Brexited | the worst threads live the longest

Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


  • Total voters
    194
  • Poll closed .
Oh, yeah, if I were Irish or British I'd be seething at this point too.

It's the millions and millions of Brits who have no part in this but are caught up in it who I feel for most. I have the luxury of not being that affected, but that doesn't make me immune to being irritated by their bullsheetery.




1) Your objection isn't an objection.
2) Any potential EU army would automatically be made up of NATO members and thereby strengthen NATO forces.

You are dreaming.
If they want to strengthen NATO then don't invent a new Army, strengthen NATO.
 
All of what I have said is factually correct.
I am sorry if you don't like it...

It doesn't matter if what you have said is factually correct (it fecking isn't) because the whole thing is a bullshit, straw man, non-event of an argument that has no real bearing on anything other than to give idiots another stupid soundbite to obfuscate and bluff their way around arguments they lack the ability to engage with properly.

The biggest threat to anything is this Roger Stoneism of modern politics. Scumbags have managed to hack the system by appealing to the very lowest common denominator of developed societies and giving them a dumb, rotten and very loud voice - then finger pointing and villainising anyone who points out the obvious stupidity of their shite.

It's worked so well that anyone with an IQ higher than they can count has been stunned into paralysis and clowns like Trump, Farage and the DUP have been given a chair at the table rather than the padded walls they deserve.

The greatest trick they ever pulled was convincing decent people that by mocking idiots and ignoring their racist, stupid, bigoted, sexist, xenophobic, outdated, misogynistic, nasty opinions they were somehow to blame for letting them in.

It's bollocks. It's taken us thousands of years to reach a level where decent, intelligent people understand right from wrong and in the space of a half decade, we've regressed by getting dragged into discourse with the lowest of the low.

Trump and Brexit both exist because small people hate stuff and their hate has been legitimised by scumbags who will profit from manipulating stupidity.
 
But what's the difference with NATO - or put it another way, what if NATO was only made up of individual EU states.

But it isn't.
My view and I have worked for a company involved in major defence programmes for many years is that NATO has and should continue to be the primary defence organisation for the west.
Any new organisations will only fragment and weaken its relevance.
 
Looks like Arlene Foster has realised the backstop isn't going anywhere and now looking for a deal.
How much is it going to cost?
 
Is anyone really surprised the ERG are now asking for the backstop to be removed after initially asking for a time limit?
They do not want a deal.
 
You are dreaming.
If they want to strengthen NATO then don't invent a new Army, strengthen NATO.
Strengthening NATO wouldn't be the main objective of it, it would be a automatic consequence.

I may be dreaming but at least i'm not posting delirious nonsense.
 
I was referring to the UK making a success of being outside the EU which could well happen.
Mate, the fact you still believe there is an upside to Brexit confuses the hell out of me if I'm being honest, especially when you keep reminding us that you're a remainer who voted remain. What does this success look like and what needs to happen for this occur?
If you've already answered that question just link your post in response...

Don't know about happy but I just find it enjoyable that there's a group of people who are in seemingly still shocked to find out that Corbyn is in fact a socialist.
Is there? Speaking for myself I was hoping (like an idiot) that he'd actually, you know, do something, wrt avoiding this impending no deal brexit.
 
For me it's just pure anger at this stage. The sense of entitlement that enables them to totally disregard the security and peace of a region their national is responsible for destabalising, because "they deserve a better deal" is one thing.

But when they don't even know or understand what deal that is, or how it it will work or what it will mean in the long term is just stunningly frustrating.

If they were evil, calculating geniuses, hell bent on screwing over whoever they could to achieve their brilliant scheme I would have more respect for them. I'd be pissed off but there'd be grudging respect alongside my hatred.

But seeing the peace process go up in smoke because we have to be nice to blithering, barely literate idiots who don't understand even the simplest elements of their own arguments is very, very difficult to stomach.

I think a lot of people are getting to that stage mate. It's became maddening to hear the same shite over and over again. They all have similar opinions about the Irish border problem and it's always either A) There is no Irish border problem, we just won't have a border. B) I've just now thought up a brilliant solution that all the experts couldn't think of over the last 3 years or C) Moan about the backstop and say it's unnecessary/pointless but then just ignore any questions asking what the alternative could be. Or usually various combinations of all three.

