The Argument for Giggs as our Next Manager

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@Walrus I begin by the end, sending Giggs coach an other team isn't a test, if we think that he can be a United coach then we have to give him the opportunity to gain some experience it's totally unfair to give him the job knowing that he has no experience because you force him to learn faster. And a B team isn't necessary, he should be able to find a middle table championship team or he could manage the Glasgow Rangers. The point wouldn't be to see if he can win easily but only to allow him the time to be a manager with his own personality.

Aye, but I mentioned my reasons why I would prefer him to stay in the club. For me, if Giggs is going to take over then it will and should be after LVG.
When talking about experience, again I want to point out that none of us really know what goes on behind the scenes. Giggs is assistant manager to LVG and by the time LVG retires, will have been so for a good 3-4 years most likely. Like it or not, that is experience, especially when we have heard LVG talking about how he gives managerial responsibilities etc to Giggs. I am not trying to contest that Giggs has the same level of experience as a manager as some other candidates, simply that it is a far shout from them simply saying "Hey, that JPRouve from Redcafe seems a decent lad, lets stick him in charge."

And about Tuchel, it's only an example, I used him because his style correspond to us. There is a handful of young managers who have in my opinion the potential to be great but their styles aren't necessarily compatible, Klopp, Unai Emery, Rudi Garcia, Tuchel, Leonardo Jardim and to be a bit provocative Gourvennec.

The thing for me is that very few of the managers you are listing (only Klopp, really) have done enough to "qualify" themselves for the United post in the way that people seem to want Giggs to do. If Giggs matched the achievements of Garcia or Tuchel for instance, would this be enough for him to be considered a realistic candidate by those currently against the appointment?

Giggs does not have the managerial experience that other candidates have, and nobody is trying to argue that he does, least of all me - but he has other attributes and advantages that none of the other candidates do, as well, and if the club does appoint him then clearly those in senior positions will have seen enough of him to believe he has what it takes.
 
a manager with zero experience in managing and a pundit for assistant. What we would lack is a pack of dancing bears and Fred the Red as football director
just your opinion .-) I don't think Fred the Red would be a good football director whoever he actually is, wouldn't be wise to appoint him
 
By our standards, I dont think Guardiola would have been qualified to take over at Barca (despite B team success)...

Definitely not. Some will no doubt claim that Pep was a student of the game, had great success with the B team - and whatever else may be cited in his favour - but that is all hindsight at the end of the day. Nobody could be sure that those qualities would make him a top class manager.

If, in an absurdly hypothetical scenario, Giggs' starting point had been identical to Pep's 99% of the people who feel it's a bad idea to give him the job, would still feel that way: "Yeah, but managing the the B team simply isn't the same thing, he has zero top level experience, being a student of the game means feck all, he could be horrible at managing star players on huge wages..." It's not hard to imagine what people would've said.

Regarding your post above, I think most of us would be more in favour of Giggs if it all pans out according to your best case scenario, i.e. that LVG completes the transition and leaves a well balanced, youthful squad behind (a squad Giggs will know inside out and who will for the most part know him, in turn, only as a manager, not as a player).

And I suppose the above is the idea, if there's anything to the speculations that Giggs actually is the heir-apparent in the sense that Woody and the board actively want him to take over when LVG leaves/retires.
 
What I'm saying is that in Giggs' case, it's pointless to suggest that he should go out and "prove" himself at a smaller club, because the latter will never prove what those seeking proof actually demand to see. The likelihood of Giggs having the sort of success required outside of United - and then emerging as a qualified, proven candidate for the job - is nil. It will never happen. It's a matter of promoting him from within - or forgetting the notion altogether.
Because he's not good enough? If he was, I don't see why he can't do what Simeone, Sir Alex, Ancelotti, Wenger and basically almost every top manager has done. This idea that he is this unique potential manager that can only show his qualities at United and nowhere else actually shows pretty much no faith in his own abilities or qualities. It's this hope that United and familiarity will somehow elevate him into being a great manager.
 
I agree with this, but I also think our fans expectations on what qualifies someone to manage the club are a bit steep at this stage. By our standards, I dont think Guardiola would have been qualified to take over at Barca (despite B team success), nor Mourinho to take over Chelsea (despite winning the CL with Porto), nor several of the others who have established themselves as elite managers.

Barca are slightly different in the sense that they have a system in place where players move through the ranks and the system remains the same. They also have the best players along with Real Madrid and it's a less competitive league. Are they not going to finish top 4 even with an average manager?

Chelsea are a good example of a club picking a great manager - but he had won the European Cup, and Chelsea at that stage couldn't attract the top managers.

The fact is United need to maintain competitiveness in a very competitive league against wealthy and ambitious clubs. That's why I think we'll go for a big name. Guaranteed success is impossible but you can minimise risk.
 
Because he's not good enough? If he was, I don't see why he can't do what Simeone, Sir Alex, Ancelotti, Wenger and basically almost every top manager has done. This idea that he is this unique potential manager that can only show his qualities at United and nowhere else actually shows pretty much no faith in his own abilities or qualities. It's this hope that United and familiarity will somehow elevate him into being a great manager.
Can't disagree with any of this!
 
Because he's not good enough? If he was, I don't see why he can't do what Simeone, Sir Alex, Ancelotti, Wenger and basically almost every top manager has done. This idea that he is this unique potential manager that can only show his qualities at United and nowhere else actually shows pretty much no faith in his own abilities or qualities. It's this hope that United and familiarity will somehow elevate him into being a great manager.

I think it's extremely unlikely that Giggs will emerge at a future point as a proven, qualified manager - to the standard people seem to demand - if he leaves United to pursue a managerial career. His chance - his only chance - of making it as United manager is if we gamble on him as an internal appointment.

That isn't a contradiction in terms. What you'd gamble on in his case is that he will grow with the task and use his experience as a United player and assistant manager - as a club man to the bone - to good effect. And that the end product would be a good, well suited United manager. You wouldn't gamble on Giggs being a managerial genius who would shine no matter where you sent him.

But I've already said this, weeks ago, in this very thread - so I won't repeat myself further.
 
