SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)



Am I missing something? I think this goes beyond incompetence, this is malice.
 
Not really a surprise that deaths are not capturing everyone. Unless everyone is tested post death, a lot will be missed. And then there will be a decent amount of additional deaths as a result of Covid-19 taking up resources that would have otherwise been able to save people normally. I highly doubt those deaths will ever be classified as a result of the virus.

Realistically the only true indication of the actual death toll will be from comparing number of deaths between the year before with this years. That should at least show a trend and spike.
 
I’m positive for Covid19 as of yesterday. I’ve been dealing with so many patients recently that any one of them may have given it to me. I’ve worn a (surgical) mask every single time I saw a patient, wore gloves, asked them to look the opposite direction while I take bloods from their arm.

I’m feeling pretty damn rough. The headache is nauseating and constant. The dry cough has become more frequent. I’ve bought a pulse oximetry device that should arrive today as that’s the best indicator of when you’re starting to go downhill.

Our hospital was about to abolish “specialities” from next week too. Everyone becomes a Covid doctor and assigned a random ward every week.
There was a meeting on Tuesday that I missed that said that the hospital are expecting 150 to a 1000 Covid patients to be admitted within the next month or so. Shits getting real in Wales (although the Newport area seems to be the worst hit in the UK going by “per capita” or something like that).
 
I’m positive for Covid19 as of yesterday. I’ve been dealing with so many patients recently that any one of them may have given it to me. I’ve worn a (surgical) mask every single time I saw a patient, wore gloves, asked them to look the opposite direction while I take bloods from their arm.

I’m feeling pretty damn rough. The headache is nauseating and constant. The dry cough has become more frequent. I’ve bought a pulse oximetry device that should arrive today as that’s the best indicator of when you’re starting to go downhill.

Our hospital was about to abolish “specialities” from next week too. Everyone becomes a Covid doctor and assigned a random ward every week.
There was a meeting on Tuesday that I missed that said that the hospital are expecting 150 to a 1000 Covid patients to be admitted within the next month or so. Shits getting real in Wales (although the Newport area seems to be the worst hit in the UK going by “per capita” or something like that).

Take care. Hope you get well soon.
 
I’m positive for Covid19 as of yesterday. I’ve been dealing with so many patients recently that any one of them may have given it to me. I’ve worn a (surgical) mask every single time I saw a patient, wore gloves, asked them to look the opposite direction while I take bloods from their arm.

I’m feeling pretty damn rough. The headache is nauseating and constant. The dry cough has become more frequent. I’ve bought a pulse oximetry device that should arrive today as that’s the best indicator of when you’re starting to go downhill.

Our hospital was about to abolish “specialities” from next week too. Everyone becomes a Covid doctor and assigned a random ward every week.
There was a meeting on Tuesday that I missed that said that the hospital are expecting 150 to a 1000 Covid patients to be admitted within the next month or so. Shits getting real in Wales (although the Newport area seems to be the worst hit in the UK going by “per capita” or something like that).

Stay rested and healthy mate, you and your colleagues are fecking heroes and I hope that will never again be forgotten.

If you don't mind me asking, was this the first time you were tested or has there been a semi-regular testing programme for HCP exhibiting symptoms in your hospital?
 
I really wish the Financial Times would stop calling that graph just a "log" graph. It is actually "semi-log" graph, which means only one of the axes is logarithmic. This is significant because if both axes were logarithmic, i.e. "log-log" scales, a straight line would actually represent a power-law relationship i.e. f(x) = ax^b + c where a,b,c are constants as opposed to an exponential function which is described as f(x) = a^x + b where a and b are constants.

I was just saying the same to the missus ;)

You are totally correct - just joking to lighten my stressful day
 
I’m positive for Covid19 as of yesterday. I’ve been dealing with so many patients recently that any one of them may have given it to me. I’ve worn a (surgical) mask every single time I saw a patient, wore gloves, asked them to look the opposite direction while I take bloods from their arm.

I’m feeling pretty damn rough. The headache is nauseating and constant. The dry cough has become more frequent. I’ve bought a pulse oximetry device that should arrive today as that’s the best indicator of when you’re starting to go downhill.