Like most i've long since came to the conclusion that the majority of them don't give a single feck about what happens in Ireland.
 
But what's the difference with NATO - or put it another way, what if NATO was only made up of individual EU states.
Apart from Canada the US and Turkey it practically is made up of EU countries or at least countries that would identify as being on the continent of Europe.

Why the need for an EU force? Trump? He won't be there forever. Deal with the US - not Trump.
 
If you look.back through this thread today, I have engaged most posters in a conversation. I would have with him, but I struggled to see a point to answer to, it was mostly bile and he's blown his chance for a sensible debate today

I never intended to engage you in conversation because you have nothing to offer. I was simply pointing that out.
I think a lot of people are getting to that stage mate. It's became maddening to hear the same shite over and over again. They all have similar opinions about the Irish border problem and it's always either A) There is no Irish border problem, we just won't have a border. B) I've just now thought up a brilliant solution that all the experts couldn't think of over the last 3 years or C) Moan about the backstop and say it's unnecessary/pointless but then just ignore any questions asking what the alternative could be. Or usually various combinations of all three.

Like most i've long since came to the conclusion that the majority of them don't give a single feck about what happens in Ireland.

And never have. Then they have the temerity to question why we don't trust their word without a backstop.

Apparently 2000 of them have signed a petition calling for Ireland to be given a referendum on leaving the EU to join the UK.

The delusion is only eclipsed by the arrogance.
 
If you are talking about the backstop element for the Irish border, then there is no easy solution as you've alluded to. What is clear is that the NI being under a separate customs/ border regieme is unacceptable and neither should we have a hard border

My broad approach would be as follows.

- have a transition period of 2 years (give or take) where there is no customs border. This buys time for all involved to develop a solution. This includes the UK broadly following the principles of the customs union, but being able to negotiate deals for the future

- post this period, the best solution appears to be a variant of 'max fac', with simplification of tarrifs and customs processes, pre customs activity and use of technology

- the above is not the perfect solution however as there is still the age old problem of customs fraud which would return with a border (hard or frictionless) returning, particularly on a border with multiple crossing points. I can't see much more of a mitigation other that greater enforcement to act as a deterrent (which partly reduces the risk)

- A ' max fac' type solution would also be aided by the pursuit of free trade to remove the need for tarrifs on the majority of goods. That would be a tough pill for the EU to swallow given the construct of their whole 'project', but protectionism generally isn't a healthy ideology in my view

As i've said not ideal, but it's the basis of a solution and more of a solution of ignoring the issue of sovereignty of NI remaining under an EU trade regime, something that I've generally seen remainers ignore/ dismiss

You dont want max fac. Boris Johnson and JRM shut up about it immediately once it was costed. 2 reports were done on it and they both said it'd cost about double your annual eu contributions every year. It was also rejected because it would involve the UK collecting tariffs on the EU's behalf - which you aren't trusted to do for obvious reasons.

As for bold - I dont see how giving Northern Ireland what they voted for, something theres broad support from both sides of the community for is an issue of sovereignty. Thats a blatantly absurd point.
 
I never intended to engage you in conversation because you have nothing to offer. I was simply pointing that out.


And never have. Then they have the temerity to question why we don't trust their word without a backstop.

Apparently 2000 of them have signed a petition calling for Ireland to be given a referendum on leaving the EU to join the UK.

The delusion is only eclipsed by the arrogance.

Fecking hell, i hadn't even heard about that shit. What a time to be alive.
 
Good question.
My primary objections would be:
1. Whatever we think of NATO, it has been reasonably successful in maintaining peace; at least between major nations.
I do acknowledge that President Trump is not an advocate but he has and continues to challenge nations that do not meet their obligations. Germany for example. Why do we need to reinvent the wheel.
2. The biggest threat to NATO is not the Russia or Putin. It is the increasing weakness of NATO due to many things but funding is a significant problem.

Any potential organisation that would ultimately compete with NATO for resources would by definition weaken it.

My reading of President Macron's motivation for a European Army is to ensure that Europe (the EU) could defend itself against either the USA or Russia or China.

That being the case, it highlights the view that Europe needs act like a Federal State and IMHO that is totally contrary to the right of individual states self determination.
Apology if that is long winded.
Again, I repeat: Germany fulfils all its obligations. It contributes to NATO budget as much as it is obliged to.