Regarding your post above, I think most of us would be more in favour of Giggs if it all pans out according to your best case scenario, i.e. that LVG completes the transition and leaves a well balanced, youthful squad behind (a squad Giggs will know inside out and who will for the most part know him, in turn, only as a manager, not as a player).

And I suppose the above is the idea, if there's anything to the speculations that Giggs actually is the heir-apparent in the sense that Woody and the board actively want him to take over when LVG leaves/retires.

This is definitely the context in which my argument is based, although I think your label of "best case scenario" is a little bit harsh - I think the above should be considered the most realistic scenario. If LVG were sacked at the end of this season after a poor showing on the other hand, I do not think Giggs would be right to take over in that context.

I think it's extremely unlikely that Giggs will emerge at a future point as a proven, qualified manager - to the standard people seem to demand - if he leaves United to pursue a managerial career. His chance - his only chance - of making it as United manager is if we gamble on him as an internal appointment.

That isn't a contradiction in terms. What you'd gamble on in his case is that he will grow with the task and use his experience as a United player and assistant manager - as a club man to the bone - to good effect. And that the end product would be a good, well suited United manager. You wouldn't gamble on Giggs being a managerial genius who would shine no matter where you sent him.

But I've already said this, weeks ago, in this very thread - so I won't repeat myself further.

I largely agree with this.
 
I think it's extremely unlikely that Giggs will emerge at a future point as a proven, qualified manager - to the standard people seem to demand - if he leaves United to pursue a managerial career. His chance - his only chance - of making it as United manager is if we gamble on him as an internal appointment.

That isn't a contradiction in terms. What you'd gamble on in his case is that he will grow with the task and use his experience as a United player and assistant manager - as a club man to the bone - to good effect. And that the end product would be a good, well suited United manager. You wouldn't gamble on Giggs being a managerial genius who would shine no matter where you sent him.

But I've already said this, weeks ago, in this very thread - so I won't repeat myself further.
I'm that case I wouldn't gamble at all. I was hoping you'd give me more on why you felt this way rather than your certainty on feeling this way but fair enough. We've been down this road before.
 
@Walrus

Glad we could establish the fact that you too think Giggs would be a gamble mate, that is kind of the primary contention of most posters opposed to his appointment. Why take a stab in the dark, when we could have the opportunity to select one of the Top 5-ish managers in the game if things fall into place (certainly looks the case for 2016). Also, none of us have an ulterior motive or agenda in this, and do really appreciate what Giggs has done for the club as a player. And that is the operative word, player or rather former player, which should be really be treated in isolation, apart from his prospective credentials as a manager.

That aside, and onto the next portion of your post, see here is why I can't fathom why his name is being brought up again and again. You stated it yourself :

I stand firm in my belief that managing a club of the stature of United is very different from managing a smaller one - the same applies to other elite clubs as they all have specific 'traits' (for lack of a better word) which do make them unique, to a degree. In United's case, this is the enormous financial juggernaut and global fanbase, and the subsequent expectations from the fans of not just winning, but playing attractive football and continuing our history and legacy of youth development (this latter one can perhaps be argued, but I for one as a United fan would like the club to continue as it has done in snapping up the very best British talent, and promoting youth prospects when possible).

If United is such a daunting proposition with millions in terms of money, aside from prestige at stake, why choose someone who has next to zero (this including his stint as caretaker) experience as a manager at the level? People can talk all they want about acquired experience under Fergie and Van Gaal, and whatnot, and bring up endless platitudes about loyalty, and winning mentality and so forth. But no amount of preparation as an assistant manager can stand to succeed when you're forced into the job, because at the end of the day you're working in a reduced capacity and the manager is the ones who assumes ultimate responsibility. Managerial ability like most leadership roles is not a linear trait that can be picked along via association. Otherwise every club would be training their ex-greats under present great managers in a seemingly endless conveyor belt apparatus.

We talk about great managers and motivators, and the traits are pretty evident right away. Just to cite one example :



And this isn't just something he does after being established as one of the best managers around. This is almost exactly like what Pep was in his playing days too. As a young 20 something year old, he played a position that is arguably the most difficult one to execute in Cruyff's Barcelona, and was the brain of the team from deeper areas highlighting his cerebral approach to the game, a quality he exudes even to this day with his revising and readjustment of the formation to offset opposition advantage, on top of his overall leadership ability, carrying on from the days when he was a young leader in team with Romario, Stoichkov, Laudrop and co.

Here is him about to bollock someone who is almost unanimously considered one of the top 5 players in the world through that period :



Same with the other successful contemporary managers. Jose needs no introduction, Simeone another mentalist, Klopp, and so forth. I just can't see that direct, confrontational, brash, Fergie-esque leadership ability in Giggs. He just seems too gormless for lack of a better descriptive term, too circumspect, and might be wrong (hardly know the guy on a personal level), but I honestly don't think he has a personality big enough to balance the job on a daily and hourly basis. Even in his playing days, the leaders of the team were usually Bruce, Keane, Ince, Schmeichel, Neville and co. rather than Giggs. It was only late into his career that he assumed a visible leadership role. I just don't know if he can juggle personalities similar to Ronaldo, Robben, Ribery, Benzema, while dismissing someone like Ibrahimovic who stepped out of line, like some of the other managers have proven they can. Players of that caliber might respect his accomplishments as a player, but being their manager is a whole new terrain.

Why take a risk, when you admit the magnitude of the position might be too big, when you could possibly have someone who is well versed with managerial roles at clubs of similar stature - Pep with Barcelona and Bayern Munich; and Ancelotti with Juventus, Milan, Chelsea and Real Madrid. Even Klopp to a lesser degree, who handled Bundesliga winning expectations bar last season, reached the Champions League final with a team that finished 9th in year he took over, and managed expectations that come with a revenue level that's among the Top 10 in European football. Every managerial appointment can go wrong, but atleast with those managers there's anecdotal evidence to rely on. Giggs is an infinitely bigger gamble, and that's what scares me.

