SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

Two things retrospectively the first definite case in Wuhan was on December 8th but chinese authorities believe that it wasn't the first case and that the virus was circulating in November. The second point, you can't prevent it and particularly when it's not particularly discernible from a serious case of flu with respiratory complications, the only way to notice it is when a large amount of people are diagnosed with pneumonia of unknown source which will take weeks if not months.
One thing I can't wrap my head around though how this thing didn't spread across China given that authorities have taken measures only mid January.
 
Highly suitable for the furloughed then, two and half k a month ain't bad.

Yes, that's the point backing up what you said, pay enough money then people will do the job. Its as always been the case, its not a big secret really although reading many of the posts on here you think it was.
In what might be described as 'normal times', since everybody from the farmer through to the retailer has to make a profit, the people who do the hard work are paid paltry sums, if they were paid reasonably then the consumer would have to pay more...and we can't have that can we?
Using furlough payments the tax payer is still footing the bill, are they not?
 
I'm going to go slightly against the majority opinion on this thread/ forum, where so many posts seem to be about how terribly the British government have done (generally agree) and how stupid/ spoilt/ insert negative adjective here the British public are.

I think the characterisations of British people in this regard is a bit unfair. Perhaps the rest of the UK is some huge rave but in London, the streets are pretty much empty for the most part outside of peak hours (even then, much less busy). I've just received an email from TFL saying underground and train journeys within London are down by 95% and bus journeys are down by 85% (even though it is now free).

Polls seem to show we're currently amongst the populations most eager to stay in lockdown.

Of course there will always be some idiots. And there will will always be exceptions to people following well, especially as our lockdown has been, to some extent, a light touch.

I'm just not seeing this flagrant and widespread disregard of the rules though I have to say.

None of the stats and opinion polls I've seen or even conversations I've had with people living in the UK seem to indicate an unusual disregard for the rules. As an outsider looking in it seems pretty clear that the government is the problem, not the people. But maybe I'd think differently if I was actually living there, who knows.

Though even if people in the UK did have a more lax attitude, that's something government influence too.
 
One thing I can't wrap my head around though how this thing didn't spread across China given that authorities have taken measures only mid January.

Well you probably noticed that there isn't a single country that has seen the virus spread everywhere uniformly, now there have been clusters in Shenhzen and I believe Guangzhou too among other places, they also have registered isolated cases across the country. But it is an interesting question why the virus hit some areas more than others?
 
Today gov. has published results from a country wide random population testing (mostly those who work in close proximity to other people; cashiers, shop assistants, etc.) hoping to find out the approximation for asymptomatic cases. So, 1 case out of 8k came back positive.
 
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Meanwhile in Little House on the Prairie:
Guardian said:
NASUWT, the teachers’ union, says that schools have been asking teachers to come into work during lockdown to decorate classrooms.
 
Obviously no one's going to really know the answer to this until the announcement on Sunday, but what do we think the likelihood of the average joe returning to their day job fairly soon will be?

Basically, it's fairly obvious that my employer is pushing to get people back into studio as soon as possible, despite us working fairly well from home, and it's quite stressful really.

My employer is openly discussing the possibility of no required return this year.
 
Just come back from a trip to the shopping mall. It was bizarre, the entire food court was open but the seating area closed off with tape so people were sitting on the stairs to eat. Can't wait until this nonsense ends next week and restaurants and pubs open properly. Also, the queue outside IKEA was funny.
 
I'm going to go slightly against the majority opinion on this thread/ forum, where so many posts seem to be about how terribly the British government have done (generally agree) and how stupid/ spoilt/ insert negative adjective here the British public are.

I think the characterisations of British people in this regard is a bit unfair. Perhaps the rest of the UK is some huge rave but in London, the streets are pretty much empty for the most part outside of peak hours (even then, much less busy). I've just received an email from TFL saying underground and train journeys within London are down by 95% and bus journeys are down by 85% (even though it is now free).

Polls seem to show we're currently amongst the populations most eager to stay in lockdown.

Of course there will always be some idiots. And there will will always be exceptions to people following well, especially as our lockdown has been, to some extent, a light touch.

