2024 U.S. Elections | Trump wins

Blaming anyone doesn't really make sense, Trump improved with virtually everyone. This was a landslide.

America has spoken pretty clearly, they have seen what Trump is and what he offers, and they want that. If we are going to be serious about this whole defense of democracy thing, then we have to accept it when countries want to go a different direction too. This might be the US stepping into authoritarianism, but if so it is by popular demand.
Yep it's time for many americans to realize a big part of their fellow citizens want authoritarianism, they're not just poor fools who fell for lies, they actively want it.
 
I see all this talk about the democratic party needing to move to the right, but that completely ignores that when offered Dem vs. Rep policies on key topics the country, including a large portion of Rep, chose the dem policies. In my mind it has almost nothing to do with actual policies and everything to do with who and how the messaging is conducted. Most people are not political junkies and consume their candidate news, if at all, in short clips on social media. If the dems don't adjust to this new paradigm, and it is only going to shift further that way, then 2024 is going to be repeated in 26 and 28 and so on.

I agree about the move to the right, but i disagree that it's just the message that has to be communicated better. The central-left is failing worldwide because its leadership is completely disconnected from its traditional base. I fully agree with Pogue's posts a few pages back. I also just read this on Politico. The Dems could sure use this kind of reflection:

https://www.politico.eu/article/dem...p-forgetting-working-class-left-wing-parties/
 
The dems should run a mile from Gavin, unless Trump really fecks the US up by 2028.

Californians are seen overwhelmingly as out of touch which resonates with the majority of working class voters hence why I suspect this Harris result across the country.
I'm in California and I have major concerns about him. He certainly has not done enough to warrant a nom
 
Trying to look at the positive side of (yeah right!) things: there should be a decent chance of a significantly better Dem candidate in 2028. Obviously too soon, but I'm guessing that Newsom might be licking his lips right now? @Raoul

If Harris had won and thus become the candidate by default in 2028 then Newsom, and his likes, would have been blocked until 2032 - which might have been too late for Gavin at least.

As much as I like Pete, he won't stand a chance, based on what we say America won't elect a gay man. As much as I dislike Shapiro, he won't stand a chance either with his overly rehearsed copycat Obama speaking pattern. It's going to be either Newsom or someone rising up, maybe Beshear, I haven't heard him speak enough to know if he has a chance. The Dems can't afford to put anyone but their best male orator up at this point and that's clearly Newsom followed by Pete. Newsom/Whitmer is likely their strongest ticket at the moment but things can change.
Seeing these posts about Newsom is a little weird. I actually live in CA (I believe @oneniltothearsenal does as well). People here on both sides don't really like Newsom (from how he handled the pandemic to coming across as a phony douche). I guess a lot can change in 4 years, but I think he'd struggle on the national stage.
 
He could be the next best thing since slice bread but in todays social media age the republicans will maul him like they did Harris in this election.

The republicans know how to win elections and they use every trick in the book. They know how to get the message out there to stick in your mind.

When you think about Joe Biden what comes to mind, Sleepy Joe and Bidenomics. That's what voters will remember.

You say that, but they lost the previous one. "The Republicans know how to win elections" thing isn't really true just because they've won this one against a very bad candidate under very bad circumstances (an even worse candidate refusing to step down until it was way too late).
 
A commonly parroted fallacy. California is the 5th biggest economy in the world and a critical component of the US economy. To glibly sneer at this fundamental reality is simply politically counterproductive.

Further, the yellow bits (counties) of the below map account for over 50% of America's population. Most Americans live in coastal or border states and most of the middle of the country is largely uninhabited.

dRvg6tS.png
That's cool and all but on election day, California is only 54 votes. Plain and simple. It could be the second biggest economy on the planet and it still would not matter.
 
The likes of Trump, Vance, Musk etc. look like they represent them.
Yes because he's presented himself as the man of the people and his base don't question it, and he doesn't have to answer because he has no accountability or integrity. He can just change the conversation with some insults and without answering and people just carry on.

On the other hand the Democrats are required to have accountability and integrity and won't let themselves fall to the Dons level.
 
This is a good take on it.


I think he's right. I constantly get bombarded by right wing influencers on the YouTube algorithm, and I don't watch the fecking videos but still get them recommended. Barely see any 'progressive' channels recommended to me.
 
The Dems best hope is that Trump brings the country to it's knees by 2028 and they beg for them to come back. Otherwise, I don't see a single Dem politician being inspiring enough to beat a MAGA candidate right now.
 
That's cool and all but on election day, California is only 54 votes. Plain and simple. It could be the second biggest economy on the planet and it still would not matter.

54 is one fifth of the required EVs to win the presidency, so to claim they don't matter is politically bonkers.
 
This is so much worse than the first time, with tha wars going on, an unhinged Elon Musk involved, Europe progressively turning right as well.

I'm depressed.

Curious about 2028 if he'll back down. Looks the sort to start a third world war to stay in power.
He'll be dead by then
 
Whether Kamala wasn't a great candidate or not in many ways completely distracts from the issue to me: that the majority of people would rather vote for someone who is so inhumane on so many different levels and has an army of people following him that arguably think even less of the very foundations of democracy and human decency and attack it from every angle should have meant a fkin bunny should have defeated him.