I can understand where you're coming from with the 'giving managers complete control' bit, but that just stands to complicate the issue further. If Giggs is appointed, he won't just have to deal with being a normal coach to start out. As you said, he'll have to deal with a million tangential things that come as a packed deal, and that's way too much pressure for someone so inexperienced. He might've seen Fergie navigate the entire setup with relative ease, but merely seeing, and doing are two totally different propositions. Now to be fair, those issues might rear heir heads with Guardiola and Ancelotti too, both of whom have traditionally worked in more layered surroundings, but the leap wouldn't be that large because Pep was already targeting players he wanted at Barcelona, and dealing with the expectations of millions of fans, aside from molding the team as he saw fit. As for Ancelotti, he seems bright enough to add another couple of responsibilities to his repertoire despite coming across as dullard at times, and frankly I believe he would relish the chance after having worked under stifling owners and staff, ranging from Moggi, Galliani and Berlusconi, Abroamovich, the PSG mob and Fiorentino.

As for continuity, I have zero qualms when it comes to that to be honest. It's a null function argument the way I see it, and undue importance is laid at its doorstep. Managers of that stature can iron out their entire squad in a season, evidenced by their historical record. Top shelf managers don't tear squads down without good reason, they either believe they can retool it to reach a higher level, or make swift changes to halt the decay. LVG's rebuild job was markedly different, and something we're not used to as United fans by virtue of Fergie being the omnipresent figure that he was. Three stalwarts of our backline were gone; Jones, Smalling, Evans, Rafael had a consistent injury record necessitating the purchase of Rojo, Blind, and later Darmian to go with Shaw. The midfield was a barren wasteland with the most important player being 33 years old, justifying a large turnover of personnel. Wider areas? Forget about it. Young and Valencia combined for a handsome 5 goals and 12 assists in 2 seasons before Van Gaal's arrival. Both our key strikers were almost 30 years old. The restructuring job was a long way coming, and had to be done in a hurry to get us back in contention for Top 4 berths. I believe now we have a good young core with Darmian, Shaw, Schneiderlin, Memphis; hopefully Martial, Januzaj and De Gea to serve the club in the medium term, in addition to he likes of Ander, Fellaini, Blind in a utility role and a few others. No sane manager would rip the squad apart again without good reason. And I believe every manager wants to promote youth, provided they are good enough. Pep brought along Pedro, Busquets, Pique who was signed back, later Thiago etc. Ancelotti with Kaka, Varane, Verratti among others. And Klopp with Gotze, Hummels, Subotic among others. If they are good enough, they will play. If not, the club has the finances to supplement the squad through the transfer market.
 
contd.

Also, this section of your last paragraph is a bit confusing for me to be honest :

We need someone to take over the foundations that LVG has left in place, and build on them.

Ryan Giggs has not evidenced the ability to lead the club further when Van Gaal hangs up his boots, so any assumptions might be dangerous irrespective of the state Van Gaal leave the squad in. People say that anyone can manage a great team, or that Giggs' job with be a bit easier, but the likes of Quieroz have shown that being a great assistant in the past, and even having Zidane, Ronaldo, Beckham, Carlos, Raul, Figo and all the talent in the world doesn't matter if you're not up to the job and can't handle the responsibilities and personalities involved. The next step after Van Gaal is league contention, and European honors. That's too much to expect from a novice. I again bring up the same couple of examples, but Pep Guardiola and Carlo Ancelotti are the veritable masters of taking a club to the next levels. The former gets a lot of grief for 'underachieving' at Bayer, but he got to the semi-finals of the European Cup each year, and at the late a stage it's all a gamble with extremely fine margins so we can't fault him 100%. He has shown the ability to consistently challenge for league titles, and reach the higher sages of the Champions League both in Spain and now Germany. Fair enough, his squad at Barcelona was gifted beyond belief to say the least, but he made them better on a year to year basis, while sorting out players like Ronaldinho, Marquez, Eto'o, Deco etc.

Similarly Ancelotti won the European Cup in his first season after losing Ozil and Higuain, and having an initially unsettled Di Maria who started playing more centrally, made a deep run in the league, won the Copa, then returned to reach the semi-finals of the European Cup after losing Alonso, playing a weird setup to keeper the president happy, shoehorning the new Galactico, and if not for Fiorentino would still be managing the club. They are managers who have been there and done that all sharpish, albeit with superior squads. But then again, there's no reason why we can't attract even better players given the weight both managers' name carries compared with Giggs whom a few top class players might be apprehensive about might I add, given his lack of experience at the position incase he become the next United manager.
 
If Giggs went off to manager at a smaller club the odds are still very much against him. The overwhelming vast majority of managers never win anything. There are so many factors that have an impact on whether or not you have success its impossible to know before hand if someone will be successful or not. In fact I would expect Giggs to fail if he went elsewhere first, not because I know or dont know if he is any good but because there are so many factors against him before he starts. He would have a better chance of success at Utd because the resources, infrastructure and money are here. That doesnt mean I want him as our next manager.
The same goes for us as fans. The odds in being right favour those who dont see Giggs as a good choice for our next manager. Nobody in here knows how good or bad Giggs could end up being, nobody knows for sure if he could handle the job, all we have are assumptions based on the thinnest of information available to us.
Personally if he were to be given the job as Utd Manager I would like him to do another term as an assistant under another manager first. He is still a young man in terms of ability to manage and the more experience he gains under others before having a go himself the better.
Right now I would hope that we pick an experienced manager who has teams that play exciting football for our next manager. However I have no idea if Giggs could be a good or bad manager and I dont think anyone here really knows for sure either way, there simply isnt enough evidence for anyone to know for sure.
but if money has to be put on this the smart money would be on him failing at Utd or away from Utd because in terms of winning, the vast majority of managers fail.
 
Barca are slightly different in the sense that they have a system in place where players move through the ranks and the system remains the same. They also have the best players along with Real Madrid and it's a less competitive league. Are they not going to finish top 4 even with an average manager?

Chelsea are a good example of a club picking a great manager - but he had won the European Cup, and Chelsea at that stage couldn't attract the top managers.

The fact is United need to maintain competitiveness in a very competitive league against wealthy and ambitious clubs. That's why I think we'll go for a big name. Guaranteed success is impossible but you can minimise risk.