Our hospital was about to abolish “specialities” from next week too. Everyone becomes a Covid doctor and assigned a random ward every week.
There was a meeting on Tuesday that I missed that said that the hospital are expecting 150 to a 1000 Covid patients to be admitted within the next month or so. Shits getting real in Wales (although the Newport area seems to be the worst hit in the UK going by “per capita” or something like that).

:(

Try to look after yourself mate
 
I’m positive for Covid19 as of yesterday. I’ve been dealing with so many patients recently that any one of them may have given it to me. I’ve worn a (surgical) mask every single time I saw a patient, wore gloves, asked them to look the opposite direction while I take bloods from their arm.

I’m feeling pretty damn rough. The headache is nauseating and constant. The dry cough has become more frequent. I’ve bought a pulse oximetry device that should arrive today as that’s the best indicator of when you’re starting to go downhill.

Our hospital was about to abolish “specialities” from next week too. Everyone becomes a Covid doctor and assigned a random ward every week.
There was a meeting on Tuesday that I missed that said that the hospital are expecting 150 to a 1000 Covid patients to be admitted within the next month or so. Shits getting real in Wales (although the Newport area seems to be the worst hit in the UK going by “per capita” or something like that).
.

Best wishes of recovery. It's unfair that the people who work in the medical field are also the ones who are very exposed to contamination
 
I’m positive for Covid19 as of yesterday. I’ve been dealing with so many patients recently that any one of them may have given it to me. I’ve worn a (surgical) mask every single time I saw a patient, wore gloves, asked them to look the opposite direction while I take bloods from their arm.

I’m feeling pretty damn rough. The headache is nauseating and constant. The dry cough has become more frequent. I’ve bought a pulse oximetry device that should arrive today as that’s the best indicator of when you’re starting to go downhill.

Our hospital was about to abolish “specialities” from next week too. Everyone becomes a Covid doctor and assigned a random ward every week.
There was a meeting on Tuesday that I missed that said that the hospital are expecting 150 to a 1000 Covid patients to be admitted within the next month or so. Shits getting real in Wales (although the Newport area seems to be the worst hit in the UK going by “per capita” or something like that).

Unfortunately surgical masks offer little to no protection against the inhalation of droplets produced from sneezing/coughing by infected patients.
 
I’m positive for Covid19 as of yesterday. I’ve been dealing with so many patients recently that any one of them may have given it to me. I’ve worn a (surgical) mask every single time I saw a patient, wore gloves, asked them to look the opposite direction while I take bloods from their arm.

I’m feeling pretty damn rough. The headache is nauseating and constant. The dry cough has become more frequent. I’ve bought a pulse oximetry device that should arrive today as that’s the best indicator of when you’re starting to go downhill.

Our hospital was about to abolish “specialities” from next week too. Everyone becomes a Covid doctor and assigned a random ward every week.
There was a meeting on Tuesday that I missed that said that the hospital are expecting 150 to a 1000 Covid patients to be admitted within the next month or so. Shits getting real in Wales (although the Newport area seems to be the worst hit in the UK going by “per capita” or something like that).
Shoot, that sounds pretty serious. Really hoping for your full recovery.
 
I’m positive for Covid19 as of yesterday. I’ve been dealing with so many patients recently that any one of them may have given it to me. I’ve worn a (surgical) mask every single time I saw a patient, wore gloves, asked them to look the opposite direction while I take bloods from their arm.

I’m feeling pretty damn rough. The headache is nauseating and constant. The dry cough has become more frequent. I’ve bought a pulse oximetry device that should arrive today as that’s the best indicator of when you’re starting to go downhill.

Our hospital was about to abolish “specialities” from next week too. Everyone becomes a Covid doctor and assigned a random ward every week.
There was a meeting on Tuesday that I missed that said that the hospital are expecting 150 to a 1000 Covid patients to be admitted within the next month or so. Shits getting real in Wales (although the Newport area seems to be the worst hit in the UK going by “per capita” or something like that).

Get well soon
 
Appreciate the kind words guys. I’m calm about it, just need to be sensible and realise the stage when I may need to escalate things. Majority of people won’t need hospital admission so hopeful I fall in that category :wenger:

Stay rested and healthy mate, you and your colleagues are fecking heroes and I hope that will never again be forgotten.

