US Politics

"The Roberts Five has gone on 80 of these partisan excursions since Roberts became chief.

There is a feature to these eighty cases. They almost all implicate interests important to the big funders and influencers of the Republican Party. When the Republican Justices go off on these partisan excursions, there’s a big Republican corporate or partisan interest involved 92 percent of the time.

A tiny handful of these cases don’t implicate an interest of the big Republican influencers — so flukishly few we can set them aside. That leaves 73 cases that all implicate a major Republican Party interest. Seventy-three is a lot of cases at the Supreme Court.

Is there a pattern to those 73 cases? Oh, yes there is.

Every time a big Republican corporate or partisan interest is involved, the big Republican interest wins. Every. Time."

--

"When the Roberts Five saddles up, these so-called conservatives are anything but judicially conservative.

They readily overturn precedent, toss out statutes passed by wide bipartisan margins, and decide on broad constitutional issues they need not reach. Modesty, originalism, stare decisis, all these supposedly conservative judicial principles, all have the hoof prints of the Roberts Five all across their backs, wherever those principles got in the way of wins for the Big Republican interests.

The litany of Roberts Five decisions explains why big Republican interests want Kavanaugh on the Court so badly that Republicans trampled so much Senate precedent to shove him through; so let’s review the litany.

What do big Republican interests want? Well, first, they want to win elections.

What has the Roberts Five delivered?

Help Republicans gerrymander elections: Vieth v. Jubelirer, 5-4, license to gerrymander.

Help Republicans keep minority voters away from the polls: Shelby County, 5-4 and Bartlett v. Strickland, 5-4. And Abbott v. Perez, 5-4, despite the trial judge finding the Texas legislature actually intended to suppress minority voters."

--

"And the big one: help corporate front-group money flood elections — if you’re a big special interest you love unlimited power to buy elections and threaten and bully Congress. McCutcheon, 5-4 counting the concurrence; Bullock, 5-4; and the infamous, grotesque 5-4 Citizens United decision (which belongs beside Lochner on the Court’s roll of shame).

What else do the big influencers want?

To get out of courtrooms. Big influencers hate courtrooms, because their lobbying and electioneering and threatening doesn’t work. In a courtroom, big influencers used to getting their way have to suffer the indignity of equal treatment.

So the Roberts Five protects corporations from group “class action” lawsuits: Walmart v. Dukes, 5-4; Comcast, 5-4; and this past term, Epic Systems, 5-4."

--

A classic: helping big business bust unions. Harris v. Quinn, 5-4; and Janus v. AFSCME this year, 5-4, overturning a 40-year precedent.

Lots of big Republican influencers are polluters. They like to pollute for free.

So of course the Roberts Five delivers decisions that let corporate polluters pollute. To pick a few: Rapanos, weakening wetland protections, 5-4; National Association of Home Builders, weakening protections for endangered species, 5-4; Michigan v. EPA, helping air polluters, 5-4; and, in the face of emerging climate havoc, there’s the procedurally aberrant 5-4 partisan decision to stop the EPA Clean Power Plan.

https://www.whitehouse.senate.gov/n...te-right-wing-record-in-scotus-hearing-opener
 
"The Roberts Five has gone on 80 of these partisan excursions since Roberts became chief.

There is a feature to these eighty cases. They almost all implicate interests important to the big funders and influencers of the Republican Party. When the Republican Justices go off on these partisan excursions, there’s a big Republican corporate or partisan interest involved 92 percent of the time.

A tiny handful of these cases don’t implicate an interest of the big Republican influencers — so flukishly few we can set them aside. That leaves 73 cases that all implicate a major Republican Party interest. Seventy-three is a lot of cases at the Supreme Court.

Is there a pattern to those 73 cases? Oh, yes there is.

Every time a big Republican corporate or partisan interest is involved, the big Republican interest wins. Every. Time."

--

"When the Roberts Five saddles up, these so-called conservatives are anything but judicially conservative.

They readily overturn precedent, toss out statutes passed by wide bipartisan margins, and decide on broad constitutional issues they need not reach. Modesty, originalism, stare decisis, all these supposedly conservative judicial principles, all have the hoof prints of the Roberts Five all across their backs, wherever those principles got in the way of wins for the Big Republican interests.

The litany of Roberts Five decisions explains why big Republican interests want Kavanaugh on the Court so badly that Republicans trampled so much Senate precedent to shove him through; so let’s review the litany.

What do big Republican interests want? Well, first, they want to win elections.

What has the Roberts Five delivered?

Help Republicans gerrymander elections: Vieth v. Jubelirer, 5-4, license to gerrymander.