I understand what you are saying, but again - any managerial appointment is a gamble. Monk is a good example from the PL of a manager being appointed from within and flourishing. Of course Swansea are not the same size as United, but that is the benefit of having someone who already understands the club inside and out. Where Moyes was shocked by the sheer size of the club and the job he had taken on, there would be no surprises for someone who has been within that club for decades already - Giggs would know exactly what is in store, and would know the expectations upon him.
 
@Walrus
I'm genuinely sorry, I want to agree with you but I rate experience too much. I basically think what @Stack just wrote, I don't know if he is good enough, I don't assume that he will be bad, I just want him to have more experience because I think that experience will ease everything.
 
@Walrus



We talk about great managers and motivators, and the traits are pretty evident right away. Just to cite one example :




Here is him about to bollock someone who is almost unanimously considered one of the top 5 players in the world through that period :

the idea that bollocking players is some sort of indication that its how to motivate players shows a complete lack of understanding of how, when and why to motivate players. These two videos have been used for years now on UEFA courses as an example of the utter futility and stupidity of yelling at players.


 
the idea that bollocking players is some sort of indication that its how to motivate players shows a complete lack of understanding of how, when and why to motivate players. These two videos have been used for years now on UEFA courses as an example of the utter futility and stupidity of yelling at players.

Yeah I lack the understanding completely. :rolleyes:

Did you even read it in the context it was said in, or did you just want to butt in and dole out your 'expertise' as is usually the case? The bollocking bit was to illustrate that Pep despite his usually calm external presence, has the wherewithal to hold even the biggest names in football accountable if things come down to that, and will suffer no fools. Nice Warnock clip btw, could stand to include the Rodgers/ Sterling one too to elucidate the 'utter futility and stupidity of yelling at players'.



Such stupidity, oh wait. Noes..
 
@Invictus thanks for the reply, you raise some excellent points that I will not contest - primarily that of Giggs' personality. All I can say with regard to that is again - those inside the club will have a far better and more accurate judgement on the character of Ryan Giggs. The very fact that he has been spoken of by LVG as a potential successor, leads me to believe that he cannot be seen as totally 'gormless' as you put it, in a managerial sense.
I also believe that more than one type of person can be successful as a manager. I worked under approximately 12 managers over 5 years in my last job - I freely accept that it is a flawed comparison as a phone shop is not like one of the biggest football clubs in the world, but over time it was easy to see how different styles of leadership could work (or not), with different employees. Nonetheless, I agree that in his career to date, Giggs has not shown himself to be a charismatic leader of men in the same mould as a Guardiola. Giggs does however command the authority and respect of the players at the club (I know you dont really value this argument) due to his history and achievements. This does not mean he is automatically a great leader, but it means that he would not - in my opinion - fall into the same pitfalls as Moyes for instance.
Again though, if the club is apparently grooming him to take over from LVG, and if he does, then I would expect that to be on the back of those within the club judging him to be an appropriate fit in terms of personality et al.

The names you are suggesting as our candidates are Guardiola and Ancelotti primarily - both excellent, proven managers. Ancelotti however, has only on one occasion remained at a club longer than two seasons, and this was his time at Milan. It can be argued that on most occasions he was moving to a bigger club, but regardless he does not have a track record for building great squads or promoting youth - that his last three jobs have been Chelsea, PSG and Real Madrid tell us this if nothing else. At this point we start to touch back on the "United is unique, United is different" argument - but jokes aside, I cant think of too many inside the club (or the fans) who would be happy for us to go the way of some of those clubs, replacing manager every 1-2 years and spending enormous amounts of money year on year (obviously LVGs tenure thus far has featured a lot of spending, but as you rightly said his "transition job" was virtually unprecedented). That the Glazers are in charge supports this, I feel.

As for Guardiola, he is a rather interest and unique case himself. Undoubtedly a talented manager, but again the prime example of someone where a big club took a gamble on him, and it paid off in a very large way. With hindsight we can say (and it has been said in this thread) that he had an excellent record with Barcelona B, but this does not equate to the sort of experience that you or anyone else would expect from Giggs or any other candidate. Guardiola has managed Barcelona and Bayern Munich - two exceptionally strong and talented sides. With the former, he was blessed with one of the GOAT players as well as the likes of Iniesta and Xavi. At Bayern, he took over a team that had just won the CL, and perhaps it is fair to say he has maintained it at the same level as when he took over, although arguments for and against can be made.
I am not going to jump on any sort of "Guardiola is a dud" bandwagon here - but both of his managerial jobs have been about as easy as a high-level appointment can be. Nonetheless he would probably be the best candidate of experienced, elite managers to take over from LVG due to the similarities in their styles and philosophies (stemming from the fact that Guardiola was himself mentored by LVG - much like Giggs is ;) )

For me, it is about different managers for different scenarios and situations. What I was alluding to in my previous post with the whole "unique" stuff was that United has its own set of challenges, much like any other club. Van Gaal was deemed by many (including myself) to be nigh-on a perfect fit for the club when he arrived - and whilst I am certainly not one of those crying for him to be sacked, it has to be said that he has at times disappointed, and the football we have played thus far has not exactly been the fast flowing, free-scoring type that most fans would love. I look at Guardiola and I see someone who has only ever had to manage what has already been a world class team. I look at Mourinho and I see someone whose record at elite clubs is fantastic in terms of trophies, but not so much in how he has left those clubs, developed youth, operated under a budget, or built a great side.

Can Giggs take on the foundations of a side and turn it into one of the best in Europe? Can he satisfy the fans desire for attacking football? Can he continue United's traditions of youth development? Maybe, maybe not. He hasnt proved that he can yet - but nor have some of the alternatives mentioned. They have proven that when given a great team, they can win trophies with it. We do not have a great team however, and the likelihood is that nor will we when LVG leaves.
 