If you don't mind me asking, was this the first time you were tested or has there been a semi-regular testing programme for HCP exhibiting symptoms in your hospital?

Yeah first time I’ve been tested. To be fair, they were pretty quick about the whole thing. I rang my “line manager” saying I had fever, a dry cough and a sore throat and within a few hours I had a call from Occupational Health saying that I had a test the next day.
 
I’m positive for Covid19 as of yesterday. I’ve been dealing with so many patients recently that any one of them may have given it to me. I’ve worn a (surgical) mask every single time I saw a patient, wore gloves, asked them to look the opposite direction while I take bloods from their arm.

I’m feeling pretty damn rough. The headache is nauseating and constant. The dry cough has become more frequent. I’ve bought a pulse oximetry device that should arrive today as that’s the best indicator of when you’re starting to go downhill.

Our hospital was about to abolish “specialities” from next week too. Everyone becomes a Covid doctor and assigned a random ward every week.
There was a meeting on Tuesday that I missed that said that the hospital are expecting 150 to a 1000 Covid patients to be admitted within the next month or so. Shits getting real in Wales (although the Newport area seems to be the worst hit in the UK going by “per capita” or something like that).

You're a hero. Get well soon!
 
I’m positive for Covid19 as of yesterday. I’ve been dealing with so many patients recently that any one of them may have given it to me. I’ve worn a (surgical) mask every single time I saw a patient, wore gloves, asked them to look the opposite direction while I take bloods from their arm.

I’m feeling pretty damn rough. The headache is nauseating and constant. The dry cough has become more frequent. I’ve bought a pulse oximetry device that should arrive today as that’s the best indicator of when you’re starting to go downhill.

Our hospital was about to abolish “specialities” from next week too. Everyone becomes a Covid doctor and assigned a random ward every week.
There was a meeting on Tuesday that I missed that said that the hospital are expecting 150 to a 1000 Covid patients to be admitted within the next month or so. Shits getting real in Wales (although the Newport area seems to be the worst hit in the UK going by “per capita” or something like that).

Get well soon.
 
I’m positive for Covid19 as of yesterday. I’ve been dealing with so many patients recently that any one of them may have given it to me. I’ve worn a (surgical) mask every single time I saw a patient, wore gloves, asked them to look the opposite direction while I take bloods from their arm.

I’m feeling pretty damn rough. The headache is nauseating and constant. The dry cough has become more frequent. I’ve bought a pulse oximetry device that should arrive today as that’s the best indicator of when you’re starting to go downhill.

Our hospital was about to abolish “specialities” from next week too. Everyone becomes a Covid doctor and assigned a random ward every week.
There was a meeting on Tuesday that I missed that said that the hospital are expecting 150 to a 1000 Covid patients to be admitted within the next month or so. Shits getting real in Wales (although the Newport area seems to be the worst hit in the UK going by “per capita” or something like that).

Take care man.
 
I’m positive for Covid19 as of yesterday. I’ve been dealing with so many patients recently that any one of them may have given it to me. I’ve worn a (surgical) mask every single time I saw a patient, wore gloves, asked them to look the opposite direction while I take bloods from their arm.

I’m feeling pretty damn rough. The headache is nauseating and constant. The dry cough has become more frequent. I’ve bought a pulse oximetry device that should arrive today as that’s the best indicator of when you’re starting to go downhill.

Our hospital was about to abolish “specialities” from next week too. Everyone becomes a Covid doctor and assigned a random ward every week.
There was a meeting on Tuesday that I missed that said that the hospital are expecting 150 to a 1000 Covid patients to be admitted within the next month or so. Shits getting real in Wales (although the Newport area seems to be the worst hit in the UK going by “per capita” or something like that).
Take care buddy, we are all thinking of you, I'm not too far away from you so when this all blows over and life starts to come back to normality I'm taking you for several beers!!
 
I’m positive for Covid19 as of yesterday. I’ve been dealing with so many patients recently that any one of them may have given it to me. I’ve worn a (surgical) mask every single time I saw a patient, wore gloves, asked them to look the opposite direction while I take bloods from their arm.

