn't happen. For me, it's unforgivable, and it's a massive red flag". That was in 2019, and no one picked up ETH until United came knocking at his door in 2022. Now, it's easy to see the lack of control, the gung-ho approach when we have to push for a goal, the big gaps in the thirds when we transition in defence etc. It's also too late.

Sadly - and you can see it in the comments - we have arrived, once again, to the point where we expect the next Messiah to step inside OT.
 
His football was shit and we were underdog to every fecking team. I know you can't stand Ten Hag at the moment, but people forget very quick how shit we were under Ole. I do not want to waste the whole season on him. There are a very good coach in Xavi who is available and could possibly be a permanent manager. Do not waste 80% of the season on fecking vibes.

Ole's football was comfortably the best one we've played post-Ferguson. If it was shit, then what we played under Mourinho, ten Hag, van Gaal, and Moyes was ultra shit then.

But the "fecking vibes" comment gives a lot away anyway
 
Ole's football was comfortably the best one we've played post-Ferguson. If it was shit, then what we played under Mourinho, ten Hag, van Gaal, and Moyes was ultra shit then.

But the "fecking vibes" comment gives a lot away anyway
We were utterly mediocre for the most part under Ole, and funnily the feeling of being outplayed by almost every opponent was very much the same as it is now under ETH. Also the same was the occasional smash and grab win against City to save the job for another 6 months.
Anyone who reacts to the troubles we have under ETH by wanting to hire Ole back should be banned.
 
Think we'll be pinning our hopes on the Italian reports that we spoke to Inzaghi and he said no, coupled with the reports it'll be his last season at Inter. Ten Hag isn't going anywhere this season, so hopefully that's the plan for the summer. Knowing us, even if it was, we'd probably ditch it if Ten Hag beat City or something again.
 
We were utterly mediocre for the most part under Ole, and funnily the feeling of being outplayed by almost every opponent was very much the same as it is now under ETH. Also the same was the occasional smash and grab win against City to save the job for another 6 months.
Anyone who reacts to the troubles we have under ETH by wanting to hire Ole back should be banned.

No, we weren't.

There's nothing to suggest that other than the media and casual fans pushing the PE teacher narrative. Both the eye test and underlying stats will tell you otherwise. In fact, we were light years ahead compared to ETH's United, despite having a weaker midfield, defense, and goalkeeper.

If you call our victories vs City "smash and grab", like the one in March 2021 for example, then I won't waste my time continuing this discussion. But using your thought process, 95% of every game City have lost under Pep was a smash and grab by their opponent, because they couldn't dominate all phases of play vs one of the greatest club sides of all time?
 
The good periods were. But he had a lot of periods of complete shit as well.

I won't deny how awful it got around mid-September 2021, but there are a lot of reasons for that. Ole was obviously not faultless in this, but he was fecked over by the Glazers in several transfer windows and by the time it all started going to shit, we had an overrated and unbalanced team, with sky high expectations after the 2021 window.

We were also bad in 19/20 before Bruno's arrival. But just take a look at that squad and the minutes played for some of those players.

Pogba missed most of the season. Bruno only joined in January.

Players like DDG, AWB, Lindelöf, Williams, Pereira, McFred, Lingard were either mainstays in the team or had to play way more minutes than they should've. 66 points was probably not an underperformances that season because the squad was pretty weak.

https://www.transfermarkt.com/manchester-united/leistungsdaten/verein/985/plus/0?reldata=&2019
 
His football was shit and we were underdog to every fecking team. I know you can't stand Ten Hag at the moment, but people forget very quick how shit we were under Ole. I do not want to waste the whole season on him. There are a very good coach in Xavi who is available and could possibly be a permanent manager. Do not waste 80% of the season on fecking vibes.
This is what the Ole derangement syndrome looks like. :lol:

As an interim he got us 12 wins on the trot and gave us one of the most memorable European nights since SAF retired. Then he lead us to 3rd and 2nd place finishes while missing out on the Europa League due to penalties. The wheels came off when Ronaldo arrived and he was rightfully sacked, however it still doesn't negate the fact that we played some amazing football during his tenure. Pretty sure Ole will get us finishing in the Top4 or thereabouts.

Xavi on the other hand is a possession based coach. The problem is that our team doesn't have the necessary personnel to play the way he wants to. Even if he walked in tomorrow, I somehow doubt that he would guarantee us Top4. Pretty sure most people on here would bring up the excuses that he needs time to instill his methods, new league, etc etc

Our team is suited more towards someone like Ole, Carrick, Tuchel, Allegri, Conte and Flick. People like Xavi, Naglesman, Amorim would fail here or they would need another 600 million to buy the necessary players to fit their play styles.
 
I would kill to be where Ole got is now
We lost 0-5 at Old Trafford against fecking Scousers a month before Ole got sacked.

It was better than when we are now, but still horrible.
 
We lost 0-5 at Old Trafford against fecking Scousers a month before Ole got sacked.

It was better than when we are now, but still horrible.
He is talking about the time before Ronaldo was signed. Up until that point we looked like a team comfortably in top4.
 
He is talking about the time before Ronaldo was signed. Up until that point we looked like a team comfortably in top4.
We were a bit meh, and got top 4 both seasons but in the first one it was essentially in the last week with a historically low top 4 point tally.

Nevertheless, by the end of his spell, he was found out to be a shit manager. He didn’t even coach players for feck sake, so why we are even having the idea of returning him here. There are hundreds of better managers than him.
 
It appears that, similar to ETH, he is gaining popularity among the Caf as he fulfils certain criteria (young, up and coming, broke the Porto/Benfica duopoly) on which United fans seem to place a significant emphasis.

I still remember a piece of advice from my late father: "Whenever you feel like patting yourself on the back for a good deal, ask yourself why's it no one else hasn't picked up on it already. It will save you a lot of trouble and money". Is it "a good bargain is a pick-purse", how the English say it?

The guy could manage in the PL and do great. But the pertinent question should be why is he still at SCP, going into his 5th full season there, despite all the hype around his name.

As per The Athletic, Liverpool considered him this summer but ultimately decided against him due to his preference for a back three and his tactical approach more generally:

The reality is that Amorim, who was keen to move to the Premier League, did feature on Liverpool’s list, having scored well in much of the data analysis, but he was never a front-runner. Amorim’s agent Raul Costa came to Merseyside in early April but that trip was primarily to visit Luis Diaz, the Liverpool winger he also represents.

While impressed by his record, Edwards and Hughes had doubts about Amorim’s compatibility with the Liverpool job specifically.

They were unconvinced that his preference for a three-man central defence — shared by Alonso at Leverkusen, incidentally — would suit many of the players he would be working with. But more significant was a nagging concern about Amorim’s playing style. Sporting may have scored 96 goals in 34 league matches this season, but theirs is regarded as a slower style that is less front-foot — both in and out of possession.

There were similar conclusions about De Zerbi at Brighton and Germany coach Julian Nagelsmann. Like Amorim, De Zerbi was on a theoretical shortlist but not one of the first names on it. Playing style and compatibility with Liverpool were again considered to be a factor.

To what extent those same questions would apply to our squad and our intended game model is open to discussion, I suppose.
 
No idea. The best candidates like Inzaghi and Alonso are unrealistic. And you can make a solid case for why the other candidates aren’t the right fit
 
I'm leaning towards Marco Silva tbh.

Plays good football, works with limited resources, and seems to have a charisma about him.