I'm just not seeing this flagrant and widespread disregard of the rules though I have to say.

It's all relative I suppose. Obviously people are out much less than they were pre-lockdown, but they're out much more than countries in comparable situation. Some days people are going to the park just as much as they were pre-lockdown, while for France, Spain or Italy that would be absolutely absurd.

Etqgq3g.png
 
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I'm going to go slightly against the majority opinion on this thread/ forum, where so many posts seem to be about how terribly the British government have done (generally agree) and how stupid/ spoilt/ insert negative adjective here the British public are.

I think the characterisations of British people in this regard is a bit unfair. Perhaps the rest of the UK is some huge rave but in London, the streets are pretty much empty for the most part outside of peak hours (even then, much less busy). I've just received an email from TFL saying underground and train journeys within London are down by 95% and bus journeys are down by 85% (even though it is now free).

Polls seem to show we're currently amongst the populations most eager to stay in lockdown.

Of course there will always be some idiots. And there will will always be exceptions to people following well, especially as our lockdown has been, to some extent, a light touch.

I'm just not seeing this flagrant and widespread disregard of the rules though I have to say.

I agree entirely.

Folk are just interested in having a grammatically abhorrent whinge on Facebook to boost their sense of self-worth.
 
I'm going to go slightly against the majority opinion on this thread/ forum, where so many posts seem to be about how terribly the British government have done (generally agree) and how stupid/ spoilt/ insert negative adjective here the British public are.

I think the characterisations of British people in this regard is a bit unfair. Perhaps the rest of the UK is some huge rave but in London, the streets are pretty much empty for the most part outside of peak hours (even then, much less busy). I've just received an email from TFL saying underground and train journeys within London are down by 95% and bus journeys are down by 85% (even though it is now free).

Polls seem to show we're currently amongst the populations most eager to stay in lockdown.

Of course there will always be some idiots. And there will will always be exceptions to people following well, especially as our lockdown has been, to some extent, a light touch.

I'm just not seeing this flagrant and widespread disregard of the rules though I have to say.
Couldn't agree more. There's a huge desire for people to show their superiority, and to point out those who are being dimmer than they are, with pictures of busy parks etc. Undoubtedly true in some cases, but the vast majority of people in the UK have done extremely well in lockdown, and in many cases, at significant personal sacrifice.

The slowness of our government to react, and the fact that London is one of the world's major global cities (alongside the likes of Paris and New York) is why we're in this mess, not the behaviour of the general public.
 
What do you mean by this remark? The economy is important and if it fails, and businesses go bust, and jobs are lost, poor people will die.

I know it is important, very important but we shouldn't rush measures through because of our concern for the economy. If we do that we run the danger of a second massive spike in infections which will cause an even more damaging second lockdown which would likely be more severe and longer lasting. My view is keep this shut down now needs to be for longer and relaxed extremely cautiously to avoid things quickly getting out of control which will damage the economy in an even more severe way.
 
It's all relative I suppose. Obviously people are out much less than they were pre-lockdown, but they're out much more than countries in comparable situation. Some days people are going to the park just as much as they were pre-lockdown, while for France, Spain or Italy that would be absolutely absurd.

Etqgq3g.png
I also don't understand the fascination with parks. London is thankfully a very green city, with many excellent parks. That's been hugely beneficial in lockdown, allowing people to walk and exercise away from roads where you're more likely to have to brush past people. Many also live in flats or places without gardens, again meaning that parks are a great way to spend time outside in an open plan area.

Do you really believe that there has been a material spread in the virus from people walking or jogging past each other in parks? Maybe I'm wrong, but it doesn't seem the type of environment that would spread the virus.
 
I know it is important, very important but we shouldn't rush measures through because of our concern for the economy. If we do that we run the danger of a second massive spike in infections which will cause an even more damaging second lockdown which would likely be more severe and longer lasting. My view is keep this shut down now needs to be for longer and relaxed extremely cautiously to avoid things quickly getting out of control which will damage the economy in an even more severe way.

The press briefings don’t indicate a rush, to be frank. The issue we have here is that the government chooses to use the Daily Telegraph to assert its views, instead of doing it through parliament. It creates hysteria, some of which we can see online right now.