I’m feeling pretty damn rough. The headache is nauseating and constant. The dry cough has become more frequent. I’ve bought a pulse oximetry device that should arrive today as that’s the best indicator of when you’re starting to go downhill.

Our hospital was about to abolish “specialities” from next week too. Everyone becomes a Covid doctor and assigned a random ward every week.
There was a meeting on Tuesday that I missed that said that the hospital are expecting 150 to a 1000 Covid patients to be admitted within the next month or so. Shits getting real in Wales (although the Newport area seems to be the worst hit in the UK going by “per capita” or something like that).
Get well soon,man.
 


Am I missing something? I think this goes beyond incompetence, this is malice.


I can only imagine they didn't want a mutiny on their hands when all the other nurses were unprotected, but still yes, this is unacceptable.



I’m positive for Covid19 as of yesterday. I’ve been dealing with so many patients recently that any one of them may have given it to me. I’ve worn a (surgical) mask every single time I saw a patient, wore gloves, asked them to look the opposite direction while I take bloods from their arm.

I’m feeling pretty damn rough. The headache is nauseating and constant. The dry cough has become more frequent. I’ve bought a pulse oximetry device that should arrive today as that’s the best indicator of when you’re starting to go downhill.

Our hospital was about to abolish “specialities” from next week too. Everyone becomes a Covid doctor and assigned a random ward every week.
There was a meeting on Tuesday that I missed that said that the hospital are expecting 150 to a 1000 Covid patients to be admitted within the next month or so. Shits getting real in Wales (although the Newport area seems to be the worst hit in the UK going by “per capita” or something like that).


Godspeed man, wish you a swift recovery. I am sure you'll be fine in good time, but stay safe. My sister's family are currently recovering from it - they were not tested so of course, we don't know for sure, but there is a definite infection chain that can realistically be traced for them and she's a GP so is well-placed to know when something is not just the flu. Luckily, they all suffered mild symptoms for the most part, they had 2-3 days of being very rough but now are well on the road to being back to normal. She's finally braving the food shop today, they've been quarantined for around 10-14days I think altogether as a family.
 
Papers across the spectrum absolutely hammering the government today and not before time.

Sick of hearing what a "great job they're doing".


Yeah you can see that for the opening period of the outbreak the papers were acting as the mouthpiece for the government (which I firmly believe to be the case all the time to be honest, no different to most other countries) but now things have gotten very serious indeed, they can no longer lie to the people and defend their masters. I don't think the government have done entirely badly, they have tried to do some good things but overall yeah they've botched it.
 
The data from cruise ships showed that it was 17%, not half. It was half at first but more people started developing symptoms later. Either the person who wrote the article is misinformed or the professor they interviewed isn't really up-to-date with the matter. Also I don't really get the logic for the bold bit.

Within one of the guardian articles about testing of the NHS workers self-isolating they said from the small sample that only 15% were infected.

It's a small sample so you can't conclude too much but these are people at higher risk of contact so at 15% the idea that's its widely spread amongst the general population but they just don't know seems very unlikely.
 
I liked your raw data and I had been following it since the beginning, thank you. It helps to get a picture of the situation. But I believe that the graphs that I had been positing everyday and that today @Sweet Square posted STEALING MY feckING JOB!!! :p are in agreement with your data but the author, as I mentioned one of the days because @Sweet Square is not doing MY JOB WELL!!!... is counting from the 10th day of infection. Probably because the beginning is too randomly to take in account? but I must confess that I don't know much about statistic methods. I just love numbers and try to understand the situation that we are living in. If we take your numbers (and percentage of growth) and we use his method will see that UK is following Italy's path. And most important, his % is ramping up for the last 3 days compared with Italy and is matching Spain's growth when they were around 2000 deaths. Again, please someone correct me as maybe I must be talking bollocks. But would you agree with me? Of course we would need to agree if it is more realistic take it from the 1st death or the 10th. And of course % goes smaller as bigger the numbers. That is why is call reaching the peak. But by percentage at 2000 deaths, Uk is slightly worse than Italy to reach the peak (so improvement needs to be made)

