He feels a lot like LVG to me, never his fault, always the players. He had no charisma either and I have wondered myself how these comments, coupled with his treatment of some players and the failing tactics, will go down with the players. I'm sure it has crossed their minds that they're being hung out to dry a bit. But I also suspect this is why he's surrounded himself with his players, to prevent unrest and protect his position.
I agree with all of this. I think the fans and club got a bit over excited with ETH and, when you look a bit closer, there were potential red flags already.
With regards to your last point, last season I reached the point where I was questioning the tactics against what we were told by his fans that he would be. Numerous times I asked Ajax fans and others to try to help me understand his plans and how it was conducive to the type of football we thought he'd bring. Nobody could give me an answer other than 'we're clearly trying to be a possession team but just need more players'. Ajax fans said things about him that made me question our direction even more, said he's stubborn, some said many Ajax fans were actually glad to see the back of him in some ways.
Personally I think he's over confident and simply believes that his tactics will win the game if followed perfectly. But it gives no leeway for coming up against a team who also have a good plan. In reality it feels like many managers have his number, it's just whether their players can carry out the plan. Even the smaller teams. He just either can't recognise this or genuinely believes any failure was just down to our players not following the plan like finely tuned robots. But there are obvious problems with his tactics even to us supporters.
You and the poster you are quoting raise good points. In fact, even his record in terms of the results was good but not as great as it is often implied:
- got Go Ahead Eagles promoted but they were close to promotion for many years before
- got Utrecht to 4th and 5th but they were 5th before he joined and are consistently 6th-7th after he left
- no notable achievements at Bayern II but I guess difficult to judge
- with Ajax winning domestic leagues/cups is not that indicative (De Boer did it many times in a row). The one CL run is great no question but he was not able to repeat it in the other 3 seasons, neither in CL nor EL. At the same time just before he came Ajax with Bosz made EL final. But to be fair to him he made Ajax make group stages of CL consistently at least (which they could not do before). Ajax became worse after he left - but as far as I understand there were also personnel changes above.
So for most part he outperformed somewhat but not by much - and his CL run is the only really notable achievement of his. Again, not to say that he is not a good manager but he was and is often treated here as an anlalog of a definite “world-class potential wonderkid” manager (which he is most likely not). It is no wonder that we did not have too much competition for him.
I would say that it is likely that he is neither savior nor fraud and all of the following is true:
1. EtH is a good/very good coach maybe top 20-30 globally.
2. However when compared to top half PL & CL- level clubs of other top leagues he is more like average and his tactical/selection deficiencies show especially in a more competitive league.
3. Had United had a better footballing structure he would have been able to get good results, stable top-4 regular non-major trophies, occasional top trophy maybe consistently.
4. But given that he is not the top, top manager who could cover the deficiencies on footballing side (like Fergie could) we will likely stagnate/decline under him sooner than later like under other managers (partly due to our bad footballing structure partly due to him not being a top manager)
Notice that 1-4 could be applied to LVG and Jose as well
5. Only way to the top consistently is proper footballing stucture above the manager which leads to the club hiring someone who is a top manager or can grow into it. Even if we magically had the best manager in the world this would just lead to maybe good 3-4 seasons at the top - and we cannot be always having the best manager around.
At the same time regarding EtH one has to consider mitigating circumstances, and one cannot exclude the scenario that we improve massively over this season. He has enough excuses with injuries etc for now. I do not believe it personally but it is possible and I will be very happy if it happens of course. But if we are 6-7th with no good cup runs and not playing well at the end of the season - no matter how many excuses you could invent then EtH is definitely a LVG/Jose/Ole level manager for us at most.
It is not results with him, it is performances. Ok I am no tactics expert but for the vast majority of EtH games they do not pass eye test at all. And there has been no noticeable improvement. I keep reading that his plan is seen and we need better execution better players etc etc - but honestly I just expected our play to be a lot better than that more than a year after he took charge - even given injuries etc. Again happy to be proven wrong and to see us playing better and better football over the remainder of the season