If Giggs went off to manager at a smaller club the odds are still very much against him. The overwhelming vast majority of managers never win anything. There are so many factors that have an impact on whether or not you have success its impossible to know before hand if someone will be successful or not. In fact I would expect Giggs to fail if he went elsewhere first, not because I know or dont know if he is any good but because there are so many factors against him before he starts. He would have a better chance of success at Utd because the resources, infrastructure and money are here. That doesnt mean I want him as our next manager.
The same goes for us as fans. The odds in being right favour those who dont see Giggs as a good choice for our next manager. Nobody in here knows how good or bad Giggs could end up being, nobody knows for sure if he could handle the job, all we have are assumptions based on the thinnest of information available to us.
Personally if he were to be given the job as Utd Manager I would like him to do another term as an assistant under another manager first. He is still a young man in terms of ability to manage and the more experience he gains under others before having a go himself the better.
Right now I would hope that we pick an experienced manager who has teams that play exciting football for our next manager. However I have no idea if Giggs could be a good or bad manager and I dont think anyone here really knows for sure either way, there simply isnt enough evidence for anyone to know for sure.
but if money has to be put on this the smart money would be on him failing at Utd or away from Utd because in terms of winning, the vast majority of managers fail.

@Walrus
I'm genuinely sorry, I want to agree with you but I rate experience too much. I basically think what @Stack just wrote, I don't know if he is good enough, I don't assume that he will be bad, I just want him to have more experience because I think that experience will ease everything.

I think this is a good post by @Stack , although I dont necessarily agree with the conclusion.
 
]
Yeah I lack the understanding completely. :rolleyes:

Did you even read it in the context it was said in, or did you just want to butt in and dole out your 'expertise' as is usually the case? The bollocking bit was to illustrate that Pep despite his usually calm external presence, has the wherewithal to hold even the biggest names in football accountable if things come down to that, and will suffer no fools. Nice Warnock clip btw, could stand to include the Rodgers/ Sterling one too to elucidate the 'utter futility and stupidity of yelling at players'.


Such stupidity, oh wait. Noes..

I do know that I can be a know all twat at times so this comment is deserved. Trouble is that i am not good at articulating my points sometimes and I wasnt having a dig at you, it was more a general comment. Things have changed and are currently changing with respect to how players are treated.
 
I'm that case I wouldn't gamble at all. I was hoping you'd give me more on why you felt this way rather than your certainty on feeling this way but fair enough. We've been down this road before.

Well, if you're looking for weighty arguments as to why we should give the job to Giggs rather than a Pep or an Ancelotti, you won't get them from me. I don't think they exist, for that matter. It would be a leap of faith to a large degree, it always is – which is why I don't advocate it. We'll very likely be in a position where we can offer a contract to a top class, proven manager when LVG leaves – so that it what we should do, because it's clearly the safer choice.

But at the same time I can see how it's possible for a sane man or woman to be in favour of Giggs, beyond pure sentimentality and romanticism. If I'm an advocate of anything here it's the idea that hiring someone who is not the best candidate, formally speaking, is not unprecedented in the world of football. Giving the job to a “club legend” has been tried before. And while the fiascoes no doubt outnumber the success stories, the latter aren't non-existent.

As for why this could work, and why it's the only thing which will work for Giggs, regarded as a United manager, I can only reiterate what I said weeks ago: Most people aren't geniuses whose success depends on their genius alone. Most people catch a break of some kind. We'd be giving Giggs that break and we'd be gambling on him making the most of it. Obviously this presupposes that Giggs isn't incompetent, or a random bloke on the street, but that he actually has a talent for managing and knows roughly how to approach such a huge job.

The counter argument, that he should go elsewhere and earn his stripes, is an obvious one – but to me it's almost irrelevant. It's a completely different proposal. Giving him the break, and the job, would be based on the notion that his experiences at United, his familiarity with the whole set-up, the whole culture, carried over into the new job in direct continuity, if you will – constitute his de-facto qualification for the position. The other thing – sending him off to Stockport or wherever and see how he fares, well, that's fine in theory, but it has nothing to do with the basic concept here. Many will find the concept ludicrous, but then I suggest they simply ditch the idea of Giggs as United manager altogether. Because I maintain that the likelihood of him “earning his stripes” to a degree which would make him the best candidate (or even a good one) for the United job, objectively speaking, are virtually non-existent.
 
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I do know that I can be a know all twat at times so this comment is deserved. Trouble is that i am not good at articulating my points sometimes and I wasnt having a dig at you, it was more a general comment. Things have changed and are currently changing with respect to how players are treated.

No problems mate, perhaps I myself overreacted a tad. And apologies are in order to be fair, sorry about the minor retort. :)

Reading both the posts again, now I kind of have a better understanding of you initially meant, and I do agree with the sentiment that players are more fragile for lack of better word these days, when compared with even a decade ago. That's something which Fergie himself addressed IIRC. What I essentially wanted to illustrate with the video was that the top managers (Guardiola among them) aren't afraid to put their foot down if they feel compelled to, even if they're about to ruffle the feathers of a player as accomplished as Robben.

Being pally with your personnel, or handling them with fluffy gloves will take you so far. And from what I've noticed, and seen over the years, Giggs seems a a bit dare I say, nonplussed or stoic a lot of the times. Hence the question about him being able to mix to things up, and handle the oftentimes difficult personalities, and inflated egos of modern footballers, even if it ultimately leads to a confrontation. Though again, this is just the impression I got, it might be erroneous, and as Walrus pointed out, perhaps the United insiders see something that commoners like me don't. So at the end of the day, I dunno..

@Walrus

Read you post, and I'll be back with a reply later, or most probably tomorrow for sure. Have to head out right now.
 
No problems mate, perhaps I myself overreacted a tad. And apologies are in order to be fair, sorry about the minor retort. :)

Reading both the posts again, now I kind of have a better understanding of you initially meant, and I do agree with the sentiment that players are more fragile for lack of better word these days, when compared with even a decade ago. That's something which Fergie himself addressed IIRC. What I essentially wanted to illustrate with the video was that the top managers (Guardiola among them) aren't afraid to put their foot down if they feel compelled to, even if they're about to ruffle the feathers of a player as accomplished as Robben.

Being pally with your personnel, or handling them with fluffy gloves will take you so far. And from what I've noticed, and seen over the years, Giggs seems a a bit dare I say, nonplussed or stoic a lot of the times. Hence the question about him being able to mix to things up, and handle the oftentimes difficult personalities, and inflated egos of modern footballers, even if it ultimately leads to a confrontation. Though again, this is just the impression I got, it might be erroneous, and as Walrus pointed out, perhaps the United insiders see something that commoners like me don't. So at the end of the day, I dunno..

