Not that he knows much about morals about women after banging the baby sister
Edit: babysitter
Last edited:
2024 U.S. Elections | Trump v Harris
- Thread starter Raoul
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Not that he knows much about morals about women after banging the baby sister
Edit: babysitter
Big if true
It also depends on whether Dems actually take advantage of their majorities and how the filibuster may play into it.
I don't think there should be anything controversial in saying that Harris is 'the best option for the Middle East.'
But it gets silly is where people try to leap from this, to arguing that Harris and/or Biden have some secret or private "good" opinion about Israel and they are publicly "bad" on the issue because of external pressures.
But it gets silly is where people try to leap from this, to arguing that Harris and/or Biden have some secret or private "good" opinion about Israel and they are publicly "bad" on the issue because of external pressures.
What you're describing is more or less reality. Politicians are ascribed a finite amount of political capital to enact policy and often don't have the luxury of blowing it all on one issue at the expense of their broader agenda - even if they have strong feelings about said issue. This is a norm in US presidential politics and the only person who was slightly exempt from this was Trump, because he had strong control over the careers of any Republicans in Congress who would dare challenge him.
It's just a cope mechanism.
Its not complicated. There are likely 93 electoral college votes up for grabs. Harris needs 44 of them, Trump needs 51.
Is it fair to say there is the potential that Biden's policy may be different to that of Harris?
It isn't. Or doesn't have to be. Politicians advocate all sorts of things they don't believe in, because it is in the interest of their party or they are under outside pressure. That's pretty much every day business for them and happens everywhere from local politics to world politics.
It only becomes a copying mechanism, if people claim this to be the case whenever someone they like does something bad. And one can also discuss if it is really better to do something bad, because of outside pressure instead of wholehearted beliefs, as the outcome is the same.
Buzz Aldrin endorses Trump.
If you mean the EVs up for grabs in the seven swing states, she needs 45, he needs 50.
That is broadly true. The part I dispute is the idea that Harris or Biden or most Democratic politicians have "strong feelings about the issue" that contradict their public positions on the matter. I don't think there is any reason to believe that. I think most centrist and liberals believe exactly what they say in public about this issue.
From Dana Milbank's column in The Washington Post:
[North Carolina]
In this pivotal state — the best possibility of a Democratic pickup among states Donald Trump won in 2020 — what was then the Biden campaign began hiring staff in January, and it has been running field operations since June. It built up to 360 paid staff members, with 29 field offices statewide, operating with a network of satellite offices in homes and businesses.
Forty thousand volunteers have signed up since Harris became the candidate, on top of those who were already volunteering for Biden. The Harris campaignhas been running four shifts of daily canvassing here — at 9 a.m., noon, 3 p.m. and 6 p.m. — in which hundreds of volunteers knock on thousands of doors. Last week, campaign volunteers knocked on more than 100,000 doors and made more than 1.8 million phone calls in North Carolina alone. Comparable efforts are underway in every swing state.
----
Nearly 100 Harris staffers are organizing four canvasses per day on each of 32 college campuses in the state. Last weekend saw a “Souls to the Polls” effort with more than 100 Black churches getting parishioners to the polls to vote early. Campaign surrogates have flooded historically Black colleges and universities. The campaign coordinates with civic organizations to offer voters rides to voting places.
The field effort is coordinated with paid advertising, of course. The Harris campaign has been on the airwaves here for a year; for Trump, it has been the last few months. Black radio stations have been saturated with ads. Low-propensity Democratic voters will have gotten on average eight pieces of mail this cycle — low-propensity Black voters will have received 10 to 12 — and each will have received between two and six phone calls from volunteers and at least one in-person visit.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/10/30/harris-campaign-north-carolina-october-surprise/
[North Carolina]
In this pivotal state — the best possibility of a Democratic pickup among states Donald Trump won in 2020 — what was then the Biden campaign began hiring staff in January, and it has been running field operations since June. It built up to 360 paid staff members, with 29 field offices statewide, operating with a network of satellite offices in homes and businesses.
Forty thousand volunteers have signed up since Harris became the candidate, on top of those who were already volunteering for Biden. The Harris campaignhas been running four shifts of daily canvassing here — at 9 a.m., noon, 3 p.m. and 6 p.m. — in which hundreds of volunteers knock on thousands of doors. Last week, campaign volunteers knocked on more than 100,000 doors and made more than 1.8 million phone calls in North Carolina alone. Comparable efforts are underway in every swing state.