If businesses can open and do so safely then that is a good thing. It will save lives, to quote a phrase.

Extended lockdowns are the rich man’s problem (paradise?). If, come Monday, people still want to stay inside their four bed semis all day then I guess they’re welcome to do so.
 
It's all relative I suppose. Obviously people are out much less than they were pre-lockdown, but they're out much more than countries in comparable situation. Some days people are going to the park just as much as they were pre-lockdown, while for France, Spain or Italy that would be absolutely absurd.

Etqgq3g.png

It is hardly surprising that people are still going out to the park, considering that you were never explicitly banned as long as you were socially distancing within the park itself. And if I'm reading that correctly, visits from European flag bearers Germany were actually up to the parks?

My question from that graph would actually be why in Italy and Spain, where you weren't allowed out at all except for the most urgent of causes, the drop was not essentially 100%? Who are these 1/4 of people who are still going to the park in Italy when you need a slip to explain why you're out of the house at all?

My point is not to compare the individual lockdowns and their effectiveness (or governmental responses) but to comment against the intellectual superiority some seem to feel over the Brits/ other Brits, in their eagerness to prove how great they are in comparison.

I'm reading this thread and seeing so many people complain and insult Brits/ other Brits and I go out and about on my way to work or to go shopping and see a completely different picture to what is being portrayed on here.
 
Laura K: 'Boris Johnson to give speech on plans to ease lockdown at 7pm on Sunday'

Hell, who needs Parliament, eh? :rolleyes:
 
I also don't understand the fascination with parks. London is thankfully a very green city, with many excellent parks. That's been hugely beneficial in lockdown, allowing people to walk and exercise away from roads where you're more likely to have to brush past people. Many also live in flats or places without gardens, again meaning that parks are a great way to spend time outside in an open plan area.

Do you really believe that there has been a material spread in the virus from people walking or jogging past each other in parks? Maybe I'm wrong, but it doesn't seem the type of environment that would spread the virus.

Exactly this. My girlfriend and I went for a walk yesterday evening and sat down on what is normally a golf course for half hour. We don’t have any form of garden or balcony and there was no one within 100 yards of us. We also only needed 5 minutes to walk there.

Most of the people moaning are probably furloughed with gardens. Sorry I wanted to go into the day light after 8 hours of staring at a computer screen. I wouldn’t sit on benches or anything like that at the moment, due to the risk of it staying on the surface, but grass in a massive field. Not really seeing the problem.
 
I agree entirely.

Folk are just interested in having a grammatically abhorrent whinge on Facebook to boost their sense of self-worth.


Couldn't agree more. There's a huge desire for people to show their superiority, and to point out those who are being dimmer than they are, with pictures of busy parks etc. Undoubtedly true in some cases, but the vast majority of people in the UK have done extremely well in lockdown, and in many cases, at significant personal sacrifice.

The slowness of our government to react, and the fact that London is one of the world's major global cities (alongside the likes of Paris and New York) is why we're in this mess, not the behaviour of the general public.


Yep I agree totally. I think it is in large part some weird drive for people to prove they're better than others. Why exactly? If you're following guidance, great. The evidence seems to show that for the most part, so are most others. If you have a bone to pick, it would be with whether the lockdown should be even more strict but that is a governmental decision.

London and our shitty government are the reasons we're in this mess as you say, not some inherent flaw of the British public as some always seem to want to portray.
 
I know it is important, very important but we shouldn't rush measures through because of our concern for the economy. If we do that we run the danger of a second massive spike in infections which will cause an even more damaging second lockdown which would likely be more severe and longer lasting. My view is keep this shut down now needs to be for longer and relaxed extremely cautiously to avoid things quickly getting out of control which will damage the economy in an even more severe way.

No matter what you do a second wave is inevitable, unless you literally shut down the economy for two years.

Dr Michael Osterholm was asked by a commentator, what we do to prevent a second wave? He almost burst out laughing condescendingly. "There is nothing you can do. A second wave is a certainty."
 
Yep I agree totally. I think it is in large part some weird drive for people to prove they're better than others. Why exactly? If you're following guidance, great. The evidence seems to show that for the most part, so are most others. If you have a bone to pick, it would be with whether the lockdown should be even more strict but that is a governmental decision.