Help Republicans keep minority voters away from the polls: Shelby County, 5-4 and Bartlett v. Strickland, 5-4. And Abbott v. Perez, 5-4, despite the trial judge finding the Texas legislature actually intended to suppress minority voters."

--

"And the big one: help corporate front-group money flood elections — if you’re a big special interest you love unlimited power to buy elections and threaten and bully Congress. McCutcheon, 5-4 counting the concurrence; Bullock, 5-4; and the infamous, grotesque 5-4 Citizens United decision (which belongs beside Lochner on the Court’s roll of shame).

What else do the big influencers want?

To get out of courtrooms. Big influencers hate courtrooms, because their lobbying and electioneering and threatening doesn’t work. In a courtroom, big influencers used to getting their way have to suffer the indignity of equal treatment.

So the Roberts Five protects corporations from group “class action” lawsuits: Walmart v. Dukes, 5-4; Comcast, 5-4; and this past term, Epic Systems, 5-4."

--

A classic: helping big business bust unions. Harris v. Quinn, 5-4; and Janus v. AFSCME this year, 5-4, overturning a 40-year precedent.

Lots of big Republican influencers are polluters. They like to pollute for free.

So of course the Roberts Five delivers decisions that let corporate polluters pollute. To pick a few: Rapanos, weakening wetland protections, 5-4; National Association of Home Builders, weakening protections for endangered species, 5-4; Michigan v. EPA, helping air polluters, 5-4; and, in the face of emerging climate havoc, there’s the procedurally aberrant 5-4 partisan decision to stop the EPA Clean Power Plan.

https://www.whitehouse.senate.gov/n...te-right-wing-record-in-scotus-hearing-opener

From the url I was mystified, wondering if Trump suddenly developed an anti-corporate streak :lol:
 
You can see why his wife divorced him. He's an embarrassment.
 
The Republican party is shrinking - used to be in the low to mid 30s in terms of the national political spectrum and Kasich believes it is now in the mid to high 20s. This would also explain why Trump has such a high rating in the party (even though its falling of late) - its because centrist Republicans are leaving and the only ones remaining are the cult of personality sycophants who treat Trump like a political version of Jim Jones.



20180621_Party_ID_Gallup1.png
 
The Republican party is shrinking - used to be in the low to mid 30s in terms of the national political spectrum and Kasich believes it is now in the mid to high 20s. This would also explain why Trump has such a high rating in the party (even though its falling of late) - its because centrist Republicans are leaving and the only ones remaining are the cult of personality sycophants who treat Trump like a political version of Jim Jones.



20180621_Party_ID_Gallup1.png

The good thing for Dems is that even if the disillusioned Republicans don't vote Dem, they at least will not vote.
 
Helped by sulking leftist dems who refused to vote agains him, cos Hilary. Bet they’re all feeling pretty sheepish right now, huh?

Is there any evidence that actually happened? Hasn't it been shown that percentage of Bernie supporters who voted Clinton is no higher than the percentage of Clinton supporters who voted Obama?
 
Helped by sulking leftist dems who refused to vote agains him, cos Hilary. Bet they’re all feeling pretty sheepish right now, huh?

helped by their own incompetence and their refusal to visit wisconsin and hilarious anecdotes like this

Everybody could see Hillary Clinton was cooked in Iowa. So when, a week-and-a-half out, the Service Employees International Union started hearing anxiety out of Michigan, union officials decided to reroute their volunteers, giving a desperate team on the ground around Detroit some hope.

Turn that bus around, the Clinton team ordered SEIU. Those volunteers needed to stay in Iowa to fool Donald Trump into competing there, not drive to Michigan, where the Democrat’s models projected a 5-point win through the morning of Election Day.

and this

“For every blue-collar Democrat we lose in western Pennsylvania, we will pick up two moderate Republicans in the suburbs in Philadelphia, and you can repeat that in Ohio and Illinois and Wisconsin.” Chuck Schumer, 2016.

and nominating someone with record unfavorables

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-clintons-unfavorable-ratings-hit-a-record-high/


and making this their campaign strategy

“Pied Piper candidates include, but aren’t limited to:
• Ted Cruz
• Donald Trump
• Ben Carson
We need to be elevating the Pied Piper candidates so that they are leaders of the pack and tell the press to [take] them seriously."


the centrists are the people responsible for this

In total, Republicans control nearly 1,000 more legislative seats than they did when Obama took office. The Republican share of state legislative seats has grown from just under 44 percent in 2009 to 56 percent after Tuesday’s election.

