Brexited | the worst threads live the longest

Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


  • Total voters
    194
  • Poll closed .
Isn't this a bit of a fallacious argument?

So and so says 'X' so and so is 'Y' therefore 'X' must be right.

They may have the right of it, but they may not. Either way, if the situation arose, its inevitably going to court.

Calling that fallacious is the same sort of rejection of experts that got you in this shit in the first place!
 
They said Brexit would tie the UK closer to the States.

Good stuff. This won't go badly at all. :lol:
 
Calling that fallacious is the same sort of rejection of experts that got you in this shit in the first place!

I can see how it would be seen that way, especially in light of recent events, but it is slightly different.

Thats a classic example of an argument from authority. An assumption that because of who they are they are right and the other person is wrong. For example, I have no idea why Sir David Edward thinks that, but just that he does. His argument might be absolutely terrible, but we don't know either way because we haven't seen it.

Ultimately whether the people Sun_Tzu has referenced are right or not is dependent on what they have said, an opinion that is surely informed by years of experience in the field, but not because of who said it.

I spend my life disagreeing with established historians who, despite generally being right, are sometimes wrong. If I spent my life thinking 'well if JH Round said it then it must be true' I'd have nothing to do!
 
fair enough...
but the chap who wrote it and Sir David Edward KCMG, QC, PC, FRSE, a former Judge of the Court of Justice of the European Union and Professor Emeritus at the School of Law, University of Edinburgh; and Professor Derrick Wyatt QC, Emeritus Professor of Law, Oxford University, and also of Brick Court Chambers are saying one thing and you the opposite

your entitled to your own interpretation and as you say that is how law works - but to balance it out can we weigh your credentials against the other three chaps?
"Pretend inferiority and encourage his arrogance"

Did Sun Tzu meet Trump in a previous incarnation ?
 
Its funny to see Brexiters on the express thrilled that Trump had said he'll put the US first. They think its the foundations for a great trade deal for the UK
 
This is a great example of why the referendum was such a ridiculous idea. The Tories have retrospectively decided that this is the biggest issue for everyone who voted. Because that's the best way they can try and prevent swing votes to UKIP. Now that may well have been the biggest issue for a lot of voters but there will be an awful lot of people out there who voted for completely different reasons. Because they felt that the UK was being asked to financially prop up failing states like Greece or because they think the whole eurozone project is going to collapse and they figured that the more distance they can put between the British economy and the rest of Europe the better. Basically, the reasons for voting Leave were many and varied but Teresa May and her cronies have decided that they have carte blanche to decide what is and isn't a red line issue when it comes to negotiating your way out. And that is a shocking state of affairs for everyone in Britain, whether you voted for Remain or Leave.

I think your hatred for the Tories seems to be sounding out loud and clear on this issue, fair play. The financial contribution and propping up Greece etc isn't front of mind for UK people though, uncontrolled immigration is by far the biggest issue for UK voters. Pumping in massive amounts of money with little return does seem an issue.
 
I think your hatred for the Tories seems to be sounding out loud and clear on this issue, fair play. The financial contribution and propping up Greece etc isn't front of mind for UK people though, uncontrolled immigration is by far the biggest issue for UK voters. Pumping in massive amounts of money with little return does seem an issue.

How can you speak for all UK voters?
 
Majority then if you want to nitpick

That's it, though. I am nit-picking. The referendum was won by a tiny minority. With varied motivations for voting Leave. Now Teresa May is saying that freedom of movement is the one issue that is non-negotiable. Which is why a simple referendum is a stupid way to deal with a complex situation.
 
Majority then if you want to nitpick

The only opinion polls I saw after Brexit suggested that the rather vague aspiration to "take back control of our country" placed ahead of immigration as the driving factor amongst Brexiters. Which really casts doubt on the idea that immigration was the biggest issue amongst the majority of UK voters in general given that Remainers were hardly driven by a demand for more immigration.

There are certainly quite a few pro-Brexit posters here who insisted it wasn't about immigration. In fact they objected to that very notion when Remainers suggested it.
 
The only opinion polls I saw after Brexit suggested that the rather vague aspiration to "take back control of our country" placed ahead of immigration as the driving factor amongst Brexiters. Which really casts doubt on the idea that immigration was the biggest issue amongst the majority of UK voters in general given that Remainers were hardly driven by a demand for more immigration.

There are certainly quite a few pro-Brexit posters here who insisted it wasn't about immigration. In fact they objected to that very notion when Remainers suggested it.

Yeah, but expecting a consistent position on this from them is silly.

It's never been about immigration until it is, and then it isn't again. It's very hard to keep up with.
 
That's it, though. I am nit-picking. The referendum was won by a tiny minority. With varied motivations for voting Leave. Now Teresa May is saying that freedom of movement is the one issue that is non-negotiable. Which is why a simple referendum is a stupid way to deal with a complex situation.

It was a small majority, decision done. Shall we go back because it wasn't the decision wanted???!!??
 