Focusing all the attention on how poor a candidate Kamala completely distracts from the other candidate having a lengthy track record that should have disqualified him ever holding public office ever again. As far as I'm concerned anyone who keeps saying the Dems or Kamala this or that is giving a pass to the other side for taking a piss on democracy every time he opens his mouth.

Given the male vote and misogyny Harris losing simply comes down to gender - period. Had the Dems run a male candidate we would have probably seen the same as with Biden. That alone is damning for a society but at least it's about the only element I can wrap my head around knowing what a testosterone driven country we live in.
 
65+ & white college women only groups that Harris gained upon since 2020?



US exit polls notoriously bad and unreliable, many disagree with each other. For example, one has Trump +13 with men 18-29, the other has Harris +6.
I think Gallup or Pew comes out with something after a few months that is supposed to be trusted. And before that, there will be people doing vote total analysis based on constituency demographics (real data), which will be closer to the truth.
 
I see all this talk about the democratic party needing to move to the right, but that completely ignores that when offered Dem vs. Rep policies on key topics the country, including a large portion of Rep, chose the dem policies. In my mind it has almost nothing to do with actual policies and everything to do with who and how the messaging is conducted. Most people are not political junkies and consume their candidate news, if at all, in short clips on social media. If the dems don't adjust to this new paradigm, and it is only going to shift further that way, then 2024 is going to be repeated in 26 and 28 and so on.

Then the new Dem strategy should be to trick people by running on policies that'll hurt them and after getting elected, betray them by switching to policies that'll help them.
 
The way things are going for the dems it would be Michelle Obama, running on a platform of vibes and Taylor Swift.

I think the Dems have learned their lessons that getting endorsements from insanely wealthy cultural elites like Oprah, Beyonce, Swift, Perry et al., only makes them look disconnected from common people struggling to make ends meet.
 
To be clear, I'm not fussed about any of this. Nor will it let me influence how I vote. I'm just showing ways in which ordinary people get exposed to identity politics, whether they're interested in them or not.

And when they're being force fed a narrative on social media about the Dems only caring about this stuff, while Trump wants to tear it all up and concentrate on what really matters (MAGA) you can see why they buy into it. Or at least enough of them buy into it to move the needle from the Dems to the Republicans.

This I can understand.

I guess I don't see how much this narrative is getting forced on people. I actively avoid twitter and facebook.
 
And how would they have arrived at Newsom or Shapiro? Who would have chosen the candidate?

Harris was the incumbent VP, and it made sense given the timeline after Biden’s horrendous debate performance. She also had access to the funds raised at that point, which other candidates wouldn’t have had.

98% of the problem was Biden being a stubborn old git, who refused to recognize that he should step back and allow for a primary process. When he didn’t he drastically decreased the chances of a Democrat president.
Yeah. Harris was the only logical choice at the time. A primary would have cut into the actual campaigning. It would have been even worse if he'd managed to stay on the ballot.
 
You say that, but they lost the previous one. "The Republicans know how to win elections" thing isn't really true just because they've won this one against a very bad candidate under very bad circumstances (an even worse candidate refusing to step down until it was way too late).
The pandemic helped Trump lose last election, people went out to vote in droves because they were worried.

He increased his vote share and will have probably kept it pretty much the same and as I said in my first post unless he fecks up again really badly someone from California will have a tough time beating him.

Social media matters. It can swing elections in this interconnected world without checks and balances.
I think he's right. I constantly get bombarded by right wing influencers on the YouTube algorithm, and I don't watch the fecking videos but still get them recommended. Barely see any 'progressive' channels recommended to me.
That's because progressive and liberal people don't spend their time online watching and listening to stupid shit all day and hence why there's a huge disparity on the number of left wing and right wing channels available. I think 4 out of the top 5 podcasts are right wing if I'm not mistaken. Like who has time and patience to listen to a podcast. Don't people read books anymore?
 
I think the Dems have learned their lessons that getting endorsements from insanely wealthy cultural elites like Oprah, Beyonce, Swift, Perry et al., only makes them look disconnected from common people struggling to make ends meet.
No they haven't, just wait 4 years, they can't help themselves.
 
54 is one fifth of the required EVs to win the presidency, so to claim they don't matter is politically bonkers.
Every Democratic candidate since 92 has won California. Call it whatever wonderful English words you want to but the state's electoral influence is minimal compared to its economic size. Florida and Texas are more important. The Democrats who win elections typically have to win at least one of Florida/Texas but republicans haven't had to win California to get elected.
 
Social media matters. It can swing elections in this interconnected world without checks and balances.

That's because progressive and liberal people don't spend their time online watching and listening to stupid shit all day and hence why there's a huge disparity on the number of left wing and right wing channels available. I think 4 out of the top 5 podcasts are right wing if I'm not mistaken. Like who has time and patience to listen to a podcast. Don't people read books anymore?

Let me introduce you to a website called redcafe.net…
 
I think the Dems have learned their lessons that getting endorsements from insanely wealthy cultural elites like Oprah, Beyonce, Swift, Perry et al., only makes them look disconnected from common people who are struggling to make ends meet.

Hard to believe that, considering Donald Trump and Elon Musk are the main guys on the other side. Hell, even Tucker Carlson is one of them.