----
Nearly 100 Harris staffers are organizing four canvasses per day on each of 32 college campuses in the state. Last weekend saw a “Souls to the Polls” effort with more than 100 Black churches getting parishioners to the polls to vote early. Campaign surrogates have flooded historically Black colleges and universities. The campaign coordinates with civic organizations to offer voters rides to voting places.
The field effort is coordinated with paid advertising, of course. The Harris campaign has been on the airwaves here for a year; for Trump, it has been the last few months. Black radio stations have been saturated with ads. Low-propensity Democratic voters will have gotten on average eight pieces of mail this cycle — low-propensity Black voters will have received 10 to 12 — and each will have received between two and six phone calls from volunteers and at least one in-person visit.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/10/30/harris-campaign-north-carolina-october-surprise/
But is she? Really?
One could argue that Trump might be better. Republicans will support Israel no matter what. However dems might decide to start advocating for less support to gain political points.
I don't think trump's policy would be any better, but if he wins there might be at least some spotlight and discussion in politics. Trump might even decide to rein in Netanyahu of there is enough pressure.
If Kamal wins, there will be no political pressure within the US, which means no pressure on Israel, whatsoever.
However, slim and unrealistic (and it is very slim and unrealistic), I see a path for palestinian improvement under Trump. Under Kamala, I just see more of the same.
I've always been curious: why are the Democrats better than Republicans at these ground operations? Most articles I've read suggest that the Republicans can't match the Dems on field operations.
Im assuming that NE 2 is hers given the polls https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/nebraska/2/
That gives her to 226.
Add MI (15), Wi (10) and PA (19) for 44 and the win.
It's just a no win situation. They're both fecking terrible when it comes to Israel.
Nail on head by Arnie.
Laura Trump is the RNC chair. They embezzled the fund to pay for his legal troubles and outsourced the GOTV operation to outside groups/Super PACs
This is an obscure take.
Her name is Kamala, not Kamal. Not sure if that is a MAGA joke or not?
Either way, if the killing in Gaza continues under Harris, then there will be massive pressure. Even if she has not stated it, people are expecting a change in direction under Harris and she will have let a lot of people down if it is business as usual.
If Trump gets in, there is absolutely no chance of of reining in Netanyahu. Look what Miriam Adelson wants Trump to do with Gaza. And what about Trump telling Bibi to "Finish the Job" makes you think that?
Youthquake, is my guess. The younger you are the more likely you hold progressive / Democratic values.
The two highlighted sections contradict each other.
There is zero chance there will be any improvement for Palestinians under Trump.
48-47 H2H.
Lara Trump funneled a lot of the campaign money to Trump's legal expenses as well as god knows where else.
It would seem they don't have the same quality of data to work from, which is why Elon is bribing people to sign his 2nd Amendment petition for the chance of winning $1m. Once he has the names, emails and addresses, they can target those people and get them out to vote, knowing that those that are pro 2nd Amendment are likely going to vote for Trump.
When did anything similar ever happen? So far, every time they were scared of losing democrats only pivoted towards right.
Difference is, at the start of a 4 year term, you are not worrying about losing the next election.
There are 5 polls of PA showing a tie in the last 24 hours.
The odds of that happening dynamically is probably lower than hitting the jackpot. The herding is real.
The odds of that happening dynamically is probably lower than hitting the jackpot. The herding is real.
Quinnipiac's is about to drop soon right?
Date unknown, but yes, they have one in the field.
The most anticipated at the moment is probably Selzer's IA final poll.
For me, that, and Roe vs Wade. as long as they keep that they don't care how vile he is.
I still don't get the fascination with polls. They all say something a little different it seems and just about every one of them has a built in bias or you can at least ask some serious questions of the metrics used to come to their conclusions.
"Why are you angry? Israel only killed 45k, be thankful it's not 90k"
There is no need to mischaracterize what people are saying. Biden, Harris etc are war criminals and scum but Trump will be worse and more innocents will die under him. If Palestinians lives are the main voting issue then it's a no contest.
Not you, but the people you are agreeing with probably won't agree with "Biden, Harris etc are war criminals".