SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

If the 18 + month estimation is correct than it does not make that much of a difference as we will develop herd immunity by then.

Anyone believing people en masse will stay locked down for a year plus is deluded.

We won't develop herd immunity in 18 months unless we open up completely and allow thousands to die.
 
Aren’t there reports of people in Singapore who’ve recovered and got it again, as there’s more than 1 strain out there?
Apparently not everyone is immune but I imagine there's some immunity. If there's not strong immunity and we can't develop vaccine, we will have to figure something else out. I don't think it will be that bad though.
 
All this talk about how people my age having it good/bad and I'm sitting here with two degrees but still renting, good local government private pension but shite British pension, Hagen daas ice cream in the freezer but no butter in the fridge. Meanwhile my parents have their own homes paid off and strong pensions but ill health and bugger all to do to pass the time.

And while all this is going on some billionaires are rubbing their hands together and whispering "good...good....hate each other...." as they steal anything that isn't nailed down. Like all the fecking Freddos :mad:

Let's just all agree that everyone will be affected by this for the worse except a small few and unless we all come together and put our differences aside there will be no more Freddos left for me us.
 
AFAIK there's no real indication that there's no immunity, so far. Most cases that tested positive again after recovery are suspected to be because of the test's unreliability rather than an actual reinfection. There's not enough information to make any meaningful conclusions of course, as is the case with most things related to this pandemic.
 
2972 new infections in Italy, the lowest number in weeks!

602 deaths unfortunately which is an increase on yesterday.
 
No one is going to be a tourist in Italy this year, wasting their money. They’d be better making plexi glass protection for taxi drivers or something like that. Plus, wouldn’t those things be like giant heat conductors?
Domestic tourism will be much bigger this year. I don't know what kind of restrictions will be in place this summer but I think more people will go on holiday within their own country. I know people are gagging to go out all over Europe and a trip to the beach or wherever will be much sought after.
 
UK Update now, I feel Rishi Sunak is the only person who will give answers properly and ones we can believe
 
Question for the doctors - we’ve been quarantining in the house for 5 weeks now but using our back garden which is made private with high fences all around. Apart from receiving deliveries to our doorstep we haven’t had any contact from anyone else.

May wife, the kids and i all seem to be getting a common cold; sniffles, sneezing, itchy throats and occasional cough.

how is it possible considering we haven’t been near anyone?
 
Question for the doctors - we’ve been quarantining in the house for 5 weeks now but using our back garden which is made private with high fences all around. Apart from receiving deliveries to our doorstep we haven’t had any contact from anyone else.

May wife, the kids and i all seem to be getting a common cold; sniffles, sneezing, itchy throats and occasional cough.

how is it possible considering we haven’t been near anyone?

Hayfever? I'm no doctor btw. Mine has started to flare up last week.
 
Question for the doctors - we’ve been quarantining in the house for 5 weeks now but using our back garden which is made private with high fences all around. Apart from receiving deliveries to our doorstep we haven’t had any contact from anyone else.

May wife, the kids and i all seem to be getting a common cold; sniffles, sneezing, itchy throats and occasional cough.

how is it possible considering we haven’t been near anyone?

Common cold.
 
Question for the doctors - we’ve been quarantining in the house for 5 weeks now but using our back garden which is made private with high fences all around. Apart from receiving deliveries to our doorstep we haven’t had any contact from anyone else.

May wife, the kids and i all seem to be getting a common cold; sniffles, sneezing, itchy throats and occasional cough.

how is it possible considering we haven’t been near anyone?
We've got similar and for us it is pollen I am sure it's been really high the last 5 days or so. *Disclaimer* I am not a doctor by any means this is just one possibility.
 
Have you ever looked into that specifically? I ask that because it seems so many people take for granted that recessions cost lives (myself included, until very recently) whereas it seems the issue is a lot more complex than that. It's certainly true for very poor countries where famine is already an issue, but when it comes to wealthier countries the issue becomes a lot complex. For a bit on this (what actually made me question that hypothesis) there's this study and others. Food for thought.

Life and death during the Great Depression

https://www.pnas.org/content/106/41/17290

Abstract

Recent events highlight the importance of examining the impact of economic downturns on population health. The Great Depression of the 1930s was the most important economic downturn in the U.S. in the twentieth century. We used historical life expectancy and mortality data to examine associations of economic growth with population health for the period 1920–1940. We conducted descriptive analyses of trends and examined associations between annual changes in health indicators and annual changes in economic activity using correlations and regression models. Population health did not decline and indeed generally improved during the 4 years of the Great Depression, 1930–1933, with mortality decreasing for almost all ages, and life expectancy increasing by several years in males, females, whites, and nonwhites. For most age groups, mortality tended to peak during years of strong economic expansion (such as 1923, 1926, 1929, and 1936–1937). In contrast, the recessions of 1921, 1930–1933, and 1938 coincided with declines in mortality and gains in life expectancy. The only exception was suicide mortality which increased during the Great Depression, but accounted for less than 2% of deaths. Correlation and regression analyses confirmed a significant negative effect of economic expansions on health gains. The evolution of population health during the years 1920–1940 confirms the counterintuitive hypothesis that, as in other historical periods and market economies, population health tends to evolve better during recessions than in expansions.