@Walrus

Read you post, and I'll be back with a reply later, or most probably tomorrow for sure. Have to head out right now.

Dont apologise, I deserved it. You didnt over react. But appreciate the sentiment. And dont be reticent to give me a bite next time I come across pompous and full of my own self importance.
 
I understand what you are saying, but again - any managerial appointment is a gamble. Monk is a good example from the PL of a manager being appointed from within and flourishing. Of course Swansea are not the same size as United, but that is the benefit of having someone who already understands the club inside and out. Where Moyes was shocked by the sheer size of the club and the job he had taken on, there would be no surprises for someone who has been within that club for decades already - Giggs would know exactly what is in store, and would know the expectations upon him.

Monk is a gamble - but it's not like Swansea are turning down Jurgen Klopp of Carlo Ancellotti to give him the job. He will be glad of the chance, work on a budget.

Knowledge of a club and it's fans is relevant but frankly that's less relevant at massive clubs like United. Our fans are spread over the globe from every background, culture and country. Not just a part of Wales. This "United identity" some want to suggest exists doesn't in the bigger picture.

Moyes is not a good example. Top managers have usually already managed big clubs - they understand the pressures of what they're facing and the expectation. They can adapt to difficult situations hence their good track record. They impose themselves on a club, not the other way round.

In fact it's arguable that in what Giggs had in terms of "club knowledge" he lacks elsewhere.

The big point people ignore here is blindingly obvious. If he is a quality coach he would have significant success elsewhere so why not go a prove it? He would always take the United job so it's not as if we don't appoint him another top club will come in a snatch him away. There is no reason he can't prove he's the best man for the job on merit.
 
Monk is a gamble - but it's not like Swansea are turning down Jurgen Klopp of Carlo Ancellotti to give him the job. He will be glad of the chance, work on a budget.

Knowledge of a club and it's fans is relevant but frankly that's less relevant at massive clubs like United. Our fans are spread over the globe from every background, culture and country. Not just a part of Wales. This "United identity" some want to suggest exists doesn't in the bigger picture.

Moyes is not a good example. Top managers have usually already managed big clubs - they understand the pressures of what they're facing and the expectation. They can adapt to difficult situations hence their good track record. They impose themselves on a club, not the other way round.

In fact it's arguable that in what Giggs had in terms of "club knowledge" he lacks elsewhere.

The big point people ignore here is blindingly obvious. If he is a quality coach he would have significant success elsewhere so why not go a prove it? He would always take the United job so it's not as if we don't appoint him another top club will come in a snatch him away. There is no reason he can't prove he's the best man for the job on merit.

It makes a huge difference when a manager identifies with the fans and knows the club internally. Look at the amount of success Barcelona, Dortmund have reaped by taking this route. I wouldn't mind throwing Jose's name in there as well when he started at Porto.
 
@Walrus, I don't feel Monk and Giggs are comparable. Swansea would love to crack the top 6-7 but know realistically that mightn't happen. If the target for Monk and Swansea is to finish between 8th and 11th, and Swansea finish 12th, it's nowhere near the end of the world. No massive sponsorship deals will be in jeopardy, neither will the "brand" be under massive financial threat. At United, that's different. Minimum target is to finish top four. Fifth, and the consequences financially are there aka the Adidas deal for instance. Some players might want to move on etc.
 
It makes a huge difference when a manager identifies with the fans and knows the club internally. Look at the amount of success Barcelona, Dortmund have reaped by taking this route. I wouldn't mind throwing Jose's name in there as well when he started at Porto.

The point I'm making is that United is no longer a club with a "fan identity" in the sense that other, more "local" clubs have. What is our typical "fan"? I suspect he or she differs in every region around the world. Our typical fan in the UK won't be the same as the typical fan in Malaysia, or Australia, or America.

Rather than an "identity" we now have a "brand" a worldwide brand that needs to be protected. Lack of success damages that brand significantly. Whether the fans like that is a moot point - because it is what it is.

Dortmund are not in that position, and frankly, neither are Barcelona. Messi and Neymar are bigger "brands" that the club they play for. They have a situation in Barca which is unique in the sense that the local fans actually have a share in the club and decide who runs it. That's why the president needs to keep those fans happy. It's also unique that they have an "identiy" as Catalans that runs deepr than football. We don't have that here.

This club is about success both footballing and commercial and the latter follows the former. It doesn't take long for fans in certain foreign countries who are not emotionally invested in the club to chuck their United shirt in the bin and buy a City or Chelsea one because they're having more success.

Appointing Ryan Giggs and him having instant and significant success is possible - but a massive, massive risk. For me a much bigger risk that the club will take given the potential pitfalls. We've seen what one season of failure has done to the books, and to the momentum of the side in terms of the type of players we can add when we need to.

And it still doesnt answer the obvious question. If he's a superb coach, full of great ideas and with a great tactical mind - then he can do that anywhere. He's a young man and can go and prove that he's the man to do the job. There is no guarantee that he's (for example) the next Guardiola - its speculation to suggest that he is. He could just as well be one of the many former footballers who despite being great players, failed in management for one of numerous reasons.
 
he big point people ignore here is blindingly obvious. If he is a quality coach he would have significant success elsewhere so why not go a prove it? He would always take the United job so it's not as if we don't appoint him another top club will come in a snatch him away. There is no reason he can't prove he's the best man for the job on merit.

It's only blindingly obvious if you believe that circumstances, environment, timing and other factors don't play a big part in the eventual success of a top manager. If you believe that the likes of Mourinho, Pep, Ancelotti etc. would have the same success they have achieved regardless of where and how they started their careers. If they could all have started out at a club like Stoke City for example, and eventually go on to manage the top sides in world football and win major domestic and European trophies.

Personally I think the reality is a bit different and that there are probably managers out there who have the potential to achieve great things, but may never realise it. I think chance plays something of a part. Taking the right job at the right time. Dare I say, perhaps even a bit of luck along the way. So much of a manager's reputation can be tarnished by one unsuccessful stint at a club and at a time when club's expect immediate success. I think the belief that if Giggs has the potential to be a good manager, then he will be undoubtedly be able to go and achieve great success elsewhere is a bit naive.
 
