The Trump Presidency | Biden Inaugurated

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Did he say anything about Roe v Wade during his campaign? Can't remember myself.
Wasn't a big thing...but, he harped on about appointing 'Pro Life' and 'strict constructionists' Judges to the Supreme Court. Judges he thought would overturn Roe V Wade - if for no other reason, that States Rights.
 
I'm more troubled by your theory than any other. Every single thing you predicted has failed spectacularly so far. Many of us had got it wrong with Trump though, but you were some sort of an expert on US elections

What theory are you talking about ? My views on a Hillary win were completely in line with most probabilistic models, which i was using to form my view.
 
What theory are you talking about ? My views on a Hillary win were completely in line with most probabilistic models, which i was using to form my view.
I remember suggesting a few weeks ago that the models might not be such great shakes when it comes to predicting elections, you gave that view short shrift at the time.
 
I'm more troubled by your theory than any other. Every single thing you predicted has failed spectacularly so far. Many of us had got it wrong with Trump though, but you were some sort of an expert on US elections

:lol:

What theory are you talking about ? .

I bet he means your theory about the new Doofus elect not do anything he has said he will and will probably be quite Liberal and certainly not as bad as everyone thinks or is making out.
 
:lol:



I bet he means your theory about the new Doofus elect not do anything he has said he will and will probably be quite Liberal and certainly not as bad as everyone thinks or is making out.

I stand by that bit. You don't go through most of your professional life with one view and then flip on a dime when you turn 70.
 
eric_donald_jr_trump2-620x412.jpg

"I hear you're a racist now, Father."
 
I remember suggesting a few weeks ago that the models might not be such great shakes when it comes to predicting elections, you gave that view short shrift at the time.

Turns out you were right. The problem with most of the models is they do fine when you have two conventional candidates squaring off, but they go a bit haywire when you have an asymmetrical populist like Trump in the mix. The 2nd half of why they go wrong is they are unable to factor in things like early voting results and shy or silent voters. If people don't answer polls honestly, then the polls and by extension the probabilistic models as a whole, are likely to be wrong.
 
Turns out you were right. The problem with most of the models is they do fine when you have two conventional candidates squaring off, but they go a bit haywire when you have an asymmetrical populist like Trump in the mix. The 2nd half of why they go wrong is they are unable to factor in things like early voting results and shy or silent voters. If people don't answer polls honestly, then the polls and by extension the probabilistic models as a whole, are likely to be wrong.
Yeah. Will be interesting to see how they do in forthcoming elections.

I hope youre right in your more recent assertion anyway. Its a dangerous game he's playing if you are, surrounding himself with right wing nutters he doesnt agree with.
 
I stand by that bit. You don't go through most of your professional life with one view and then flip on a dime when you turn 70.

But that's the problem, isn't it? He's never really had one view...he's constantly and consistently changed them on a whim. If he was really a closet liberal who'd played us all for a fool...then why the hell is he appointing extremely conservative cabinet members? At what point does he change into this supposed liberal?
 
But that's the problem, isn't it? He's never really had one view...he's constantly and consistently changed them on a whim. If he was really a closet liberal who'd played us all for a fool...then why the hell is he appointing extremely conservative cabinet members? At what point does he change into this supposed liberal?

Well he never seemed much of a liberal on ISIS. He's going to go after them hard, which is why we are seeing picks like Flynn, Pompeo, and Sessions. On the other hand if he appoints, Romney to what is probably one of the most important cabinet positions, he would obviously balance the others out. Even more so if he picks a decent SecDef - Petraeus would be ideal.
 
Agree. If he isn't as rich he says he is .Then he will be when he leaves office.
 
I'm more troubled by your theory than any other. Every single thing you predicted has failed spectacularly so far. Many of us had got it wrong with Trump though, but you were some sort of an expert on US elections

It seems that late deciders made up a higher proportion of voters than usual and opted for Trump in large numbers. It's hard for polls to catch that. Even Trump's own people didn't think he was going to win.
 
I'm actually more troubled for the gullible sheep who rather than doing their own research, came to a football forum to read my views on the US presidential elections for comfort or reassurance as to who might win.
 
It seems that late deciders made up a higher proportion of voters than usual and opted for Trump in large numbers. It's hard for polls to catch that. Even Trump's own people didn't think he was going to win.
It does but we're being mean to Raoul, not the polls he mistakenly championed.
 
I'm actually more troubled for the gullible sheep who rather than doing their own research, came to a football forum to read my views on the US presidential elections for comfort or reassurance as to who might win.
I think they just assumed that you had your finger on the pulse of American opinion, you're right that they're gullible if that's the only avenue if news they had but it's evident that opposing views from the predominant narrative were shot down quite quickly in the election thread, it's why I kept my pessimistic mouth shout for the duration of the campaign.
 
I think they just assumed that you had your finger on the pulse of American opinion, you're right that they're gullible if that's the only avenue if news they had but it's evident that opposing views from the predominant narrative were shot down quite quickly in the election thread, it's why I kept my pessimistic mouth shout for the duration of the campaign.

If only they'd listened to us two, right bro?
 
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