I was listening to the NPR Special edition on Alabama elections and the overwhelming sense there is the rank and file Alabama Republican vote is heavily in favor of Moore, especially the rural vote. They are up in arms about 'establishment' republicans. It's probably fair to say that the urban republican vote is not heavily in favor and some may be turned off by him to remain at home. If the vote is on religious grounds, Moore is nothing but jaded and is seen as a crusader for 'Christian' values even taking these allegations that happened a while ago into the consideration.
US Politics
- Thread starter Nick 0208 Ldn
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I was listening to the NPR Special edition on Alabama elections and the overwhelming sense there is the rank and file Alabama Republican vote is heavily in favor of Moore, especially the rural vote. They are up in arms about 'establishment' republicans. It's probably fair to say that the urban republican vote is not heavily in favor and some may be turned off by him to remain at home. If the vote is on religious grounds, Moore is nothing but jaded and is seen as a crusader for 'Christian' values even taking these allegations that happened a while ago into the consideration.
He was 10 up in the lastest fox poll, which are, for some weird reason, among the most accurate in the country. He can do it.
Yeah, I'd be pleasantly surprised if he doesn't. I personally don't buy this 'Jones is bland' bollocks. If you can't win against someone like Moore with the allegations against him, you can't win.
Definitely the anti Republican establishment vote helps Moore, for some reason Mitch McConnell is hated in Alabama. They also don't take kindly to outsiders telling them who they should vote for. It gets their back up, so some of the Moore vote could be out of spite.
He's done this during all of his races, there's no grand strategy behind it. He just locks himself in with the worst of the evangelicals and waits for the result. If Fox has him up by ten, I would trust Jones polls as well. We might see a miracle.
People are delusional if they think a Democrat will win a Senate seat in Alabama. Kaepernick could run as a Republican there and win.
fecking hell
I just think its highly unlikely. Jones needs multiple things to happen for him to pull it off
Moderate Republican staying home in large numbers or turning out to vote for Jones
Luther Strange voters switching to Jones
Large African-American turnout
Doing well in areas like Mobile county
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If Roy Moore is the anti-establishment candidate then why did Trump back Luther against him?
Imo, it says more about Alabama than it does of Jones.
That is true, which is also the point I'm making. This 'we should choose a candidate who REALLLLLLLLLLLLYYYY stands for the issues of the left' bollocks doesn't work in Alabama. They'd rather vote for a guy who is accused of paedophilia than a Democract.
who is actually saying that? seems to me that the left is pretty solidly behind jones
FML
That's good news surely? It suggests Republicans are staying at home. It's a poor reflection on society in another circumstance but perhaps "not voting" is a touch more commendable than "voting for a paedophile because he isn't a democrat.
Damning for the world's top democracy.
Alabama voter laws in full effect.
Voting on a weekday is stupid.
it makes me angry that the topic hasn't even been raised in England.
it makes me angry that the topic hasn't even been raised in England.
in this in response to my post?
The expectation is that a low turnout would favour Moore
I reckon national elections should be public holidays. It's an inherently flawed system insofar as people may be incredibly busy on any given election day and struggle to get the time to vote. Obviously not everyone could stay off work, but it'd arguably help a little bit.
Just do it on Sunday. We vote, hang in the pub and get drunk. Difference of course is we are required to vote, we can get fined or even get jail time.
25% turnout, which is expected by most, would actually be above expectations and favor Jones.
Just do it on Sunday. We vote, hang in the pub and get drunk. Difference of course is we are required to vote, we can get fined or even get jail time.
Suppose in a lot of countries though (especially more religiously inclined ones) Sunday's still an 'off' day for a lot of people working-wise, dunno if that'd have any impact on officials involved with the process maybe wanting/demanding time and a half etc.
Moore's spokesman Ted Crockett just had an absolute shocker on CNN. He was unaware politicians dont have to be sworn in on a bible and he looked shocked when Tapper informed him of the law.
Exit polls in 4 minutes.
First exit poll due in 10 minutes. Predicting it'll be Moore up by around 7 points.
I‘m way more excited for this than for my own election. Weird as feck.
Reading that this particular exit poll data wont show the vote %.
it'll be questions like "Is the country heading in the right or wrong direction?".
it'll be questions like "Is the country heading in the right or wrong direction?".
That would be disappointing. Can’t stay up for so long today.
Prepare for your hopes to be dashed
Not yet. High turnout, 49% believe allegations against Moore. Still horrid, but in this weird, ducked country a sign of hope.
55% said the accusations were not a factor in their vote.
Which oddly is still positive. I doubt it made any difference for the dem base, soooo...
He also admitted that Moore probabl still thinks homosexuality should be forbidden.
Its not. Even the analysts on CNN are saying this data benefits Moore.