It was a small majority, decision done. Shall we go back because it wasn't the decision wanted???!!??

By that logic, shall we cancel General Elections?

After all, the Conservatives won. Decision done, no point having another one.
 
It was a small majority, decision done. Shall we go back because it wasn't the decision wanted???!!??

My point is that the referendum was an incredibly stupid idea. Obviously you're stuck with it now but the Tories deciding what is and isn't the key issues for voters on their behalf is compounding the problem. The Leave voters were a diverse bunch, with diverse issues that matter most to them. The anti-immigration rhetoric is an attempt to win back UKIP voters, not the most important issue for everyone who wanted to leave.
 
Brexit will destroy Good Friday Agreement - Adams
http://www.rte.ie/news/2017/0121/846744-gerry-adams-brexit/

Taking Northern Ireland out of the EU will "destroy" the Good Friday Agreement peace deal, Gerry Adams has said.

The Sinn Féin President claimed fundamental human rights enshrined in the 1998 accord to end violence could be undermined.

The top legal adviser to Stormont ministers, however, has said not one word in the Agreement would be affected.

Mr Adams said Northern Ireland should enjoy special status within the union of 27 states after Brexit and claimed that would not affect the constitutional settlement which secures its status as part of the UK.

He said: "Taking the North out of the EU will.

"It will destroy the Good Friday Agreement."

Mr Adams addressed a conference on achieving a united Ireland in Dublin.

He added: "The British government's intention to take the North out of the EU, despite the wish of the people there to remain, is a hostile action.

"Not just because of the implications of a hard border on this island but also because of its negative impact on the Good Friday Agreement.

"The British Prime Minister repeated her intention to bring an end to the jurisdiction of the European Court.

"Along with her commitment to remove Britain from the European Convention on Human Rights this stand threatens to undermine the fundamental human rights elements of the Good Friday Agreement."

He claimed ending partition between Northern Ireland and the Republic had taken on a new importance.

"As the dire economic implications of Brexit take shape there is an opportunity to promote a new agreed Ireland."

Northern Ireland voted to remain in the EU referendum by a majority of 56% to 44%.

Mr Adams added: "The speech by Theresa May will have reinforced this.

"The dangers of a hard Brexit are now more obvious than before.

"The North needs a special designated status within the EU.

"The Irish government needs to adopt this as a strategic objective in its negotiations within the EU 27 as they negotiate with the British Prime Minister."

He claimed there was no strategic plan from the Irish Government.

The Government has already convened an all-Ireland forum on Brexit and agreed with British Prime Minister Theresa May that there should be no return to the borders of the past.

Its priorities remain its economic and trading arrangements, the peace process and border issues as well as the common travel area.

Mr Adams added: "The British position also fails to take account of the fact that citizens in the North, under the Agreement, have a right to Irish citizenship and therefore EU citizenship."
 
The UK use tarrif with the rest of the world, you are the ones who are leaving the Custom Union and the only one to blame if you don't want to pay tarrif.

We are forced to implement the tariffs set by the EU as of members of it.

You are like the kidnapper who blames the victims family for not paying the ransom. If you choose to link two things that are not directly causal that is your choice.

The UK doesn't want to put up a tariff wall between it and the EU if one goes up that is the EU's doing and they are the ones making that decision, blame them for the consequences.
 
And to think people are seriously trying to argue that Brexit isn't just Britain trying to have its cake and eat it.


Right now we couldn't wish people in the EU good morning without being criticized for cherry picking only the good mornings.

At some point over the next 12 months minds will focus on doing what is best given we are leaving.
 
We are forced to implement the tariffs set by the EU as of members of it.

You are like the kidnapper who blames the victims family for not paying the ransom. If you choose to link two things that are not directly causal that is your choice.

The UK doesn't want to put up a tariff wall between it and the EU if one goes up that is the EU's doing and they are the ones making that decision, blame them for the consequences.

You are right, it was stupid from me.
 
I'm not sure Brexiters in GB particularly cared about or even considered the effect their vote would have in NI.[/QUOTE

They had a vote equal in weight to anyone else in the referendum and a chance to discuss the issues important to them just as much as anyone. What you seem to want is for them to have a right of veto over the decision.
 
@Don't Kill Bill

No, I wanted people who weren't from NI to actually consider the negative effect Brexit would have on the progress made there, or the contradictions between taking NI out of the EU and prior policy on citizenship and borders. Hardly too much to ask for, I'd have thought.

In another thread @Stanley Road said that whatever comes next can't be worse than the way things are now. Well in NI it very easily could.
 
The UK doesn't want to put up a tariff wall between it and the EU if one goes up that is the EU's doing and they are the ones making that decision, blame them for the consequences.

Bullshit, it is the UK´s doing by laying down their EU membership status and then not meeting the standart (respecting the four freedoms) to get access to the single market via a trade deal.