The big point people ignore here is blindingly obvious. If he is a quality coach he would have significant success elsewhere so why not go a prove it? He would always take the United job so it's not as if we don't appoint him another top club will come in a snatch him away. There is no reason he can't prove he's the best man for the job on merit.

Unfortunately that isnt entirely true. There are so many factors that determine success that the odds are against any coach having significant success anywhere. If a great coach went to the wrong club at the wrong time it can end really badly.
 
It's only blindingly obvious if you believe that circumstances, environment, timing and other factors don't play a big part in the eventual success of a top manager. If you believe that the likes of Mourinho, Pep, Ancelotti etc. would have the same success they have achieved regardless of where and how they started their careers. If they could all have started out at a club like Stoke City for example, and eventually go on to manage the top sides in world football and win major domestic and European trophies.

Personally I think the reality is a bit different and that there are probably managers out there who have the potential to achieve great things, but may never realise it. I think chance plays something of a part. Taking the right job at the right time. Dare I say, perhaps even a bit of luck along the way. So much of a manager's reputation can be tarnished by one unsuccessful stint at a club and at a time when club's expect immediate success. I think the belief that if Giggs has the potential to be a good manager, then he will be undoubtedly be able to go and achieve great success elsewhere is a bit naive.
This is a good point and I reckon there is definitely something in it. The question is how much. How many top managers owe their success to a very specific set of fortuitous circumstances -even if they are not necessarily obvious when looking at it from the outside? And how many managers who fail or only eke out modest careers could have risen to the likes of those managers you mention with simply one break?

I think you are right there are some managers in both those situations. It is probably worth an entire thread on its own but, from the latter group, you would have to say there must be many potential black managers out there who are not being given a chance for whatever reason, who have the natural ability to be great managers. Statistically I find it inconceivable that this is not the case.

But in the former group, I think on the whole those managers would have risen to the top regardless of the route they took as the quality was there.
 
Unfortunately that isnt entirely true. There are so many factors that determine success that the odds are against any coach having significant success anywhere. If a great coach went to the wrong club at the wrong time it can end really badly.

And that's why success shouldn't be a criteria, in my opinion it's good for Manager to fail in his career his reaction will be a good indication of what he is really made of.
 
It's only blindingly obvious if you believe that circumstances, environment, timing and other factors don't play a big part in the eventual success of a top manager. If you believe that the likes of Mourinho, Pep, Ancelotti etc. would have the same success they have achieved regardless of where and how they started their careers. If they could all have started out at a club like Stoke City for example, and eventually go on to manage the top sides in world football and win major domestic and European trophies.

Personally I think the reality is a bit different and that there are probably managers out there who have the potential to achieve great things, but may never realise it. I think chance plays something of a part. Taking the right job at the right time. Dare I say, perhaps even a bit of luck along the way. So much of a manager's reputation can be tarnished by one unsuccessful stint at a club and at a time when club's expect immediate success. I think the belief that if Giggs has the potential to be a good manager, then he will be undoubtedly be able to go and achieve great success elsewhere is a bit naive.

Obviously those things you mention have an effect - they will for any person taking a managerial role in any field. Clearly luck, circumstance and timing all play a part. But all you can do when appointing a manager to a football club is work with what you have, and for the most part it's fair to say that the best managers do a good job at most of the places they pitch up. It won't work all the time, in all circumstances but you minimise your risk by appointing someone who has a track record of success.

You're misunderstanding the point I'm making it seems. I'm not saying that all of the top managers will have success everywhere - but how else do you Judge a candidate for the job?

There is a reason the same top managers move around the top clubs - because they're the best, and will more often than not be succesful in what they do. Pointing to the likes of Mourinho highlights the point - they generally aren't parachuted into top clubs as managers - they had to work their way up and earn their reputaions. Why should Giggs be any different?

My suggestion is that if Giggs is ever going to have the ability to take on the United job, having expereince at a lower level and at least showing signs he has the ability to do it is preferable, because as it stands his only qualifications seem to be that he's a club legend and popular with the fans.
 
This is a good point and I reckon there is definitely something in it. The question is how much. How many top managers owe their success to a very specific set of fortuitous circumstances -even if they are not necessarily obvious when looking at it from the outside? And how many managers who fail or only eke out modest careers could have risen to the likes of those managers you mention with simply one break?

I think you are right there are some managers in both those situations. It is probably worth an entire thread on its own but, from the latter group, you would have to say there must be many potential black managers out there who are not being given a chance for whatever reason, who have the natural ability to be great managers. Statistically I find it inconceivable that this is not the case.

But in the former group, I think on the whole those managers would have risen to the top regardless of the route they took as the quality was there.

I think that last point is right.

If the argument for appointing an inexperienced manager is "some great managers might never get the chance because of circumstances" then you could apply that argument to any manager in the football league and make a case for them to get the next big job.

By far the most sensible thing to do in appointing a manager to a job like this is to look at who is best qualified and who has a good track record.
 
My suggestion is that if Giggs is ever going to have the ability to take on the United job, having expereince at a lower level and at least showing signs he has the ability to do it is preferable, because as it stands his only qualifications seem to be that he's a club legend and popular with the fans.

I dont think Giggs should be our next manager but there is more to Giggs than you are making out here.
 
Unfortunately that isnt entirely true. There are so many factors that determine success that the odds are against any coach having significant success anywhere. If a great coach went to the wrong club at the wrong time it can end really badly.

It can, and does - but for the most part, the best managers have success at most of the clubs they manage. And even then, while it may end badly (like Van Gaal at Bayern) there are generally still positives to be taken from it.

The point I'm making is that while any appointment is a risk - that risk is minimised by appointing someone who has a good track record and who has done the job before. I'm not sure that's particularly controversial.

I think that is the route the club will, and should take. I also think the appointment of Van Gaal and the sacking of Moyes tells you what the club is all about - stability, safety and continued commercial success - not gambling on an unknown manager who may, or may not succeed.
 
I dont think Giggs should be our next manager but there is more to Giggs than you are making out here.

Says who?

