Concerning updates from the NHS recently:
-The PHE guidance is now that we use surgical masks even in confirmed cases
-We are already starting to get inpatient transmission
-We are no longer contact tracing....which means we're seeing patients who develop covid....and then not getting tested ourselves. So we're either self isolating for 14 days if we get symptoms or working and potentially continuing to spread
-Some hospitals in London are already starting to use theatres for intensive care space
-I have old professors/ colleagues who bloody specialise in epidemiology, outbreak control, public health etc etc. Until very recently, none of them were contacted and almost nobody of real significance in the field was really contacted, even though we have quite a few experts in the UK. Really concerning approach from the UK.
-While the consensus from the aforementioned colleagues seems to be that Prof Whitty is genuinely excellent, the opinion of Prof Vallance is significantly less glowing.
-People are stealing from the NHS. Whether its staff members or visitors (likely a mixture of both), alcohol gel, gloves, masks, wipes are all disappearing en masse.
-It feels like we're in the calm before the storm. At least in many London hospitals, we have stopped essentially all elective services. We are rewriting protocols.
There's definitely more but I'm a bit tired right now if I'm honest.
Some reading for those really interested:
The excellent Ferguson paper which supposedly brought about the change in tack from the UK and US.
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/im...-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf
WHO report on China's response (still working my way through):
https://www.who.int/docs/default-so...na-joint-mission-on-covid-19-final-report.pdf
People need to wise up I think. I would still advocate against hysteria and I think the panic buying is ridiculous but people living their lives completely as normal is mind boggling to me.