After the latest losses, Democrats will hold just 42 percent of legislative seats in the nation.

Beginning next year, Republicans will control 67 of the 98 partisan legislative chambers, after winning new majorities in the Kentucky House, the Iowa Senate and the Minnesota Senate. Democrats picked up control of both the state Assembly and Senate in Nevada, and the New Mexico state House.

Since Obama took office, Republicans have captured control of 27 state legislative chambers Democrats held after the 2008 elections. The GOP now controls the most legislative seats it has held since the founding of the party.







there is a systemic rot in the democratic party and has been for decades. only a once in a generation charismatic politican could stem the tide but his rising tide didnt raise all boats. the democratic party after the obama clinton years is a pile of rubble and the people who caused it were the centrist party leaders. but sure, blame everything on a few thousand people who didnt want to vote for a terrible person who would cause massive human suffering. even if i and all these people did vote for hillary, republicans still control a huge amount of state legislatures, both houses of congress and most of the influential court positions. thats the real legacy of neoliberalism.
 
helped by their own incompetence and their refusal to visit wisconsin and hilarious anecdotes like this



and this



and nominating someone with record unfavorables

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-clintons-unfavorable-ratings-hit-a-record-high/


and making this their campaign strategy




the centrists are the people responsible for this









there is a systemic rot in the democratic party and has been for decades. only a once in a generation charismatic politican could stem the tide but his rising tide didnt raise all boats. the democratic party after the obama clinton years is a pile of rubble and the people who caused it were the centrist party leaders. but sure, blame everything on a few thousand people who didnt want to vote for a terrible person who would cause massive human suffering. even if i and all these people did vote for hillary, republicans still control a huge amount of state legislatures, both houses of congress and most of the influential court positions. thats the real legacy of neoliberalism.
Have you listened to the Podcast the wilderness? It's superb and does a deep dive into all aspects of the party.
 
Is there any evidence that actually happened? Hasn't it been shown that percentage of Bernie supporters who voted Clinton is no higher than the percentage of Clinton supporters who voted Obama?

She had solid Democratic base support but couldn't connect with enough independents. The Sanders voters also weren't the Democratic base, they were instead a combination of some base voters, new voters, and a lot of independents.
 
She couldn't hold together the Obama coalition.

Yes indeed. Which in addition to traditional base voters included independents and moderates. She was too heavy on base support and not good enough with centrists and independents, which Trump did well enough with to take FL, NC, PA, MI, and WI.
 
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Yes indeed. Which in addition to traditional base voters included independents and moderates. She was too heavy on base support and not good enough with centrists and independents, which Trump did well enough with to take FL, NC, PA, MI, and WI.

Romney won among independents. I believe McCain reached close to 50% too.
 
Independent vote in pres elections:

2004: Kerry +1
2008: Obama +8
2012: Romney +5
2016: Trump +4

Where is the correlation
 
There doesn't have to be one since each candidate had a varying amount of base support. Independents are just one of several groups successful candidates have to do well in. How well depends on how much base support as well as support from other unexpected areas they receive.

Sanders for instance, did very well among independents and less well with the Dem base, which allowed him to move from single digits to nearly winning.


Yes indeed. Which in addition to traditional base voters included independents and moderates. She was too heavy on base support and not good enough with centrists and independents, which Trump did well enough with to take FL, NC, PA, MI, and WI.

Independent vote in pres elections:

2004: Kerry +1
2008: Obama +8
2012: Romney +5
2016: Trump +4

Where is the correlation

So, Trump did worse among independents than Romney, but Hillary's problem was among independents.
 
So, Trump did worse among independents than Romney, but Hillary's problem was among independents.

Every coalition is different in each cycle and each candidate has a different level of support among their constituent groups relative to how they as well as their opponent connects with voters. But one thing that is not in question is that you can't ignore independents and expect to win just on a base message. It didn't work for Hillary, it wouldn't have worked for Sanders (who had considerable non-base support), and it wouldn't have worked for Obama either.
 
Every coalition is different in each cycle and each candidate has a different level of support among their constituent groups relative to how they as well as their opponent connects with voters. But one thing that is not in question is that you can't ignore independents and expect to win just on a base message. It didn't work for Hillary, it wouldn't have worked for Sanders (who had considerable non-base support), and it wouldn't have worked for Obama either.

I don't know how many ways to put this.

Hillary's performance among independents was better than Obama's, and she lost and he won. Her campaign was centred around moderate Republicans and ideological moderates uniting for an already-great America against Trump's uncouth anger.
It failed to turn out base voters, notably African-American turnout went down in swing states, and union households went 50-50 for her and Trump.