The Trump Presidency | Biden Inaugurated

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Some day I will create a "(c)Donald or denald" drinking game.
 
"The fact is that African/American unemployment is now the lowest in the history of our country"

Is it true though? Any stat to back this claim?


 
can we drop with the polls.

every single poll before the Election had Hillary Clinton sleepwalking into the white house. RIP us political polls
 
bazalini said:
can we drop with the polls.

every single poll before the Election had Hillary Clinton sleepwalking into the white house. RIP us political polls
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And she won the popular vote. The polls were by and large not that much off, so it's how you read them that matters. That's why you've got sites like FiveThirtyEight.
 
bazalini said:
can we drop with the polls.

every single poll before the Election had Hillary Clinton sleepwalking into the white house. RIP us political polls
Click to expand...

Done to death over and over again in many threads, and I'm pretty sure the clear reality is Trump's victory was within the margin of error in the last polls taken. @Raoul or someone else can direct you to where this has been discussed I'm sure.
 
The way polls are analyzed is pretty confusing to me sometimes. I remember in the leadup to the Presidential election, most swing states were within the margin of error when it came to polling, I think 5/38 even had Trump ahead in Florida, Michigan and Ohio but when it came to the overall picture they would have Clinton 75%+ chance of winning which didn't make sense to me. Approval polls don't mean much though because it's not a good indicator of people who would actually vote, also you could have people who disapprove of the President but still vote for him anyways because of party loyalty.
 
freeurmind said:
The way polls are analyzed is pretty confusing to me sometimes. I remember in the leadup to the Presidential election, most swing states were within the margin of error when it came to polling, I think 5/38 even had Trump ahead in Florida, Michigan and Ohio but when it came to the overall picture they would have Clinton 75%+ chance of winning which didn't make sense to me. Approval polls don't mean much though because it's not a good indicator of people who would actually vote, also you could have people who disapprove of the President but still vote for him anyways because of party loyalty.
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Think polls are just used to influence the vote rather then giving a fair information these days.
 
bazalini said:
can we drop with the polls.

every single poll before the Election had Hillary Clinton sleepwalking into the white house. RIP us political polls
Click to expand...

She was given a 71% chance of winning by FiveThirtyEight . The fact that the 29% won isn't some sort of anomaly...its simply a case of the greater probability not winning.
 
bazalini said:
can we drop with the polls.

every single poll before the Election had Hillary Clinton sleepwalking into the white house. RIP us political polls
Click to expand...



Offering an overview of Americans’ opinions of the commander in chief’s job performance, a new poll released Friday indicated that President Trump’s disapproval rating had reached an all-time none of this matters. The report, released by who really cares which of the utterly useless polling firms and corroborated by several leading increasingly feckless news organizations, confirmed that well over half of those surveyed for really no goddamn reason.
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WH refusing to release documents on Kavanaugh. I know some Dem chickens will still vote for him.
 
Adisa said:
WH refusing to release documents on Kavanaugh. I know some Dem chickens will still vote for him.
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They should release the docs. Not surprised they aren't though since they are trying to ram this through as quickly as possible to avoid it bleeding into the elections.
 
Top 25 words that come to mind for Trump: Quinnipiac poll
https://www.aol.com/article/news/20...a-new-high/23513736/#slide=5026583#fullscreen

Bigot --------------- 8
American -------- 8
Racist ------------- 9
Dishonest ------- 9
Clown ------------- 9
Great --------------10
Disgusting ------10
Successful -----11
Narcissist -------11
Business --------11
Bully ---------------11
Trying ------------ 12
Arrogant ---------12
Stupid ------------13
Asshole ----------13
Egotistical ------ 15
Ignorant --------- 16
Businessman - 18
Strong ------------ 21
President --------22
Unqualified ----- 25
Leader ------------ 25
Liar ----------------- 30
Incompetent --- 31
Idiot --------------- 39
 
Raoul said:
She was given a 71% chance of winning by FiveThirtyEight . The fact that the 29% won isn't some sort of anomaly...its simply a case of the greater probability not winning.
Click to expand...
I honestly think it would help folks if they thought about it like baseball batting averages.

A .300 hitter basically gets out 70% of his at bats... but nobody is surprised when a .300 hitter gets a hit.
 
Carolina Red said:
I honestly think it would help folks if they thought about it like baseball batting averages.

A .300 hitter basically gets out 70% of his at bats... but nobody is surprised when a .300 hitter gets a hit.
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Baseball analogies would be lost on this site.
 
latest
 
Trump has already attacked a Gold Star family, wonder how long it will take for him to attack this Dad, too?

https://www-m.cnn.com/2018/09/02/us/mollie-tibbetts-father-op-ed/index.html?r=https://www.cnn.com/
Since authorities revealed the suspect in the killing of Mollie Tibbetts is an undocumented immigrant from Mexico, Iowa's Latino communities have been the target of rising anti-immigrant sentiment.
But the father of the late 20-year-old college student has had enough. He's spoken out, and he has a message: Don't exploit my daughter's death to promote a racist agenda.
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Carolina Red said:
I honestly think it would help folks if they thought about it like baseball batting averages.

A .300 hitter basically gets out 70% of his at bats... but nobody is surprised when a .300 hitter gets a hit.
Click to expand...

Or just like flipping a coin. The probability of flipping a head 3 times in a row is 1 in 8.

If you asked me whether you could do it, I'd say probably not. It doesn't mean that I was wrong when you then do flip 3 heads in a row. It happens.
 
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