Interesting link, thanks. I always suspected reality was going to be way more complicated than loads of people suddenly dropping dead from poverty as soon as a country enters lockdown.

Another factor which gets overlooked in the economy vs lockdown debate is the cost to the economy (mortality and morbidity of key employees etc) of letting the virus do its thing.
 
Question for the doctors - we’ve been quarantining in the house for 5 weeks now but using our back garden which is made private with high fences all around. Apart from receiving deliveries to our doorstep we haven’t had any contact from anyone else.

May wife, the kids and i all seem to be getting a common cold; sniffles, sneezing, itchy throats and occasional cough.

how is it possible considering we haven’t been near anyone?
I sense affluence and like-mindedness.
 
Question for the doctors - we’ve been quarantining in the house for 5 weeks now but using our back garden which is made private with high fences all around. Apart from receiving deliveries to our doorstep we haven’t had any contact from anyone else.

May wife, the kids and i all seem to be getting a common cold; sniffles, sneezing, itchy throats and occasional cough.

how is it possible considering we haven’t been near anyone?

I would second the hayfever theory.
 
I would second the hayfever theory.
Wife doesn’t get hay fever, or the kids. At least they don’t traditionally. I do every year and my eyes water and sting but that’s not the case. It feels more like a common cold. I can feel my throat itching and getting sore. If it’s a cold, how is that possible if we aren’t meeting anyone else?

unless someone sneezed on my shopping deliveries but we’ve been Uber careful as I am on the ‘vulnerable’ list
 
Sunak is on another planet compared to Boris, Raab, Hancock, Gove & Patel. I bet the Tories can’t believe they’ve got him. Answers the exact questions answered, knows his stuff, is honest or at least appears it. I’d have him in the hot seat immediately if I had a say!
 
2972 new infections in Italy, the lowest number in weeks!

602 deaths unfortunately which is an increase on yesterday.

It's good news but taken with a pinch of salt, tests yesterday were at their lowest level in weeks. We have capacity for double the amount but for whatever reason people were not requesting them. It was Easter, or maybe the cases really are not there.

ICU utilization also reduced by 75 which is another very positive figure. We are getting ever close to reducing the absolute number of active cases. Only 600 short today.
 
Question for the doctors - we’ve been quarantining in the house for 5 weeks now but using our back garden which is made private with high fences all around. Apart from receiving deliveries to our doorstep we haven’t had any contact from anyone else.

May wife, the kids and i all seem to be getting a common cold; sniffles, sneezing, itchy throats and occasional cough.

how is it possible considering we haven’t been near anyone?

Lots of winter colds can be from being cooped up in the house too long and being exposed to consistently high levels of dust (even with regular cleaning). You may be experiencing the same due to being in the house so much.

As the weather warms we also open our windows more and accumulated dust can blow inside. This has been my experience anyway. I have a strong dust allergy but an ENT I saw once said almost everyone is allergic to dust on some level.
 
Sunak is on another planet compared to Boris, Raab, Hancock, Gove & Patel. I bet the Tories can’t believe they’ve got him. Answers the exact questions answered, knows his stuff, is honest or at least appears it. I’d have him in the hot seat immediately if I had a say!

Agree with this entirely! He speaks very very and doesn't appear to swerve questions anywhere near how the others do! Would expect him to win a huge majority in a leadership race.
 
Wife doesn’t get hay fever, or the kids. At least they don’t traditionally. I do every year and my eyes water and sting but that’s not the case. It feels more like a common cold. I can feel my throat itching and getting sore. If it’s a cold, how is that possible if we aren’t meeting anyone else?

unless someone sneezed on my shopping deliveries but we’ve been Uber careful as I am on the ‘vulnerable’ list

If you get hayfever then you’ll know whether that’s causing your symptoms or if you’re starting to get a cold. If the latter, sounds like you’ve been incredibly unlucky.
 
Wife doesn’t get hay fever, or the kids. At least they don’t traditionally. I do every year and my eyes water and sting but that’s not the case. It feels more like a common cold. I can feel my throat itching and getting sore. If it’s a cold, how is that possible if we aren’t meeting anyone else?

unless someone sneezed on my shopping deliveries but we’ve been Uber careful as I am on the ‘vulnerable’ list

Have you tried antihistamines? It's the easiest way to rule it out. If you're still experiencing the symptoms then you can rule out any allergies.
 