The 2% guideline is precisely that: a guideline. And they still have five years to conform to that guideline.
 
Is anyone really surprised the ERG are now asking for the backstop to be removed after initially asking for a time limit?
They do not want a deal.

They can’t take yes for an answer. After what happened to Major and Cameron, it should be clear that you can never win enough concessions to persuade them because, for the hardcore Brexiteers, “Europe” is some psychological repositary of hate and fears rather than the legal and diplomatic construct that is the EU. But May made her bed back in 2016 so she deserves everything she gets.
 
I think a lot of people are getting to that stage mate. It's became maddening to hear the same shite over and over again. They all have similar opinions about the Irish border problem and it's always either A) There is no Irish border problem, we just won't have a border. B) I've just now thought up a brilliant solution that all the experts couldn't think of over the last 3 years or C) Moan about the backstop and say it's unnecessary/pointless but then just ignore any questions asking what the alternative could be. Or usually various combinations of all three.

Like most i've long since came to the conclusion that the majority of them don't give a single feck about what happens in Ireland.

For what it is worth, I care about both parts of Ireland and have some sympathy with ROI due to its specific issued created by geography

Out of interest and regarding point C, do you recognise the issues and have a potential solution caused by the backstop proposed (NI specific), namely;

1) The potential indefinite nature of a backstop, as in the UK having no control on when it can leave it.

2) The proposal where NI would remain under EU trade regukations/ customs, essentially delegating it from the rest of the UK (essentially a surrender of sovereignty for part of the UK)

These are genuine questions, as it is two of the key reason (In my view) why that solution hasn't garnered support in the UK and needs to be revisited
 
2) The proposal where NI would remain under EU trade regukations/ customs, essentially delegating it from the rest of the UK (essentially a surrender of sovereignty for part of the UK)

This just isn't true, at all
 
You dont want max fac. Boris Johnson and JRM shut up about it immediately once it was costed. 2 reports were done on it and they both said it'd cost about double your annual eu contributions every year. It was also rejected because it would involve the UK collecting tariffs on the EU's behalf - which you aren't trusted to do for obvious reasons.

As for bold - I dont see how giving Northern Ireland what they voted for, something theres broad support from both sides of the community for is an issue of sovereignty. Thats a blatantly absurd point.

Interesting 1st para. I see there are proposals for an existing tech solution

On the 2nd para, not sure what you mean about 'voted for'. Was there a specific vote for NI to have different customs/ trade arrangements to the rest of the UK
 
Interesting 1st para. I see there are proposals for an existing tech solution

On the 2nd para, not sure what you mean about 'voted for'. Was there a specific vote for NI to have different customs/ trade arrangements to the rest of the UK

There is no existing tech. If there was then the backstop would never come into use and there wouldn't be objections to it. Northern Irelands position (which isn't the same as the DUP's position) is pretty well established.

In what way?

Its a ridiculous point. Unless were talking about Englands sovereign right to dictate policy to Northern Ireland against their wishes
 
I never intended to engage you in conversation because you have nothing to offer. I was simply pointing that out.


And never have. Then they have the temerity to question why we don't trust their word without a backstop.

Apparently 2000 of them have signed a petition calling for Ireland to be given a referendum on leaving the EU to join the UK.

The delusion is only eclipsed by the arrogance.
There is a lot of ignorance about this issue and my fear is that it will deteriorate until sides start to literally back into their respective corners of the boxing ring and the paramilitaries take over. It must not be allowed come to this. The progress made in the last 20 odd years has been nothing short of a revelation. The relations between the ROI and the UK have improved and there is real hope of reconciliation after some of the dreadful wrongdoings of the past.

It makes me feel sad that we have neighbours across the Irish sea that identify with our culture more than any other country in Europe. Speak the same language, have a massive diaspora in the UK and who have contributed as much as anyone to the prosperity. We come together in sport i.e. the Lions. Most people in England would root for the ROI in a football world cup, like in 1994 when England failed to qualify. I play a lot of folk music and I have Irish friends with whom I swap tunes and whatnot. The songs and traditions span all of these islands. We should be closer - not further apart.
 
For what it is worth, I care about both parts of Ireland and have some sympathy with ROI due to its specific issued created by geography

The specific issues weren't caused by Geography. They we're caused by Britain.