I like the bloke and I like the fact that he's working as Assistant to Van Gaal. It shows he's keen to learn and hopefully, one day, he'll be good enough to take on the top job. But as it stands there is no evidence to suggest that he's going to be a top manager, that he can handle the pressure and deal with everything thrown at you in the United job.

The facts are that he's never managed a club side, never had to deal driectly with the press when things arent going well, never had to identify and bring in new players. One way to show that he may have what it takes is to go and manage another side and let everyone see what he's about, waht his tactical ideas are, how he deal;s with the pressure and how he manages his players.

The reality is I don'd know whether he'll be a top manager or whether he'll succeed in this job - and neither does anyone else.
 
@Walrus, I don't feel Monk and Giggs are comparable. Swansea would love to crack the top 6-7 but know realistically that mightn't happen. If the target for Monk and Swansea is to finish between 8th and 11th, and Swansea finish 12th, it's nowhere near the end of the world. No massive sponsorship deals will be in jeopardy, neither will the "brand" be under massive financial threat. At United, that's different. Minimum target is to finish top four. Fifth, and the consequences financially are there aka the Adidas deal for instance. Some players might want to move on etc.

I realise it is a stretched comparison, it was just another example of a manager who has been promoted from within a club, doing well despite a lack of experience and exceeding expectations.


@RedRover I agree with what some of the others here have said in response to your initial point. @ZupZup summed it up perfectly I think when he said that there could be dozens of managers out there who would have been the next Mourinho or Guardiola if they had been given a chance, but circumstances simply didnt give them that chance. There are only so many clubs and so many leagues, and only one club can win a league. I am of the opinion that if you stuck Mourinho or Guardiola in West Brom they wouldnt be pulling up trees - they are characters who have thrived at big clubs. Others probably exist who simply never had that opportunity to manage a big club. This isnt to say they deserved it, just that football management is not some linear progression of managing a league one club, then a championship one, then a PL one, then United (or similar) - that simply doesnt happen more than perhaps once a decade.

In regard to your latest comment that the only thing Giggs has going for him is that he is a club legend, I would invite you to go back and read my OP in this thread, since otherwise I will simply be repeating it. There are qualities and attributes that Giggs has, which are arguably unique to him due to the circumstances that he finds himself in (ie having been in the club his entire adult life, as a player and then as assistant manager).

The counter argument, that he should go elsewhere and earn his stripes, is an obvious one – but to me it's almost irrelevant. It's a completely different proposal. Giving him the break, and the job, would be based on the notion that his experiences at United, his familiarity with the whole set-up, the whole culture, carried over into the new job in direct continuity, if you will – constitute his de-facto qualification for the position.

This also sums up what I am trying to say pretty well.
 
I realise it is a stretched comparison, it was just another example of a manager who has been promoted from within a club, doing well despite a lack of experience and exceeding expectations.


@RedRover I agree with what some of the others here have said in response to your initial point. @ZupZup summed it up perfectly I think when he said that there could be dozens of managers out there who would have been the next Mourinho or Guardiola if they had been given a chance, but circumstances simply didnt give them that chance. There are only so many clubs and so many leagues, and only one club can win a league. I am of the opinion that if you stuck Mourinho or Guardiola in West Brom they wouldnt be pulling up trees - they are characters who have thrived at big clubs. Others probably exist who simply never had that opportunity to manage a big club. This isnt to say they deserved it, just that football management is not some linear progression of managing a league one club, then a championship one, then a PL one, then United (or similar) - that simply doesnt happen more than perhaps once a decade.

In regard to your latest comment that the only thing Giggs has going for him is that he is a club legend, I would invite you to go back and read my OP in this thread, since otherwise I will simply be repeating it. There are qualities and attributes that Giggs has, which are arguably unique to him due to the circumstances that he finds himself in (ie having been in the club his entire adult life, as a player and then as assistant manager).

As I said in response, the argument that "there are lots of people who could have been great managers if given the chance, and in the right circumstances" is an argument that can be used for potentially any manager in the game.

It might very well be true that the next Mourinho has been, and will continue to slog it away in League 2 and never get his chance, but the reality is that clubs often take the same approach that other big businesses do in appointing people to important roles. They try to find the best man for the job based on a lot of things - but a proven ability to do the job is a major factor in that.

You could extend that argument wherever you like. Perhaps instead of spending big money on a new striker we should have picked up a kid who's banging them in in non-league - because you never know - he might be the next Wayne Rooney if given a chance. The reality of football and life in general is that before you get any job you're evaluated to see if you can do it to the desired level.

Why is Giggs more deserving of a chance at manager than Paul Scholes (should he want to)? Or Gary Neville? What has he done - and I mean in terms of his ability as a manager - to deserve that chance over and above others? Where is the evidence that he will be a success?

Nobody would like an ex-United player - especially one I grew up watching to be a great success as a manager more than me. But the reality is that the clubs continued stability and success is the most important thing going forward, regardless of what fans think or want. Failure to continue to compete at the top could be disasterous for the club in the long term.

The attributes he has - mainly being his connection to the club, may stand him in good stead. But they are not, in my opinon, and as I've said above key to being a top manager. You need tactical nouse, ability to man manage, and a myriad of other things.

I also believe that since Fergie retired things have changed at the club and will continue to do so. The "brand United" element will wash away some of the history of how the club is run - for better or worse, the club will not be ran as it was under Fergie who conotrolled it all. Again as I said above - this link to the fans is important, but nowhere near as important as worldwide commercial success. The club Giggs joined was worlds away from what it is now, and likewise, the way football is going in 5 years it will be totally different again. On that basis, he'll not just need management skills but the maleability to understand where the club is heading off the pitch.

He may well have all of those things and be a great success. As it stands I don't believe the club would give him the job unless and until he had at least some track record of success.
 
One argument for Giggs as the next manager is that he might have learned precisely how not to do it under Moyes and Van Gaal.
 
"Stevie should come back and manage us, la"

It's very Liverpool this mindset of Giggs :D
Don't get me wrong, love the guy as a footballer and he is Manchester United more than anyone else but, why would anyone in their right mind give control of the world's biggest club, to an utter novice?!

If he's the next Mourinho, great! Go prove it first!
 
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