Uk dates​
UK deaths​
UK %​
Italy Dates​
Italy Deaths​
Italy %​
Spain Dates​
Spain Deaths​
Spain %​
Mar 12th​
10​
25,00%​
Feb 25th​
11​
57,14%​
Mar 7th​
10​
25,00%​
Mar 13th​
11​
10,00%​
Feb 26th​
12​
9,09%​
Mar 8th​
17​
70,00%​
Mar 14th​
21​
90,91%​
Feb 27th​
17​
41,67%​
Mar 9th​
30​
76,47%​
Mar 15th​
35​
66,67%​
Feb 28th​
21​
23,53%​
Mar 10th​
36​
20,00%​
Mar 16th​
55​
57,14%​
Feb 29th​
29​
38,10%​
Mar 11th​
55​
52,78%​
Mar 17th​
71​
29,09%​
Mar 1st​
41​
41,38%​
Mar 12th​
86​
56,36%​
Mar 18th​
104​
46,48%​
Mar 2nd​
52​
26,83%​
Mar 13th​
133​
54,65%​
Mar 19th​
144​
38,46%​
Mar 3rd​
79​
51,92%​
Mar 14th​
196​
47,37%​
Mar 20th​
177​
22,92%​
Mar 4th​
107​
35,44%​
Mar 15th​
294​
50,00%​
Mar 21st​
233​
31,64%​
Mar 5th​
148​
38,32%​
Mar 16th​
342​
16,33%​
Mar 22nd​
281​
20,60%​
Mar 6th​
197​
33,11%​
Mar 17th​
533​
55,85%​
Mar 23rd​
335​
19,22%​
Mar 7th​
233​
18,27%​
Mar 18th​
639​
19,89%​
Mar 24th​
422​
25,97%​
Mar 8th​
366​
57,08%​
Mar 19th​
833​
30,36%​
Mar 25th​
468​
10,90%​
Mar 9th​
463​
26,50%​
Mar 20th​
1093​
31,21%​
Mar 26th​
578​
23,50%​
Mar 10th​
631​
36,29%​
Mar 21st​
1381​
26,35%​
Mar 27th​
759​
31,31%​
Mar 11th​
827​
31,06%​
Mar 22nd​
1813​
31,28%​
Mar 28th​
1019​
34,26%​
Mar 12th​
1016​
22,85%​
Mar 23rd​
2207​
21,73%​
Mar 29th​
1228​
20,51%​
Mar 13th​
1266​
24,61%​
Mar 24th​
2696​
22,16%​
Mar 30th​
1408​
14,66%​
Mar 14th​
1441​
13,82%​
Mar 25th​
3434​
27,37%​
Mar 31st​
1789​
27,06%​
Mar 15th​
1809​
25,54%​
Mar 26th​
4145​
20,70%​
Apr 1st​
2352​
31,47%​
Mar 16th​
2158​
19,29%​
Mar 27th​
4858​
17,20%​
Apr 2nd​
Mar 17th​
2503​
15,99%​
Mar 28th​
5690​
17,13%​
Mar 18th​
2978​
18,98%​
Mar 29th​
6528​
14,73%​
Mar 19th​
3405​
14,34%​
Mar 30th​
7240​
10,91%​
Mar 20th​
4032​
18,41%​
Mar 31st​
8189​
13,11%​
Mar 21st​
4825​
19,67%​
Apr 1st​
9053​
10,55%​
Mar 22nd​
5475​
13,47%​
Apr 2nd​
Mar 23rd​
6077​
11,00%​
Mar 24th​
6820​
12,23%​
Mar 25th​
7503​
10,01%​
Mar 26th​
8215​
9,49%​

steal that @Sweet Square :nono:

My point was the implication that now Spain has hit a plateau suddenly UK should be out of nowhere. I've shown in the figures 1-2 weeks ago Spain had a large increase day after day, that's where UK is at right now. It would be like me plotting the graph 1-2 weeks ago for Spain with the same headlines saying Spain should be plateauing at 300-500 deaths because this other country is now plateauing, that would be silly and it's what FT have done.
 
Take care buddy, we are all thinking of you, I'm not too far away from you so when this all blows over and life starts to come back to normality I'm taking you for several beers!!
Ill join!

Get well soon BFA! do you think it’s worth others buying a pulse oximetry incase?
 