London and our shitty government are the reasons we're in this mess as you say, not some inherent flaw of the British public as some always seem to want to portray.
Agree with you overall but the public did on mass voted for this lot.
 
No matter what you do a second wave is inevitable, unless you literally shut down the economy for two years.

Dr Michael Osterholm was asked by a commentator, what we do to prevent a second wave? He almost burst out laughing condescendingly. "There is nothing you can do. A second wave is a certainty."

You may not be able to prevent it but you can reduce it's impact.
 
The fair-minded approach would be to allow debate on this matter in Parliament. Or at least, scrutiny.

This hasn't happened here in Germany either. The Chancellor discusses all measures with relevant ministers from the cabinet and the Minister Presidents from the states and then announces the results to the public in a press conference.
 
Yes, that's the point backing up what you said, pay enough money then people will do the job. Its as always been the case, its not a big secret really although reading many of the posts on here you think it was.
In what might be described as 'normal times', since everybody from the farmer through to the retailer has to make a profit, the people who do the hard work are paid paltry sums, if they were paid reasonably then the consumer would have to pay more...and we can't have that can we?
Using furlough payments the tax payer is still footing the bill, are they not?
I owe you an apology Matic. I think most people know it's supply and demand, if you need more workers you have to pay them more. What I was actually trying to do was draw in someone sat on home doing nothing for £2.5k to see what they had to say about the idea, but I got you instead. Childish of me really, hence the apology. To clear up, yes, if the workers have better conditions, realistic targets and better pay then there won't be a shortage, couldn't agree more.
 
Yep I agree totally. I think it is in large part some weird drive for people to prove they're better than others. Why exactly? If you're following guidance, great. The evidence seems to show that for the most part, so are most others. If you have a bone to pick, it would be with whether the lockdown should be even more strict but that is a governmental decision.

London and our shitty government are the reasons we're in this mess as you say, not some inherent flaw of the British public as some always seem to want to portray.

I think you’re being a little harsh about the moral superiority motivation. I think it’s a combination of a sense of injustice or unfairness (“I’m sticking to the rules, so why aren’t they?”) along with a genuine concern about the virus getting out of hand if taking the piss becomes more widespread.

I can’t really comment on any inherent flaw of the British public but people taking the piss seems to be happening in lots of different countries, not just the UK. Our PM talked about “anticipatory behaviour”, referencing the way many pubs and restaurants in Ireland closed their doors before they were told to, because they knew closure was inevitable. The same behaviour on the way out of lockdown could be absolutely disastrous.
 
Why would he need the parliament for that?

He wouldn't, parliament would just add people who know nothing on the subject around the table and those people have an interest to score political points where no one should.
 
My question from that graph would actually be why in Italy and Spain, where you weren't allowed out at all except for the most urgent of causes, the drop was not essentially 100%? Who are these 1/4 of people who are still going to the park in Italy when you need a slip to explain why you're out of the house at all?
I don't know how anyone in Italy visited parks, because they've been physically closed with barriers. You'd have to be making a determined effort to get in.
 
I think you’re being a little harsh about the moral superiority motivation. I think it’s a combination of a sense of injustice or unfairness (“I’m sticking to the rules, so why aren’t they?”) along with a genuine concern about the virus getting out of hand if taking the piss becomes more widespread.

I can’t really comment on any inherent flaw of the British public but people taking the piss seems to be happening in lots of different countries, not just the UK. Our PM talked about “anticipatory behaviour”, referencing the way many pubs and restaurants in Ireland closed their doors before they were told to, because they knew closure was inevitable. The same behaviour on the way out of lockdown could be absolutely disastrous.
Could you not also read that example in the opposite way?

That people have, on average, been overly cautious rather than less. A pub that was about to lose an unprecedented amount of money closing before it was told to, sounds like a fantastic example of acting for the benefit of society, rather than personal greed.

