Polls seem to be largely in agreement regarding Brexit party winning big, Tories getting crushed and Greens doing respectably, big divergence seems to be on the Lib Dem/Labour split. Modelling turnout must be a nightmare these days. Both extremes seem plausible to me.
Brexited | the worst threads live the longest
- Thread starter Silva
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based on this thread, labour sshould be at zero.
No one expected her to lose her majority, right enough, and I certainly didn't - but a few prominent pollsters did point out that there was an inherent risk to calling the vote in that even a comfortable victory had the potential to jeopardise the Tories' majority depending on how it fell. They'd gotten a majority under Cameron with a 6-7 point lead but even then it had been a narrow one.
Can't believe you've almost gone full Green - give it a year or two and you'll be making the Corbyn fans here look like Thatcher.
On the other hand, my parents, both staunch remainers and Corbyn-skeptics, voted Labour. If the electorate skews older without a big influx of new remainers, could quite conceivably see Labour's vote hold up above 20%.
long live older voters
Older people also have a huge vested interest in the status quo while the young don’t.
Ended up voting Green, the 1st time i've ever voted against Labour. It was a toss up between them and the Lib Dems but the coalition still leaves a bad taste.
Let's not kid ourselves. It was the tories responsible for this knowing few Europeans will vote tory, and it's the tories responsibility to make anything happen.
It just underlines the utter hypocrisy every time the word democracy leaves their mouths.
How can you not know that? It's basic stuff.
Where it was the older generation that most wanted Brexit, which was a huge move from the status quo.
No one expected her to lose her majority, right enough, and I certainly didn't - but a few prominent pollsters did point out that there was an inherent risk to calling the vote in that even a comfortable victory had the potential to jeopardise the Tories' majority depending on how it fell. They'd gotten a majority under Cameron with a 6-7 point lead but even then it had been a narrow one.
Can't believe you've almost gone full Green - give it a year or two and you'll be making the Corbyn fans here look like Thatcher.
The Tories drift to the right has kinda coincided with my drift to the left. @Grinner was spot on for me when he said you're lefty in your idealistic teens, move right when you start paying taxes and resenting funding students and that life you've lost, then as you get more comfortable financially when older, you move left again and want to give something back. Well, others of course, like my mum, just turn hard right in old age, but hey ho.If you live in Hammersmith & Fulham and have seen Labour's Andy Slaughter spend years battling to save Charing Cross Hospital from the Tories, who want to downgrade it to a clinic and sell loads of its land to developers, it's hard not to find the just side of the argument.
Looks like May is about to resign.
So what happens now? Brexit Party clean up in the European Elections, BoJo becomes PM and a no-deal Brexit follows? Is that a possibility?
A very real possibility but a general election seems more likely to me as the new leader won't want a quick VONC against them and there's not really many options left outside a refreshed mandate.
Sounds about right to me. Then blame May for having to accept No Deal because she wasted the negotiating period. Tories win back the Brexit Party voters, Farage becomes irrelevant and everyone blames May.
He's got the same hairstyle as my mum.
Mrs May is speaking now, she's resigning on Friday 7th June.
If May cared about her legacy she'd revoke A50 now and tell the others to get their act together before they trigger it again.
She'd at least secure some respect for it.
She'd at least secure some respect for it.
She is going on 7th June
I'm sceptical on that. I'd rather think it was a systematic failure. Local councils run registrations and polling stations as far as I'm aware.
Last vote on her deal is on June 6th isn’t it?
I can see that being cancelled because she has absolutely no political leverage now to make any promises to anyone.
She’s a busted flush.
I can see that being cancelled because she has absolutely no political leverage now to make any promises to anyone.
She’s a busted flush.
"Are you not entertained?!"
Who replaces her then?
Listening to May tell us all about her and the Conservatives and Unionists accomplishments it's almost like listening to Trump.
Crocodile tears, do one Theresa May. If the advice you were given about compromise resonated with you so much, why haven't you done any compromising with the House at any point during the Brexit process?
Not watching she confirmed if she'll carry on as caretaker PM?
Crying at the end
Yes, she said she'll carry on until a new leader of the Conservatives is chosen.
If you live in Hammersmith & Fulham and have seen Labour's Andy Slaughter spend years battling to save Charing Cross Hospital from the Tories, who want to downgrade it to a clinic and sell loads of its land to developers, it's hard not to find the just side of the argument.
I was raised in a mildly Tory house so started there and have moved consistenty left since my teens.
Seriously ,good riddance to her and the Tories.
Interesting
Highly recommend following this Twitter account in general, by the way.
Highly recommend following this Twitter account in general, by the way.
Can see us crashing out now. I can’t stand the woman but the other options are worse.
May bites the dust and wants to cry.
Soft brexit no longer an option.
Hard brexit or No Brexit.
Soft brexit no longer an option.
Hard brexit or No Brexit.
It's going to be BoJo and hard Brexit.
With any luck the leadership contest will tear the Tory Party apart.
With any luck the leadership contest will tear the Tory Party apart.
I was ultra left even at skool, not much has changed. Torys have just hardened my views
Yes that looks like the most likely outcome.
Rumours of an electoral pact between Boris and Nigel, too, which would obviously be pretty bad news for Labour in a GE.
Ladies and gentlemen, your new prime minister.
Really made me angry."Bringing an end to Austerity..." Are they feck.