Wife doesn’t get hay fever, or the kids. At least they don’t traditionally. I do every year and my eyes water and sting but that’s not the case. It feels more like a common cold. I can feel my throat itching and getting sore. If it’s a cold, how is that possible if we aren’t meeting anyone else?

unless someone sneezed on my shopping deliveries but we’ve been Uber careful as I am on the ‘vulnerable’ list
What does being careful involve? I've been trying to avoid loose items in my orders and then (when possible) washing the packages/items with soap. I can still imagine some contamination slipping through.
 
As the weather warms we also open our windows more and accumulated dust can blow inside.

I'm lucky, I don't really have that problem.

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I think that OBR report is going to make it practically impossible for the government to avoid publishing some sort of exit plan by the end of this week.
 
It doesn’t actually even make sense, I do wonder if it’s a case of now people in here just don’t like Regulus’ ’ways’ which I sort of get because he did become massively annoying in the Ole threads come to think of it.

But yeah if it’s not that then I’m confused as to why Sweden are supposedly getting it so wrong? .. based on the timeline of the general thread consensus and logical thinking.

- everyone was in agreement that the lockdown cannot last longer than a few months and that after full lockdown we needed to have measured social distancing.

Isn’t this exactly what Sweden are already doing? They’ve just skipped the full lockdown. Maybe they’ll do it later who knows? It’s not as if they’re in Belarus mode and casually acting as if nothing is happening.

- everyone said the full lockdown was to prevent health services being overrun and to get more testing measures/equipment .
Sweden’s is currently not being over run.

I struggle to see the point in comparing their current death numbers to nearby countries in full lockdown unless it gets completely ridiculous (Italy). At some point these countries will stop the lockdown and go into Sweden’s current partial lockdown and when that happens more people are unfortunately going to die than when these countries were in full lockdown. Correct?

The UK had to go into full immediate lockdown because our services would have been bent over if we didn’t. The countries are not even comparable when you consider our capital has about eight times as many millions in it as Sweden’s. Were a lot higher risk, not only because of the many more people but were a much more unhealthier nation.

There’s been a lot of talk that the lockdowns will be partially on and off for the foreseeable future. If that is the case why is it so imperative Sweden do it now? Why does everyone’s timeline have to be the same?

Yeah the Sweden debate has basically taken over the thread. It’s got to the point where it doesn’t even seem as if the debate is for the right reasons and the arguments are not even making sense or they’re moving goalposts and that’s from both sides.
This is a good post with good points.
 
We won't develop herd immunity in 18 months unless we open up completely and allow thousands to die.

We will if restrictions are dropped by then. Remember the initial English model? No restrictions means much shorter timespan and a much much higher peak
 
UK Update now, I feel Rishi Sunak is the only person who will give answers properly and ones we can believe

He'll learn.
Probably when he has to find this 50 billion pounds for the furloughers!
 
We will if restrictions are dropped by then. Remember the initial English model? No restrictions means much shorter timespan and a much much higher peak
Yeah that was an absolutely disgusting policy though.

“Loads of people are going to die but let’s keep the economy bumping along”.
 
Domestic tourism will be much bigger this year. I don't know what kind of restrictions will be in place this summer but I think more people will go on holiday within their own country. I know people are gagging to go out all over Europe and a trip to the beach or wherever will be much sought after.

I'm already looking at places i can drive to this summer, despite having long vowed never to take my own car on any road south of Bologna. Everybody will just stay within their own shores and it could end up being quite a good summer for some businesses. People will be desperate to go anywhere they can.
 
How many new infections are happening in the UK?
 
Sunak is on another planet compared to Boris, Raab, Hancock, Gove & Patel. I bet the Tories can’t believe they’ve got him. Answers the exact questions answered, knows his stuff, is honest or at least appears it. I’d have him in the hot seat immediately if I had a say!

Agreed he's very very good
 
Sunak is on another planet compared to Boris, Raab, Hancock, Gove & Patel. I bet the Tories can’t believe they’ve got him. Answers the exact questions answered, knows his stuff, is honest or at least appears it. I’d have him in the hot seat immediately if I had a say!
He has a way of phrasing things so he seems both honest and reasonable, reminds me of Blair in that respect.
 
Heh, it's going to feck us up for a while, but it's probably the lesser of two evils here.

It's a superb scheme. I can't even imagine the carnage otherwise.

Businesses can expect a big increase on their tax for the foreseeable, but can't complain when some have been saved millions in wages and redundancies.