Out of interest and regarding point C, do you recognise the issues and have a potential solution caused by the backstop proposed (NI specific), namely;

1) The potential indefinite nature of a backstop, as in the UK having no control on when it can leave it.

2) The proposal where NI would remain under EU trade regukations/ customs, essentially delegating it from the rest of the UK (essentially a surrender of sovereignty for part of the UK)

These are genuine questions, as it is two of the key reason (In my view) why that solution hasn't garnered support in the UK and needs to be revisited

  • Don't invade other countries.
  • Don't sign up to Unions you don't like being a member of.
  • Don't sign up to peace agreements you don't intend on honouring.
  • Don't negotiate withdrawal agreements you don't intend on honouring.
  • Don't be a dick.
Basically, everything in life boils down to the last point and Britain as a whole has failed in that regularly throughout history - both distant and recent.
 
Apart from Canada the US and Turkey it practically is made up of EU countries or at least countries that would identify as being on the continent of Europe.

Why the need for an EU force? Trump? He won't be there forever. Deal with the US - not Trump.

Agreed that most of NATO is Europe anyway.

I wasn't really arguing for or against the concept but why if NATO were only EU states would it be seen as federal when the combination of the current members of NATO are not seen as a federal state.
 
It might be ok for such a small wealthy nation but it would be an utter clusterfeck if applied in the UK.

You are right that every country has their own specificities, though I believe that having more referendums in any country could be possible and should be done regardless on their size, but population should be educated and the debates on the referendums should be informative and as objective as possible.

Brexit referendum had nothing of that and due to the lack of referendum culture in UK (and most of the countries in the world) even some people voted for things non related to the referendum goal, like kicking Cameron out as he linked his departure if UK would vote for leaving the EU
 
https://www.euronews.com/2018/05/02/which-country-spent-the-most-on-its-military-in-2017-

https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/here-s-why-the-united-states-needs-nato





Europe invested €282 billion in military in 2017. That's less then the US but more then China ( $228 billion (€188 billion)) and Russia ($66.3 billion). That might be considered peanuts for a country who seems to be in constant war but its a hell of a sum for a continent whose army would be utilised for defensive purposes only.

So what happens if the EU decides to organise themselves and kick NATO out? Well the US would lose valuable military bases which would make missions spiral out of control. But that's not all. The US would also lose powerful allies as well as Europe would finally be in a position to take foreign policy seriously. For example what happens if Europe decides to mend bridges with Russia? They are our neighbours after all which puts them in a good position to understand the geographic challenges we face. They are also our main suppliers of gas + lets face it their country served as the main graveyard for both Napoleon's and Hitler's armies. Also what would happen if next time the US decide to bomb the shite of a country which surprisingly always seem to be a neighbour of ours rather then theirs and Russia, China and the EU says no? Would there be sanctions? Not to forget that there's that little thorny issue regarding world trade and the dollar. God forbid if lets say the big 3 out of 4 decide to ditch the dollar for foreign trade. That would destroy the US economy.

So you see, the US needs NATO far more then Europe does. No wonder why orange hasn't pulled the plug on NATO as he promised he'll do.

However that's not really the issue here. In reality NATO isn't fit for purpose. Sure its got the firepower to bomb the shit out of Russia however most of its force is deployed elsewhere. In an event of an attack it would take NATO ages to organise itself. Russia on the other hand, being one entity, had been far more efficient in spending wisely its resources. I am no genius about this but from what I heard from military veterans, its military had been built around quick deployment followed by lightening strikes. The fear is that Russia would gulp huge pieces of Eastern Europe then threaten with nukes if it ever gets attacked. In that scenario May/Trump would have to choose whether they would sacrifice lets say Talinn or risk enjoying a nuclear winter in London or New York.We all know what they would choose.

The EU army would give Europe the independence it needs to shape its own foreign policy. From a military point of view + it would also reduce redundancies between respective militaries and it will help the continent build an army suited for the threats Europe is facing.