From a quick Google, I can't find corroborating evidence of this, but Stephen Bush on the New Statesman podcast has repeatedly said that the government have been surprised by the number of businesses that have temporarily closed down. They expected more restaurants to operate as takeaways, more businesses to continue operating with a skeleton crew, and generally, far fewer people to access the furlough scheme than have done so. I think the general tone of indignation at the public is highly unfair, and doesn't reflect how 95%+ of people have behaved over the last two months.
 
London is about 20% of the cases in just England. North West is 21k cases, London 25k, seems to tie in equally with the population numbers of each area and goes against the tube and London being a dense area etc.

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Apparently more than 80 % percent of Slovenia's casualties came from care homes. .
 
Could you not also read that example in the opposite way?

That people have, on average, been overly cautious rather than less. A pub that was about to lose an unprecedented amount of money closing before it was told to, sounds like a fantastic example of acting for the benefit of society, rather than personal greed.

From a quick Google, I can't find corroborating evidence of this, but Stephen Bush on the New Statesman podcast has repeatedly said that the government have been surprised by the number of businesses that have temporarily closed down. They expected more restaurants to operate as takeaways, more businesses to continue operating with a skeleton crew, and generally, far fewer people to access the furlough scheme than have done so. I think the general tone of indignation at the public is highly unfair, and doesn't reflect how 95%+ of people have behaved over the last two months.

That’s a fair point. People more likely to err on the side of caution. I hope you’re right. As is usually the way on social media, it’s the outliers getting all the attention. Which distorts the reality of what most people are like.
 
I think you’re being a little harsh about the moral superiority motivation. I think it’s a combination of a sense of injustice or unfairness (“I’m sticking to the rules, so why aren’t they?”) along with a genuine concern about the virus getting out of hand if taking the piss becomes more widespread.

I can’t really comment on any inherent flaw of the British public but people taking the piss seems to be happening in lots of different countries, not just the UK. Our PM talked about “anticipatory behaviour”, referencing the way many pubs and restaurants in Ireland closed their doors before they were told to, because they knew closure was inevitable. The same behaviour on the way out of lockdown could be absolutely disastrous.

I don’t think he is. It’s beyond tedious at this point. I can’t wait for tonight to see which of my neighbours can beep their horn the loudest, or put the biggest dent in their soup bowl.

There will be people who have identified inappropriate behaviour and dealt with as per the guidance. All power to them. But we live in a world in which doing the right thing doesn’t appear to have much merit, unless it is accompanied with high doses of self-gratification and widespread adulation.

The UK populace has more than done its bit, which is particularly impressive given that our leaders are woefully incompetent and our top scientific advisor is, to quote another phrase, hanging out the back of it.
 
London is about 20% of the cases in just England. North West is 21k cases, London 25k, seems to tie in equally with the population numbers of each area and goes against the tube and London being a dense area etc.

confirmed cases. doesn't include number who were asymptomatic or self-isolated without getting formally tested
 
I think you’re being a little harsh about the moral superiority motivation. I think it’s a combination of a sense of injustice or unfairness (“I’m sticking to the rules, so why aren’t they?”) along with a genuine concern about the virus getting out of hand if taking the piss becomes more widespread.

I can’t really comment on any inherent flaw of the British public but people taking the piss seems to be happening in lots of different countries, not just the UK. Our PM talked about “anticipatory behaviour”, referencing the way many pubs and restaurants in Ireland closed their doors before they were told to, because they knew closure was inevitable. The same behaviour on the way out of lockdown could be absolutely disastrous.

I appreciate that but a lot of it seems to be complaining about something that, at least as far as I can see, is mostly non existent.

Reading this thread, I essentially get the impression that The Brits are roaming around, doing whatever the hell they please (and I guess the Irish to some extent too). I appreciate that this is partly simply because of the fact most posters come from those 2 countries.

But it doesn't really tally with what I personally am seeing. Or the statistics seemingly. 5% of normal underground journeys undertaken. In a global city of 9 million! When our lockdown has been far more lightly policed than most.

There's some genuine ire but I think directing it at normal people as a whole (and, imo, it often takes on a bit of a class undertone too) is not right.

As I said though, I'm just going by what's happening in London, I haven't been outside since this all started. For all I know, Manchester/ Leeds/ North Wales etc etc may be very different.