Tariffs are not some kind of wall or tool of punishment, they are the norm in International trade. The single market creates a special trading zone, where said tariffs are exempted. Gaining access to the single market can be accomplished via two ways:

a) Being part of the European Union, which the UK does not want to be anymore

b) A trade deal for non members (e.g. Norway, Switzerland) which gives access if certain conditions are met. The UK is not ready to meet said conditions. It wants special treatment to be not bound by the same standarts which every other current participant respects.

To put it very simply: The UK is a person who decided (Brexit) to leave a room full of people (EU/single market) and now complains before exiting the room (triggering article 50) that the remaining people don´t build him/her a special door, that only (s)he can use, to come back in. Surely the remaining people are the ones to blame here....
 
@Sphaero

If we are strict, he is right. The EU and almost all the countries in the world use tarrifs and we can't claim that the UK will put tarrifs until they actually do. We all know that they are going to do it for very obvious reasons, like China having a labour cost far inferior for example.
 
Bullshit, it is the UK´s doing by laying down their EU membership status and then not meeting the standart (respecting the four freedoms) to get access to the single market via a trade deal.

Tariffs are not some kind of wall or tool of punishment, they are the norm in International trade. The single market creates a special trading zone, where said tariffs are exempted. Gaining access to the single market can be accomplished via two ways:

a) Being part of the European Union, which the UK does not want to be anymore

b) A trade deal for non members (e.g. Norway, Switzerland) which gives access if certain conditions are met. The UK is not ready to meet said conditions. It wants special treatment to be not bound by the same standarts which every other current participant respects.

To put it very simply: The UK is a person who decided (Brexit) to leave a room full of people (EU/single market) and now complains before exiting the room (triggering article 50) that the remaining people don´t build him/her a special door, that only (s)he can use, to come back in. Surely the remaining people are the ones to blame here....

The UK is perfectly happy to leave trade tariff-free and not link it with all the rest of the EU bullshit. If the EU isn't prepared to do so that is their prerogative but one which they have to take the responsibility for.

There is no causal link between free trade and settlement rights they don't have to be paired.
 
@Sphaero

If we are strict, he is right. The EU and almost all the countries in the world use tarrifs and we can't claim that the UK will put tarrifs until they actually do. We all know that they are going to do it for very obvious reasons, like China having a labour cost far inferior for example.

No, but I claim that the EU will do so, for the simple reason as it does so for every country outside the single market.
 
The UK is perfectly happy to leave trade tariff-free and not link it with all the rest of the EU bullshit. If the EU isn't prepared to do so that is their prerogative but one which they have to take the responsibility for.

There is no causal link between free trade and settlement rights they don't have to be paired.

There is a causal link, you need to respect the same rules and not create a disloyal advantage by for example reducing taxes or wages to ridicule figures. If the leavers are true to their word, they don't want to respect the market rules and want to make their owns.
 
The UK is perfectly happy to leave trade tariff-free and not link it with all the rest of the EU bullshit. If the EU isn't prepared to do so that is their prerogative but one which they have to take the responsibility for.

There is no causal link between free trade and settlement rights they don't have to be paired.

In the European single market? Of course there is. Every participant of the single market has to respect the four freedoms, including the freedom of movement. It is a prime condition of membership and the trade deals with other non members.
 
In the European single market? Of course there is. Every participant of the single market has to respect the four freedoms, including the freedom of movement. It is a prime condition of membership and the trade deals with other non members.

That's not true, Turkey don't respect those pillars but are member of the single market. The problem is that they have to obey to all the rules and have no say, which the UK will rightfully not accept.
 
@Don't Kill Bill

No, I wanted people who weren't from NI to actually consider the negative effect Brexit would have on the progress made there, or the contradictions between taking NI out of the EU and prior policy on citizenship and borders. Hardly too much to ask for, I'd have thought.

In another thread @Stanley Road said that whatever comes next can't be worse than the way things are now. Well in NI it very easily could.
Well i was referring to the big picture. As far as im concerned the sooner we have new leaders in europe the better, a move away from the nei liberallism disease, if brexit is a relative success then i feel this will happen.
 
Exactly, they are not in the single market.

Yeah, I meant free trade area which is the subject of the conversion but reduced it to single market. Now, that's not really important because the UK don't want to be in the single market but have a free trade agreement.
 
To be explicit they are member of a free trade area with the single market. They don't have tarrifs on non essentials economic areas and don't have FOM but they have to follow all the EU single market's rules.

I wish you were right and that it was a member of the single market. Sadly, it gets a pretty rubbish deal because the current dictator didn't look to ever have any real ambition of moving Turkey on from the customs union to the next stage.
 
We are forced to implement the tariffs set by the EU as of members of it.

You are like the kidnapper who blames the victims family for not paying the ransom. If you choose to link two things that are not directly causal that is your choice.

The UK doesn't want to put up a tariff wall between it and the EU if one goes up that is the EU's doing and they are the ones making that decision, blame them for the consequences.

When we leave the EU we become the rest of the world, and so will face the same tariffs as them. Our decision to leave, our fault we face tarrifs