Please click on those links as you'll get pretty much most of the information from other sources


Would it though? Also at what cost?
Leaving aside Trumps machinations over who pays for what, Europe would not be able to fight a 'star wars' type conflict on its own. Regan's decision to up the anti in space, forced the Russians to spend big in retaliation, but it was unsustainable for their economy and this in part at least led to the collapse of the old USSR. Even if it paid fully for its own conventional defence, Europe could not sustain the new arms race that would result and it would still require the US nuclear umbrella. Yes, it may have its own foreign policy, but it would be remarkably similar to the USA as far as Russia and China were concerned. As you correctly point out the collective European empire building days, undertaken at various times by France, Belgium, Holland, (as well as Britain) etc. are over, Europe would only ever go to war in future its own defence. However burden of spending, maintaining a standing EU army to repulse the Russians and at the same time a 'star wars' capability to fend off China, would be enormous and would collapse the euro-zone, possibly overnight.
 
There is a lot of ignorance about this issue and my fear is that it will deteriorate until sides start to literally back into their respective corners of the boxing ring and the paramilitaries take over. It must not be allowed come to this. The progress made in the last 20 odd years has been nothing short of a revelation. The relations between the ROI and the UK have improved and there is real hope of reconciliation after some of the dreadful wrongdoings of the past.

It makes me feel sad that we have neighbours across the Irish sea that identify with our culture more than any other country in Europe. Speak the same language, have a massive diaspora in the UK and who have contributed as much as anyone to the prosperity. We come together in sport i.e. the Lions. Most people in England would root for the ROI in a football world cup, like in 1994 when England failed to qualify. I play a lot of folk music and I have Irish friends with whom I swap tunes and whatnot. The songs and traditions span all of these islands. We should be closer - not further apart.

Yeah this is part of what angers me the most.

My parents moved to England when I was 2 years old and I spent the formative decade of my life living there. I travel to Wales, Scotland and England for rugby or football matches several times a year and some of my greatest friends are British.

I was born a Catholic but am as far from practicising as it's possible to be - I despise what the IRA became as much as I despise the DUP and all the other criminal thugs who used religion and history to bully, intimidate and main or kill innocents. I'm not even particularly patriotic outside of sporting occasions and regularly criticise Irish politics or societal peculiarities. I left Ireland the day I finished college to travel and work around the world for almost a decade before returning home to set up a business here.

But sometimes I feel like I'm coming across like a hardcore republican, redneck nutjob just for pointing out basic, obvious inequalities and historical facts.

A few pages back someone called the GFA one of the greatest pieces of foreign policy ever negotiated and the scumbag he was being drawn into a bullshit argument responded with a green laughing emoji.

That is the level of care and discourse we're witnessing and reading about every day and it's being allowed because good people are afraid to stand up and call these people out for what they are.

They're either idiots or they're scum.
 
The specific issues weren't caused by Geography. They we're caused by Britain.



  • Don't invade other countries.
  • Don't sign up to Unions you don't like being a member of.
  • Don't sign up to peace agreements you don't intend on honouring.
  • Don't negotiate withdrawal agreements you don't intend on honouring.
  • Don't be a dick.
Basically, everything in life boils down to the last point and Britain as a whole has failed in that regularly throughout history - both distant and recent.

That's a very bigotted set of views and explains a lot about how you post.
 
But it isn't.
My view and I have worked for a company involved in major defence programmes for many years is that NATO has and should continue to be the primary defence organisation for the west.
Any new organisations will only fragment and weaken its relevance.
But what's the difference with NATO - or put it another way, what if NATO was only made up of individual EU states.

Perhaps I haven't been clear. So:
We start with a European Army.
How do we move the troops and equipment?
We will need Air Transport.
How do we protect the Air Transport?
We will need an Air Force.
If we have a European Army and Air Force do we need a Navy?
If we have an Army and Air Force why should we pay all this money for NATO?
Remember. France has its own Nuclear capability.
Germany has a NATO commitment to provide a nuclear capability. This it currently does with its Tornado jets operating with USA supplied weapons.

All the time, Putin looks on hardly believing his luck.

The USA gets fed up with picking up the major share of NATO funding and says we are perfectly capable of looking after ourselves.
End of NATO.

All the time Putin looks on making his plans to then destabilise Europe.

Fiction? Just look at history....
.
 
I actually thought it might have been I Believe originally, what happened to him?
:lol:He's a blast from the past. Paul, Brexit will be great, we'll make our own laws, Paul...Yeah he got banned. I think he went full racist.
 
Again, I repeat: Germany fulfils all its obligations. It contributes to NATO budget as much as it is obliged to.

The 2% guideline is precisely that: a guideline. And they still have five years to conform to that guideline.

So why would it possibly consider a European Army then.