Yeah you can see that for the opening period of the outbreak the papers were acting as the mouthpiece for the government (which I firmly believe to be the case all the time to be honest, no different to most other countries) but now things have gotten very serious indeed, they can no longer lie to the people and defend their masters. I don't think the government have done entirely badly, they have tried to do some good things but overall yeah they've botched it.
It's testament to how talentless this government are that they put so much effort into avoiding criticism...and even fails at that.
 
Last edited:
My point was the implication that now Spain has hit a plateau suddenly UK should be out of nowhere. I've shown in the figures 1-2 weeks ago Spain had a large increase day after day, that's where UK is at right now. It would be like me plotting the graph 1-2 weeks ago for Spain with the same headlines saying Spain should be plateauing at 300-500 deaths because this other country is now plateauing, that would be silly and it's what FT have done.

I haven't looked at the FT graph, but the later hit countries do seem to be plateauing earlier as they learn from the experiences of countries like Italy.
 
Appreciate the kind words guys. I’m calm about it, just need to be sensible and realise the stage when I may need to escalate things. Majority of people won’t need hospital admission so hopeful I fall in that category :wenger:



Yeah first time I’ve been tested. To be fair, they were pretty quick about the whole thing. I rang my “line manager” saying I had fever, a dry cough and a sore throat and within a few hours I had a call from Occupational Health saying that I had a test the next day.

Thanks for the response, the fast response is slightly better than some stories I have heard and at least at this stage in the crisis we have enough testing kits where they need to be that front line staff can get a next day test if they exhibit multiple symptoms.

My mother works for the local CCG and their reaction has been along those lines- the existing hospital departments are responding well to schedule tests and manage shifts and rotas to keep the service as well manned as possible, but they are limited by the larger scale planning and national logistics, which have left an awful lot to he desired (too few tests and too late).

In an ideal world you would have periodic testing for all HCP and cleaners so that they can isolate when they are infectious before exhibiting symptoms and then return to work when they have recovered.

It's difficult to know how prepared any country can truly be for an unprecedented global pandemic, but if the people paid enormous salaries to plan for events like this have been asleep at the wheel or ignored by policymakers and that has endangered front line staff, then there should still be accountability and lessons should be learned.

I hope you make a speedy recovery and can enjoy a spell of much needed rest without feeling one iota of regret for being temporarily sidelined and taken from the front line continuing the fight. Get well soon.
 
I had a debate here if masks are helpful or not. Here from Fauci who says that 'in a perfect world with unlimited supplied, everyone wearing a mask would help stop the spread'.



The YouGov data is quite illustrative on the other side of that discussion: what the average person thinks.

QgHVEZA.png


Obviously Asia are more accustomed to it than Europe in general, but in the likes of Italy, France and Spain there's been a huge uptake in just two weeks. 26% of Italians said they wore a mask on March 11th, by March 25th that had jumped up to 70%. In Spain it went from 5% to 42% over a similar period, and in France it went from 5% to 22%. In the Northern European countries there's been essentially been no movement, hovering at around 1-5% in the UK, Germany, and the Scandinavian countries.

Interesting that Singapore are completely unlike their neighbours in that sense.
 
I think it's a scandal that we had plenty of warning but due to a complete shambles of an approach the UK is in line to be one of the most disastrously impacted countries in the world from this with a death rate much higher than many other developed countries. Now perhaps is not the time to be looking for heads to roll but when all this is over this will have to be looked at.
 
I’m positive for Covid19 as of yesterday. I’ve been dealing with so many patients recently that any one of them may have given it to me. I’ve worn a (surgical) mask every single time I saw a patient, wore gloves, asked them to look the opposite direction while I take bloods from their arm.

I’m feeling pretty damn rough. The headache is nauseating and constant. The dry cough has become more frequent. I’ve bought a pulse oximetry device that should arrive today as that’s the best indicator of when you’re starting to go downhill.

Our hospital was about to abolish “specialities” from next week too. Everyone becomes a Covid doctor and assigned a random ward every week.
There was a meeting on Tuesday that I missed that said that the hospital are expecting 150 to a 1000 Covid patients to be admitted within the next month or so. Shits getting real in Wales (although the Newport area seems to be the worst hit in the UK going by “per capita” or something like that).
Damn. Look after yourself fella, hope you get well soon.